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OvmkaJ A Ejtcinming
J155--lMh 5t. K W., W`hinfi^n, D C 20036 Editor MichteJ Hryhn
LETTERS
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Managing Editor: William F Fall well Aaaiatant Managing Editor*: David M Kiefer, Jamri H Kneter Donald J Sois$on
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Need for increased world food production
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SIR: In his tetter in the Feb. 21, page 2. Usue of C&EN, Paul R. Wunz Jr. expresses a point made by many; namely, why produce more food iJ it only leads to more people which in turn creates further demands on the food system? Why not concentrate on population control?
There is no question that the balance between people and food must be brought under control. In the short-tenn of the next several decades, however, there is no choice but to produce more food if we rule out the calami ties of mass starvation, major war, or drastic
believe that birth control, not food production, is the simple answer. 1 point out, however, that virtually all authorities on world hunger agree that poverty, not overpopulation, is the major problem. And population and poverty are not necessarily related: The world's three most densely populated nations--Singapore, The Netherlands, and Japan--have no food prob lems.
So, in the short-term, we must increase food production significantly. There is every reason to believe the world will be able to feed itself in the years ahead providing we more fully
ADVISORY BOARD: Robert A Alberty, William O. Baker. John D. Baldeschwieler. Eula Bingham, Wilham A. BJanpied. John l. Brauman, George E. Brown Jr., Catherine FenseUu. Mary Good, S. Alien Heinmgcr, James D. Idol )r , Ray R Irani, Kurt Mislow, George C Pimentel. Bryant W Rossitrr
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reductions in standards of living as a solution to the problem. If India, for example, begin ning in 19S0, had reduced the birth rate to the replacement value (two children per couple), its population would continue to expand from 675 million to over M0 million by the year 2000. In fact, world population is expected to double by approximately the year 2020. This means world food production must increase by at least as much as it has since the dawn of agriculture 12.000 years ago. and this must be done without adding significantly more land
implement existing technologies, vigorously pursue the promise of new chemical and ag ricultural research, improve distribution, and initiate enlightened governmental policies where needed.
If these practices are followed, we can meet world food needs and also buy the time nec essary to achieve population stabilization and avoid social unrest created bv starvation and hunger.
Bryant W. Rossiter, Chairmen CHZMRA WNII, lniernational Conference,
C Copyright 1963, American Chemical Society
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Regulating substances by animal testing
SIR; In his letter on "High-dose cancer ex
periments" (C&EN, Feb. 14, page 4). Joel B.
Swam considers the merits ofaiumal tests for
the regulation of carcinogenic chemicals and
concludes: "In sum there is excellent scientific
basis for classifying and regulating substances
on the basis of high-dose animal experi
ments."
In the past, this view was widely accepted.
In fact, it was the basis for the Delaney Clause
regulating the suitability of food additives.
Since then, however, it has lost supporters
until today it can no longer be defended. It was
medical science that finally clarified the value
of animal testing in a publication by the
Council on Scientific Affairs of the American
Medical Association entitled "Carcinogen
^Regulation" (JAMA, July 17,1961, page 253).)
(JIt includes the following paragraph:
J
"The Council's consultants agree that to
identify carcinogenicity in animal tests
does not per *e predict either risk or out
come in a human experience. Moreover, an
on Diet, Nutrition, and Cancer expressed a
similar opinion--quoted below--in its report
"Diet, Nutrition, and Cancer," page 316, Na
tional Academy Press, Washington, D.C.,
1982:
.. Laboratory animals can be regarded as
uniform and controlled populations
'standing-in* for human beings. However,
the animals are not human, and the etiolo
gy of the cancers they develop may not du
plicate that for cancers in humans."
In view of these pronouncements, coming
from highly qualified scientific judges, state
ments, such as "there is scientific reason for
regulating substances solely on the basis of
high-dose animal experiments," are mislead
ing and incorrect.
Ernest W. Volkman
Fellow, AAAS, LaIrobe. Pa.
The proposed R&D budget
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agent can metabolize differently in diverse species and even strains of mice. Thus, s substance can be carcinogenic for certain organs in one speries but relatively harm less in other organs or in other species." The National Research Council's Committee
SIR: 1 think it is a sad commentary on the priorities of this Administration (and by re
flection on the American people) that 65*- of the proposed R&D budget is aimed at im proving our war-making capacity, white a
Continued on page 51
4 April 4.1983 CIN