Document zb0Qnr8GrNNX14vjndBEe4DER
FILE NAME Industrial Hygiene Foundation IHF
DATE 1958 DOC IHF042
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Journal Article - An Epidemiological Study of Lung
Cancer in Asbestos Miners
An Epidemiological Study of
Lung Cancer in Asbestos Miners
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DANIEL C. BRAUN M.D. and T. DAVID TRUAN M.A. Pittsburgh
Ever since the pronounced increase in the incidence of lung cancer among males
became apparent there have been attempts to associate it with one or another of the
various elements in the environment of
man The approach used by some workers
has been to suspect one or several substances and then set about in an intensive search for lung cancer among persons who have had any exposure to those materials In this connection Smith 82 writes The
tendency of authors reporting the coincidental occurrence of primary lung cancer
with silicosis or with any other theoretical
etiologic conditions has been to emphasize the percentage relationship in extremely
small series of cases with control cases
which are not in any way comparable
It would seem inevitable that asbestos
should come under scrutiny in this manner
because prolonged exposure to this material
is known to cause a specific type of pneu-
moconiosis and because persons who show
this form of pneumoconiosis often come to
autopsy and provide a ready source of
material for study It was in this way that
reports of the simultaneous occurrence of
lung cancer and asbestosis began to accu-
mulate after the report of a case by Lynch
and Smith8 in 1935. Within the next 10
years about 15 additional cases
ported and in 1954 Merewether
were re-
r eviewed
all deaths from asbestosis recorded in Eng-
land since March 1924. Lung cancer oc-
curred in 16 of these cases Gloyne
whose work is also frequently referred establishing
establishing
connection
to
ste
as establishing a connection between asbes9
tosis and cancer of the lung reported in
1951 that cancer of the lung was present
in 14.1 of asbestosis cases examined by
him In 1941 claimed to have
mice which they
Nordmann and Sorge
>
produced lung cancer in exposed to asbestos dust
Since 1951 additional cases of cancer of .
the lung coexisting with asbestosis have been reported and according to Hueper
about 100 such cases had been reported up
~
to 1955. As a result an association between
the two diseases appears to have been ac-
cepted by
many authors
and
several
writers
-
-
were using the term asbestosis cancer of
the lung Werber in 1952 stated cate- cyt
gorically that in % to % of cases of -
~
asbestosis after a latent period of about
1to 20 years carcinoma becomes estab- _
lished in the lung
On the other hand not all authors ac-
cepted this alleged association without
reservation Saupe80 in 1939 reported that
he had discovered no cases of lung cancer
among 620 cases of asbestosis which he
had examined and in 1942 Holleb and
**
Angrist
expressed
the
opinion
that
the
number of cases of asbestosis with lung
cancer was too small for statistical evalua-
tion
In
1947
38
Wegelius
reported
126
radiologically diagnosed cases of asbestosis
among 476 workers in Finland and found
no cases of lung cancer in this group
Goldblatt and Goldblatt in their section of
Accepted for publication Jan. 20 1958 This study was made possible through a grant from the Quebec Asbestos Mining Association Medical Director Dr. Braun and Statistical Consultant Mr. Truan Industrial Hygiene
Foundation
Merewether's latest book state But at
no stage in all these impressive researches was any clue obtained which might have offered any support to the possibility that asbestos could act as a carcinogen There
63+
also frequently referred to
connection between asbes-
-
of the lung reported in
of the lung was present|
estosis cases examined by Nordmann and Sorge produced lung cancer in exposed to asbestos dust
ditional cases of cancer of
~
ting with asbestosis have
nd according to Hueper
_
cases had been reported up
sult an association between
appears to have been ac- *-
authors and several writers
erm asbestosis cancer of
er in 1952 stated cate- ..
% to 17 of cases of *
a latent period of about _
~
carcinoma becomes estab-
hand not all authors ac-
eged association without 80 in 1939 reported that d no cases of lung cancer
s of asbestosis which he
and in 1942 Holleb and ssed the opinion that the s of asbestosis with lung
smail for statistical evalua-
88
Wegelius
reported
126
ignosed cases of asbestosis xers in Finland and found
ng cancer in this group
oldblatt in their section of
test book state But at
these impressive researches btained which might have port to the possibility that . et as a carcinogen There
LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
is no reliable criterion by which one can anticipate carcinogenicity and as is well known relatively minute changes in the
structure of a chemical carcinogen are suffi-
eient to diminish or eliminate carcinogenic
scheduled areas by which is meant
those areas where processes are carried on
which were scheduled under the Asbestos
Industry Regulations of 1931 as being
dusty There is furthermore a complete lack
action
If asbestos is indeed to be regarded as a
carcinogen the need is felt to demonstrate some property which can be regarded as something more than inertness
These authors advance the theory that until some more experimental evidence of direct carcinogenesis by asbestos or a decomposition product of it can be obtained
of definition of terms as used in the published literature For example the term
asbestosis as used may refer to changes observable only by microscopic examination of the lung tissue or it may mean a radiologically detectable condition
Most of the published reports obviously
included women among their cases but
some of them do not give the number or
asbestos might be considered as a car-
cinogen which only induces a further de-
velopment of a preneoplastic condition
brought about by something independent of
the asbestos such as an endogenous factor
Thus the literature while tending to sup-
port the thesis that asbestosis is in some way related to the development of lung
cancer is by no means unanimous Alto-
gether it is perhaps more confusing than enlightening A careful review shows that the majority of the reports are clinical and
not epidemiological They lack many elements necessary for the application of
epidemiological techniques to their content
* and most of the authors do not make claim
to having done so What has happened is that succeeding authors have drawn conclu sions and generalized beyond the scope of the works which they quote Nowhere for
example have we found references to a population of asbestos workers although
several authors who have quoted the ob-
Served incidence of lung cancer in autopsies
of persons who also had asbestosis imply that this incidence applies to asbestos work-
proportion of women involved in the study
There is also a lack of uniformity as to
what type of exposure most studies have
dealt with Of 99 cases enumerated by
58
Hueper
in
1955
only
10
appear to
have
originated in the United States and 7 in
Canada Some of the earlier reports ap-
parently included asbestos miners but it
can be assumed since 82 of the 99 cases
had originated in England and since no asbestos mining operations are carried on
in that country that most of the reported
cases have involved workers in the textile
or fabricating industries
Such factors as smoking habits family
history of cancer length of time in the industry and age of the individual case are also notably absent in the majority of these
reports With this understanding of the limita-
tions of the existing literature with respect
to epidemiological generalization it may be
of value to consider in somewhat more de-
tail some representative earlier publications a few of which were referred to briefly
ers generally
unable to find
We have
any study
likewise been
which actually
calculated the incidence of lung cancer
among a population of persons who had asbestosis and not just those who came to
autopsy With the exception of a paper by Doil none of those reviewed gave any
data on exposure and dust concentrations and even Doll's paper merely mentions
above
One of the most detailed studies and one which deserves the most serious considera-
tion is that reported by Doll 28 in 1955 This study reviews causes of death among
asbestos workers based on coroners records It also attempts to estimate the risk
by studying records of men who worked for at least 20 years in exposed situations
635
Truan
HEALTH M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL
.
#
saad
46%.
Doll concluded that lung cancer was a spe- lung cancer in other forms of
pneumoconio cific industrial hazard of certain asbestos sis was 6.7 and in 169 cases
teow which workers and that after 20 years of expo- proved not to have any type of
pneumo- sure the risk is 10 times as great as for
the general population
This article is important for several rea-
sons in addition to the definite conclusions
coniosis it was 8.3 Gloyne considered the mortality of the asbestos workers to
be disturbing First of all it is obvious that the paper does not deal with the mor-
at which it arrives For example it begins by stating that in view of the infrequency of asbestosis this large number of cases
tality of asbestos workers and
secondly it must be borne in mind that all of Dr Gloyne's cases were submitted to him
for
61 cases of lung cancer does not prove lung
suggests
cancer is an
study because the findings were unusual
for uncomplicated pneumoconiosis It can
occupational hazard of asbestos workers Neither this article nor any previous one which we have examined presents any fig-
reasonably be assumed that cases including those of asbestosis in which the findings
were not considered unusual were not sent
ures to prove that asbestosis is an infre
quent occurrence Estimates of the number
of persons potentially exposed to asbestos
dust in the United States alone vary from 10,000 to 35,000 and the incidence of as-
bestosis of any degree might be higher than
to Dr. Gloyne for examination As a matsent
ter of fact in the same paragraph in which
he expresses concern over the incidence
rate in asbestosis Dr. Gloyne himself
points out that the rate for lung cancer based on necropsies at the London Chest
Doll imagines
Hospital was 21.3 while the figures of
This study like so many others involves
autopsy records The number of persons involved in the statistical analysis is only
113 representing only 1,042.25 years of life It is also true that in selecting men who had been employed for at least 20
the Registrar showed only 2.4 He thus recognized that autopsies on a cer-
rep tain selected group of cases were not
resentative of the general population It would seem then that notwithstanding the
value of Dr. Gloyne's work its importance
years the study automatically excluded
those who died from other causes after
as an index of the prevalence of lung cancer in asbestotics has been misinterpreted
shorter employment
by some who have quoted him All that it
Another reason why this publication is of importance is a statement which it con-
really shows is the fact that in a group of 121 cases selected for special study pri-
tains to the effect that the strongest evi-
dence that it lung cancer may be a hazard in asbestos workers has been produced by Merewether and by Gloyne
marily because they seemed abnormal by preliminary examination 17 or 14.1 had lung cancer
Merewether 3 in 1947. in the report of
In 1951 Gloyne presented a review of 1205 autopsies on persons who had worked in various dusty occupations This
number included 132 asbestos workers of
whom 121 showed pneumoconiosis sumably asbestosis Primary cancer of the
the Chief Inspector of Factories reviewed all cases reported between 1924 and 1946
in which asbestosis was the cause of death
or a coexisting condition This work was
later extended to include all such cases re-
ported up to December 1954 by which time
lung occurred 17 times in this group an there were 344 deaths including 205 males
incidence rate of 14.1 for lung cancer and 139 females Among them were 55
among asbestosis cases coming to autopsy
There were in his series 796 cases with sili-
cosis and 6.9 of these also showed pri-
mary cancer of the lung The incidence of
cases % of cancer of the lung 41 in
males and 14 in females It is quite possible that a large number of asbestotics who did
not die of their asbestosis or in whose
636
Iul 17 June 1958
i
:
OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH HEALTH LUNG LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
which other forms of pneumoconio-
6. and in 169 cases
I have any type of pneumo-
as 8.3 Gloyne considered " of the asbestos workers to
death certificate it was not mentioned may have been missed The import of this % is enhanced by the simultaneous statement that the incidence of lung cancer in autop-
sies of the general population is only %
workers First of all it is obvious
does not deal with the mor
stos
and secondly
The danger of attempting to compare a
rate found in 344 cases with the rate for
the general population without respect to
me in mind that all of Dr.
for were submitted to him
the findings were unusual ated pneumoconiosis It can
age occupation and many other variables such as smoking habits is obvious
Lynch who with Smith 66 had reported the first case in 1935 reported 4 cases of
that cases including
assumed tosis in which the
-
findings dered unusual were not sent
for examination As a mat
the same paragraph in which
~
concern over the incidence
tosis Dr. Gloyne himself
: the rate for lung cancer
'
psies at the London Chest
21.3 while the figures of
carcinoma of the lung in a series of 49 autopsies on workers in an asbestos manufacturing plant who were shown to have demonstrable deposits of asbestos in the lungs This of course is not necessarily identical with the disease asbestosis Lynch himself points out that although this is an incidence of 8.2 both figures are too
small for very serious statistical types of calculation Nevertheless later writers
General showed only 2.4
ized that autopsies on a cer
rep- oup of cases were not
have used this paper to strengthen the case for an association of carcinoma of the lung
with asbestosis It is also of interest that
the general population It : KlotzfounKlotdzfound Klotzfound only the same number of
n that notwithstanding the cases of lung cancer in a series nearly 10
Dyne's work its importance F times as large i e 4 in 478 cases of
the prevalence of lung can-
asbestosis
s has been misinterpreted .
ve quoted him All that it
the fact that in a grouofp|
red for special study pri-
they seemed abnormal by
ination 17 or 14.1 had
Behrens as cited by Merewether estiimated that of 309 cases of asbestosis in the literature 44 showed associated cancer of the giving an incidence of 14.2 This is an illustration of generalizing an
incidence obtained in a group of cases
in 1947 in the report of
or of Factories reviewed
between 1924 and 1946 is was the cause of death ondition This work was include all such cases re-
mber 1954 by which time aths including 205 males
which were undoubtedly reported only be cause some of them showed lung cancer to possibly hundreds of asbestotics whose cses were never reported The same applies to the conclusion of Teleky who
appears to have reviewed reports of 39
autopsies on persons with asbestosis among which 6 cases of lung cancer occurred Information from sources such as these does
Among them were 55 ancer of the lung 41 in males It is quite possible
er of asbestotics who did
asbestosis or in whose
not justify generalizations with regard to
mortality rates
Perhaps no one has written so exten-
sively on the subject as has Hueper
In
1955
he
reviewed
the
58 cases
reported
Pol 17 June 1958
Braun Truan
prior to that date and enumerated a total
of 99. Eleven of these were those dis-
cussed by Doll and may have been cases covered by other authors Eight were dis-
covered by Kennaway and Kennawa6y2 in
an analysis of death certificates and unless Merewether's study was incomplete these
cases should have been included in his re-
port Of the remaining 80 it is quite possible that the 31 contributed by Merewether and the 17 by Gloyne contain some duplica-
tion with each other or with those of other
English authors
Principles of the Epidemiological
Method
Dorn 20 has pointed out that much of what is now thought to be pertinent concerning the comparative frequency of lung cancer in different population groups has been developed from the analysis of clinical material particularly surgical and autopsy records supplemented to some extent by the reported impressions of various clinicians based upon their personal observa-
tions More recently however attention has turned to the systematic investiga-
tion of this problem by the same methods that have proved so successful previously in the study of Communicable diseases that is to say by epidemiological methods
In order to apply this method of investigation to the problem under discussion we were of the opinion that a study should be planned so as to provide 1 a defined population group 2 available data for all members of this population including the healthy as well as the ill 3 a sample which is truly representative of the population 4 reliable and valid observations relating to the problem of the study
A serious defect common to most of the studies which have been reported is that
little or no information concerning the healthy people in the group seems to have
been available to the author In order to
draw a generalization regarding all asbestos workers it is necessary for a study to in-
clude living persons as well as the dead
637
ye
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL
HEALTH
Limiting the investigation to cases coming to autopsy as has been frequently done in
earlier studies still further restricts its use
in generalization The problem with which
we are concerned is whether asbestos
miners experience more lung cancer than
does the general population The answer
necessitates the collection of reliable infor-
mation on asbestos miners as a group as
well as on the general population
It seems advisable to discuss the differ-
ences between the epidemiological approach
and that used in the studies which have
been reported to date A very important consideration is the fact that lung cancer
in spite of its increasing numbers is still a
disease of low incidence that is in a given
population not many persons will contract
this particular disease This fact requires
that large samples or groups must be studied to provide meaningful results
be found in another group of the same size
information but representative of the general population It is true that investigation of cases from
such a sample can furnish
valuable for research but the use of this
information in drawing generalizations is necessarily restricted It is the obligation
of both the investigator and of those who
read his report to make proper comparisons *
and to draw only those conclusions which
are valid and justified A good statistical
occur- study of cases of cancer of the lung
ring in a group of autopsies can lead to a
. proper inference concerning the frequency
of lung cancer among cases coming to Be
autopsy but only to such cases For in- -
pro- formation from such a study be
jected to some larger group it is necessary ' that the autopsies represent a good sample
such of that larger group To assume that
is the case in any particular series is dan-
Recognizing the difficulty of obtaining
such large samples most earlier writers
deviated from the epidemiological method and sought to circumvent the requirement of observing well persons by 1 comparing the relative frequency of cancer in vari-
ous sites 2 comparing the relative
frequency of cancer in a group of hospital-
ized patients 3 comparing the relative frequency of cancer in a group of cases
coming to autopsy
Attempting to compare two population
groups looking only at the relative fre-
quency of cancer in various body sites may result in finding a higher percentage
relative frequency in one of the groups
when in fact the mortality rate of cancer of a particular organ is exactly the same in both groups This is very clearly demonstrated in the excellent article by Dorn.30 The mortality rate from a particular cause
is the true measure of comparison
It is apparent that selected groups such
as hospitalized patients or autopsy cases
may not be in any way representative of
a larger group and that in dealing with such samples the observer may easily find more cases of a given disease than would
gerous and likely to be false
There
is
some
danger
that
the
*
figures
^' reported by some authors may be miscon-
strued as applying to asbestos workers or .
the even asbestos miners when in fact
authors in question do not make this gen-
eralization nor can the generalization be | made for the reasons stated Close study of
the reports reveals that the percentages
cited relate only to the group of autopsies
covered by the particular investigation
The present study in contrast to the
earlier works has been planned to utilize
the epidemiological method A defined
group of asbestos miners has been estab-
lished in such a way that it constitutes a
good sample of the whole population of asbestos miners in Quebec Data for all
members of this group have been collected
and analyzed Those concerning lung can-
cer have received most careful considera-
tion Details of the methods employed will be set forth later but the type of approach is considered to permit of fair comparisons and valid generalizations
Collection and Analysis of Data _
A preliminary survey of potential sources of information in February 1956 involved
638
Vol 17. June 1958
OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
size her group of the same
e of the general population
Investigation of cases from can furnish information
earch but the use of this
drawing icted
generalizations is It is the obligation
stigator and of those who
make proper comparisons
ly those conclusions which istified A good statistical
i cancer of the lung occur-
of autopsies can lead to a concerning the frequency
among cases coming to
y to such cases For in-such a study be pro-
rger group it is necessary *
3 represent a good sample ~ up To assume that such =
y particular series is dan- ~
to be false
a
: danger that the figures
: authors may be miscon- *>
g to asbestos workers or
ners when in fact the =:
ndo not make this gen- %
can the generalization be ?:
ons stated Close study of
als that the percentages
'
to the group of autopsies
articular investigation
tudy in contrast to the
s been planned to utilize
1 method A defined
+ miners has been estab-
way that it constitutes a
the whole population of in Quebec Data for all
group have been collected
ose concerning lung can-
most careful considera-
te methods employed will but the type of approach ermit of fair comparisons
zations
1 Analysis of Data
arvey of potential sources
February 1956 involved
Vol 17. June 1958
LUNG LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MIXERS
discussions with the physicians in charge of the asbestos companies programs and
with clinicians pathologists representatives
of City and Provincial health departments and of the Canadian Cancer Society and
other interested persons It was found that
morbidity data although somewhat limited were available from such sources as the hospitals in Montreal and Quebec City and
the 13 cancer detection centers in the Prov-
ince However because of the high mor-
tality in lung cancer it seemed advisable
to depend upon data relating to deaths
These we found to be obtainable at the
vital statistics department of the Ministry of Health in Quebec City From the preliminary survey it was apparent that extensive and detailed information could be
gathered with respect to both the persons employed in the asbestos mining industry and the mortality figures for the general
population Following this exploratory survey the
initial effort was directed to the collection
of data relating to all workers who had been processed through the clinic at Thetford Mines since its inception in 1947 and similar information regarding all workers at Asbestos Que Data from the clinical records included the age family and personal medical histories smoking habits
number of years of exposure an estimate
of weighted exposure and the course of
the individual's health status or the cause
of his death
From this information it was possible
to formulate a cohort which could be well
lefined should be representative of the
whole group and could be followed for a
lefinite period of time All of the available experience indicates that the development
of asbestosis in less than five years of ex-
posure must be somewhat rare Accord-
ingly the cohort was defined as including
every miner who had a total exposure of
five or more years and who was on the
employment rolls in 1950. Office and other nonexposed personnel regardless of length of employment were not included This
cohort was then followed by means of the
annual physical = examination through records
through a year interval 1950 through 1955. All data regarding this group were
then tabulated in order to determine the
characteristics of the cohort For those who
survived the entire period reference was
made to the physical examination results
and ray findings at the end of the period
Those who had died were tabulated sepa-
rately and
corroborated certificates
the cause of death
by examination of the
A further search was
was
death made
concerning those in the original cohort who remained unaccounted for when the living
and the known dead had been tabulated
They represent men who had left employment through retirement or resignation Eventually all but a small number of these were accounted for as either living or dead
and in the latter event the cause of death
was substantiated in a similar manner and
the results added to the original list of
deaths
Death certificates for the Province of
Quebec for the years 1952 to 1955 inclusive were reviewed in the department of
vital statistics of the Provincial Health
Ministry together with statistical sum-
maries of the causes of deaths in the Prov-
ince by counties All cases in which death was certified as having been due to primary cancer of the lung were examined for such information as place of residence
occupation date of death hospital in which
death occurred and whether or not an
autopsy was performed Cases in lung cancer was given as a cause of but in which it was not specified
which death
as to
whether the cancer originated in the lung
were also reviewed in an effort to include
all instances of primary carcinoma of the
lung in the study The statistics for the Province of Quebec
relate to population total deaths from all
causes total deaths from cancer of all types and deaths from lung cancer These were
collected and tabulated by counties and by
sex for the years 1950 to 1955. inclusive
Braun
630
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
From them death rates for the general
In addition to this analysis of deaths oc-
population of Quebec and
counties were calculated for
and analyzed by cause
of individual
specific years
curring in the cohort and during the years under observation every known death from cancer of the lung as well as every case
Practically all employees of one company are covered by a group policy of life insurance which fortunately nearly all of them continue to carry when they retire A very few are not covered by this policy and those who leave the industry for one reason or another except retirement usually are no longer covered but this is likewise a
diagnosed but still living has been tabulated
and analyzed They will be discussed separ-
ately from those includedin the population
and interval under study
mortality A comparison of lung cancer
mortality been
in the producing counties has
made with that in counties which are far
removed from the asbestos mines and in
small number As an additional check upon the information obtained from the clinical
records on this group the records of the life insurance company were examined for
all death claims paid under the policy and particular notice was taken of the claims in which the proof of death was based on cancer of the lung
Deaths from lung cancer among asbestos
which presumably no asbestos miners live
Finally compari-% in order to broaden the
in
different
population population
son of death rates in different population
groups the rates have been collected for -
Canada generally and for the United
States according to the most recent published
and ~ unpublished material
ts
eM
Results and Interpretation
a
miners were thus determined from the
clinical records in the medical service of the
industry and checked by means of the death
certificates and insurance company records
The deaths were then verified individually by reviewing them with the physicians in charge of the medical services In this man-
ner there was established a list of cases in
>. The cohort which was constructed accord-
-
ing to the criteria describedin the preceding section has been considered individually and~
compared with the general population~.
Description of the cohort will be presented
here as a preface to the results of the study -
Original Cohort Lost Persons Deducted
6,091 133
which primary cancer of the lung is considered to have been proved as the cause of
Final Cohort
Living in 1955 Dead by 1955
working and
retired
5.958 5,771
187
death A few cases in which lung cancer is
Cancer of lung
9
Questionable cancer of lung
3
strongly suspected but not proved as the
Other causes
169
cause of death were considered separately Mortality rates have been calculated using both the proved and the total of proved
Unknown causes
Smokers Nonsmokers Unknown
6
4,673 1.265
20
and suspected cases during the years under observation Comparisons were then
made between the death rates from the same
Tables 1 2 3 and 4 present age number
of years of employment weighted average exposure and smoking habits of the cohort
cause among specific segments of unexposed persons All lung cancer deaths both suspected and proved were carefully ana-
A comparison of the exposure to asbestos dust is presented in Table 3. All members of the cohort were placed in one of three
lyzed to determine possible relationship or correlations between the development of
categories representing increasing degrees of exposure based on a weighted average
lung cancer and any factor known from the of the years spent at various levels of
clinical records such as family history of dustiness The degree of dustiness for each
cancer personal history of heavy smoking job category was determined after consulta-
coexistence of asbestosis or exposure to tion with persons familiar with the environ-
asbestos
ment and conditions in the various work
640
Vol 17. June 1055
OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
> this analysis of deaths oc
ohort and during the years
on every known death from
ung as well as every case
till living has been tabulated
They will be discussed separ
e included in the population
il under study
ts
1 of lung cancer mortality
producing counties has been
in counties which are far
the asbestos mines and in
ly no asbestos miners live
ler to broaden the compari-
ites in different population
es have been collected for
, and for the United States
4.
most recent published and
erial
S$ +
i
6
ac ord- and Interpretation
ich was constructed accord-
a described in the preceding considered individually and
the general population ~
he cohort will be presented
: to the results of the study -
co
6,091
1
133
5,958
ng and retired
5,771 187
5
xer of lung
3
169
6
4,673
1.265
20
and + present age number
loyment weighted average oking habits of the cohort
of the exposure to asbestos in Table 3. All members
re placed in one of three enting increasing degrees d on a weighted average
ent at various levels of
gree of dustiness for each determined after consultafamiliar with the environons in the various work
Vol 17 June 1958
LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
Number and Percentage Distribution
TABLE
by Age
Table Number and Percentage Distribution by Length of Employment
AFS Number Per Cent EmLpelnogythmeonf t Number Per Cent
;
3.901
829
1,124
829
615
829
315
5
.
18
5,958
18
1,595
89207-18
2.398
89207-18
89207-18
922 89207-18 603 89207-18 15855 89207-18
5,958
89207-18
Less than %
areas For the purposes of calculation the assumption has been made that the relation-
ship between these categories is linear and that Category II is twice as dusty and Category III three times as dusty as Cate-
gory I.
ually smoking more than five cigarettes per
day Persons who smoke pipes or cigars
exclusively were not considered to be smokers for the purpose of this study
Table 5 presents the year experience of the cohort and indicates the
TABLE Number and Percentage Distribution
by Exposure Category
Table Number and Percentage Distribution by Smoking Habits
Totala Average Exposure
1,772
6,968 2.0
* 88 88
*
Number
4,673 1,285
20
3,958
Per Cent
ea ea
'
100
. than 0
The fourth variable smoking habits was . similarly tabulated and is shown in Table
4. This was included because the informa-
tion was available and because smoking was
regarded as one of the variables which
besides the environment could conceivably influence the development of lung cancer As used in this presentation the term smoker refers to a cigarette smoker habit-
number of deaths each year from specified
causes In general a case was considered to be proved as one of primary cancer
of the lung when the records showed that the diagnosis had been supported by an autopsy or surgical resection of the lung with microscopic examination of the removed tissue In one case so considered
however diagnosis was confirmed by bron-
Table Year Experience of Cohort and Death Rates per 100,000 Years of Risk
Cause of Death
Year
Year
No. Alive
At Beginning of Year
5,958 5.942 5.922 5,885 3,848
5,810
Proved Primary Ca. of Lung
-202-310
-202-310 -202-310 -202-310 -202-310 -202-310
Suspected
Primary
Ca. of Lung
20 16013 20 16013
20 16013
2016013 20016013 20016013
Totals ac cennccceceseee : -202-310 20 16013
Proved rate per 100,000 years of risk-
25.5
35,271.5 35,271.5
12
"
"
Total
rate
per
100,000
years
of
risk 33,271.5
= 34.0
Other auses
20538818 20538818 20538818 20538818
20538818 20538818
20538818
Unknown
aloro rf aloro rf aloroorf aloroorf aloro rf aloro rf
aloroorf
Years
of Risk
5,950 5,932 5,903.5 5,886.5 5.820 5,790.5
35.278.5
641 Truan
Case No.
4 2 3
4
3
8
7
a 9
HEALTH |
M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL
Table Prozed Cases of Primary Cancer of the Lung
Age
Smoker
8 3595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yea
883595863
Yes
883595863
Yes
Exposure
28 yr in Cat II 34 yr in Cat I 37 yr in Cat 32 yr in Cat I 22 yr in Cat II 33 yr in Cat III 30 yr in Cat II 16 yr in Cat I 28 yr in Cat III
Died
10-12-31 5-3-55 5-3-55
7-20-35 8-20-30
451
4-30-53 11-22-83
&- 5-5 - +88
Autopsy
Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
Yes
Yes
Bronch
ey
Asbestos
xcs
No No Yes Yeq Yes No No
choscopy with visualization and biopsy In another although there was no autopsy the diagnosis of primary cancer of the lung seems to have been beyond question
The term suspected primary cancer of the lung was applied to those cases in which the diagnosis remains in doubt but some of the evidence points to cancer of the lung There were three such cases
The term years of risk has been
used to mean the number of men at risk
for the year under observation A person
who lived throughout the year was counted
as a full year of risk but one who died during the year was counted as half a
year _
Deaths occurring in the cohort and in which lung cancer is considered to have been proved as a cause are shown in Table -
6. In Table 7 are shown three deaths which
have been considered as suspected lung
cancer cases
_ An indication of the importance of these suspected cases in interpreting the results
of the calculations is desirable before fur-
ther discussion of the mortality rates which are derived in later tables For example it happens that the rate found for the proved cases is close to the expected rate based on the general population figures for the Province as will be shown later and on this basis we should find eight deaths from lung cancer among the cohort Actually nine cases were observed If however the 3 additional suspected cases were included increasing this figure to 12 the total
would be very close to the 95 level
of significance However having found just
and 12 cases we are not above this level
Ss
therefore the hypothesis that asbestos miners
lung do not have a higher mortality from
cancer than does the general population can-.
not be rejected Nevertheless the occur- .
rence of 12 cases in this sample would-
increase the rate to a point which approaches
the significant level Because of the tre-
mendous importance of the questionable .
regarding cases in this respect some detail
them will be given here
In one of these cases the suspicion of
cancer of the lungis based upon the ray
~
interpretation and although no autopsy was
performed the death certificate indicates .
that death was due to lung cancer It is
well known that the ray appearance of
fibrosis especially if a localized density or
a superimposed tuberculous lesion is pres-
ent can simulate that of a tumor and by
itself does not justify the inclusion of this case as one of proved cancer of the lung A second case was certified as having died by reason of hydrothorax possibly due to lung cancer but again there was no
surgery and no postmortem examination
In the third case although it was subjected
to autopsy two pathologists disagreed as to
whether lung cancer was present The death
was certified as having been due to chronic
myocarditis with nephritis and pulmonary *
congestion and possibly cancer of the lung
On the basis of these facts it seems unwar-
ranted to include these three cases among
TABLE Suspected Primary Cancer of the Lung
Case No.
123 123 123
Age
$ 98 98
Smoker
Yes
Yes
Yes
Exposure
32 yr in Cat III 33 yr in Cat III 12 yr in Cat II
Dled
10-25-50
7--53 7--53
9-30-55
Autopsy
No Yes No
Asbestosis
No Yes No
642
Vol 17 June 1958
F INDUSTRIAL
} HEALTH
HEALTH
LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
f the Lung
>
Autopsy
Yes
Yeg No
YYeess Yes Yes Yes
Bronch
Ashestogis
-_,
Yes
Ne Ne Ves Yes Yes No No
uneen,
close to the 95 level
However having found just
I not above this level and
othesis that asbestos minersuy
igher mortality from lung
the general population can- |.
Nevertheless the occur-%
es in this sample would 2.
o point which approaches < vel Because of the tre- $
proved instances of lung cancer On the
other hand they cannot in fairness be dis-
regarded completely It is for this reason
that mortality rates have been calculated
buch ways
Table 8 gives the rates by age groups The rates by length of employment are shown in Table 9. During the first 40 years
of employment the rate rises an observation which seems plausible since the men were growing older However after 40
years of exposure there are no proved
cases reported for a total of 240 men dur-
ing the six years or about 1440 years
of exposure When the suspected cases
are added one case does show up in this
Table Lung Cancer Deaths by Age Groups
ance of the questionable aifi
M i:5
ect some detail regarding
n here
=
Number of Persons and Number of Lung Cancer Deaths
No. of Deaths
Age Group
No. of
Persons
Proved
Total
se cases the suspicion of |: &
g is based upon the ray =F
~
, although no autopsy was
leath certificate indicates &
I
1430012
3.901 L
1430012
1,124 615
$
1430012
315 4
1430012
3
Q
1430012
Totals
5,988
9
1430012
=ce ue to lung cancer It is %
the ray appearance of
if a localized density or '
aberculous lesion is pres-
that of a tumor and by stify the inclusion of this
proved cancer of the
Table Lung Cancer Deaths by Length of Employment
Number of Persons and Number of Lung Cancer Deaths
Length of
Employment
.......
No. of
Persons
1,795
2,398
922 603 185 55
5,958
No. of Deaths
Proved
0
m50010 m50010 m50010
m50 10
m50010
Total
0-31-2012 0-31-2012 0-31-2012 0-31-2012 0-31-2012 0-31-2012
0-31-2012
Annual
Lung
Cancer Death Rates per
Years of Exposure
100,000
Employment
Proved
Orxg001a Orxg0 1a
Orxg001a Orxg001a
Orxg0 1a
Orxg01a
Orxg001a
Total
0-38801 0-38 01 0-38801 0-38801 0-38801 0-38801
x
dicates that the members of the cohort
did not die from lung cancer at a younger
age than the general population The rates by weighted exposure are
shown in Table 10 and it will be noted
that they present strong evidence against asbestos being a carcinogenic agent for if exposure to asbestos is in any way connected to lung cancer we would expect that the longer and heavier the exposure the higher the rate that would be found The only possible error in this interpretation could occur if the weighted exposures were inversely related to years of employment
se was certified as having nydrothorax possibly due ut again there was no
ostmortem examination
Ithough it was subjected hologists disagreed as to
r was present The death
ving been due to chronic nephritis and pulmonary ssibly cancer of the lung se facts it seems unwar-
these three cases among
ing
Autopsy
No Yes No
Asbestosis No
Yes
Vol 17 June 1958
TABLE Lung Cancer Deaths by Exposure
period This would produce a rate of 69 per 100,000 again demonstrating the im-
portance
proved
because
of these
cases to
questionable but un-
the final conclusion
if there were no cases in this
number of men with long exposure and if
asbestos is a carcinogenic agent it must be
concluded that these 240 men have demon-
Category
Number of Persons and Number of Lung Cancer Deaths
Exposure Category
I. eran
No. of
Persons
2.031 2,150
1.752 5
No. of Deaths
Proved
/ /201 / /201 / /201 / /201
Total
4 4 4 0
Totals
5,958
12
strated considerable resistance This is a bio-
| logical phenomenon which has been observed previously and is consistent with the theory of an intrinsic or endogenous factor in cancer The only other explanation would be that the susceptible members of this age
Annual Lung Cancer Death Rates per 100,000 Years of Exposure
Proved
302013
302013
302013 302013
Tota
365 365 365
group had died earlier of lung cancer Table
18. which appears later in this section in-
302013
12
643
Braun
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
TABLE Number of Persons in Various Weighted Exposure Categories by
Length of Employment
TABLE Lung Cancer Death for Smokers and Nonsmokers
Weighted Exposure
Number of Persons and Number of Lung Cancer Deaths
by Smoking Habits
Length of
Categories
Un-
No. of Deaths
Employment 1
II
III
known
Total
ees
Persons Proved
Total
Hare 5-9 10-19
707
598
490
663
883
851
omammeln
1,795
omam eln
2,398
Smokers
4.873
00010
2002
20-29
314
363
243
omammeln
92a
Nonsmokers
1,285 00010
2002
2002
30-39
247
218
137
omam eln
603
Unknown
20
00010
40-49 D+
76
41
omam eln
185
psy 67 10
omammeln
55
Totals
5,058
00010
2002
Totals 2,031
Average years
exposure = 173
2,150 17.8
1,772
16.6
omammeln
&
5,958 17.5
Annual Lung Cancer Death Rates per 100,000 Years -
of Exposure by Smoking Habits
fi.
in which case the heaviest weighted exposure Category III would show the shortest length of employment Table 11
which lists the number of persons in various
exposure categories by length of employ-
ment indicates that this error has not oc-
curred In fact the average number of years of employment for each exposure category is almost identical
No. of Deaths
*
Proved
Total
Clo k
100
Clook
~
=
ad
smokers may have included a larger '
percentage of young men Consequently ad-
ditional Tables 13 14 and 15 were con-
structed to show the distribution of smokers
Table 12 which develops the rates for smokers and nonsmokers is most striking It shows that not a single case of lung cancer developed among the 1265 nonsmokers and that all cases of lung cancer both proved and suspected occurred in
smokers
Table 12 was so striking that it was felt
and nonsmokers by age length of employment and degree of exposure Although there are slight differences they do not account for the fact that all observed cases ~ of lung cancer were in smokers In respect to age Table 13 the combined average
age of the smokers was 4.9 years less than |
that of the nonsmokers Table 14 shows
that
was
tion
further verification was necessary It
possible that some abnormal distribumay have occurred g the non-
TABLE Number_and Number_and Percentage Distribution of Smokers and Nonsmokers by Age Groups
Number
that as far as length of employment is con-
TABLE Number and Percentage Distribution of Smokers and Nonsmokers by Length of Employment
Length of
Employment
Number Smokers Nonsmokers
Unknown
Age Group
Smoker
Totals
Average
3,200 898
411
164
2
4.673
4.673
39. 3
Nonsmoker
689 224 202
150 0
1,265 44.2
Unknown
12 4 2 t 1
-
20
40.7
50
eee eee e ee
employment
1,408 1.967 722 433
110
33 +.673
+.673
17.0
377 426 199 188
7.5
2
1,265 1,265
19.3
0 /2 0 /2 0 /2 + 0018 0018
0018
0018
16.0
Percentage Distribution
Smoker Nonsmoker
88.3 19.2
8.8
3.5
54.5 17.7
16.0
11.8 0.0
100
100
* Less than 0.05
Unknown
60.0 20.0 10.0
5.0 5.0
100
644
Percentage Distribution
Smoker
30.1
42.1 15.4
9.3
2.4
0.7
100
Nonsmoker
29.8 33.7
15.7 13.1
5.9 1.8
100
Unknown
50.0 20.0 10.0 20.0
0.0 0.0
100
l'ol 17 June 1958
F INDUSTRIAL
HEALTH
FLUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
Lung Cancer Death for 7s and Nonsmokers
=
nd Habits Number of Lung
Smoking
Cancer
Cancer
Drau
Persons
No. of Deaths
Proved
Total
FT TABLE
; ,
ee
15 NumNb umberer and PercentaPgercentagee Distribution of Smokers and Nonsmokers by
Exposure Category
Supistare Supistare
Number
Smokers
Nonsmokers
Unknown
1.553 474
Bloove
1.691
452
Bloove
1.425
38
Bloove
t
1
Bloove
Totals 4,673
1,265
Bloove
Average
category Average exposure
2.0
1.9
2.3
Demography in the Provincial Ministry of
Health The data on total deaths deaths
from all forms of cancer and deaths from
cancer of the lung were obtained by sex and by county for the years 1950 through 1955. In addition all death certificates
which specified primary cancer of the lung and all those which indicated lung cancer but did not specify the origin were examined for the years 1952 through 1955
Percentage Distribution
Table 16 gives a tabulation of the number
Exposure
[ . II
.
Unknown
Smokers
33.2
36.2
30.5 @2
Nonsmokers Unknown
37.5
35.7 26.5
at
20.0 35,0 45.0
0.0
of deaths from lung cancer in the Province and in the cohort for the years 1950 through 1955 and shows the annual rate per 100,000
in these segments It will be noted from the
Totals
100
100
100
table that the mortality rate for the
ave included a larger s^'
g men Consequently ad3 14 and 15 were con- Si
he distribution of smokers
age length of employ- 3: of exposure Although
cerned the smokers had worked about 2.3
years less on the average than the non-
smokers With longer exposure and greater age one would expect the nonsmoking group to show a higher rate if lung cancer
were due to asbestos Table 15 shows that
proved cases in the cohort is only slightly higher than the rate for the Province When the suspected cases are included in
the calculation the rate for the cohort rises to 33.8 per 100,000 which is about 50 higher than the rate for the Province This it will be recalled from the previous dis-
ct that all observed cases *
re in smokers In respect
) the combined average
was 4.9 years less than
okers Table 14 shows
~of employment is con- ~
the average exposure category was almost
the same for the two groups Therefore
a this variable seems to be of no importance P in accounting for this difference
cussion of the effect of the suspected cases on the results approaches but does not exceed the significant level
One further interesting observation from
The result of this additional analysis is
that none of these factors appears to lessen
' Table 16 is the rather marked increase in the total number of cases for the Province
the effect of Table 12
between 1950 and 1955. It is assumed that
and Percentage Distribution Vonsmokers by Length mployment
vanaber
avs) Nonsmokers
377 %
=
426
2 426 168
@
12628
im
1,265
o
19.3
Unknown
10
*** 0
*
18
16.0
Distribution
ker = Nonsmoker
t
20.8
15.7
4
13.1
&
:
1.8
a
%
100
Unknown
30.0
10.0
20.0 0.0 0.0
100
Comparison of the Cohort Experience
with that of the Province of Quebec Do-
minion of Canada and the United States.
In order to make a comparison of the
experience among asbestos miners with that
of the general population of the Province of
statistics
statistics
Quebec statistics were gathered as stated
in
Division
Division
earlier in the office of the Division of
at least part of this increase is due to im-
proved recognition and reporting of lung cancer during the interval For this reason
the years 1954 and 1955 were thought to be
more nearly representative of actual condi-
tions Even so it is
population
is
general population is
with
cancer with the same
quite likely that the
studied
not studied for lung
diligence
with
which
diligence with which
Table Comparison of Cohort with Province of Quebec
Annual Lung Cancer Deaths
Number
Number 1960
1951
1962 1953
1954
Rate per
1955
Total
100,000
Province Province
Cobort Total
1,198,000
196
230
246
303
303
357 1,624
ms
5.923
002 NIJ
\
NIJ
NW
I
3
12
83.8
NW
i
3
9
25.3
1,192.000 193
218
002
300
302
354
1,612
ms
excluding asbestos
workers
figures
been ampumed all male lung
Approximata Approximata midpoint midpoint of the population for mographie
enumerated
Number alive in cobort at beginninogf 1952
cancer deaths are for men of 20+ years
1961 and the estimated population for 1964 Rapport Div de la De
Pol 17 June 1958
Truan
645
Age Group
M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL Table Lung Cancer Deaths for the Province of Quebec *
HEALTH
Number of Deaths
SSS
1954
Estimated
Population
Total Certifled
Total Proved
137,000
-
568318
818885
121.000
568318
818885
1,237,000
568318
818885
Specified Primary
Total
11
31888 31888 31888
Proved
31888
1955
Total Certified
Total
17
630
117 148
342
Proved
%
35
5?
wa
155
Specified Primary
Total
Proved
17
9
56
32
116
148
337
Death Rates per 100,000
Age Group
Total Certified
Total Proved
Specified Primary
Total Proved
2.2 33.2
73.0
01.7
1.7
1.7
27.3
27.3
02
1.4 21.3 50.4 58.2
12 14.4 23.4 24.0
23.8
97
15.4
8.0
'* Data from death certificates
In
REasptpiomarttefD or pi opoppuluatilonv atipopuolatinon
obtained
Demographie
apaplpyipnglying
1951
percentages
ffoor
age
groups
for
Total Certified
Total
2.2
29.7
85.4
122.3 27.6
Proved
1.2 17.3 41.6 14.6
12.5
Specified Primary
Total
2.2 27.7 84.7
122.3
Proved
1.2 15.8 41.6 14.6
27.2
123
males to the total populaftori1o9n54, as given
this disease is looked for in the miners and it seems probable that the mortality rates
for the Province may be low This would
appear to be substantiated by the fact that
the reporting of cases in the cohort showed
no such increase over the same period Table 17 was compiled to show the an-
nual specific lung cancer rate of cases in which the death certificate merely read
cancer of the lung as distinguished from those in which the diagnosis was confirmed by autopsy surgery or biopsy The term specified primary refers to those cases in
these two categories in which the tumor was
specified as having originated in the lung
It will be noted that of the total cases
reported in 1955 a much higher percentage than in 1954 were specified as primary The table also shows that a higher percentage
of the total cases certified in 1955 were
proved again indicating increasing interest
in this disease
A comparison has been made between
the specific rates shown in Table 17
and those for the cohort shown in Table 8
An average of the 1954 and 1955 rates for the Province has been used since the 1955
This comparison summarized in Table
18 shows that the observed number of
deaths in our sample is not significantly
greater than the expected number of deaths based on the average of the 1954 and 1955 figures for the Province It is true that in
the case of the age group of 65 and over
the five deaths provide a figure which is almost significant at the 95 level How-
ever it should be noted that this number
includes one of the suspected but unproved cases previously referred to Furthermore it is rather likely that the rate for the
general population is understated in this
age group for the obvious reason that the
exact cause of death in the very old is not
TABLE Comparison of the Actual and Expected Number of Lung Cancer Deaths by Age Among
Asbestos Miners
Group
Province
Total Specified Primary Rate
per 100,000
45-5
1.8
45-5
24.5
56-64
67.8
65+
89.8
Unknown
--
No. Miners
Observed No.
ExN peo ct.ed of Deaths
Deaths
Proved Total
3,901 1,124
815
315
3
0222
I
0222
1
0222
3
14
-
fy)
. 8355 8355 8355 8355 -
figure was higher and may have been ex-
ceptional
of * The expected number based on the average the 1954 and
fos the 1965 specific rates
Province of Quebec
-
Actually 0.4
Mange
646
Vol 17 June 1958
Bre
INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
Quebec
SSN SEEEETEy
1955
Certified
Proved
>
3366331122
36312
36312
Specified Primary
Total Proved
17
17 # 116
4319
148
4319
337
4319 .
*
1955
Certified
Proved
Specified Primary
Total
Proved
12
17.3 27.7 41.6
84.7
1.7
14.6
122.3
41.6
123
Fa
Pry
n summarized in Table
|
he observed number of
mple is not significantly
spected number of deaths ge of the 1954 and 1955 |
ovince It is true that in
e group of 65 and over rovide a figure which is at the 95 level How-
noted that this number
^ suspected but unproved ferred to Furthermore
that the rate for the
is understated in this
obvious reason that the
h in the very old is not
Cancer rison of the Actual andand
ber of Lung
by Age Among
stos Miners
Observed No. No.
Expected No. of
Expected Deaths Miners
Deaths
Proved Total
3,901
1,124 615 315 3
Ot
-
2
3
"1
2.544
z
0
>
Quebec based on the average
Province of
orese
Vol 17 June 1958
CANCER CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
LUNG LUNG
Age Distribution of Adult Males for TABLE the Province of Quebec 1951
Table Annual Death Rates per 100,000 for
Cancer of the Lung in
Canada
_
Groups of Years
Limip Age
Total
Province
Number
Percentage
727,135
322218
188,962
322218
128.944
322218
133,487
322218
322218
1,158,498
322218
Percentage in Cobort
822-18
822-18 822-18
822-18
822-18
Trap
* Rapport 1984
intensity
a matter matter ofof thethe ssaammee intensity ofof iintnertesetrest
as it is in younger persons
Table 18 also answers a question pre-
Age Group
Under 30
30-34 35-30 40-44
30-64
P70o-7n4
8800--8844
All Ages
1931-1933
0,2 0.9
2.0 3.0
B
12
15.1
10.7
15.B
11.4
2.8
1941-1943
0.3
0.9 3.2 5.4
1188..99
34.5
30.6
27.9
14.3
7.1
1950-1952
1.0 0.8 3.0
8.5
37.2
59.7
102.0
86.3
83.9
71.0 15.8
* Mortality from Lung Cancer in Canada 1931 to 1962
viously raised It shows that the members of the cohort have not died from lung can-
cer at an age earlier than the general population and that such an explanation cannot
be offered for the absence of lung cancer in 240 men with more than 40 years of
increase is particularly marked after age
50 confirming an observation previously made to the effect that until recently lung
cancer has probably been underdiagnosed in the older age groups in the general popu-
|
employment referred to on page 643
Before leaving this comparison of the
Province with the miners it should be
shown that their age distributions are rea-
sonably the same That this is the case can be observed from Table 19
It should be remembered that the miners
retire and consequently it can be expected
that the oldest age group will be larger in
lation
To use these figures for purposes of comparison it is necessary to combine the
rates for certain age groups in order to conform to the age distributions used in this
study Since the exact populations in each
age group for the years indicated is not
known this must be an approximation
However the rates would be somewhat as
the general population The data presented
in Table 20 indicate that the lung cancer
rate generally decreases after age 70. Therefore we could expect the rate for all people
over 65 to be smaller than the rate for the
group between 65 and 75 which would apply
to the oldest group of miners It is felt
that by using the whole adult male population we have developed rates for the gen-
eral population which are somewhat lower
than if we had been able to exclude the
people in the general population over 75 A comparison between the asbestos miners
and the population of the Dominion as a whole was made using statistical material
from several sources In one source Phil-
79
lips gave
Canada for 1952. The
age- and specific three periods between
rates for males are
rates for 1931 and
given in
Table 20
These figures show strikingly the increase in rates between 1931 and 1952 and this
follows:
Age Group
20-44
45-54 55-64 65+
Rate
27 69 90-95
These rates are in general lower than those developed for the total proved and suspected cases of lung cancer among the
asbestos miners The only large difference
however is in the age group of 65 years and
over and it is quite possible that the rate
for this group may have increased for Canada between 1952 and 1954 as it did
for the Province of Quebec Table 17 A further comparison has been made with
an over rate obtained from the American
Cancer Society for respiratory cancer deaths
in Canada in 1953. This rate for males
is 20.8 per 100,000 or 5 more per 100,000 than Phillips 1950-1952 rate and compares with 25.3 per 100,000 for proved cases and 33.8 per 100,000 for total cases among the
647
Braun
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
TABLE Number of Deaths and Death Rates
per 100,000 by Age Groups for the Adult
Male Population of the United States*
Age Group
20-44 55-64 55-64 85+
Total
Population
24,544,000 8,085,000 6,340,000 5,670,000
44,619,000
Cases
883 2,979 6.254 6.483
16,399
Rate per 100,000
3.0 36.9 98.6 114.3
37.3
Data from Vital Statistics of the United States Vol 1
and Data 1952
asbestos miners in this study It is therefore obvious that there are no important
differences between the rates for asbestos
miners and those for the general population of Quebec and the Dominion of Canada
Since it is probable that figures for the United States are more complete and therefore possibly more comparable to the data for the miners specific rates were computed from Vital Statistics of the United States Volumes I and II for 1952. These
rates have been tabulated in Table 21
It is apparent that these rates compare
favorably with those for the asbestos miners
as shown in Table 8. Still other rates for
the United States were obtained from the
American Cancer Society and for males these were 25.3 per 100,000 in 1953 and
28.0 per 100,000 in 1955. They are not
identical with the rate calculated from the
figures of the office of Vital Statistics but
this is possibly because the American Can-
cer Society rates are for males of all ages
Nevertheless they too compare favorably
with the rates of 25 or 34 for total cases
obtaining among the asbestos miners
Turning for a moment to a comparison
between the asbestos miners and persons
who are exposed to asbestos in one form
or another as distinguished from the gen-
eral population groups just discused who
have no exposure an interesting observa-
tion can be developed by deduction Hue-
58
per
has
stated
that
there
are
about
35,000
persons exposed in the United States and
we have found that the Canadian mines
employ about 8000. Elsewhere it has been
estimated that the workers in England who
have exposure total between 3000 and 5000
With workers in Africa Denmark Nor-
way and other countries at least 50,000
persons must be exposed throughout the world and it can be assumed that this
number has been fairly constant in the 20
years since 1935 when the first case of
asbestosis with lung cancer was reported At least 1,000,000 years of exposure has thus been accumulated and this figure can be divided by the approximately
150 cases of lung cancer with asbestosis
re- during the year period This
ported gives a rate of 15 per 100,000 whichis at
least indicative that any lung cancer rate which can be calculated for workers ex-
| posed to asbestos dust is not much greater
than that for the unexposed population
Comparison Between Eight Counties Ad-
jacent to the Producing Areas and
lung Eight Selected Counties compare
cancer mortality rates in the counties sur-
with asbestos producing rounding the
areas |
another
of counties in which no as-|
group rates bestos miners are likely to reside the
were computed on the basis of figures for |
~ the years 1950 through 1955. The eight
counties selected for comparison were Ar-~
genteuil Chateaugay Montmagny Port-
neuf Richlieu Riviere St.
Hyacinthe and Terrebonne mainly because
they represent a wide geographic distribu-
tion throughout the Province The counties
selected because of their proximity to the asbestos mines include Arthabaska Beauce
Rich- Drummond Frontenac Megantic
mond Sherbrooke and Wolfe Table22
shows the number of lung cancer deaths for the years 1950 through 1955 for each
of these counties and a mortality rate based on the adult male population in 1952
To emphasize the comparison Megantic
County has been shown separately as has
the Province of Quebec and also the Prov-
ince with the eight producing
counties subtracted Because of its unique
lung cancer death rate Montreal et Isle de Jesus has also been listed in order to provide further comparison
It is apparent from the table that the
lung cancer death rate for the eight counties
Megan Eight Eight Provir Provit
ad~fl Montr
It
R1111
duci of Wh twi
cou
Pro
rat WOI ver
19 in
un
oth ex
WC
C01
the tie
in-
liv
C
P
P t
A
Vol 17 June 1958
He,
F INDUSTRIAL HEALTH HEALTH
countries at least 50,000 e exposed throughout the
an be assumed that this
1 fairly constant in the 20
5 when the first case of
ung cancer was 10 years of
reported exposure
cumulated and this figure
by the approximately 150
ancer with asbestosis re-
This 's he year period
5 per 100,000 which is at
hat any lung cancer rate
alculated for workers ex-.
. dust is not much greater ^ unexposed population -
tween Eight Counties Ad-
Producing Areas and
unties compare lung ~
rates in the counties sur- 3
producing areas with ,
counties in which no as-
likely to reside the rates
In the basis of figures for *
through 1955. The eight
for comparison were Ar-;5.
gay Montmagny Port- .
Riviere St.-* /
errebonne mainly because
wide
geographic
*
distribu-
he Province The counties
of their proximity to the lude Arthabaska Beauce
ntenac Megantic Rich-
2. and Wolfe Table 22
r of lung cancer deaths 0 through 1955 for each 3. and a mortality rate t male population in 1952
le comparison Megantic shown separately as has Quebec and also the Prov-
ght producing d Because of its unique
rate Montreal et Isle de
1 listed in order to provide
n
from the table that the
rate for the eight counties
Vol 17 June 1958
LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS TABLE Number of Lung Cancer Deaths and Rate per 100,000 Years
Counties
M. antic County Right Adjacent Counties Eight Selected Counties Province of Quebec
Province of Quebec less eight adjacent counties
Montreal et sio de Jesus
Adult Male
Population
1952
1950
1951
13.100
3
}
97.600
6
3
83.000
2
10
1.198,000
198
220
1.300,000
190
217
394.000
3
7
Male Lung Cancer Deaths
1952
is
A 243
236 158
1953
3 16 18
303
287
192
1954
1 + 3
303
299
185
1955
4 16
9 337
341 225
Total
13 # 19 1624
1370
770
It is assumed that all male lung cancer deaths occurred after age W.
Rate per 100,000 100,000
18.9 9.4 9.
23.5
23.8 32.3
immediately surrounding the asbestos ducing areas is practically identical with that of eight counties selected for comparison While Megantic County has a rate nearly twice that of the combined eight selected
counties it is lower than the rate for the Province and considerably lower than the rate for Montreal The figure for Montreal would certainly be higher except for the
very low numbers of deaths reported for 1950 and 1951 and it would appear that in those years some error in reporting has undoubtedly been made On the basis of the other years 1950 and 1951 deaths would be expected to be about 200 greater This would result in a rate of 40 per 100,000
suggestive of cancer of the lung and in-
cluded such diagnoses as mediastinal lymphosarcoma mesothelioma cancer of the leg with metastases to lung abscess of lung
and cancer of the pancreas One other was
diagnosed on the basis of ray only In addition there are now living four cases in
which the diagnostic evidence is strongly suggestive of lung cancer This is a total of 33 cases of all types including 10 sus-
pected but unproved cases and 4 that are still living The remaining 19 constitute the total of proved cases of cancer of the lung
among the asbestos miners since 1940
The proved cases averaged 59 years of
age at death and varied between 37 years
The only possible conclusion from this comparison is that there is no evidence that
the persons who live and work in the coun-
ties surrounding and adjacent to the as-
and 68 years Their working span covered periods varying from a minimum of 14 years to a maximum of 37 years Only
three men had less than 25 years of em-
producing areas have any greater incidence of lung cancer than those who
ployment in the industry Seven among
those on whom such information is avail-
live elsewhere in the Province
able had a weighted exposure placing them
Comment on All Recorded Lung Cancer Cases Living and Dead among the Asbes-
in Category III and six worked in an exposure represented by Category I.
tos Although a simple enumeration of all the known or suspected cases of
cancer of the lung in these areas has no
particular value from a statistical point of
view it is of interest to summarize such cases for the record There were nine deaths
prior to the beginning of the time period covered by the study including one in which the diagnosis was mediastinal lymphosarcoma During the period covered by this
There were only 17 among these proved lung cancer cases in which we have information regarding the presence of as-
bestosis Asbestosis was present in nine
although it was minimal in two Two pathologists disagreed regarding its presence in another At least seven of the 19 proved
lung cancers therefore were not accom-
panied by asbestosis
investigation there were nine proved cases and three suspected cases in the cohort Through 1956 and to date in 1957 there were eight deaths six of which were merely
Summary and Conclusions
Interest in the question of whether there may be an association between lung cancer
649
Braun
eo
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
and exposure to asbestos has been evident
since the report in 1935 by Lynch and Smith of a case in which lung cancer and asbes-
tosis were both present As additional cases in which the two diseases coexisted were
reported a causal association appears to have been gradually accepted by many authors although some workers considered
the correlation to be inconclusive The pres-
ent study was undertaken in an effort to de-
termine whether a causal relationship did in fact exist between exposure to asbestos
and cancer of the lung
Since most earlier studies
had
been
limited to enumerating the lung cancers found in certain selected samples such as
cases coming to autopsy or death certificates
in which asbestosis was mentioned it was
apparent that they could not fulfill the re-
quirements of an epidemiological and statistical approach to the problem The present study was therefore designed to meet the requirements of this method
After a preliminary survey to explore the availability of reliable information data
were gathered on workers in the asbestos
mines in Quebec based on their medical
records A cohort was defined as a group
ofasbestos miners having at least five years
of exposure and who were in the industry
in 1950. Data relative to their characteristics
were collected and their status at the end
of a year period of observation was de-
termined In the case of those who had
died an exhaustive search of death certif-
icates and insurance records was carried out
in order to determine as nearly as possible the exact cause of death Mortality rates from lung cancer for the general population of the Province of Quebec and its various
counties and for the Dominion of Canada as well as the United States were calculated from statistics collected in the appropriate
places Comparisons of the rates obtained
for asbestos workers and for the other popu-
lation groups were made according to ac-
cepted statistical methods
Records were obtained on 6091 persons who fulfilled the criteria of the cohort It
650
was not possible to trace 133 of these for
remaining the whole period but 5771 of the
5958 were found to be still living in 1955 or later Of the 187 known dead cancer of the lung was considered to have been reasonably proved in 9 and to be strongly suggested in 3
The members of the cohort were studied
| with respect to age length of employment |
a weighted average of their exposure and
their smoking habits
*
It was found that
4673 were smokers within the definition of
that term as used in this study Thirty
per cent of the cohort were more than 45
years of age and thirty per cent had been
employed for longer than 20 years Thirty
per cent had a weighted exposure which placed them in the category of highest ex- .
posure
The mortality rate for lung cancer as -
computed on the basis of nine proved .
deaths among the cohort was 25.3 per 100 =
000. When the three suspected cases were
added the total rate for the cohort rose *
to 33.8 The importance of the
as
suspected + but unproved cases in
these
determining rates has been reiterated because it is likely *
that such cases would not be included in -
the statistics for the general population and
because they influence the results so mark-
edly
According to the findings in this study the mortality rate from lung cancer does not appear to increase with length of exposure or with degree of exposure a fact which presents strong evidence against the carcinogenicity of asbestos
Comparison of the experience among the
asbestos miners with that of various seg-
ments of the unexposed comparabie popu-
lation shows that the observed number of
deaths among the miners is not significantly greater than the expected number The rate for proved cases among the asbestos miners 25.3 per 100,000 compares well with the rate of 22.5 per 100,000 for the rest of the Province and 20.8 per 100,000 for adult males throughout the Dominion of Canada It also compares satisfactorily with rates
'
Vol 17 June 1958
OF INDUSTRIAI HEALTH HEALTH LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
these e to trace 133 of
1. but 5771 of the remainingremaining ad to be still living living in 1953 je 187 known dead
been is considered to have
ed in 9 and to be
strongly
of the cohort were studied studied
age length of employment
age of their exposure
:
F of 37.2 25.3 and 28.0 obtained from various F sources for adult males in the United States Finally in this matter of comparison it : would appear that the world experience
of persons exposed to asbestos dust is not worse with respect to lung cancer than that
of the unexposed population The counties surrounding the asbestos-
producing areas in which it is presumed
most of the asbestos miners live have al-
within
ers within the definition of ::
than I in this study Thirty
cohort were more
45
d thirty per cent had been
nger than 20 years Thirty
which weighted exposure
x
he category of highest ex- .;
QmEost identical mortality rates with those of eight counties widely scattered through the
Province and are lower than those for the remainder of the Province and much lower than the rate for Montreal
Since 1940 there have been 19 cases in
which the diagnosis of primary cancer of the lung may be considered to have been
rate for lung cancer as =
: basis of nine proved
*: 100 : cohort was 25.3 per _
ree suspected cases were rate for the cohort rose
portance of the suspectedses in determining thes<e5
terated because it is likely
vould not be included in he general population and
ence the results so mark- -
proved Approximately half of these cases
were associated with asbestosis All but one
died in the recognized cancer and at least third had only the lightest exposure Category ) to asbestos dust
On the basis of what are believed to be
complete and reliable data it seems fair to
conclude that the asbestos miners in the
Province of Quebec do not have a significantly higher death rate from lung cancer than do comparable segments of the general
population
Furthermore the death rate from lung
e findings in this study from lung cancer does
rease with length of ex-
gree of exposure a fact
ong evidence against the
asbestos
he experience among the
ith that of various seg-
posed comparable poputhe observed number of
cancer in the areas contiguous to the asbestos operations is comparable to that in areas widely scattered throughout the Province of Quebec and is lower than in some urban-
ized areas within the Province
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88. Wegelius .: Changes in the Lungs in 126 Cases of Asbestosis Observed in Finland Acta
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89. Werber M Pulmonary Asbestosis Associated with Carcinoma Zentralbl Arbeitsmed u Arbeitsschutz 179-180 Nov. 1952
90. Wood W. B. and Gloyne S. .: Pulmonary Asbestosis Complicated by Pulmonary Tuberculosis Lancet 954-956 Oct. 31 1931
91. Wyers H Asbestosis Postgrad Med 25 631-638 Dec. 1949
92. Wynder E. L. and Graham E. .: Etiologic Factors in Bronchiogenic Carcinoma with Special Reference to Industrial Exposures Report of 857 Proved Cases A. M. Arch Indust Hyg 221-235 Sept. 1951
653
VOLUME 17 JUNE 1958 NUMBER 6
INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
INDEX NUMBER
Covel Covel
Mutual Goals of Public Health and
Occupational Medicine L. E. Burney
New Techniques in Teaching Occupational
Medicine
Jean Spencer Felton
Significance of the 1956 Social Security
Amendments to the Insurance Business
Practical Psychiatry in Industry
R. H. Felix
~ Practical Application of Psychiatric
Techniques in Industry Ralph T. Collins
Potassium Alloy . Asher J. Finkel and Willard B. Lyons
John H. Miller
The Reconciliation of Pensions and Social
Security Disability Insurance Robert E. Royes
Occupational Medicine and Modern
;
Drugs
Albert H. Holland Jr.
v An Epidemiological StudyStudy of LungLung Cancer in
Asbestos Miners Daniel C. Braun and T. David Truan
/ Collection of Integrated Samples of Gaseous
Effluents Richard S. Brief and
Philip A. Drinker
. Practical Significance to Industry of Recent Developments in Tuberculosis Management
Edward T. Blomquist
Industrial Health in the Atomic Energy Industry
James H. Sterner
Executive Health Examinations
Robert Clyne
Tellurium Oxide Marvin L. Amdur
Practical Aspects of a Hearing Conservation Program
Lloyd B. Shone
News and Comment Books
AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION PUBLICATION