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Journal of Occupational Medicine
ISSS .!*. t " In
Editor LLOTD 8 TEPPER MO
Asiocute Editor ROBERT R HILKER M D
Executive Editor DORIS L FLOlRnOV m S
Editorial Bojrd H DEAN BELK M 0 PATRICIA y "ACENDORN MO HENRY R HERBERT M 0 I AMES P HUCHES MD BRUCE W KARRH, M D PAUL KOTIN, ,M D THOMAS A LINCOLN, M D BRIAN MacMAHON, M D IAMES W MITCHELL. MD OAVID B ROBBINS, M D
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July, 1981 Vol. 23 No. 7
ORIGINAL articles
Fluoride Balances in Pregnant and Nonpregnanl Women U R Maheshwari, B D S . Ph D , et a I
Developing Job-Related Preplacement Medical Examinations Joyce C Hogan, PhD, and Edward I Bemacki. MO. MPH
Editorial Response
A Component Analysis of an Alcohol and Drug Program: Employee Education B H McLatchie, PhD. P M Grey, MA.Y lohns. MA, and K C E Lomp, M A
Shooting, Sensorineural Hearing Loss, and Workers' Compensation David Y Chung, Ph D.. R Patrick Cannon, M.D.; Clenn N Willson, M.D, and Keith Mason, MS
A Retrospective Cohort Study of Mortality and Cancer Incidence Among Chemists Shelia K Hoar, Sc.D., and Sidney Pell, Ph D
A Retrospective Cohort Study of DisabilityAmong Chemists Shelia K Hoar, Sc.D, and Sidney Pell. PhD
Health Concerns in Uranium Mining and Milling Victor E. Archer, M.D
465 469 475 477
481
485 495 502
DEPARTMENTS
Letters-to - the- di tor Defusing the Time Bomb
Book Reviews Forensic Toxicology Therapeutic Activities for the Handicapped Elderly 1980 Year Book of Family Practice Health and Safety Aspects of Mining -- A Bibliography Mental Wellness Programs for Employees The Handbook of Placement Assessment Resources Early Rehabilitation at the Work Place The Chemical Elements and Man
453
456 456 456 456 457 457 457 458
OM Forum Selected Reviews from the Literature
460 506
Association Affairs Annual Meeting Report
General People and Events Classified Advertising
(Classified Ads also appear as display advertising See Advertisers Indev >
Advertisers' Index
510
515 516 520
MANUSCRIPTS Contributors are terjuested to read Jnrormatfon tor Authors which is ptohyhed m the January May and September unu** ot the lournal and which mas be obtained from the Editorial Office upon request failure to follow the guidance contained therein ^.tv cause delay m the consideration of manuscripts tor publication
OLI 6743
I
A Retrospective Cohort Study of Mortality and Cancer Incidence Among Chemists
Shelia K. Hoar, Sc.D., and Sidney Pell, Ph.D.
This retrospective cohort study examines mortality and cancer incidence among 3,656 men and 75 women who were employed as chemists in 1959. During the period 1964 to 1977, the male chemists experienced lower overall mortality than other salaried employees of the chemical company (198 deaths observed, 241.0 expected, SMR = 82). Large deficits are seen in lung cancer and arterioscle rotic heart disease deaths. The chemists appear to be at slightly higher risk for death from malignancies of the col on (12 observed, 6.7 expected, SMR -- 178)and from cere brovascular disease (IS observed, 10.8 expected, SMR = 138). The low overall mortality resulted in a larger than ex pected proportion of deaths due to cancer. Fewer than ex pected cases were diagnosed of cancer of all sites com bined (61 observed, 86.5 expected, SIR = 71) and of the lung (8 observed, 200 expected, SIR = 40). The incidence rates of melanoma and of cancer of the prostate are slight ly higher than expected, relative to the Third National Cancer Survey and the experience of nonchemists, respec tively. Among female chemists, deaths due to all causes and suicide occurred more frequently than expected. Possible explanations tor the lack of anticipated excess risks and for the observed deficits are presented.
Keports from the United States, Sweden, and Great Britain suggest there is excess mortality from certain types of cancer among chemists' " However, the designs of the studies reported have some limitations. First, the populations were not restricted to persons employed as chemists. The American and British studies of chemical society members may include persons who were not oc-
from the Department o* Eptttefmologv Harvard School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Av# Boston ma 02115 (Dr Hoar) and Epidemiology Section I'tdicai Division C I du Pont <j* Semours and Co Inc Wilmington Dl 19898
iDr Pell. Addrf's comrr^Aications to Dr Hoar Environmental Epidemiology
Branch Nation*) Cancer -sMutn Lando* IC06 Bethesda MD 20205 SupOCTted b\ giants no- t I du Pont de Nemours and Co Inc the E*on
Corporation and the Lm'pd
Nar>on*l Cancer institute (5 P01 06373*
Journal ol Occuoationai Medicme/Vol. 23. No. 7/July 1981
cupationally exposed to chemicals, for example, admini strators for chemical companies,11 * Secondly, several of the studies were based on proportional mortality rates, not absolute mortality ratesApparent excesses in proportional mortality from cancer may reflect deficits in other causes of death.10 Thtadfv, the Swedish sttfdy which was based on absolute mortality and attempted to iden tify subjarti who wotted tr*a laboratory included too few deaths to bo conclusive.*
E I. du Pont de Nemours and Company, Inc . employs many chemists and was concerned over these reports Du Pont had data available to identify many persons em ployed as chemists and to generate cancer incidence and mortality rates This paper describes an absolute mortali ty and cancer incidence study of chemists employed by that company.
Materials and Methods The Du Pont Company maintains a computerized per
sonnel file which includes records of all salaried persons who were active employees on or after lanuary 1, 1964 Records of hourly wage roll workers are not included in the file The file contains demographic information and work histories retroactive to 1959 From this file, the authors identified 3,713 men and 75 women who ysere employed in 1959 as chemists, chemical engineers or research associates, or in occupations with similar 10b titles. Because of the small number of nonwhites the cohort was restricted to 3,686 male and 75 female white chemists
It is difficult to define the iob title "chemist" and to characterize occupational exposure Most chemists are exposed to numerous substances that change constantly in quantity and in quality Difterent chemists rarely >u'tain the same exposures. This is especially true tor a cohort of Du Pont chemists. Du Pont is an international company with many different processes, products and locations, and chemists are employed throughout the company A large number are employed in research and development at the Experimental Station m Wilmington
OLI 6744
-- Table 1 - Du Pont Department Groups and Products
Name P'astic resins iioers
anc products
Basic cnemicais ana finishes
Examples ot Products or Exposures
Plastic resins tiiamems. sneetings enpto grapnic oaoers, chemicals ana eauipment textile fiDers
Pamls. pigments, enromates Iirnsnes te traethyl lead, tluormatea camDOunas eyes solvents polymers lor non-plastic uses ary ceanmg fluid soaium procucts eiect'omc products plant protection cnemicais 'eec supplements pnarmaceuticais Dasiccremrcais and intermediates
Petrochemicals
Acrylonitrile, explosives industrial diamonds
Elastomers
Neoprene accelerators, antioxioants and miscellaneous chemicals for natural ana synthetic rubber, coated fabrics
Research oevrooment anc engineering
Atomic energy Aarmnistration
Low-level radiation
Del, while others work in research and development at the plants Some are involved with pilot plants or semi works operations for new products and processes, and others serve in engineering or quality control positions at the production plants This variety is further complicated bv rotation of some chemists from plant to plant orto the Experimental Station
The same job title and code number can represent dif ferent tasks at different company locations. For instance, "technical investigator" could be a laboratory research position at one location, but an administrative position at another A chemical engineer could do laboratory work at one site, but design work on a computer at another. A few tasks are consistent across locations. For example, a "pat ent chemist" is always an office job, but the position may be held by someone who was once a laboratory research chemist.
Du Pont is organized into industrial and administrative departments. Within a department, the types of processes and products have some similarity. Because most employees stay within the same department throughout their careers despite transfers to several locations, ex posures were characterized by usual and "ever" depart ment affiliation. A Du Pont industrial hygienist identified the seven major department groups that existed during the study years, combining those that had undergone name changes and reorganization (Table 1)."
The authors also identified 19,262 male and 673 female white "nonchemists" who were active salaried employees in 1959 and were listed in the computerized personnel file on January 1.1964 Persons ever employed by Du Pont as chemists were excluded from the nonchemist group
Extracts of the personnel records were created and missing demographic data were obtained from noncom puterized employee rosters stored by the Du Pont Epidemiologs Section-
Cancer Incidence -- Cancer cases were ascertained bv review ot the Medical Division cancer registry The
registry consists of cases gleaned from the Accident and Health Insurance (AHI) claims and life insurance claims The AHI claims are submitted for any disability of eight or more consecutive days The diagnosis on the disability claim is certified by the attending physician About 97% of employees with at least Six months of service are enrolled in the AHI plan and all employees are enrolled in the life insurance plan The registry and insurance plan have been described in detail in other studies 11
Cancer incidence data are available only during the sublets' years of active employment at Du Pont Ill nesses that occur after termination from the Company, or during retirement, are not recorded in the registry
Using a computer program developed by Monson," the observed number of cancer cases diagnosed during the period 1964 to 1977 was compared with the estimated expected number based on the experience of the non chemists and on the Third National Cancer Survey (TNCS) rates '* Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), the ratios of the incidence rates of the chemists and the comparison group, standardized to the age and calendar year distribu tion of the person-years of the chemists, were calculated. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals were con structed, assuming a Poisson distribution of the observed number of events.1'
The TNCS rates were used to detect excess risks occur ring in both the chemist and the nonchemist cohorts which would not be apparent from internal comparisons.
A third comparison group, all Du Pont salaried employees from each year of the study observation period, was considered. The more inclusive Du Pont salaried group was larger than the nonchemist group, but less comparable to the chemists with respect to year hired and socioeconomic status. The results based on all Du Pont salaried employees were similar to the nonchemistbased analysis and will not be presented.
For all sites combined and for any site with three or more chemist cases, the authors examined the effects of age and decade hired, and usual and ever department af filiation. For each value of the factors, the expected number of cases was generated by consideration of the nonchemists with the same value for the factor
The effects of alcoholism were also examined. A sub ject was classified as an alcoholic if he had a cause of death or disability due to alcoholic cirrhosis of the liver or to alcoholic psychoses, or had been identified in a company-wide survey of plant physicians conducted in 1964 " An AHI claim for alcoholism can be filed for an episode of illness or for a 30-day treatment course at an alcoholism rehabilitation center Referral to a rehabilita tion center may be made by either the employee or by management.
Mortality -- The chemist and nonchemist cohorts were followed to December 31, 1977, regardless of employment status. The mortality data were obtained from two sources, Du Pont records and the Social Securi ty Administration (SSA). The Medical Division maintains a mortality file which records all deaths among active employees and among pensioners The file contains the life insurance claim data, supplemented by information
486 Mortality and Cancer Incidence Among Chemists/Hoar and Pen
OLI 6745
Table 2. -- Vital Status, as of December. 1977. ot the Chemists and Nonchemist Cohorts, by Sex
Vital Status
Tota Alive
Ac' .e erne :ees Pe's,oners Te'-vnatec f-om company
*:' oc*: "sc Deceased
A:* .e em; c.ees Pe*s.oners Te'minale: `-om company,
net Densoned
Percent ot total for tne sex-cohort group tless man iv:
Chemists
Men Women
3 636
3 488(95)* 2.722(741
448(12)
75
69(92) 41(55) 13(17)
318(9) 198(5)
Ilti3i 76121
15.20) 6<8i 4(5)
1(11
11 + id)
Nonchemists
Men Women
19,263 1 7 243(90) 10 867(561
5,465(28)
673 , 653(97. 454(67)
1 70(25.
9n(5) 2 020(10)
897(5)
i 071(61
29(4, 20(3, 9(1, 10(1)
52t It
from the employees' medical records and from the plant physicians. As of December 31, 1977, 187 male and 5 female chemists and 1,979 male and 19 female non chemists were known to have died while actively employed or after having retired. Of the 329 male' chemists who left the company before retirement or death, the SSA identified 260 as alive, 11 as deceased, and 58 as status unknown. Persons not known to be dead were assumed to be alive until the end of the study. One female chemist and one female and 51 male nonchemists were known to have died after termination from Du Pont (Table 2).
The authors requested copies of death certificates from state departments of health, but did not try to ob
tain certificates for 11 nonchemists and one chemist who died outside the United States Certificates were obtained for 185 (93%) of the male and 6 (100%) of the female deceased chemists and for 1,863 (92%) of the male and 15 (79%) of the female deceased nonchemists. When a certificate was unobtainable, the cause of death from the life insurance claim was utilized. Ninety percent of the available certificates contained the same cause of death as the life insurance claim. Ninety-rune percent of the deaths attributed to cancer on the death certificate were also attributed to cancer on the life insurance claim.
Cause of death was coded according to the Interna tional Classification of Diseases, Adapted for Use in the United States.w " The Seventh Revision was used from
Table 3. - Observed and Expected Cancer Cases* Among Male Chemists. Aged 20-64. Diagnosed in 1964-1977, Based on the Nonchemist Cohort Rates.
Site (ICDIT
An sues 114C-239]
Buccai cav.t, (140-1A9i
Stomacn 115'
Small ano (a_.niestme 1152-153)
Rectum (154
l.ver ano D, ;-y passages (155-156)
Pancreas lie')
Lung (162)
Melanoma f72)
P-ostaie (183
Biaooer (188
K.dney (189
, Brain 11911
Endocrine g sics excluding thyroid (194)
Lvmonatic a*d nematoooieiic system (200-209)
lymohosa-coma .2001
Hodgkin s c-sease ,20i)
Other 'ymc-jmas 12021
MuWDie m .eioma i203)
Leukemia 204-237
Other nec: -sms o'
lym-
DhODOie' : system i208l*209tf
am other sue;
Obs
61
1
2
7 3
1
2 8 8
7 3 4
2 1
12
3
2 1 1
3
2 0
'ExciuOmg -:n-me a*:'.c skin cancer tEigmn Rev = on -.:e-aiionai Classification ot Diseases'6
tStanoaroite: >nc ;e":e 'alio (SIR) lopserveo/expecieci ICC 695% coniici-ce --e-va s1kPoiycytne- tfi v. aaenogemc myeio.o metaplasia
Journal of OccuDfonai Medicme/Vol. 23. No 7/July 1981
Exp
86 5
21
24 ii 6 44 09
11
20 0
83 45
20
37 30 05
10 0
2i i6 15 09 35
04
12 0
SIR! C 1 Ot SIR
71 54-91 48 2-235 83 14-275 60 26-119 68 17-IBS
--
181 30-598 40 19-76 97 45-184 156 68-308 150 38 407 108 34-261 67 11-221 120 65-203 142 36-385 127 21-419 67 3-332 ---- 85 22-231
_--
OLI 6746
467
1
4j
-
i > i
!
Ii
i Table 4. -- Observes and Expected Cancer Cases* Among Male Chemists. Aged 20-64 Years. Diagnosed in 1964 1977. Based on the Third National Cancer Survey. 1969-1971.
Site
Aii sites Sytcai cavity Stomacf Sma*i and large intestine Rectum Liver and Binary DaSsages Pancreas Ljng
Veianoma P'ostate B.aoaer kidney - Rrain.-
Enoocnne glands excluding thyroid Lymphosarcoma Hocgkm s disease Other lymphomas Multiple myeioma LeuKemia All otner sites
Oos
61
1
L *
3
2
8 6
7 3 4
2 1
3
2 1 1
3
2
'Excluding non-meianotic skin cancer
'
iStandardizeo incidence ratio (SIR) * (observed/exoected) x 100
t95H confidence intervals'5
Exp
112 0
85 38 g9
57
16
37 28 4 33 55
66
38 34 03 27
21
10
1.2
33 17 1
SIR' C l of SIR:
54 42-70
12 ' 1-58 53 9-175 71 31-140 53 14-145 62 3-306 54 9-178 28 13-54 239 111-454 124 54-246
45 12-123 105 33-253
59 10-196 --Ill 28-303 97 16-322 97 5-479 81 4-397 91 23-249 --
Table 5. -- Observed and Expected Numbers of Deaths Due to Selected Ceuses Among Mile Chemists, 1964-1977, eased on the Nonchemist Cohort.
Cause (ICO)*
aii causes Malignant neoplasms (140-209)
Stomach |151) Large intestine (153) Rectum (15*) Liver and Binary passages
1155-1561 Pancreas 1157) Lung |162l Prostate (i85) Bladder (188) Kidney |i89)
Thyroid (193) Lynonatic ana nematopoieiic
cancer (200-209) Lymonosarcoma and reticuiosarcoma (ZOO) Hodgkin s disease (201) Leukemia (204-207) Other lymphatic cancer (208-209)
Diadetes meilitus (250) Circulatory system diseases
(390-458) Arteriosclerotic heart disease (410-414) CereDrovascular disease (430-438)
Pneumonia (480-486) Gastric and cuooenal ulcer
(531-533) Cirrnosis ot the liver (571) Accidents (E800-E949) Suicide (E950-E959) Residual
Obs 198 43
2 12
2
1 2
9
2 0 2 1
1
9
1 2
4
2 1
95
75
15 3
1
5 14
8
27
-Eighth Revision international Classification of Diseases'* TStanaardized mortality ratio - looserved/expected) x 100 t95r. conliaence intervals'-
488
Exp 241 0 62 4
22
67 0.9
17 17 21 9
2.8 1.1
2.3 30
0.2
75
12
07 3,7
20
32
128 1
103.3
10 8 11
06
57 13.5 5.6
20.8
SMRt
82 69 90 178
-
59
120
41 72
--
86
33 --
120
85 -- 109
102
32
75
73
138 281
--
88
104 144 --
C.l. Of SMRJ
71-94 51-92 15-300 97-305
-
3-290 20-389 20-75 12-236
-- 15-287 2-164
--
59-220
4-411 -- 34-261
17-337 2*154
61-92
57-91
81-224 69-742
-- 32-194 59-170 66-271
Mortality and Cancer incidence Among Chemists/Hoar anc
OLI 6747
1964 throjyh
A.nd the E lyhth Revision, trom 1%9
through 197"
Through the use of the Monson program, the observed
number of deaths among the chemists was compared
with the estimated expected number based on the ex
perience of the nonchemists and on the U S mortality
rates Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95% con
fidence intervals were calculated m the manner described previously
An analvsis based on all Du Pont salaried personnel
employed during the study observation period yielded
results similar to those of the nonchemist-based analysis
and will not be presented
Proportional mortality ratios (PMRs) also were calcu
lated, comparing the mortality patterns of the chemists
with those of w hite male population of the United States.
Results Cancer Incidence. -- While employed as chemists at
Du Pont, the 3,686 men accrued 44,656.8 person-years of observation With the exclusion of non-melanotic skin cancer, 61 cases of cancer were diagnosed during the period 1964 to 1977 The expected numbers of cancer df all sites were 86 5 (SIR = 71) and 112.0 (SIR = 54), based on the nonchemist and the TNCS rates, respectively. Table 3 shows the observed and the expected numbers, the SIRs, and the 95% confidence intervals of the SIRs, based on the nonchemist experience, for all combined and for selected cancer sites. Approximately one-half of the deficit in overall cancer morbidity was attributable to the low lung cancer morbidity Slight excesses, based on small numbers, were seen for cancers of the pancreas, the prostate, the urinary bladder, and the lymphatic and hematopoietic system
A slight excess of prostatic cancer is seen among chemists ever and usually employed in basic chemicals and finishes (3 observed. 1 0 expected). All the chemists diagnosed with kidney cancer were employed in basic chemicals and finishes (ever- 4 observed, 0.6 expected; usual: 4 observed, 0 4 expected). Slight excesses were seen in the plastic resins and fibers chemists for lymphosar coma (ever 2 observed, 0.3 expected; usual; 2 observed, 0 2 expected) and leukemia (ever. 3 observed, 1.1 ex
pected, usual 2 observed, 0,4 expected). The number of cases is too small for multiple breakdowns to be meaning ful
The comparison of the chemists with the TNCS popula tion was generally consistent with the nonchemist-based analysis (Table 4). However, melanoma was more com mon among the chemists than expected (8 cases ob served, 3.3 expected, SIR = 239), an association that does not appear in the nonchemist-based analysis. An excess of melanoma is observed in the nonchemists themselves in comparison with the TNCS population (38 cases ob served, 171 cases expected, SIR = 223). In the internal comparison with the nonchemists, the chemists do not appear to have excess melanoma risk.
The female chemists accrued 747,0 person-years of observation During the period 1964 to 1977, five cancers were diagnosed one each of the breast, uterus, and ovary, one case of leukemia, and one cancer of unknown primary site. The expected number of cancers of all sites
Jouraai of Occupational Medicine/Vol. 23. No. 7/July 1981
Table 6. -- Observed and Expected Numcer ol Deaths Due to Cancer of the Large intestine Among Mate Chemists. 1964-1977, by Work History Characteristics. Based on the Nonchemist Cohort.
Age mred
JO-2* 25-29 30-34 35-44
Decaoe hirec
1920-1929
1930-1939 1940-1949 1950-1959 Usual department group Plastic resms and fiDers Basic chemicals ana finishes Petrochemicals Elastomers Research, development ana engineering Atomic energy Total
Obs
3
4 4
*
0
4 4 4
3 4
2 0 2 1 12
Exp
2' 32 oe 04
11
23 t2 2t
34
20
03
02
05 00 67
was 2.7 (SIR = 185), based on both the nonchemist and the TNCS rates. Because of the small number of cases, no further analysis of the women's experience will be presented.
Mortality. -- From 1964 to the earlier of either the date of death or the end of the study, the male chemists ac crued 50,538.7 person-years of observation and 198 deaths. The expected numbers of deaths were 241 0 (SMR -- 82) and 418,3 (SMR = 47), on the basis of the ex perience of the male nonchemists and of the U S white male population, respectively.
In comparison with the experience of the nonchemists, deaths due to malignant neoplasia were less frequent than expected (43 observed, 62.4 expected, SMR = 69) (Table 5). An elevated SMR was seen for cancer of the large intestine (12 observed, 6.7 expected, SMR = 178) A large deficit was observed for deaths due to carcinoma of the lung. Nine lung cancer deaths occurred, 21 9 were ex pected (SMR = 41) Slight excesses were observed for deaths due to Hodgkin's disease, to all lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer, and to cerebrovascular disease, pneumonia, and suicide. A low SMR was seen for arteriosclerotic heart disease.
Table 6 presents the observed and expected numbers for cancer of the large intestine according to work history characteristics. Deaths occurred among chemists usually employed in plastic resins and fibers, basic chemicals and finishes, petrochemicals, research and engineering, and atomic energy
The associations seen in the total cohort were generally found in each department. Chemists usually employed m the elastomers department experienced slightly more deaths than expected (13 observed, 11.8 expected. SmR = 110); chemists in the other departments had SMRs well below 100. The elastomers department's relative excess was due to deaths from coronary heart disease and suicide. However, for most departments and most causes of death, the number of deaths was too small for any meaningful comparisons
489
OLI 6748
Table 7. -- Observed and Expected Numbers of Deaths Due to Selected Causes Among Male Chemists. 1964-1977,
Based on u.S. Mortality Rates.
Cause
ah causes Malignant neooiasms
Stomacn
Large intestine Rectum
Liver and biliary passages Pancreas Lung Prostate Bladder Kidney Brain Thyroid Lymphatic and hematopoietic
system
Lymphosarcoma and reticulosarcoma
Hodgkin s disease Leukemia Other lymphatic cancer Diabetes meiiitus Diseases ot nervous system and sensory organs Diseases ot tne circulatory system Arteriosclerotic heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Respiratory piseases Pneumonia Digestive system diseases Gastric and duodenal ulcer Cirrhosis ot the liver External causes Accidents Suicide Residual
Obs
: 96 43
2 12 2 1 2 9 2 0 2
t
9
1 2 4 2 1
2 96 75 15
7 3 11 1 5 22 14 8 16
Exp
418 3 B6 0 36 69 24
13 47 30 7 28 19 24
Oi 02
91
22 1.3 34 2,1 5.8
3.9 198.9 151.5 20.0 20 9
7.3 26 5
2.5 17,1 54 2 34 7 13.6 22.1
SMR*
47 50 55 174 85 78 43 29
_70
83
.il--
99
46 150 119 94 17
51 48 50 75 33 41 41 40 29 41 40 59
C 1 ol SMR*
41-54 37-560 9-184 94-296 t4-275 4-379 7-141 14-54
12---236
14-275 1-141 --
48-182
2-224 26-508 37-284 16-315 1-85
9-169 39-59 39-62 44.-121 15-66 11-112 22-72 2-193 11-65 26-60 23-66 27-112
SMS . Standardize;] mortality ratio (oeserved/expected) * 100 T95% contidence intervals'*
In comparison with the U S. white male general population, 86 0 deaths due to cancer were expected, yielding an SMR of 50 (Table 7). An excess was observed for deaths due to cancer of the large intestine (12 ob served. 6 9 expected. SMR = 174), Two Hodgkin's disease deaths occurred; 1 3 were expected (SMR = 150) Four leukemia deaths occurred; 3.4 were expected (SMR = 119) Deficits are seen in numbers of deaths due to car cinoma of the lung (9 observed, 30.7 expected, SMR = 29). arteriosclerotic heart disease, respiratory and digestive system diseases, accidents, and suicide.
The deaths and person-years of exposure were categorized by employment status. Active employees had the lowest SMRs, pensioners had the highest, and ter minated, nonpensioned employees had intermediate
SMRs The last group, the most difficult to trace, did not reveal any associations not seen in the active employees or the pensioner group Risk of cancer of the large intes tine was elevated relative to the overall SMR in both ac tive and pensioned employees, but particularly among the pensioners Only the active employees had slight ex cesses in deaths due to cancer of the kidney and to Hodg kin's disease Only the pensioners had excesses in deaths due to prostatic cancer, cerebrovascular disease, diseases of the digestive system, cirrhosis of the liver, and suicide (Table 8)
490
In the proportional mortality analysis, the method used in several of the previous chemist studies, deaths due to malignant neoplasia were found to be more frequent than expected (Table 9). A larger than expected proportion of deaths among active employees was due to lung cancer, but deficits were seen among the pensioned and other ter minated employees. Colon cancer, arteriosclerotic heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease were responsible for larger proportions of deaths than expected. Deaths at tributable to prostatic cancer occurred more frequently than expected among pensioners. The risk of deaths from accidents was lower than expected, and,'among ter minated employees, suicide accounted for a larger than expected proportion of deaths
Among the female chemists, six deaths occurred during 994.7 person-years of observation. The expected numbers were 1 8 (SMR = 327) and 4.8 (SMR = 125), on the basis of the experience of the female nonchemists and of the U S white female population, respectively The causes of death were lung cancer, leukemia, abscess of the lung, house fire, and in two cases, suicide Compared to the U S. rates, only 0.1 deaths due to suicide were expected
Discussion The Du Pont male chemists experienced lower overall
mortality and lower cancer morbidity and mortality than
Mortality and Cancer incidence Among Chemists/Hoar ana Pen
OLI 6749
Table B. -- Observed and Expected Numbers ol Deaths Due to Selected Causes Among Male Chemists. 1964-1977. by Employment Status. Based on U.S. Mortality Rates.
Cause
ah causes Malignant neoplasms
urge intestine Lung Prostate Kidney Lymonaiic ana nemaiODOietic cancer
Hoagxm s aisease Circulatory system diseases
Arteriosclerotic heart disease Cereorovascuiar disease Respiratory Greases Digestive system diseases Cirrhosis ot the liver Suicide Residual
Actives
Obs Exp
in 309 7 25 61 8
5 4,7 7 22.0 0 1.2 2 18 6 70 2 12 49 141 0 40 108.7 5 12 6 2 13 5 7 21 6 3 14 4 4 11 9 24 59.9
*SMR - Standardized mortality ratio - (observed/expected) x 100
SMR*
36 40 106 32 --
HO 86 174 35 37 40 15 32 21 34 --
Pensioners
Obs Exp SMR
76 91 5' 83
16 21 0
76
6 2 0 307
2 7 5 27
2 0
16 05
1--25
3 1 7 172
0 01 --
42 50 7
83
31 37 2
83
9 68 133
5 6 8 74
4 36 111
2 2
18 09
114
--
7 85 -
expected on the basis of the experience of the industrial and general population comparison groups. Deaths due to cancer of the large intestine and to cerebrovascular disease occurred more frequently than expected. Small excesses of cases of prostatic cancer and of melanoma were observed. Sharply decreased rates of lung cancer in cidence and mortality and of arteriosclerotic heart disease mortality were observed. The female chemists ex perienced greater than expected mortality from all causes combined and from suicide.
Among the men, the finding of excess mortality from cancer of the large intestine is based on 12 observed deaths, a number larger than that for any other cancer site Relative to the experience of the U.S. population, the excess of colon cancer was highest among pensioners. The deaths were distributed throughout all but two major Du Pont department groups.
Larger than expected proportions of deaths due to cancer of the intestine and the rectum occurred among deceased ACS and British RIC members and among
chemists dying in the state of California during the years
1959 to 1961* Among the Swedish chemistry graduates the number of deaths due to malignancies of the digestive system was approximately that which was ex pected.* A recent update of the Swedish cohort showed a slight deficit of digestive system cancer deaths." Among chemists dying in the state of Washington there was one death due to cancer of the large intestine; two deaths were expected.1
The incidence of cancer of the large intestine was not elevated with respect to the comparison groups. However, the incidence data are limited to active employees who are under age 65. If the excess frequency appears after age 64, as suggested by the U.S -based mor tality analysis, no excess in incidence would be expected.
The Du Pont chemists show an excess of prostatic cancer relative to nonchemist salaried employees. The occurrence of prostatic cancer increases directly with age," so the Du Pont incidence data, restricted to cases diagnosed before the age of 65, may underestimate the
Tabu 9. -- Obsarvad and Expected Numbers and Proportional Mortality Ratios for Deaths Due to Selected Causes Among Male Chemists, 1964-1977, by Employment Status, Based on U.S. Proportional Mortality Rates.
Cause
All causes Malignant neoplasms
Large intestine Lung Prostate Kidney Lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer
Hodgkin's Disease Leukemia Arteriosclerotic heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Respiratory diseases
Digestive system diseases Cirrhosis ot the liver
Accidents Suicide
ActiveX
Obi Exp PMR*
ill 111 0 100 25 18 3 137 5 1.3 377 7 56 125 0 0.2 -- 2 0.5 -- 6 2 8 213 2 0.6 -- 3 1.1 284 40 29.8 134
5 3 a 132 2 3.9 51 7 8.2 85 3 5.6 54 12 19 2 62 4 7 1 56
PMR m Proportional mortality ratio - (observed/expected) x tOO
journal of Occupational Medicine/Vol 23, No. 7/July 1981
Ptniloners
Obi Exp PMR
76 76.0 100 16 179 89 6 1.5 398 2 6.9 29 2 08 -- 0 0.5 -- 3 1.5 196 0 0.1 -- 1 06 -- 31 30.4 102 9 4 1 221 5 4 6 109 4 4.0 1Q0 2 2.4 83 1 30 34 2 1.3 158
Total Obs Exp PMR
198 198.0 100 43 37 2 116 12 2.8 426 9 12.7 71 2 0.6 --
2 1 1 187 9 4 7 192 2 0.9 -- 4 1.7 230 75 61.9 121 15 7,5 201 7 80 87 11 13 9 79 5 9 4 53 14 25 8 54 8 99 81
49i
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Table 10 - Proportional Mortality Ratios and Estimated Standardized Mortality Ratios lor Selected Causes ol Death Among Male Chemists.
Du Pont (Overall SMR - 47)
Li et at1 < 65 Years
Cause
PMR,,,* SMR*,t PMR,,, SMR,,,!
A i cancers
116 50 125 53
u3'ce intestine 426
174 115
54
Lung 71 29 116 54
Leukemia
230 119 132 62
Suicide
Bi 59 117 55
Li et at' i.65 Years
PMR,,, SMRtlt
115 54 134 63 80 38 178 84 100 47
Milium* Washington St.
PMR,,, SMR,,,
99 47 43 20 63 30 213 100 195 92
Petersen tt at* California St.
*M",o. SMR,,,
91 43 207 97 64 30 116 55 248 117
Registrar General' England and Wales
PMR,t, SMR,,,
96 N/A
63 320 378
1 45 N/A
30 150 17B
PMR.., - Cause soecilic oroporlionai morality ratio tSVR.,, = Cause-specific standardized mortality ratio tSMR^. * Cause-soecitic estimated standardized mortality ration* PMRm, x overall SMR (Irom Du Pont aata)22 n/A - Data not avauaoie w published report
risk Both of the chemists who died from prostatic cancer that of the comparison group. Low overall mortality can
were pensioners, again suggesting that the greatest risk is cause PMRs to overstate risk For deaths due to cancer,
in the oldest age groups, for whom incidence data are the Du Pont male chemists had an SMR of 50 and a PMR
unavailable The problem would be compounded if of 116, relative to the appropriate U S. comparison
undetected cancer were associated with retirement or population. The earlier chemist populations with excess
with employment termination. An excess of prostatic proportional cancer mortality also may have had low ab
cancer is also seen among the Swedish chemistry ' solute cancer mortality. Table 10 presents the observed
graduates and among the Californian chemists.
PMRs and the estimated SMRs for selected causes of
The incidence of melanoma was greater than expected death from the previous chemist cohorts and from the Du
among the chemists and the nonchemists, based on the Pont chemists. The SMRs were estimated by multiplying
experience of the TNCS population. A similar excess was each cause-specific PMR by the Du Pont overall SMR.
seen among all Du Pont employees in the period 1956 to Few of the elevated PMRs are converted into elevated
1974 u A possible explanation may be occupational ex SMRs In each study, the observed or estimated SMR. for
posure to chemicals, some of which are suspected of leukemia is greater than the SMR for deaths due to all
causing non-melanotic skin cancer Another putative cancers. Conversely, the observed or estimated SMR for
cause is exposure to solar radiation The maiority of Du lung cancer is smaller than the SMR for all cancers. The
Pont plants are located in the southeastern United States Swedish absolute mortality study* showed greater cancer
where exposure to the sun is high Fifteen southern states mortality than expected, inconsistent with the Du Pont
have the highest mortality rates for melanoma, account results.
ing for 37% of the melanoma deaths in the United
Second, the follow-up period may be too short to per
States" Sixty-five percent of the Du Pont salaried em mit detection of the anticipated excesses Slight excesses
ployees are located in these same states
of deaths due to lymphatic and hematopoietic malignan
Excess deaths due to cerebrovascular disease were cies and of cases of bladder and of pancreatic cancer
seen in the Du Pont chemist cohort and among chemists were seen, but the observed numbers of events rarely ex
dying in the state of Washington during 1950 to 1971 1 ceeded the expected numbers by more than one Further
Among the men and women, slightly more deaths than follow-up and reanalysis may yield enough cases to con
expected were due to suicide. Reports from the ACS, from firm the earlier reports of increased risk of these diseases
the states of Washington and California, and from the among chemists.
Registrar General of England and Wales also mentioned
The Du Pont subjects were hired as early as the 1920s,
excess numbers of deaths due to suicide.1 * * ' An excess were actively employed in 1959, and were followed until
of suicide among female physicians suggests that a December 31, 1977. The length of follow-up, 19 years,
sociological phenomenon may account for the excess was thought to be adequate for investigation of lym
among temale chemists.11
phatic and hematopoietic diseases; the average incuba
Other excesses were anticipated on the basis of the tion period for leukemia associated with benzene ex
previous studies of chemist populations. Almost all of the posure has been estimated at between 6 and 14 years."
previous studies reported excess deaths due to all sites of The number of persons in the cohort was greater than in
cancer combined and to lymphatic and hematopoietic the Swedish study, the other absolute mortality study of
malignancies Several studies reported excesses in deaths chemists However, the chemists were younger and the
due to bladder and pancreatic cancers.
events fewer than estimated. Approximately three-fourths
There are several possible reasons why the Du Pont ex of the chemists were active employees at the close of the
perience was not consistent with the earlier reports of ex study. The numbers of cases and deaths are small
cesses First the outcome measures differed: this study is
Third, associations may have been obscured by expo
based on cancer incidence and absolute mortality, while sure misclassification. The Du Pont cohort was restricted
most of the earlier studies were based on proportional to persons employed as chemists who were thought to
mortality Decoufld et al" 14 recently discussed the bias have had more exposures than either the previously
of PMR analyses when the overall death rate differs from studied chemist cohorts or the nonchemists However, if
492 Mortality and Cancer Incidence Among Chemists/Hoar and Pell
OLI 6751
onlv a 'mall suburuup ot the chemists s\ere exposed to hazardous substances, the excess fists would be diluted bv the larger unexposed group at low risk Also, some ot the Du Pont nonchemists sustained exposure to hazardous chemicals, contributing to the misclassitication problem
Finally, the cancer incidence data afe limited to cases diagnosed before employment termination No cancers detected after age 65, the mandatory retirement age dur ing the observation period, are identified This restriction reduces the study's ability to detect excesses of disease increasing directly with age.
Large deficits in overall mortality and in cancer mor bidity and mortality rates were observed among the chemists Deficits were anticipated in the comparisons with the U S general population because of the "healthy worker effect,"" but not in the comparisons with the Du Pont nonchemist group.
Selection bias is an unlikely explanation for the defi cits The chemist and nonchemist subjects were selected in the same manner from preexistent records that were created without regard for future disease or death.
Observation bias is also unlikely although incomplete ascertainment of deaths may have occurred. Deaths and cancer cases were identified through the Du Pont epidemiologic surveillance system which was established for all employees prior to the initiation of this cohort study. The 55A identified deaths among the employees who terminated employment prior to retirement Subjects were classified as dead, alive, or status unknown The sub jects not known to be dead were assumed to be alive un til the end of the study. If all the chemists whose status was unknown had been deceased, but all such non chemists were alive, the observed number of deaths would increase by 58 to 256. The expected number would decrease slightly because of fewer chemist person-years of observation, being at most 241 0, yielding an SMR of 106. It is unlikely that this extreme situation occurred. More than half of the chemists whose status was unknown and who had been last employed by Du Pont in the Delaware area had private or business phones listed in their names in the local 1978 phone books. The 5SA also may have erred in classifying as alive people who were deceased. In previous studies as many as 6% of persons known to be dead were classified as alive by the SSA."
The most likely explanation for the deficits in the mor bidity and mortality expenence of the chemists is con founding. Factors associated with cancer may be distributed unequally between the chemist and the com parison groups. The significant deficit in lung cancer mor bidity and mortality among the chemists suggests smok ing habits different from those of the comparison groups. The chemists also had low mortality from cardiovascular disease and low incidence for several other cancers thought to be related to smoking: cancer of the buccal cavity, esophagus, stomach, and larynx." " The chemists had only one more case than expected of cancers of the bladder and of the pancreas, which also are associated with cigarette smoking.
It was not possible to obtain smoking histories for past or present Du Pont chemists. Questionnaires and inter views could not be administered, and the smoking histories recorded in the annual medical examinations are
unreliable However, some mtormation on smoking is known The Du Pont chemists are prohibited from smok ing in the research laboratories, while persons in many ot the nonchemist occupations, such as lawyers and accoun tants. have the freedom to smoke during the workday On-the-job smoking behavior may influence smoking habits outside of work Data on smoking and occupation from the National Center for Health Statistics 1970 Household Interview Survey showed that the smoking habits of chemists differed from those of other profes sional and technical workers and from those of other business management employees, such as accountants and auditors,0 Only 29% of chemists are current smokers, while 33% of accountants and auditors. 36% of professional, technical and kindred workers, and 37% of personnel and labor relations workers are current smokers. The percentage of smokers who smoked one pack or more per day was 59% for the chemists, 66% for professional, technical and kindred workers. 69% for ac countants and auditors, and 71 % for personnel and labor relations workers. A recent National Health Survey" stated that 41% of managers and administrators were current smokers while only 30% of professionals, such as chemists, presently smoked.
The deficits observed in mortality from all causes, from all cancers, and from lung cancer are compatible with the differences in smoking habits reported in the surveys, but there may be other confounding factors also. For-exam ple, the chemists probably have a higher socioeconomic status than the comparison groups The nonchemists in clude persons, such as foremen, who began employment on the hourly wage roll.
Summary In this study, Du Pont male employees with the job ti
tle chemist or with associated titles experienced lower rates of overall mortality and of overall cancer morbidity and mortality than other salaried employees of the com pany. A large deficit is seen in lung cancer and arteriosclerotic heart disease The chemists appear to be at slightly higher risk of death from malignancies of the colon and from cerebrovascular disease The incidence rates of melanoma and of cancer of the prostate are slightly higher than expected, relative to the TNCS and the experience of nonchemists, respectively Among female chemists, deaths from all causes combined and from suicide occurred more frequently than expected
The low overall mortality among the male chemists resulted in a larger than expected proportion of deaths due to cancer. The cancer excesses in the previous pro portional mortality reports on chemists mav also reflect low absolute mortality and not absolute excesses
Anticipated excesses of certain types of cancers were not observed, possibly because of the use of absolute mortality rates, inadequate length of follow-up. exposure to hazardous chemicals by the referent group, or resfrx tion of case identification to active employees
Deficits in overall mortality rates and m lung cant er rates were observed. These findings mav have been due to lower prevalence of smoking among the chemists or , disparate socioeconomic status or other tactors
Journal ot Occupational Medicine/Vol. 23. No. 7/July 1981
OLI 6752
I I
j j 1 , j i i I j j j j
4'* j ,j` nor* * `M'* *n th^nk L>' bruo* W k ,iffh ( orporg'** M#dif 41 Director of
1/ - f ,rt ''ii n v^po^.ft ot 'fudi. t>\ brirtn \w Mahon kif hjffi k Monson
uf'J Urt^'d m A* ^n,rtn tor #*p<Utrmiouj|*u. dQvite Or Alan i Momson lor her**v *-<* r> the manuscript Cfr Vafin C Brfwyitrr lor his administrative assutante
^cirev t l Gidnev for her programming assistance William f Fd,en*edtner Brian H Wright, and Ceorge W Zetvas a>sO provided program ming assistance Ann D Monson was the nosotogist Clerical dunes were per*
formed bs Mary Donahue lour*e Mowbray Cern A Nardo Lisa P Ranken and D^iores Saunders Kathryn C Buchanan Dorn Carmo Gertrude M Crowley Var:n* D'Domemcis and Mary Oloughlm provided secretarial services
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5 Olin CR Leukemia and Hodgkin s disease among Swedish chemistry graduates Lancet 7991916, 1976
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19 Olm CR and Ahltiom A The cancer mortality among Swedish chemists graduated during three decades Environ Res 22154-161, 1980
20 Emmett EA Occupational skm cancer A review / Occuo Med 17 44-49 1 975
21 Mason Tl, McKay FW. Hoover R, et al Atlas of Cancer Mortali ty for US Counties 1950-1969 US DHEW. Public Health Service Publ No 75-7B0 Washington, DC. US Covt Print Office. 1975
22 Fmseth K Suicide among women physicians IAMA 2371693. 1977
23 Qecoufle P Thomas Tl. and Pickle LW Comparison of the pro portionate mortality ratio and standardized mortality ratio risk measures Am I Epidemiol 111 263-269. 1980
24 Decoufl* P and Thomas TL A methodological investigation of fatal disease risks in a large industrial cohort. I Occup Med 21,107-110. 1979
25 Cole P and Goldman MB. Occupation, in Persons at High Risk of Cancer An Approach to Cancer Etiology and Control. ). F Fraumeni. Ir (Ed) New York Academic Press, 1975,
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Protecting Beliefs
The scene has become all to starkly familiar. The pop-pop of a pistol. The panicky faces turning to see where the bullets are coming from The great leader, wounded, being hustled out of danger in a speeding car Police struggling with his assailant.
And we can only wonder at the ironies of a world in which truly liberal men, with a deep-seated belief in the sanctity of the human soul, the worth of individuals and the essentiality of political freedom, are the victims of assassins while tyrants are not. The only lesson we can draw from this is that good and liberal men and women everywhere should be reminded by such events of how important the beliefs are that we are trying to protect.
-- From Review and Outlook And Now the Pope *n Tht v\a , Street lourml. May 14 1W1
~r~
z
Mortality and Cancer incidence Among Chemists Hoar ano Pei
OLI 6753
mm