Document jm8KN6LmE4B54JNad0rb5ypDN
FILE NAME Brakes BRK
DATE 1983
DOC BRK114
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Journal Article - Mesothelioma in Connecticut
1955-1977 Same as 82
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EXHIBIT Zo
Betty Browning
Mesothelioma in Connecticut
1955-1977
Occupational and Geographic Associations
Mary Jane Teta M.P.H Hilton C. Lewinsohn M.B. B.Ch J. Wister Meigs M.D Romeo A. Vidone M.D Linda Z. Mowad R.N and John T. Flannery B.A.
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All cases of malignant mesothelloma 201 and other primary malignant pleural tumors 19 reported to the Connecticut Tumor Registry from 1955 through 1977 were
studied in an attempt to identify high jobs Industries and geographic locations and to estimate the risk attributable to asbestos exposure in the workplace Data were obtained from hospital records death certificates and city directories for cases case spouses and a random sample
604 of Connecticut decedents 1955-1975 Three cases
involved histories of work in asbestos products manufac ture but there was no evidence of residential risk in that geographic area Relative risk RR for carpenters and cabinetmakers was 2.25 p < .05 for plumbers and pipefitters 3.87 p < .05 and for persons ever employed in the rubber industry 5.08 p < .01 Occupational exposure was indicated in 85 of the cases attributable risk AR was 36 Risk increased with greater exposure and older age AR was 81 in men aged 70 to 89 years at diagnosis Reduction of unnecessary occupational asbestos exposure remains the highest public health priority
In 1980 Lewinsohn et all described mesothelioma in
Connecticut from 1935 through 1977. Problems of diagnosis and ascertainment made results for the years prior to
From the Yale School of Epidemiology and Public Health New Haven Conn Ms. Teta Associate in Research Connecticut Cancer Epidemiology Unit Dr. Meigs Clinical Professor of Epidemiology and Public Health and Ms. Mawad Associate in Research the Union Carbide Corporation Danbury Conn Dr. Lewinsohn Assistant Corporate Medical Director the Yale University School of Medicine Dr. Vidonc Associate Clinical Professor of Pathology and the Connecticut Tumor Registry Connecticut State Department of Health Services Hartford Mr. Flannery Director Ms. Teta is now affiliated with Union Carbide Corporation Danbury Conn
Address correspondence to Union Carbide Corporation Health Safety and Environmental Affairs Dept. P2 1 Ridgebury Rd Danbury CT 06817 Ms. Teta
This investigation was supported by grants 33235 and 61002 awarded by the National Cancer Institute US Department of Health and Human Services and by the Institute of Occupational Medicine and Hygiene Yale University School of
Medicine
1955 of uncertain value From 1955 through 1977 the adjusted rates among males rose from about 0.19 to 100,000 and among females from 0.13 to 0.19 100,000
Bruckman et al claimed in 1977 that increases in the discase are due to the increase in the cumulative asbestos
consumption and that emissions into the environment e.g. building construction demolition automobile brake linings are somehow involved as causative factors The substantial rise however in the female ratio is more consistent with occupational exposures of men at work Bruckman et al were unable to provide complete occupational histories for the 133 diagnosed cases of mesothelioma 1935-1972 drawn from the Connecticut Tumor Registry CTR on which their report was based Despite this limitation the Air Compliance Unit of the Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection has proposed an ambient air standard of 30 m measured over a day interval This proposal was based on estimated asbestos
concentrations at several selected sites in Connecticut
Mesothelioma is a rare disease with approximately 2.2 cases per million population expected annually The proportion of cases not associated with some form of asbestos exposure has been reported to be near .5-7 This disease may serve as a marker for unsuspected past asbestos exposure The present study was designed primarily to examine the job categories and industry titles of identified cases of malignant mesothelioma recorded in the CTR in an attempt to 1 identify job categories industries specific employers and Connecticut geographic
locations that are associated with an excess risk for mesothelioma and that may also be associated with asbestos
usage and 2 determine the proportion of cases involving possible exposure to asbestos in the workplace
The health implications of the proposed ambient air standard make it desirable to estimate the kinds and num bers of cases that may be due to occupational asbestos exposure other as yet undetermined risk factors or possible asbestos exposure from the general environment
There remain numerous unanswered questions concerning the existence of a threshold and the nature of the as-
Journal of Occupational Medicine 25 No. October 1983
749
|
mesothelioma response relationship.6.9 The all allowed us to approach these problems
syoesty In lieu of dust measurements job and industry es ascertained for study subjects for periods up to 50
veuts were used as indicators of exposure
Methodology
sss mesothelioma has often been confused with other
ma grant tumors an anatornic pathology review of all reported
case reported to the CTR between 1955 and 1977 was
wrasiinen, aves 7 cal
ser vw
Histologic materia along with gross autopsy reports was submitted to one of us R.A.V. No personal identifiers or occupational data
we oude Although the final results of this review will
be 7eD she separately specific findings will be discussed
" context of the present report
The CTR registered 196 cases of primary malignant om during the years 1955 to 1977 inclusive
W the exception of the Veterans Administration VA soso ibs in Connecticut it is mandatory for hospitals to
cone agnosed malignant neoplasms to the central
meg A review of all autopsy records from the larger of
the two VA nospitals in the state from 1955 through 1977 \ ese ese five additional cases of mesothelioma bringing the
tota tota number to 201. This included 137 cases with site
nore 29 with site peritoneum and 35 of other or unKnown sites Concerns about diagnostic sensitivity promptthe inclusion of 19 cases reported as pleural tumors other than mesothelioma during the same year period
These contems were justified by the slide review tha genated genated several cases of mesothelioma in this group The
teta case study population size was 220 Table )
Medical demographic and occupational data have been
cted for these 220 cases Similar information was
gathered by Roush et al10 for a computer ran-
ger mple of 604 decedents 1955-1975 aged 20 to 98
Table 1 - Sex Age and Diagnostic Classification of 201 Cases of Malignant Mesothelioma and 19 Other Pleural Tumors Diagnosed
in Connecticut 1955-1977
Diagnosis
Pleursi
mesothelioma
Pleural tumor other than mesothelioma
Peroneal Peroneal mesothelioma
Mesothelioma at other sites and 20 unknown sites
Males
Females Total
100 11
37
137
.
B
19
18 11
29
21
14
35
Mean Aget
63 63
59 54
Tatn
150
70
220
61
World Health Organization 1976 as originally recorded by
073
A diagnosis
750
years who provided a control group These controls were
drawn without stratification of any kind from the death
certificate files of the Division of Health Statistics of the
Connecticut State Department of Health Services CSDHS
Death certificates DCs provided demographic data and
usual occupation
directories CDs
ment histories 1 date of diagnosis
for study subjects at time of death City were searched for residential and employ-
10 20 25 30 40 and 50 years prior to
or death provided that the subject was at
least 20 years old at the time The Price and Lee City Directories which are available for about two thirds of
Connecticut towns from 1890 to 1980 have a target
population of 92 of the adult males in the state A similar
occupational history and cancer search was conducted for
all spouses n = 193 of the 220 cases to explore the possi bilities for domestic exposure that may have originated in
the workplace
The three 1970 U.S. Census industrial and occupational codes were assigned to the employment informa-
tion ascertained Industrial coding was determined on the basis of product descriptions for each employer which were
found in the manufacturing directories of Connecticut
published by the State Department of Labor and in the
Price and Lee directories for nonmanufacturing industries The study population for occupational analysis was re-
stricted to males over 30 years of age at death or diagnosis
large proportion of females 46 cases 31 controls
had no known work history Although nonoccupational
etiologies may be a possibility the absence of reliable
occupational data for females prevented a formal analysis of their occupational asbestos exposure Since all cases were
born after 1874 controls born prior to 1875 were ex-
cluded There remained 611 male subjects for the occupational analysis 136 mesothelioma cases 11 cases ofpleural
tumors other than mesothelioma and 464 controls The
control ratio was approximately 3 Seven cases
included in the analysis were those of individuals who were
alive at the time of the data collection period 1978
Study subjects were first compared on the basis of
whether they had ever worked in selected jobs orindus-
tries with known potential for occupational asbestos ex-
posure or for which there were sufficient numbers to be
informative Formal statistical comparisons were made for
seven job categories engineers brickmasons and stone-
masons cabinetmakers and carpenters electricians fore-
men painters construction and maintenance workers and plumbers and pipefitters and for eight industry categories construction miscellaneous nonmetallic mineral
and stone products electrical machinery equipment and
supplies aircraft and parts ship and boat building yarn
thread and fabric mills rubber product and automobile
repair and related service The Haenszel odds
ratio was used to estimate relative risk RR
To increase statistical power and provide a more direct
measure of causation efforts were made to classify study
asbes- stubjects in terms of the probability of occupational
tos exposure A subset of jobs and another subset of in-
dustries were selected for which exposure to asbestos was
considered either possible or likely Tables 2 and 3
These subsets were developed by one of us H.C.L. with-
out reference to information about disease status Compari-
sons of control proportions with occupational asbestos
Mesothelioma in Connecticut et al
org
d
, ,
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ae
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Table 2 - Esumates of the Probability of Asbeads Exposares in Two Categories by
U.S. Census Code and Job Tile
U.S.
Cenzus
---- -----
Likely Job Title
Caligury
U.S. Census
Coda
Possibla Job Titl
-012
Electrical and electronic
engineer
013
Industrial angincor
013 0 Mechanical engineer
4
Boilermaker
+386 -522 -525 534 +601
0 Railroad and cor shop 0 Plumbers and pigslitters
Power 1131 on operator
=Replers and caters Asbestaansd insulation
workers
615 622
= Ory wall installers installers and Lather
Furnacemen smelter-
751
men and pourr Construction laborans
excluding carpenters
helper
006 011
= Arransutical and estronautical Engineer
Civil Anginair
022
Sales engineer
023 Engineer ...
058 140
= Personnel and labor relations workers
Teachers callige and university
142
Elementary school teachers
-151
Chemical techniciane
|
15Z
Gratumen
'
173
Technicians n.e.c.
;
190
Painters and sculptor
|
216
Managers and superintendents building
'
221
Officers pilats and pursers ship
H
adjusters
326
and
t
403 Blacksmiths Blacksmiths
|
410
Brickmasons and stanemasons
413
Cabinetmakers
415
Cerpenters
17 -130
Cranemen derrickmen hokimen Electricians
0433 136
Electric power lineman and cablemen
0 Excavating grading and read machine operators
*** bulldozer
441
442
146
Foramen noc
Forgemen and rammermen
Heat treaters annealers and temperers
454 355
461 471
Jub and die waters mets Locomotive anginaer
0 Machirusts
Machanics and repairmen aircraft
1473
Automobile mechanis
481
Heavy equipment mechanics including diezzi
182
Household appliance and accessory installers
and machanic
133
492
Loom fixers Miscellaneous mechanics and repairmen
495
specified mechanics and reagirmen
502 503
Millwrights
Molders metal
+510 514 533 535
=Painters construction and maintenance
Pattern and model makars excluding paser Rollers and finishers metal
Sheetmetal workers and tinsmiths
545 Stationary engineers
550 0 Structural moral craftsman
552
Telephons installers and repairman
61
Toal dia makers
610
= Chachar miners and inspector
manufacturing
11
Clothing araners and pressen
621 +623
641
Filers polishers sanders buffers Garage workers and pry station atiendan Mixing operatives
650 651 661
Drill prom operatives Grinding machine operatives Sailors and decanands
662
1670 1672 7673 7674 1680 1681 690 0631
Sawyer Cerding lacking and combing operates Spinners twistars and winders
Weevan
Textile operatives n'a Wolders and cutter
Winding mparative nac
= Machine operatives macallaneous specified
Miscellaneous operatives
695 10 752 -760
= Not specified o2eretroer
Motorman mine factory logging camp etc. Freight and material handlers
Langhoramen and stevedores
Hardressers and cosmetologists cosmetologists
An accupation identified in referenca sources as having potential for asbestos exposure of stivally described in conjunction with a casa in the literatura T Occupations in lax ile lectering that need further investigation to determine whethaf labest textiles were involved in distinct from coman wool or manmade liber
... 'not othenens a
exposure possible and likely were analyzed separately for each of three sources of information - job title industry title and job title and industry title For each of these
comparisons adjustment was made nonsimultaneously nonsimultaneously for
age 30 to 49 years 50 to 69 years 70 to 89 years year of
Table 3- 3- Estimate of the Probability of Asbestos Exposures in Two Categoria by U.S. Census Coda and Industry Tide
.
U.S.
Census
Ced >
_
Libily
Industry Title
Category
|
U.S. Consus
Code
Possible
Industry Tile
TT _
057
087 068 053 138
= Nonmetallic mining and quarrying
cept full
General building contractors
= General contractors except building = Special trade contractors
Miscelleneous nonmetallic minera
Ad stone products
139
14
|
18
Tegy Jurnancer el work falling are tinghing mills
Other primary iron and steel
industnes
Primary sluminum industries
149
Other ammary nonferrous industna
168 = Miscellaneous fabricated metal
products
177
Engines and turbines
199
Household appliances
207
Radio TV and communication
Quigment Quigment
208 = Electrical machinery equipment
and supplies 4.c
209
Not specified electrical machinery
Ccaia ment and cuaalics
227
Aircraft parts
228 Shipbuilding and bost building and
ragarring
229
Railroad locomotives and
ement
233
Scientific and controlling
instruments
258 6 77 529 539
Drone
Electric light and power
Water Epply Electrical goods - wholesale
0 Machinery equipment and supplies -
orel
558 568 553
= Petroleum product = whole 0 Paper and it products - wholesale
Lumber and construction mat- mat-
Whelagala
607 639
Lumber and building material retailing
Moter vehicle dealers
647 868
Tire carry and accemary dealers
=Houshold appliances TV and radio
ARE
757
Automobile repair and related sirvice
779 917
Launcaring Launcaring cleaning and other
garment service
Federal public administration administration
927 327
State public administration Locat public administration
127 Cement concrete aypsum and plaster
178 158 289
products
= Structural clay productt
Fabricated structural matal pronuc Beverage industries
, , M,iscellaneous textile mill pradurs JZ8 Pulp paper end paperboard mills 337 Paperboard conterners and ba 348 Plastics synthetes and raging
excluding fibers 379 Aubber products
407 417 019
Retroeds and railway express RVICE Trucking service Water transparation
427 56 609
Air transportation Alcoholic beverages whoisjala Department and mail order
establishments
627
Miscellaneous general marchandise
stores
548
Gunline service stations
649 =Miscellanous vehicle dealers
758 Electrical repair shops
759 Miscellaneous repair services
05 Elementary and secondary schools
858 867
= Colleges and unIVERSITIES
Educational seRVICES P.B.C.
868 Engineering and architectural
services
n t > not oerwise classified
birth 1870-1889 1890-1909 1910-1929 1930-1949 and geographic location The 1966 labor market area LMA divisions of Connecticut were utilized for the geographic risk analysis Particular attention was given to the LMAS surrounding Connecticut's five largest urban areas and two rapidly expanding previously rural regions
A scoring procedure was developed to provide an indicator of the duration and severity of occupational asbestosexposure for both cases and controls For each job title
in the likely category that could be documented from DCs CDs or both for an individual a score of 2 was as-
signed A job title from the possible group was given a
score of 1 and from the unlikely subset a score of 0
These values were summed across all available time periods for which employment information was available Individuals lacking any employment history which included those never employed and those for whom data were missing were excluded Each of the remaining study subjects was assigned a final single job index of exposure This
Journal of Occupational Medicine 25 No. October 1983
751
07/17/01 14:15 FAX 313 577 0706
SHIFFMAN LIBRARY
009/022
crude measure provided an ordered exposure variable
which was categorized into five levels Level O included a
job index of 0. level 1 included a job index of 1level 2 a
job index of 2 level 3 job indexes of 3 and 4 and level 4
job indexes greater than 4. Each study subject with a job
index of exposure was assigned to one of the five groups Although the medical records of some cases noted past
occupational asbestos exposure this information could not
be incorporated into the analysis since such data were lack-
ing for controls and has not been systematically collected
for cases over time
Haenszel standardized odds ratios were com-
puted comparing cases and controls across each of the four
levels of exposure to no exposure Finally the Coch
Haenszel Test of Partial Association was
applied to test the exposure relationship for trend while controlling for the potential confounding of age which was stratified into year intervals 30 to 49 years
50 to 69 years 70 to 89 years The 90+ stratum with t00
few numbers to be informative two cases seven controls was excluded from the response analysis These results are reported for an estimated exposure index based on job only The coding of industries into the broad categories of the U.S. Census does not discriminate satisfactorily among jobs with different exposures
Controls tended to be older at death with a mean age of
68 years as opposed to 64 for cases Table 4 They predominated in the earlier birth cohorts with 81 born prior to 1910. Since age and year of birth are likely to be related
to occupational asbestos exposure as well as to disease
status they were considered potential confounders and
controlled for in the analysis whenever sample size per-
mitted The confounding effect of these variables however
was not substantial The standardized odds ratios differed minimally from the crude and simultaneous adjustment
was not deemed necessary
The proportions of individuals with at least one job title from DCs CDs or both were comparable for cases and controls and virtually complete using all sources - 98 for cases 99 for controls Table 5 The percentages with 1-4 and 5-8 job titles were nearly identical CDs provided fewer
job and industry titles than DCs but more names of specific
employers One year prior to death or diagnosis less information was obtained for controls from CDs most likely
Table 4 - Demographic Characteristics of Cases and Controls
Mean year of death or diagnosis Mean age at death or diagnosis
Birth Cohort Distribution % 1870-1889 1870-1889 1870-1889
1890 - 1909
1910-1929 1910-1929 1910-1929 1930 - 1949
Cases
1969 64
8 56 33
3 100
Controls
1966 68
200020002000-
20 0100
Males older than 30 years at death or diagnosis born after
1874
752
attributable to the larger proportion of retirees in the latter
group For all other time periods the percentages of cases
and controls with a job or industry title were similar Using both CDs and DCs at least one industry title was available
for 89 of cases and 90 of controls
Results
We have described secular and time trends for mesothel
ioma in Connecticut from 1935 through 1977 in an earlier
report In the present control occupational risk analysis for the years 1955 through 1977 based on job title
alone the more than twofold risk for cabinetmakers and
carpenters and the nearly fourfold risk for plumbers and
pipefitters were significant p < .05 Table 6 Excess risk
was observed for engineers masons electricians foremen and painters but in none of these categories did it reach statistical significance at the .05 level It should be noted
that for the job- and industry analyses the study provided adequate power to detect only large associations for the less common categories of employment Fourteen of the 15 cases among the carpenters were diagnosed as pleural mesothelioma and the single case of periotoncal mesothelioma occurred in the only individual who had
worked in a boat yard All seven plumbers and pipefitters pipefitters
were registered at the CTR with pleural mesothelioma
and all death certificates reported them to be in this iob
category Although CD data were available for only four of these cases it was in perfect agreement with DC data and revealed first cmployment in this category to be at least 30 years before diagnosis for each
A parallel comparison of cases and controls using industry title alone revealed a significant association with the
rubber industry relative risk RR = 5.08 < .01 Table
7 which was particularly striking when limited to subjects 70 to 59 years of age at death or diagnosis RR = 16.97
P < .005 Three different employers were represented among the five individuals with pleural and one with peri-
toneal mcsothelioma who had worked at one time in the
rubber industry
:
The proportion of cases with possible or likely exposure to asbestos on the basis of job title was 67 for the entire state yielding an adjusted RR of 1.63
(op < .01 The attributable risk AR in the exposed group
was 39 There was little variation in risk across these geographic regions The study provided more than 90 power to detect relative risks of 2 or more at the .05 level for this
comparison
On the basis of industry title the overall proportion
considered to have been exposed was 66 with an RR of
1.36 p < .10 and an AR of 26 Power calculations for
this portion of the analysis yielded results similar to those described above Substantial interregional variation was observed in the percent exposed and in the risk for disease One large industrialized region LMA1 exhibited nearly a four risk p = .02 One employer in LMAI accounted for three times as many cases six as controls two with an unadjusted RR of 9.83 All the cases from
LMAS with the exception of one with industry un-
known had worked at one time in an industry judged to be associated with probable or possible exposure Histologic review of all malc cases from LMA1 an area in
which an asbestos plant is located and LMAS an area in
Mesothelioma in Connecticut et al
wh
tw ser
the
ava
crit
tor
adj vidi
mo
En Br Ca Ele Fo Pai Plu
14
latter
cases
Using
ilable
thel arlier nalytitle
and and
risk men each
oted
tudy
tions
teen d as oneal
had
Iters
ma
: job
of and
30
__
Table 5 - Completeness of Occupational Data for Cases and Controls From Death Certificates and City Directories
Source
% with Job Title
Cases
Controls
% With Industry Title
Cases
Controls
% With Employer Name
Cases
Controls
DC
927
96
CD
76
69
prior to Ox
46
26
10 yr prior to Ox-
53
42
20 yr prior to Ox
46
45
25 yr prior to Ox
41
39
30 yr prior to Dxt
30
35
40 yr prior to Dx
26
24
50 yr prior to Dx
10
18
DC and CD
98
99
1-4 job titles 5-8 job titles
71
72
27
27
73
69 45 43 39 36 30 19
89
.
85
59
41
67
71
53
23
47
17
40
45
28
45
40
29
39
34
27
36
31
25
23
19
15
14
3
8
94
NC
NC
bee
Lee
*
Uninformative titles such as retired student excluded When seven cases in living persons excluded from the denominator percentages become 96 76 62 I Cases less than 20 years of age at search year excluded from denominator $ NC indicates not calculated
Total number ofjobs for cases = 475 3.23 for controls = 1 412 control
which shipyards are located resulted in reclassification of two % and one 17 respectively as not mesothelioma or probably not mesothelioma There was no observable indication of diagnostic bias positives in these regions where knowledge of an exposure hazard was available in the medical community
Using exposure either through job or industry as a criterion the statewide proportion of cases with an indicator of occupational exposure was 85 yielding an ageadjusted RR of 1.57 p < .05 and an AR of 36
In an examination of a birth cohort effect all individuals except those born between 1930 and 1949 were more likely than controls to have been exposed to asbestos
on the basis of their job title The differences were statis tically significant RR = 2.16 p < .02 for the 1910-1929 cohort only The overall adjusted 1870-1889 18901909 1910-1929 1930-1949 RR was 1.69 p < .01
Utilizing the job exposure score as previously defined a monotonic increase in risk associated with higher levels of estimated asbestos exposure was suggested particularly for
the oldest age group Table 8 There was a slight increase
Table 7 - RR of Mesothelioma Associated With
Selected Industry Categories
95
Confidence
Table 6 - RR of Mesothelioma Associated With
Selected Job Categories
wo. 95
Industry Title
Construction
Miscellaneous nonmetallic
RA 1.21
Interval
N
.60 2.45
45
a Job Title
Confidence
AR
Interval
N
mineral and stone
products
1.64
.15 18.06
3
Electrical machinery
Engineers
2.72
.85 8.68
11
Brickmasons and stonemasons 2.152.15
.37 12.50
5
Cabinetmakers and carpenters
2.25T = 1.13 4.48
35
Fe
Electricians Foremen
1.29 1.57
.39 4.24
14
.84 2.94
50
Painters constructiaonnd
1.39
.52 3.71
20
maintenance
e Plumbers and pipefitters
3.87 1.38 10.82 13
N
indicates
the
number of male cases and controis older than
equipment and supplies
Aircraft and parts
Shipbuilding and boat building
Yarn thread and fabric mills
Rubber product
Automobile repair and related service
2.79 1.03
.86 6.67
20
.43 2.49
25
.
1.09
.35 3.42
16
.57
.17 1.92
20
5.08 16.11 10
.65
.08 5.53
6
* N indicates number of male cases and controls older than 30
mie
30 years at death or diagnosis born after 1874 who evar
neuen" worked in the category total N for each independently
+
calculated RR was 611 147 cases 464 controls
eee ,".05
years at death or diagnosis born after 1874 who ever worked in the category total N for each independently calculated RA was 611 147 cases 464 controls t .01
me cmE Journal of Occupational Medicine 25 No. October 1983
753
Table 8 - RR of Mesothelioma Associated With Level of
Occupational Asbestos Exposure by Aga
Age Group
Level of Occupational Asbestos Exposure
xfor
0
1
2
*
at
N Trend
30-49 50-69 70-89
ages
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
.39 1.11 2.19 1.19
1.17 1.59 1.60 1.78 4.59 1.34 2.20"
I
1.67 5.35
2.73
66 257 272 61
NS NS .0001 .0005
~
Level 3 is exposure scores 3 or 4
Lavel 4 is exposure scores 5 to 16
* AR could not be calculated due to 0 denominator one case 0 controls with exposure
.001
adjusted relative risks
" P .005
for the 30 to year group but numbers were small
and the variances of the RR estimates were large There was a sizeable number of cases 80 and controls 177 in the 50- to year group and a fairly constant risk asso-
ciated with increasing estimated exposure was indicated
Those males 70 years or older n = 272 with job exposure scores in levels 3 and 4 exhibited highly significant relauve
risks for this disease The ARs for those exposed in these
two levels were 78 and 81 respectively The test for trend that compared the relative proportions of cases and
controls across increasing levels of estimated asbestos
exposure while controlling for age was highly significant overall p < .0005 and for the 70 to year age group p < .0001
Discussion
The major difficulties encountered in a noninterview retrospective study of an mesothelioma association
relate to the inadequacy of occupational histories the potential for misclassification of exposure status and errors in diagnosis Although partial employment data were obtained for nearly all study subjects complete work histories were available for very few and information regarding part-
time work or hobbies was completely absent The level of completeness varied geographically with the less mobile industrialized regions having more complete CD coverage
than the more rural less populated areas Completeness by geographic region did not differ however between cases
occupa- and controls For the seven cases in living persons
tional information could be obtained from CDs only When the analyses were repeated excluding these individuals
however the findings were unchanged These occupational history limitations were balanced in part by the advantage that respondent memory bras and faulty interviewing tech-
niques associated with widely publicized carcinogenic
hazards such as asbestos were avoided in this noninterview
approach
Although the inability to reconstruct dust measurements
prevented direct examination of a response relation ship the job exposure index a correlate of asbestos
exposure demonstrated increasing disease risk with higher
754
if
An scores particularly for the 70 to year age group
attempt was made to test the possibility of a
systematic inflation of case scores due to more complete occupational
information for the diseased population Job title availa bility for the maximum of eight time periods searched
was
comparable for both groups Table 5 with 71 of
and 72 of controls having 1-4 job titles and 27 of
each
having 5-8 job titles In addition the stratified relative risk calculations made adjustment for the large proportion of retirees in the control group with fewer job titles one
year prior to death The elevated risks associated with the older age group and with the 1910-1929 birth cohort are consistent with the poor dust control measures in
most
workplaces prevalent in earlier years
Peto showed
et al a wide
in their review of a number of studies
variation in the peritoncal ratio
among asbestos persons We have determined this ratio in our cases and attempted to relate it to some parameters that scom to influence its distribution An analysis of
proportions of cases of mesothelioma by site within each of three age groups 30 to 49 years 50 to 69 years and 70 to
89 years for each sex separately showed that among men the proportions of pleural disease increased as age in-
creased while the proportions of peritoneal disease
decreased Pleural mesothelioma accounted for 79 of
cases aged 50 to 69 years and 93 of cases aged 70 to 89
years at diagnosis Job AR in the exposed was about 80
for these older men Results Table 6 for carpenters and
cabinetmakers 14 of 15 pleural and plumbers and pipefitters seven of seven pleural are consistent with the above
proportions and with Table 8 in suggesting that pleural
mesothelioma in men over 50 in Connecticut is highly likely to have been associated with and probably caused by
exposure to asbestos at work These data also indicate that
occupational exposure to asbestos probably explains most of the disease in these older men and that it began in the 1930s
Peto et al17 showed that mesothelioma death rates were independent of age at first exposure and it may therefore be assumed that age in itself has no direct influence These
authors did show a strong correlation between disease and length of time since first exposure The fact that the inci-
dence of mesothelioma of the pleura increases sharply in the males in the older age groups with the higher exposure scores in our cases is consistent with the long latency known to be associated with this disease This is
also in conformity with Poto et al's findings
The potential for random misclassification of exposure status based on subjective blind review of limited work histories restricts our ability to draw firm conclusions because such errors produce attenuation toward an RR of
This is particularly relevant with regard to the true
proportion occupationally exposed and the true magni-
tude of the RR which is likely to be higher than our find ings indicate Blind subjective review has also been used
by other investigators in estimating exposure but most
often in conjunction with interview 18,19
It is widely held that relatively low exposure levels 20 to
SO years prior to diagnosis may lead to the development of mesothelioma The cases described with no known ex-
posure may fall into this category may have been exposed from the general environment or may be related to some
Mesothelioma in Connecticut et