Document XR36M5R5VbMBK1765XQ4p1OeR
Applied Health Sciences, Inc.
Post Office Box 2078
San Mateo, California 94401
Otto Wong, SeD. Fellow of American College of Epidemiology Associate Editor ofAnnals ofEpidemiology Adjunct Professor of Epidemiology
University of North Texas Medical Center, Fort Worth, USA Adjunct Professor of Community & Family Medicine
Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China Honorary Professor of Community Medicine
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China Visiting Professor of Occupational Epidemiology
Fudan University Medical Center, Shanghai, China Editorial Board, Regulatory Toxicology & Pharmacology
USA
Telephone: 1 (650) 347-7898 Facsimile: 1 (650) 344-6887 Email: OttoWong@aol.com
12 May 2007
Bruce M. Jarnot, Ph.D., DABT Senior Toxicologist Regulatory and Scientific Affairs American Petroleum Institute 1220 L Street, NW Washington, DC 20005
Re: Revised timeline and additional budget for the completion of the case-control study
Dear Bruce:
I am writing to follow-up our recent discussions of revising the timeline and budget estimate for the completion of the case-control study of AML and NHL.
As a result of the new timeline of deliverables from Cinpathogen, both the timeline and the budget for the case-control study will be significantly affected, and both need to be revised. I have been asked, for the purpose of projecting a new timeline and estimating additional budget for the casecontrol study, to assume that AML case accrual will end by June 2007 and that for NHL patients by December 2007. Your email dated 10 May 2007 further indicates that we will receive from Cinpathogen a comprehensive test dataset by the end of September 2007 and the final dataset with complete diagnostic, exposure and questionnaire information ready for analysis by the end of August 2008.
Based on these newly projected dates of deliverables, I have revised the timeline for the completion of the case-control study (see below). I am being slightly optimistic and project that we may be able to complete our analysis and report within four months after we receive the final dataset. However, I must emphasize that I am being optimistic. The actual date of completion of the case-control study will depend heavily on the date of delivery and the status of the final dataset, but for planning purposes I will set the end of 2008 as our goal.
SHELL-MCCLURG-062012
Revised timeline for the case-control study
Tasks Test dataset to AHS* Exploration of test dataset QA/QC of test dataset End of patient accrual* Development of analytical programs/plans Final diagnoses of all patients completed* Interviews of all patients completed* Questionnaire data entry completed* Exposure assessment completed* Final dataset ready for analysis to AHS* Final QA/QC and data editing Statistical!epidemiological analysis Preparation of draft report Consultations with SRP members Preparation of final report
Date September 2007 October-November 2007 November-December 2007 December 2007 December 2007-May 2008
March 2008 March/April 2008
May 2008 July 2008 August 2008 September-October 2008 September-November 2008 September-November 2008 September-December 2008 December 2008
* activities not under AHS control.
As indicated in the timeline above, some of our most important tasks can be carried out in 2008 only after patient accrual has been completed, diagnoses have been finalized and exposure classifications have been assigned. In projecting the above timeline, we assume that we will receive a final dataset with complete information ready for analysis by August 2008. Any delay in receiving the final dataset or any unanticipated additional preparation or processing of the final dataset will have an impact on the projected timeline.
At this moment, there is no budget for the case-control study at all for 2008. (Please refer to the contract amendment signed between American Petroleum Institute and Applied Health Sciences in November 2006, Contract No. 2004-101153, Amendment No. 1.) Additional funding will be needed. Attached is a spreadsheet detailing the additional budget needed to complete the casecontrol study. Again, the budget estimate is based on the assumptions and timeline outlined above. Any changes in our assumptions will likely affect the budget.
Additional amounts needed by year (2007 and 2008) are itemized and justified in the attached budget (dated 2007-05-12). We are requesting the following additional amounts by year:
Year 2007 Year 2008
Total
$184,695 $703,505 $888,200
These amounts are needed in addition to those already approved in the November 2006 amendment (Contract No. 2004-101153, Amendment No. 1.).
2
SHELL-MCCLURG-062013
I am assuming that I will continue to be assisted by Professor Fu's group in connection with the case-control study, particularly with my QA/QC activities in Shanghai. Professor Fu's graduate assistants are also assisting me in a literature review of occupational and non-occupational risk factors of subtypes of AML and NHL. I anticipate that Professor Fu's group will also participate in analysis and report preparation. For the past years, Professor Fu had a separate contract with API to assist me in these activities. If Professor Fu's contract is not renewed, then we need to explore other appropriate alternatives. Please note that I have reserved both time and budget for interacting with members of the SRP in the last quarter of 2008. I anticipate that I will seek advice and suggestions in both analysis and report preparation from SRP members in the final months of the study. By the same token, API should budget separately some time for the SRP members to interact with me. If you have questions, please let me know.
I::Z;
Otto Wong, Sc.D. Chief Epidemiologist
Enclosure: AHS additional budget for 2007 & 2008
3
SHELL-MCCLURG-062014
Applied Health Sciences, Inc. Case-control Study of AML and NHL Additional Budget Estimate for 2007 and 2008
2007-05-12
Rationale and assumptions
We will receive a comprehensive test dataset by the end of September 2007 and the final dataset ready for analysis by the end of August 2008. We will perform the following tasks in September-December 2008: final QAlQC, data editing, statistical analysis, presentations, discussion with SRP and report writing.
In addition, based on our recent experience, we need to increase our efforts of QAlQC, database testing and auditing, and monitoring of patient interviews in 2007. For 2007, we have also added two additional trips to Shanghai (to the three already approved, with a new total of five trips).
Labor
Category Chief Epidemiologist (PI) Biostatistician Statistical programmer Research/Administration assistant Consulting industrial hygienist Total labor in 2006 dollars
Approved 2006 hourly rates $355 $175 $150 $115 $250
Hours 160 100 80 40 20
Year 2007 Amount $56,800 $17,500 $12,000 $4,600 $5,000 $95,900
Meetings/working tril2s (time & eXl2enses)
Trips to Shanghai (10 days each)
Tri~s in USA {3 days each}
Total for meetings/working trips in 2006 dollars
Approved 2006 unit costs $39,000 $11,600
Year 2007 No. Amount
2 $78,000 0 $0
$78,000
Miscellaneous expenses (copying, domestic & international calls, mail) in 2006 dollars
$2,000
Total additional budget in 2006 dollars (labor, trips & miscellaneous expenses)
$175,900
Hours 700 400 400 160 80
Year 2008 Amount
$248,500 $70,000 $60,000 $18,400 $20,000
$416,900
Year 2008 No. Amount
5 $195,000 2 $23,200
$218,200
$3,000
$638,100
Hours 860 500 480 200 100
Total Amount $305,300 $87,500 $72,000 $23,000 $25,000 $512,800
Total No. Amount
7 $273,000 2 $23,200
$296,200
$5,000
$814,000
Yearly budget estimates with a 5% annual adjustment Total additional budget by year (with 5% annual adjustment) Budget already approved (Contract No. 2004-101153, Amendment No.1) TOTAL REVISED BUDGET
Year 2007 $184,695 $456,475 $641,170
Year 2008 $703,505 $0 $703,505
Total $888,200 $456,475 $1,344,675
SHELL-MCCLURG-062015