Document gELNOnreyJwXwBMym3L79nLVe

Safer, Affordable, FuelEfficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule Slides August 10, 2018 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061 Average New Vehicle Price (unadjusted) Average New Vehicle Prices 2009-18 $38,000 $ 37,000 $ 36,000 $35,000 $34,000 $33,000 $32,000 $31,000 $30,000 $29,000 $28,000 $27,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Model Year Source: NADA for model years 2009-2017, Kelly Blue Book for January 2018 Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00002 Vehicle Prices and Wages Indexed Value (2009 = 1) --A Sources: NADA, SSA Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA f/sh'f < -- Average Vehicle Price Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00003 11.8 11.6 i Average Age of Cars and Light Trucks, 2002 - 2016 Age (Years) 9.6 9.4 ; 9.2 ! 0.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Department of Energy Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00004 Newer Cars are Safer Cars Figure 1 Total Occupants (Shown in Label Tt) a il Percent Killed I f Vahids Age and Model Year f f l i l 2812-2818 Final and 2118 A if) (I) Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00005 Oil Prices (Predicted) - 2012 and current $6.00 % v ' ^ e ^ c'fY.oR' Reference Cast v ^ ` -' 1975 Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA 1985 1995 -- -- 2005 2015 2025 'sis ^ --Current Analysis Attachments Prod 2 2035 2045 ED 002061E 00051571-00006 AVERAGE OF REQUIRED CAFE LEVELS (WPG) 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 1975 Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA i -- Existing Standards r , * * -- '* ,,rf Light Truck Requirement , ts D i, /?riger Car Market Share Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00007 Current Average Fuel Economy Ratings 30.1 Existing 2025 CAFE Standard 46.7 mpg 2017 Average CAFE Standard 33.6 mpg Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 8 ED 002061E 00051571-00008 (Sduj) s|d ' s x x \ ' N v v N 9AV 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 1975 Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Proposed Standards 1985 {* ,a ' --r* > 1995 ,o > /' , i ' ts 2005 2015 -- '*/> ,,>'/ Light Truck Requirement .....Passenger Car Market Share Attachments Prod 2 2025 ED 002061E 00051571-00009 Estimateci Costs to Consumers 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Additional Cost to Consum ers Proposed Standards CAFE C02 150 100 350 200 400 300 600 400 650 500 700 500 700 500 700 500 700 500 750 500 750 500 700 500 700 500 700 500 2012 Standards CAFE C02 100 100 350 350 550 550 800 800 1350 1200 1550 1400 1750 1650 1850 1750 1950 1850 2000 2100 1950 2200 1950 2250 1900 2300 1850 2250 Costs are on top of $1,050 - $1,100 added cost to consumers for 2012-2016 standards (from 2010 final rule, inflated to 2016$) Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Attachments Prod 2 ED 002061E 00051571-00010