Document gaV9JGpaooqgeK7NXbRqrZmLQ

To: Chad Whiteman[Chad_S_Whiteman@omb.eop.gov]; Scott_H_Burgess@omb.eop.gov[Scott_H_Burgess@omb. eop.gov] Cc: Mabel_E._Echols@omb.eop.gov[Mabel_E._Echols@omb.eop.gov]; Gunasekara, Mandy[Gunasekara.Mandy@epa.gov]; Dravis, Samantha[dravis.samantha@epa.gov]; mimi.braniff@delta.com[mimi.braniff@delta.com]; MCSHANE, JOHN B[JOHN.MCSHANE@pes- companies.com]; James_P_Herz@omb.eop.gov[James_P_Herz@omb.eop.gov]; Anthony_P_Campau@omb.eop.gov[Anthony_P_Campau@omb.eop.gov] From: Steven Shimberg Sent: Wed 5/31/2017 9:17:07 PM Subject: RFS OMB meeting handouts Monroe and PES on point of obligation.docx Monroe and PES on EO.docx Chad and Scott, Thanks for meeting this morning with Delta Air Lines, Monroe Energy and Philadelphia Energy Solutions. As promised, I am attaching copies of the two handouts from today's meeting. As noted in the meeting, EPA assumed in the 2017 final rule an unrealistically high level of ethanol consumption - 14.56 billion gallons. See: TABLE V.B.l.iv--1--GASOLINE VOLUMES USE TO DETERMINE REASONABLY ATTAINABLY ETHANOL SUPPLY IN 2017, 81 Fed. Reg. at 89780, and TABLE V.B.3-1--DETERMINATION OF VOLUME OF BIODIESEL AND RENEWABLE DIESEL NEEDED IN 2017 TO ACHIEVE 19.28 BILLION GALLONS OF TOTAL RENEWABLE FUEL, 81 Fed. Reg. at 89781. https://www.gpo.gov/fdsvs/pkg/FR-2016-12-12/pdf/2016-28879.pdf That assumption is inconsistent with EIA data. The combination of EIA's data on EO and the most recent STEO show that annual ethanol consumption in motor gasoline for 2017 and 2018 will be significantly less than 14.56 bg. See Table 4a. U.S. Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply, Consumption, and Inventories, U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - May 2017 https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/tables/pdf/4atab.pdf When the 2018 NPRM was sent to OMB on May 11th, the RIN market reacted to rumors that EPA will compound the error made in the 2017 rule and assume even higher levels of ethanol consumption for 2018. D6 RIN prices surged overnight. In less than 3 weeks, D6 RIN prices increased by more than 85% -- from 40 cents/RIN to about 75 cents/RIN. As we discussed, that is a serious problem. 17cv1906 Sierra Club v. EPA - 6/22 Production ED 001523 00008220-00001 We look forward to continuing to work with you on this critical and difficult issue. Sincerely, Steve Steven J. Shimberg SJSolutions pile Environmental Law/Policy, Counseling/Advocacy sishimberq@sisolutions.biz 202.689.4920 17cv1906 Sierra Club v. EPA - 6/22 Production ED 001523 00008220-00002