Document XOaL2YGYxL3gXb9g6bEyN5Y5K
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fitprinted (ram the A. St. A. 3r<Awci a( Indtittriat Health. June 1753, VoL 17, pf. 634-453
Copyright 1953, by American Utiiieal Atjoeiotion
,
from
An Epidemiological Study of
Lung Cancer in Asbestos Miners
OANICl t MAUN. MJ),, d T. DAVID T*UAM, M.A^ Pirnkuryh
Ever since the pronounced increase in the incidence of lung oncer among males became apparent, there have been attempts to associate it with one or another of the various elements in the environment of man. The approach used by some workers has been to suspect one or several sub* s&nces and then set about in an intensive search ior lung cancer among persons who have had any exposure to those materials. In this connection. Smith ** writes: "The tendency of authors reporting the coinci dental occurrence of primary lung cancer with silicosis or with any other theoretical etiologic conditions, has been to emphasize the percentage relationship in extremely small series of cases, with control cases which are not in any way comparable-''
' It would seem inevitable that asbestos should come under scrutiny in this manner, because prolonged exposure to this material is known to cause a specific type of pneu moconiosis, and because persons who show this form of pneumoconiosis often come to autopsy and provide a. ready source of material for study. It was in this way that reports of the simultaneous occurrence of lung cancer and asbestosis began to accu mulate after the report of a case by Lynch and Smith** in 1935. Within the next 10 years, about 15 additional cases were re ported. and in 1954 Merewether1* reviewed all deaths from asbestosis recorded in Eng land since March, 1924. Lung cancer oc curred in 16ft of these cases. Gloyne,*1
Accepted for publiation Jan. 20. 19S8. This, stwiy was made possible through a fram frran tbs Quebec Asbestos Minins Association. Holies! Director (Dr. Braun) and Statistieil Consultant (Mr. Tran), Industrial Hygiene
694
whose work is also, frequently referred to as establishing a connection between asbes tosis and cancer of the lung, reported in 1951 that cancer of the lung was present in 14.1ft of asbestosis cases examined by him. In 1941, Nordmann and SorgoM claimed to have produced lung cancer in mice which they exposed to asbestos dust.
Since 1951, additional cases of oncer of the lung coexisting with asbestosis have been reported, and, according to Kueper** about 100 such cases had been reported up to 1955. As a result, an association between the two diseases appears to have been ac cepted by many authors, and several writers were using the term "asbestosis cancer" of the lung. Werber.** in 1952, stated cate gorically that in 7ft to 17ft of cases of asbestosis. after a latent period of about 1% to 20 years, carcinoma becomes estab lished in the lung.
On the other hand, not all authors ac cepted this alleged association without
reservation Saupe * in 1939 reported that
he had discovered no cases of lung oncer
among 620 cases of asbestosis which he
had examined; and in 1942, Holleb and
Angrist ** expressed the opinion that the number of eases of asbestosis with lung
cancer was loo small for statistical evalua
tion. In 1947, Wegelius** reported 126
radiologicdly diagnosed cases of asbestosis
among 476 workers in Finland, and. found
no cases of lung cancer in this group.
Goldblatt and Goldblatt in their section of
Merewcther's latest book,** sate: "But at
no sage in all these impressive researches
wns any due obtained which might have
offered any support to the possibility that
srh-stes co.ild act as s zl. .!.
"" .
i
j
I.UXC CANCER IX ASHHSTOS MINERS
at
is iiu reliable criterion by which one ctiv '`scheduled'' ureas, by which is meant,
.mtieipmc circiiiusfeniciiy and. as is well known, relatively mhiuic changes in the structure of a chemical carcinogen are suffi cient 10 diminish or climinan: carcinogenic
`those areas where processes are carried on
which were scheduled under the Asbestos
Industry Regulations of 1931 as being
dusty."
.
action. If asbestos is indeed to b$.regarded.as a
arcinogen, the need is felt to danonstratc some property which on be regarded as something more lhan inertness."
These authors advance the theory that, until some more experimental evidence of direct carcinogenesis by asbestos or a <iecum|>osuion product of it can be obtained, asbestos might be considered as a "co-car* cinogen" which" only induces a further de velopment of a preneopiasttc condition brought about by something independent of the asbestos, such as an endogenous factor.
Thus the literature, while tending to sup port the thesis that asbestosis is in some way related to the development of lung cancer, is by no means unanimous. Alto gether, it is perhaps more confusing than enlightening. A careful review shows that the majority of the reports are clinical and uot epidemiological. They lack many ele ments necessary for the application of epidemiological techniques to their content, and most of the authors do sot make claim to having done so. What has happened is that succeeding authors have drawn conclu sions and generalised beyond the $co{r of the works which they quote! Nowhere, tor
There is, furthermore, a complete lack of definition of terms as used in the pub lished literature. For example, the term "asbestosis," as used, may refer to changes observable only by microscopic examination ot the lung tissue, or it may mean a radiologictlly detectable condition.
Most of the published repons obviously included women among their cues, but some >f them do not give the number or proportion of women involved in the study.
There is also a lack of uniformity as to what ryie of exposure most studies have dealt with. Of 99 cases enumerated by Hucper4* in 1955. only 10 apr>ear to have originated in the United Stales, and 7 in Canada. Some of the earlier reports ap parently included asbestos miners, but it can be assumed, since S2 of the 99 cases had originated in England, and since no asbestos mining operations are carried on in that country, that most of the reported cases have involved workers in the textile or fabricating industries.
Such factors as smoking habits, family history of cancer, length of time in the industry, and age of the individual case are also notably absent in the majority of these
reports.
example, have -we found references to a population of asbestos workers, although several authors who have quoted the ob served incidence of lung cancer in autopsies
With this understanding of the limita tions ot the existing literature with respect to epidemiological generalisation, it may be of value to consider in somewhat more de
of persons mho also had asbesiosis imply tail some representative earlier publications, that this incidence applies to asbestos work a few of which were referred to briefly
ers, generally. We have likewise bent above.
unable to find any study which actually
One of the most detailed studies and one
calculated the incidence of lung cancer which deserves the most serious considera
among a population of person* who had tion is that reported by Doll54 in 1955-
asbestosis, and not just thoe who enne to This study reviews causes of deith among
autopsy. With the exception of a jKi|>cr asbestos workers based on coroners' rec
**y r`oH,*s none of those reviewed gave any ords. It uIm>
u,e hk
data on exj>osurc ami dust concentrations, l*y studying records of men who worked
and even Doll's paper merely mentions for at least 20 years in exposed situations.
i
1
SreiM--TniM
A/
635 o
*
A. M. .4. AfHIlIVl.S or
STRIA/. HI-.AI.TII
Doll concluded that lung cancer was a spe cific industrial hazard of certain asbestos workers and that, after 20 years of expo sure. the risk is 10 times as great as for the general jwpuiation.
This article is important for several rea sons. in addition to the definite conclusions at which it arrives. For example, it- .begins by stating that "in view of the infrequency of asbestosis. this large number of cases ('61 cases of lung cancer) suggests--but does not prove--rihat lung cancer is an occupational hazard of asbestos workers." Neither this article nor any previous one which we have examined presents any fig ures to prove that asbestosis is an infre quent occurrence. Estimates of the number of persons potentially exposed to asbestos dust in the United States alone van- from 10,000 to 35,000, and the incidence oi asbestosis of any degree might be higher than Doll imagines.
This study, like so many others, involves autopsy records. The number of persons involved in the statistical analysis is only 113, representing only 1,042.25 man-years of life. It is also true that in selecting men who had been employed for at least 20 years, the study automatically excluded those who died from other causes after shorter employment.
Another reason why this publication is ot importance is a statement which it con tains to the effect that "the strongest evi dence that it (lung sneer) may be a hazard (in asbestos workers) -has been produced by Merewether and by Gloyne."
In 1951' Gloynepresented a review of 1205 autopsies on persons who had worked in various dusty occupations. This number included 132 asbestos workers, of whom 121 showed "pneumoconiosis"--pre sumably asbestosis. Primary- cancer of the lung ocairred 17 times in this group, an incidence - rate of 14.1% 'for lung cancer among asbestosis cases coming to autopsy. There were in his series 796 cases with sili-
6,9% of these also showed pri mary cancer of the lung. The' incidence of
lung cancer in other forms of pneumoconio sis was 6.7%. and in 169 cases which proved not to have any type of pneumo coniosis it was 8.35<-. Gloyne considered "the mortality of the asbestos workers" to be "disturbing." First of all, it is obvious that the paper does not deal with the "mor tality of asbestos workers." and secondly, it must be borne in mind that all of Dr.
Gloyne's cases were submitted to him for study because the findings were unusual for uncomplicated pneumoconiosis. It can reasonably be assumed that cases, including those of asbestosis. tn which the findings were not considered unusual were not sent to Dr. Gloyne for examination. As a nut ter of fact, in the same paragraph in which he expresses concern over the incidence rate in asbestosis. Dr. Gloyne himseif
points out that the rate for lung cancer based on necropsies at the London Chest Hospital was 21.3ft while the figures of the Registrar-General showed only 2.4%. He thus recognized that autopsies on a cer tain selected group of cases were not rep resentative of the general population. It would seem. then, that notwithstanding the
value of Dr. Gloyne's work, its importance as an index of the prevalence of lung can cer in asbestotics has been misinterpreted by some who have quoted him. All that it really shows is the faet that in a group of 121 cases, selected for special study pri marily because they seemed abnormal by preliminary examination. 17. or 14.1ft, had lung cancer.
Merewether15 in 1947, in the report of the Chief Insjfector of Factories, reviewed all cases retried between 1924 and 1946 in which asbestosis was the cause of death
or a coexisting condition. This work was later extended to include all such tases re-
jwrted up to December. 1954, by which time
there were 344 deaths, including 205 males
.and 139 females. Among them were 55
cases (16%) of cancer of the lung. 41 in
males and 14 in females. It is quite possible
that a large number of
wk a;a
not die of their asbestosis. or in whose
636 tV/ }?, Junf. jw
AV
i
U W'C C.4KCER IX .4SUEST0S MIXERS
death certificate it wa$ not mentioned, may have been missed- The import of this 16% is enhanced by the simultaneous statement that the incidence of lung cancer in autop sies of the general |>opuintion is only 1%. The danger of attempting to compare a rate found in 344 cases with the rate for the general population without respect to age, occupation, and many other variables, such as smoking habits, is obvious.
Lynch/0 who with Smith ** had reported the first case in 1935, reported 4 cases of carcinoma of the lung in a series of 49 autopsies on workers in an asbestos manu facturing plant who were shown to have ''demonstrable deposits of asbestos in the lungs." This, of course, is not necessarily identical with the disease asbestosis. Lynch, himself, points our that, although this is an incidence of 82%. "both figures are too small tor very serious statistical types of calculation." Nevertheless, later writers have used this paper to strengthen the case for an association of carcinoma of the lung with asbestosis. It is also of interest that Kfotz ** found only the same number of oses of lung cancer in a- series nearly 10 times as large, i. e., 4 in 478 cases of asbestosis.
Behrens, as cited by Merewether/* esti
mated that, of 309 cases of asbestosis in the
literature, 44 showed associated cancer of
the lung--giving an incidence of 14.2%.
This is an illustration of generalizing an
incidence obtained in a group of cases
which were undoubtedly reported only 6e-
coute some of them showed lung cancer, to
possibly hundreds of asbestotics whose
cases were never reported. The same ap
plies to the conclusion of Teleky,** who
appears to have reviewed reports of 39
autopsies on persons with asbestosis among
which 6 cases of lung cancer occurred. In
formation from sources such as these does
not justify generalizations with regard to
mortality rates.
.
Perhaps no one has written so exten sively on the subject as has Hucper.1*s* In 1955 he reviewed the cases M reported
prior to that date and enumerated a total of 99. Eleven of these were those dis cussed by Doll :l and may have been cases covered by other authors. Eight were dis covered by Kennaway and Kennaway*5 in an analysis of death certificates, and. unless Merewether's study was incomplete, these oses should have been included in his re port. Of the remaining SO, it is quite pos sible that the 31 contributed by Merewether and the 17 bv Glovne contain some duplica tion with each other or with those of other English authors.
Principles of the Epidemiological Method
Dorn J0 has pointed out that much of what is now thought to be pertinent concerning she comparative frequency of lung cancer in ditterent population groups has been de veloped from the analysis of clinical ma terial, particularly surgical and autopsy records, supplemented to some extent by the reported impressions of various clini cians based upon their personal observa tions. More recently, however, attention has turned to the systematic investiga tion of this problem by the same methods that have proved so successful previously in the study of communicable diseases, that is to say. by epidemiological methods.
In order to apply this method of investi gation to the problem under discussion, we were of the opinion that a study should be planned so as to provide (1) a well-defined population group; (2) available data for ail members of this population, including the healthy as well as the ill; (3) a sample which is truly representative of the popula tion; (4) reliable and valid observations relating to the problem of the study.
A serious defect, common to most of the studies which have been reported, is that little or no information concerning the healthy people in the group seems to have been available to the author. In order to draw a generalization regarding all asbesm* workers, it is necessary for a study to in clude living persons as well as the dead.
B'6iu*--Trnan
K\T
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OR INDUSTRIAL Hl-.At.TH
Limiting the investigation to cases coining to oujo/-i\f, "as has been trequemly oone in earlier studies, still further restricts its use in generalization. The problem with which we are concerned is whether asbestos miners experience more lung cancer than does the general population. The answer necessitates the collection of reliable infor mation on asbestos miners as a group, as well as on the general population.
It seems advisable to discuss the differ ences between the epidemiological approach and that used *in the studies which have been reported to date. A very important consideration is the fact that lung cancer, in spite of its increasing numbers, is still a disease of iovv incidence; that is, in a given population not many persons will contract this particular disease. This fact requires that large samples or groups must be stud ied to provide meaningful results.
Recognizing the difficult)* of obtaining such large samples, most earlier writers deviated from the epidemiological method and sought to circumvent the requirement of observing well persons by (1) compar ing the fdc'ize frequency ot cancer in vari ous sites: (2) comparing the relative frequency of cancer in a group of hospital ized patients: (3) comparing the relative frequency of cancer in a group of cases coming to autopsy.
Attempting to compare two population groups, looking only at the relative fre quency of cancer in various body sites, may result in finding ^higher percentage frelative frequency) in-one of the groups, when, in fact, the mortoiily rate of cancer of a particular organ is exactly the same in both groups. This is- very clearly dem onstrated in the excellent article by Dorn.*0 The mortality rate from a particular cause \s the true measure of comparison.-
It is apparent that selected groups such as hospitalized patients or autopsy cases may not be in any way representative of a larger group, and that in dealing with such samples, the observer may easily find
cases of a given disease than would
be found in another group of the same size, out representative ot the general population. U is true that investigation of cases from such a sample can furnish information valuable for research, but the use of this information in drawing generalizations is necessariiv restricted. Jt is the obligation of both the investigator and of those who read his report to make proper comparisons and to draw only those conclusions which are valid and justified. A good statistical study oi cases of cancer of the lung occur ring in a group of autopsies can lead to a proper inference concerning the frequency of lung cancer among cases coming to autopsy, but only to such cases. For in formation from such a study to be pro jected to some larger group, it is necessary that the autopsies represent a good sample of that larger group. To assume that such is the case in any particular series is dan gerous and likely to be false.
There is some danger that the figures reported by some authors may be miscon strued as applying to asbestos workers or even asbestos miners, when, in fact, the authors in question do not make this gen eralization. mir can the generalization be nude for the reasons stated. Gose study of the reports reveals that the percentages cited relate only to the group of autopsies covered by the particular investigation.
The present study, in contrast to the earlier works, has been planned to utilize the epidemiological method. A well-defined group of asbestos miners has been estab lished in such a wav that it constitutes a good sample of the whole population of asbestfo miners in Quebec. Data for all members of this group have been collected anti analyzed. Those concerning lung can cer have received most careful considera tion. DeuviU of the methods employed will be set forth later, but the type of approach is considered to. permit of fair comjmrisons and valid generalizations.
Collection and Analysis of Data
A preliminary survey cf pv......juices of information in February, 1956, involved
638 Vet. 17. Ju*r. I9M
/-/
l.ry't: CJXCF.R /A* .-tvrt/.cym-
v
dincussions with the pliv>ici:utN iu charge cohort ;is then followed by nic.ni-> of the
of the asbestos companies* pr/>gr:mi anil annual physical examination records
with clinicians. |>atholngiM$. reprtrseiuaiivi-s through a dx-year interval, 1950 through
of City and Provincial health dejwnnwnts 1955. All data regarding this group were
and of the Canadian Cancer Society, and then tabulated in order to determine the
whet interested }>crms. It was found, that characteristics of the cohort. For those who
morbidity data, although somewhat limited, survived the entire j>eriod. reference was
were available from such sources as the made :o the physiol'examination results
hospitals in Montreal and Quebec City, and and x-niy findings at the end of the period.
the 13 cancer detection centers in the Prov Those who had died were tabulated sepa
ince. However, because of the high mor rately. and the cause of death was
tality itt lung cancer, it seemed advisable corroborated by examination of the death
to deftend upon data relating to deaths. certificates. A further search was made
These we found to Ite obtainable at the concerning those in the original cohort who
vital statistics department- of the Ministry remained unaccounted for when the living
of Health in Quebec City. From the pre ami the known dead had been tabulated.
liminary survey, it was ap|nrem that exten They represent men who had left employ
sive and detailed information could be ment through retirement or resignation.
gathered with respect to both the |>er<nn* Kventuaiiy. all but a small number of these
employed in the asbestos mininc industry were accounted sot as cither living or dead.
and the mortality figures tor the general ;uui iu the latter event, the cause of death
Imputation..
was substantiated in a similar manner, and
Following., this exploratory survey, the - the resuits added to the original list of initial eti'nrt was directed 10 the collection deaths.
of data relating to all workers who had
Death certificates for the Province of
been processed through the clinic at Thei- Quebec tor the years 1952 to 1955, inclu
forri Mines since its inception itt 1947. and sive, were reviewed in the department of
similar information regarding all workers vital statistics of the Provincial Health
at Asbestos. Que. Dam from the clinical Ministry, together with statistical sum
records included the age. family and per maries of the causes of deaths in the Prov
sonal medical histories, smoking habits, ince by counties. All cases in which death
number of years of ex|*surc. an estimate was certified as having been due to pri
<( weighted ex|osurc. and the course of ntary cancer of the lung were examined for
the individual's health stains or the cause such information as place of residence,
of his death.
. '
occupation, date of death, hospital in which
From this information it was )*visible death occurred, and whether or not an to formulate a "cohort" which could be well autopsy was performed. Cases its which
defined, should be representative oi the lung cancer was given as a cause of death, whole group, and could be follower! for a but in which it was not specified as to
definite period of time. All of the available whether the cancer'originated in the lung,
experience* indicates that the development were also reviewed in an effort to include
of asbestosis io less than five years of ex all instances of primary carcinoma of the posure must be somewhat rare. Accord lung in the study.
ingly, the cohort was defined as including
The statistics for the Province of Quebec
every miner who had a total exjsure of relate to population, total deaths from all
five or more years, and who was on the causes, total deaths from rmc:r
employment rolls in 1950. Office and other and deaths from lung cancer. These were
nonexposed personnel, regardless of length collected and tabulated by counties and by
of employment, were not included. This sex for the years 1950 to 1955. inclusive.
Bratett--Tmon
639
A. M. A. AHai/niS or ISDISTR1AL HhAl.ru
From-(hem, death rates for the geneiai population of Quebec and of individual counties were calculated for specific years and analyzed by cause.
Practically all employees of one company are covered by a group policy of life insur ance which, fortunately, nearly all of them continue to carry when they retire. A very few are not covered by this policy, and those who leave the industry for one reason or another except retirement usually are no longer covered, but this is likewise a small number. As ait additional check upon the information obtained from the clinical records on this group, .the records of the life insurance company were examined for all death claims paid tinder the policy, and particular notice was taken of the claims in which the prooi of death was based on cancer of the lung.
Deaths from lung cancer among asbestos miners were thus determined from the clinical records in the medial service of the industry and checked by means of the death certificates and insurance company records. The deaths were then verified individually by reviewing them with the physicians in charge of the medical services. In this man ner, there was established a list of cases in which primary oncer of the lung is con sidered to have been proved as the cause of death. A few cases in which lung cancer is strongly suspected but not proved as the ause of death were considered separately. Mortality rates have been calculateri^using both the "proved" and the total of "proved" and "suspected" cases during the years un der observation. Comparisons were then made between the death rates from the same cause among specific segments of unex;>o5ed persons. All lung cancer deaths, both suspected and proved, were carefully ana lyzed to determine possible relationship or correlations between the develojiment of lung cancer and any factor known from the clinical records, such as family history of cancer, personal history of heavy smoking.
ot asbestosis, or exposure to asbestos.
640
in audition to thi> analysis ot deaths oc curring in the cohort and during the years under observation, every known death from cancer of the lung, as well as even- case diagnosed but still living, has been tabulated and analyzed. They will be discussed separ ately from those included in the population and time-interval under study.
A comparison of lung cancer mortality in the asbestos-producing counties has been made with that in counties which are far removed from the asbestos mines and in which, presumably, no asbestos miners live.
Finally, in order to broaden the compari son of death rates in different population groups, the rates have been collected for Canada generally, ami for the United States, according to the me: recent published and unpublished materia!.
Results and Interpretation
The cohort which was constructed accord
ing to the criteria described in the preceding
section has been considered individually and
compared with the general population.
Description at the cohort will be presented
here as a preface to the results of the study:
Ortciml CoWt Prr'ai* IMucirJ
Fin*l CSxn Ijfjfic in 1955 (`nrkin* ml rvnml) l>na w ms
Ctxtrt ( Ivme UimtKrtUblc 19*C*f il Inn,' Other vm t'Ahmvn f.uMl .Vmwglnt Vnltiiovn
6,Ml 111
5,951 ua
m 9
.j 149 4
.tn 1J4J
20
Tables 1. 2. 5. and 4 present age. number of years of employment, weigh'.ed average cxjiosure, and smoking habits of the cohort.
A co*.n|>ariMiu of the exposure to asbestos dust is presented in Table 3`. All members m the cohort were placed in one of three categories, representing increasing degrees of ex]x>sure based nn a weighted average of the years sjxnt at various levels of dustiness. The degree of dustiness for each job category was determined a*rer cor'-*'**, liuit with persons familiar with the environ ment and conditions in the various work
V,,t. 17,
WS*
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7 7^0
LUNC CANCER IN ASBKSTOS MINERS
TaALS l.--Number tmd Percentage Dillributw* Ta*LC Z--Number and Percentage Distributive by
______________________
>V
. Length of Employment
he*
SoOn-M..,.
UarnaTi" "' !
.............
it*--............... ,,...
NubMr J.: i.rc*
|
* lev this 9J%.
rr Cent
H 19
*
Unrtfi ( Ifflpw'orm
>........................................................ 10-U........................................................ -.......................................................
M>........................................................ r...._................................... .........
........................................
Nus>t*r
l.TM Uh
ns va IU u
LftU
tee C*(
X 40 >1 . )0 I
1
100
areas. For the purposes of calculation, the assumption has been made that the relation ship between these categories is linear, and that Category II is twice as dusty, and Category III three times as dusty as Cate gory I.
uallv smoking more than five cigarettes per day. Persons who smoke pipes or cigars exclusively were not considered to be smok ers ior the purpose of this study.
Table 5 presents the yea--by-year ex perience of the cohort and indicates the
Taste A.--Number and Percentage Dittriovtiem by Exposure Category
Tasl 4.--Number end Percentage Distribution by SmoPtno Hcbets
Eiootwi Ciutorr
I.......................................................
Numrur
HUant..nWi,,.......... ..
AMflft
................................... ....................
Lea iOid
1
Per Ceei 2* 2*
Soierier Hiuu
imttn................................. NentmrtKfrt Ontoova.................
^oul>._..............
*t4t!o oar*.
HusMr
?r Cni
: 21
100
The fourth variable, smoking habits, was similarly tabulated and is shown in Table 4. This was included because the informa tion was available and because smoking was regarded as one of the variables which, besides the environment, eould conceivably influence the development of lung cancer. As used in this presentation, the term smoker refers to a cigarette smoker, habit*
number of deaths each year from specified <ause$. In general, a case was considered to be "proved" as one of primary cancer of the lung when the records showed that die diagnosis had been supported by an autopsy or surgical resection of the lung with microscopic examination of the re moved tissue. In one ase so considered, however, diagnosis was confirmed by bron-
Tails 3.--Y ear-oyrear Experience of Cohort a. na tseatn nmfj
' MomYeori of Risk
N. AJi at 8tianioc
*t Vw
Fntearr Ct. M Lucie
Cum DaU
SonxnM
rnairr
C*.K Lunt
Other C<ww
*Ti*wd~ fW Mr loan nto-tMit at tm>
-- SJ
ISJBiJ
tt--n per tUijsjO B*A->un M rat - -
mMM
tlu-Ynn
MfttM
i.tn Mttt Uvnas umia
Broun--Tneon
a*
< (.ORicr Deaths by Length Sinfioyncnl
So. of
Tov
1-tnoM
i.vo
uT*S
I 1S
4
no 0
*, Ooo.h R..O
\<lfV Ecmu
JWW
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A. it. A. ARCHIVE* OF IXDCSTXiAL HEALTH
TaiuC 6.--"Proved* Cotes Of Primary Cancer Of the Lung
All Seekr
Ctpnun
4* tt
W Y4
<4 Yu
23 jt- in Cm. U
41
M
Xt * j* rr.rn Cjl i
U V
S rr. m C4L U1
D>M tP-13-Sl >-4-M Kfr-Xr 4-75-SJ 4-W-SJ 11-23-M *- S-K y -u
Amepif Vi Yu So Ytt
Vo Vo Branch.
Yu No So So Vfi Xti Yu No
i visualization and biopsy. In would be very close to the 95% level
/ugh there was no autopsy, the of significance. However, having found just
primary cancer of the lung 12 cases, we are not above this level, and
been beyond question,
therefore the hypothesis that asbestos miners
.uspected" primary cancer o: do not have a higher mortality from lung
those cases in cancer than does the general population can
-~s in doubt but not be rejected. Nevertheless, the occur
. joints to cancer of the rence of 12 cases in this sample would
ere three such cases,
increase the rate to a point which approaches
an-years of risk" has been the significant ievei. Because oi the tre
he number of men at risk mendous importance of the questionable
nder observation. A person rases in this respect, some detail regarding
ighout the year was counted them will be given here.
:r of risk, but one who died
In one of these cases, the suspicion of
was counted as one-half a cancer of the lung is based upon the x-ray
interpretation, and. although no autopsy was
ng in the cohort, and in performed, the death certificate indicates
rr is considered to have that death was due to lung cancer. It is
cause, are shown in Table well known that the x-ray appearance of
shown three deaths which fibrosis, especially if a localized density or
rred as "suspected" lung a superimposed tuberculous lesion is pres
ent, can simulate that of a tumor, and by
the importance of these itself, does not justify the inclusion of this
a interpreting the results case as one of "proved" cancer of the
s is desirable before fur- lung. A second case was certified as having
the mprtaiiry rates which died by reason of hydrothorax, possibly due
tafies. For example, it' to lung cancer, but again there was no
found for the proved surgery and no (xjstmortem examination.
- he `'expected" rate based In the third ensv, although it was subjected
ulation figures for die to autopsy, two pathologists disagreed as to
; shown later, and on whether lung cancer was present. The death
d find eight deaths from was certified as having been due to chronic
-* the cohort. Actually, myocarditis with nephritis and pulmonary
ved. If, however, the congestion, and possibly cancer of the lung.
-cted" cases were in- On the basis of these facts, it seems unwar
iis figure to 12, the total ranted to include these three cases among
TaIIX 7.~'Svtpccti<t* primary Cancer of the Lung
*er Yu Yw Yu
Emeara
it. la Cm. ftt sn.ucu.rn ttyr.MCu.tl
jMtd w-ss-m 1- M2 S-20-U
At*t*r Me Yu Ne
. Attorna
X YN*u
Vat. 17, June. }OiS
f
b
: members of the rrjnon u lung cancer at a younger
neral population, y weighted exposure are : 10. and it will be noted
nt strong evidence against i carcinogenic agent, for, it
oestos is in any way conancer, we would expect that
heavier the exposure, the that would be found. The trior in this interpretation he weighted exposures were i| to years of employment.
hi t.'or<r Ocaiht ey Exposure' Cotenory
nj XurnM' 1 Uunt Cixecr Dclihi
VXrnn.vontt
Ka. el Owim
rt
yi.t-.Ht
C>mo Ot<uhCioRowut** Mf t.0
YU*M
a t
a
ti
Tn
St n JT
a
t*
M3
Weighted Exposure Categories 'ey Length of Employment
u>Khtj Eirmufr
CeiuenMoi I
um
M X10k-9lt ao-ji *&-<
rot M114 31;1 34
SK mHi i1t7
0 4110
iwTuoiurliun Mttceian
call
its
ciso
t.m HA
kuon Taut t.m
t - tin4sU 0 1uU i a.o irj
in which case the heaviest weighted ex
posure (Category 111) would show the
shortest length o( employment. Ta'oie 11.
which lists the number of persons in various
exposure categories by length of employ
ment indicates that this error has not oc
curred. In fact, the average number of years
of employment for each exposure category
is almost identical.
_'
Table 12, which develops the rates tor
smokers and nonsmokers, is most striking.
It shows that not a single case of lung
cancer developed among the 1265 non
smokers and that all cases of lung cancer,
both "proved" and "suspected." occurred in
smokers.
Table 12 was so striking that it was felt
that further verification was necessary. It
was possible that some abnormal distribu
tion may have occurred, e. g., the non-
TasU 13.--iV*i6er and Percentage Distribution of Smokers and Nonsmokers o? Age C'ouet
A* Gfoop 30-44....................... 41-J4.......... ........... A1MSA4............................................ Datnvn_.........
Taub_--.. A*4ran )i(-..........
N'lUBber Soatir Xenamottt iXO n
tn *24 4M m 1*4 ISO
2 0 4.C3 1.260
Cnkoavn
< 3 1 l 30 40.T
Smoitrt ,Vwjmo*rrj
Nwtn l PtrWil iM Somber f Lu( Ciw<> itealhi
ky Smootnc Kibti
S. el Otfthl
lnoni
Totl
Xonmoccn. Vaiw-r............
4.n
0 0
0 0
Tul.,,.........
l.U
3
13
Annuel LunreCi iZ'eCnr?ervSrecitafty RSmmoicueie*r H1*060.m00) MukVuti
No. of Doaini
SaioKm............................. XCentnnnb3o'S*...n..._.._................................................
Piotw
32
0 0
Taul
41
o 0
0f-oll...................................
IS
>4
smokers may have included a larger percer.ts.gt ct young men. Consequently, ad ditional Tables. U. 14. and 15 were con structed to show the distribution of smokers and nonsmokers by age. length of employ ment. and degree of exposure. Although there are siigh: differences.. they do not account for the fact that all observed cases of lung cancer were in smokers. In respect to age {Table 13) the combined average age of the smokers was 4.9 years less than that of the nonsmokers. Table 14-show* that as far as length of employment is con-
Tabu 14--Number end Percentage Distribution of Smokers and Sownokeet by Length of Employment
EBIvMmobrnMuni 1H0-l.................................. 3400---34J................................................... JM-.................. Aru<Tk#ottrltft....<....
...
NatsMr Smoktn NcniniSKtri
ITT
43S IIAM4 1.1
s
1J VI
Cnknvwn
4 04 0
ro Kt.ft
hmaufi Dfrtflbuuoo
Ac* Omt
Snoktt Xwwwtt
30-44..............................
4-W.......... .. SS-04..............................
U IW it
>4J
it.: I*B
.
Taisll_______
toos
toon
PttfcnT>
OB 30B I0B
SB
toon
Uyt thin #%.
6*4
ruTTBtan DtstHbuuon
l*nttn m CnokrtMiu
Smektr Mruiuokrr
S4................. ........ 30.1
Unknown
.............
34 0.1
U 100%
0.0 toor.
Vol. 17. Sunt. )95S
LUNG CANCER IN ASBESTOS MINERS
TaJU IS.Sumber and Pereentaoe Oisiribuiion
of Smokers and Nonsmoeert by
Exposure Category
.
Cautery
t...............................
m............................... Duao........ ............
ToieU. Axnn axpeturr
cuttea
SaHin
4 4.C3 It
NoaiMun <51
1 1.2*9 W
UeXaovn 4 * 0
9 U
Fcrcaouit Pbulbatloa
Creenm Cauierr
Smokon Xeoatektn
t................... M . ______ T7aasevp_....
JfcJ
KS a.: 3S.T
u
T*tai_.... 19%
197.
UoXbovn
9.0 49.0 04
looev
cented, the smokers had worked about 2.3 years less on the average than the non smokers. With longer exposure and greater age, one would expect the nonsmoking group to show a higher rate it lung cancer were due to asbestos. Table 13 shows that the average exposure category was almost the same tor the two groups. Therefore, this variable seems to be of no importance in accounting for this difference.
The result of this additional analysis is that none of these factors appears to lessen the effect of Table 12.
Comparison of the Cohort Experience with that of the Province of Quebec, Do minion of Canada, and the United States.-- In order to make a comparison of the experience among asbestos miners with that of the general, population of the Province of Quebec, statistics were gathered, as staled earlier, in the office of the Division of
in the Provincial Miv.i;-..v <ji Health. The data on total deaths, deaths from all forms of cancer, and deaths from cancer of the lung were obtained by sex and by county for the years 1950 through 1955. In addition, all death certihcaces which specified primary cancer of the lung, and all those which indicated Jung cancer but did not specify the origin, were exam ined for the years 1952 through 1955.
Table 16 gives a tabulation of the number' of deaths from lung cancer in the Province and in the cohort tor the years 1950 through 1955, and shows the annual rate per 100.000 in these segments. It will be noted from the table that the mortality rate for the "proved" cases in the cohort is only slightly higher than the rate for the Province. When the 'suspected" eases are included in the calculation, the rate for the cohort rises to 33.8 per 10Q.0QQ. which is about 50T*e higher than the rate tor the Province. This, it will be recalled from the previous dis cussion of the effect of the "suspected" cases on the results, approaches but does not exceed the significant level.
One further interesting observation from Table 16 is the rather marked increase in the total number of cases for the Province between 1950 and 1955. It is assumed that at least pan of this increase is due to im proved recognition and reporting of lung oncer during the interval. For this reason,
the years 1954 and 1955 were thought to be more nearly representative of actual condi tions. Even so, it is quite likely that the general population is not studied for lung cancer with the same diligence with which
TaSLE 16.--Comforusen of Cohort -jrilA Previntt of Quebec
Lose Canmr Dootbi
Anneal
. finni 1190 1U1 1*92 109 194 1*99 Total >03.000
Frm<e CoToontal
m*d (virtueiai oobutm
un-oeo*
10* a t
a 91st
949
749
m xa an}a astt
an 1.04
194a
I 1.(12
*rktnt
SJ
U the Proton flnrri. It Ku Orta tauB*4 *0 Btl* Ium oearOwthtef. lot ato v> rr-
* Aspvetrmmu oiepOkPlellAt raucrwrwM pep-mum tot 1*91, M vbtvnimateO population ler 1*94 (lUppeft, Civ. tfo la Ot iffipnitl.
(Number alive ta cohort as bdvuuitf at 1*91.
Bream--Trap*
645
A|* Croup --4 O413M-rMM Tauit
A. U. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
TailC \7.--Luxf Concrr Deaths for the province ef Quebec*
pQpwuiion TTT.fcO Stirt.l.JDwMMo
1337.000
fiunOcr ( Dotdf
SIM
Tu) Camera
SmciOtU PrjSir*
Tui Protaa Taul ProsrS
IT IICDrO
3n13L
14)1 ' a
1 33I1I
3U 13) Ul
M
'lIU
Tsui CmiSM
SnctoM PnaJary
Toul Protaa Taul Ptarad
I3T0 u%
% 37
HI M 1U
30 US 337 VS3
Aw Oroue
||ti
sty 4W
M
.................... 7.
OTT/Uil.,.,......... .. ...............
Duu Ksta per 100.000
ISM
Twi Carnets Scvnrwd Pr:=ry
TaaJ Prod Tool Prot
I33II3.l3T3
i.r mi
l.l 30.4 M3
141.31 133443
U-S 1.7 13.1 1.0
1133
Taul C<n*4
SoaaOM PrMt7
Total Praraa Taul ?ro*4
5-3 44L4.3b to 411134..3.13*
it.6 13.S r.: 113
* Di* (ns etna tamieouj.
t Cstmtu ia 9>ocl*IK>s aouiAal BT *99>r<9| ItsI pertaoutn lor
to Jfeppon. Pit. 31 u Ptssprapnit.
.
' |ue* (at suits is tea tool pjpuliiioa far ||M. u iittn
this disease is looked for in the miners, and it seems probable that the mortality rates tor the Province may be low. This would appear to be substantiated by the fact that the reporting of cases in the cohort showed no such increase over the same period.
Table 1? was compiled to show the an nual age-specific lung cancer rate of cases in which the death certinate merely read "cancer of the lung." as distinguished from those in which the diagnosis was confirmed by autopsy, surgery, or biopsy. The term "specified primary" refers to those cases in these two categories in which the tumor was specified as having originated in the lung. It will be noted that, of the total cases reported in 1953, a much higher percentage than in 1954 were specified as primary. The table also shows that a higher percentage of the total cases certified in 1955 were proved, again indicating increasing interest in this disease.
A comparison has been made between the age-specific rates shown-in Table 17, and those for the cohort, shown in Table 8. An average of the 1954 and 1955 rates for the Province has been used, since the 1955 figure was higher and may have been ex ceptional.
This comparison, summarized in Table 18, shows that the observed number oi deaths in our sample is not significantly greater than the expected number of deaths, based on the average of the 1954 and 1955 figures for the Province. It is true that, in the case oi the age group of 65 and over, the five deaths provide a figure which is almost significant at the 95$e level. How ever, it should be noted that this number includes one of the suspected but unproved cases previously referred to. Furthermore, it is rather likely that the rate for the general population is understated in this age group, ior the obvious reason that the exact cause of death in the very old is not
Tailc 18.--Comparison of the Actual and Effected Number of Lung Cancer Dtaths-by Age Among
Asbestos Miners
ProniKa Taul SiwiWO
Oreua
70~U
*MM IM U-fe Usknaaii
pa 105300
13 343 *7.1 M3
*
Xa.ar Mlnm
Irorrd D*4tu*
Obaar*td Na. a< Daaibi
Tre*0 T*u
am 1,114
113 IU
*
t
1 -
*0
tiumSTt s bAVd o th tTT-rrre! ttM UM tod
t ..1133 MT-tOKtnc row* wc tn Pric ef
acioout
W4 Voi 17, June, 19S1 S'**/
LUXC CAXCER y.v ASBESTOS MIXERS
Taole 19.--.4cr Distribution of Adult Males jor Taale 20 --Annttal Death Roles per ]00/X0 {'
the Province of Quebec. 19iT*
Cancer et im Luny 1.1 Coj-sLu '
Onun of Ywi
M* Craue
NuMr
rn*nuit in Csnsri
Act Ci^ap
I9J1-IVJJ
1041-100
14JO-IWJ
33--4.....................
aM
.MM...................... ............
IM.9S2 13.0*4
l U
1* 10
AH-.......................
1U..4T
w
&
- 1.110.490
its
100
lupport. 1AM.
a matter of the same intensity o! interest as it is In younger persons.
t'lVW
30-M
11-14 V44
.
O-ul
M-M
il-AO
C6-M
n-u ;m:o M Aw AU Am
o.: 0.0 5,ft 111 ,v: 1.2 P7 12.1
t2 u*
0J 1.0 0.9 4A 1.2 >.q 3.4 4.S 12 0 it: 19.9 Jt.2 rj n: u.; "2
HE*
P*J u.-< rt. 2.: HJ 51.0 7.1 u.1
Table 18 also answers a question pre viously raised. It shows that the members
* ~Mvru!>! tram tun; CMKtr in CjiwAi." l*Ji is 10J2.
of the cohort have nor died from lung can cer at an age earlier than the general popu lation, and that such .an explanation cannot be offeree for the absence of lung cancer in 240 men with more than 40 years oi employment referred to on page 643.
Before leaving this comparison of the Province with the miners, it should be shown that their age distributions art rea sonably the same. That this is the case can be observed from Table 19.
It should be remembered that the miners retire and consequently, it can be expected that the oidest age group will be larger in the genera! population- The data presented in Table 20 indiote that the lung cancer rate generally decreases after age '0. There fore, we could expect the race for oil people over 65 to be smaller than the rate for the group between 65 and 75, which would apply to the oldest group of miners. It is felt that by using the whole adult male popula tion. we have developed rates for the gen eral population which are somewhat lower than if we had been able to exclude the people in the general population over 75.
A comparison between the asbestos miners and the population of the Dominion as a whole was made, using statistical material from several sources. In one source. Phil lips " gave age- and sex-specific rates for Canada for three periods between 1931 and 1952. The rates for males are given in Table 20.
These figures shew strikingly the increase in rates between 1931 and 1952, and this
mcrease is particularly marked after age 50. confirming an observation previously made. ;o the enecc that until recently lung cancer h3S probably been underdiagnosed in the eider age groups in the general popu lation.
To use these figures tor purposes of comparison, it is necessary to combine the rates tor certain age groups in order to conform to the age distributions used in this study. Since the exact populations in each age group for the years indicated is not known, this must be an approxim.av.cn. However, the rates would be somewhat as follows:
A( Crup
JO.n
<SJ*
SS-t*
tSf
Ri
.S
2?
' Of
0*5
These rates are, in general, lower than those developed foe the totai (proved and suspected) cases of lung cancer among the asbestos miners. The only large difference, however, is in the age group oi 65 years anti over, and it is quite possible that the rate for this group may have increased for Canada between 1952 and 1954 as it did for the province of Quebec (Table 17).
A further comparison has been made with an over-all rate obtained from the American Cancer Society for respiratory cancer deaths in Canada in 1953. This rate, ior males, is 20.S per 100.000, or 5 mere per 1CG.CCC. than Phillips' 1950-1952 rate, and compares with 25.3 pc. IC2.CCC I./. proved cases and 33.S per 100.000 for total cases among the
647
Aj./
A. M. A. ARCHIfES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
T.UK
of Dfailt* unit Dtoth Rates
lOOpW by Aae Grotlft for the Adult
Afelc PofulatMn 0/ Ihf United Stain *
Agt ClWP SO-M O-Jt
MT Tstal
Vapulatnn luiim kou.ux i.K0xaa M.tlO.OOO
Cum
J.V79 UM Mt4 lO
Halt p*1100.000 i.% MJ M.<
UJ r..i
* tram -vital Stuoua 1 Uw CtM Statu." v*l 1 wxlllMl
asbestos miners in this study. It is there* fore obvious that there are no important differences between the rates for asbestos miners and those for the general population of Quebec and the Dominion of Canada.
Since it is probable that figures for the United Sates are more complete and, there fore. possibly more comparable to the data for the miners, age-specific rates were com puted iron*. "Vital Statistics of the United States,'' Volumes I and II. for 1952. These rates have been tabulated in Table 21.
It is apparent that these rates compare favorably with those for the asbestos miners as shown in Table S. Still other rates for the United States were obtained from the American Cancer Society, and for males, these were 25.3 per 100.000 in 1953, and 2S.0 per 100.000 in 1955. They are not identical with the rate calculated from the figures of the office of Vital Statistics, but this is possibly because the American Can cer Society rates are for males of all ages. Nevertheless, they. too. compare favorably with the rates of 25 for 34 for total cases) obtaining among the asbestos miners.
Turning for a moment to a comparison between the asbestos miners and persons who are exposed to asbestos in one form or another (as distinguished from the gen eral population groups just discused, who have no exposure) an interesting observa tion can be developed by deduction. Hueper ** has stated that there are about 35.00Q persons exposed in the United States, and we have found that the Canadian- mines employ about 8000. Elsewhere, it has been estimated that the workers in England who have exposure total between 3000 and 5000. With workers in Africa, Denmark, Nor
way, and ether countries, at least 50.000 persons must be exposed throughout the world, and it can be assumed that this number has been fairly constant in the 20 years since 1935 when the first case ot asbestosis with lung cancer was reported. At least 1.000,000 man-years of exposure has thus been accumulated, and this figure can be divided by the approximately 150 cases of lung cancer with asbestosis re ported during the 20-year period. This gives a rate of 13 per 100,000, which is at least indicative that any lung cancer rate which can be calculated for workers ex posed to asbestos dust is not much greater than that for the unexposed population.
Comparison Between Eight Counties Ad jacent to the Asbestos-Producing Areas and Eight Selected Czu>:t:cs --To compare iurg cancer mortality rates in the counties sur rounding the asbestos-producing areas with another group of counties in which no as bestos miners are likely to reside, the rates were computed on the basis of figures for the years 1930 through 1955. The e:em counties seiected for comparison were Argemeuil. Chateaugay. Monunagny, Portneui, Richlieu. Riviere-du-Loup. St. Hvacimhe. and Terrebonne, mainly because they represent a wide geographic distribu tion throughout the Province. The counties selected because of their proximity to the asbestos mines include Arthabaska, Beauce. Drummond. Fromenac. Megamic. Rich mond. Sherbrooke, and Wolfe. Table 22 shows the number of lung cancer deaths
for the years 1950 through 1955 for each of these counties, and a mortality rate,
based on the adult male population in 1952. To emphasize the comparison. Megamic County has been shown separately, as has the Province of Quebec and also the Prov
ince with the eight "asbestos-producing" counties subtracted. Because of its unique lung cancer death rate, Montreal et Isle de Jesus has also.been listed in order to provide further comparison.
It is apparent .'rum me table that the lung cancer death rate for the eight counties
Vot. 17, ]u*. 19St
/o
LL'XG CAXCER IX ASBESTOS MIXERS
Ta*LC 22.--Xtimber of i.imo Canter Dcetks end Rate ft- lOOWO Man-Ym'i
Ceusiwi
pre*iocl Qu<mc i.bicH Meatmlti ImM <*sus
MJ* Uant C&ftftr C*iVM* AU)t Mil- . Po0UI9tlOA
I IUI 1M3 S1 19 U tS
n.ira *3.0& Uii-OJO
3 1 3 m
|
i 9
] u
i
Ju
i
: 303 303
i.ico.ono i nr St 3*
JH.W0
m 1U S3
* Ii UMMIM0 tfcinU M* Utfit oaotr4tt&iftccumc *<wr miX.
rra
<fei' *r. it:3-.
immediately surrounding the asbestos-pro* during areas is'practically identical with that of eight counties selected tor comparison. While Megantic County has a rate nearly twice that of the combined eight selected counties, it is lowec than the rate for the Province, and considerably lower than the rate for Montreal. The figure for Montreal would certainly be higher except :cr the very low numbers of deaths reported tor 1950 ana 1951, and it would appear that in those years some error in reporting has undoubtedly been made. On the basis of the other years. 1950 and 1951 deaths would be expected to be about 200 greater. This would result in a rate of -10 per lOO.CGO.
The only possible conclusion from this comparison is that there is no evidence that the persons who live and work in the coun ties surrounding and ad/acent to the as bestos-producing areas have any greater incidence of lung cancer than those who live elsewhere in the Province.
Comment on All Recorded Lung Cancer Coies, Living and Dead, among the Asbeslos A/inerj.--Ahhougfi""*a simple enumera
tion of all the known or suspected cases of cancer of the Sting in these areas has no particular value from a statistical point of view, it is of interest to summarire such eases for the record. There were nine deaths prior to the beginning of the time period covered by the study, including one in which the diagnosis was mediastinal lymphosar coma. During the period, covered by this inve<*ijptson, there were nine proved cases and three suspected cases in the cohort. Through 1956 and to date in 1957, there were eight deaths, six of which were merely
suggestive of cancer of the long, ano u> eluded such diagnoses as mesiastinai' lymphosarcoma, mesotheiicea, cancer as- the leg with metastases to lung, abs*v of'ten-5, and cancer of the pancreas. Caw other, was* diagnosed on the basis oi zt-csiy oni.r. fitaddition. there are now livmg tece-cases iswhich the diagnostic evidence is strongly suggestive o: iur.c cancer. Ts-* is a vuii' of 35 cases o: all types, inducing 10 *suepected" but unproved cases, aad 4 that j-.-tt: stiil living. The remaining 39 cowKinsre the total of proved cases of cancel of sivr fcnq. among the asbestos miners since
The proved cases averaged 59 years, oi age at death, and varied bervm AT and 6S years. Their working s?aic- covered! periods varying from a rnsnsrem of 14years co a maximum of 37 rears. Chiy three men had less than 25 years os' em ployment in the industry. Sma among those on whom such infonnaijos- is avail able had a weighted exposure porting- them in Category 111, and six worked in ax exposure represented by Category. 3.
There were only 17 among these prosivd lung cancer cases in which- we have > formation regarding the presence of a-sbestosis. Asbestosis was prtsenc ip. nine, although it was. minimal in two. Two path ologists disagreed regarding rts peesenc* ia. another. At least seven of tfce- IS proved lung cancers, therefore, were no# accom panied by asbestosis.
Summary and Conclusions
Interest in tne question of wfietfte* (here may be an association between fang, cancer
Brgvn--7rwa*
6*9
A. M. A. ARCHIVES OF INDUSTRIAL HEALTH
-arid exposure to asocstos has Deen evident
since the report in 1935 by Lynch and Smith of a case in which lung cancer and asbes-
tosis were both present. As additional eases
in which the two diseases coexisted were
reported, a causal association appears to have been gradually accepted by many
authors, although some workers considered
the correlation to be inconclusive. The pres
ent study was undertaken in an effort to de
termine whether a causal relationship did.
n fact, exist between exposure to asbestos
and cancer of the lung.
Since most earlier studies had been limited to enumerating the lung cancers
found in certain selected samples, such as
cases coming to autopsy or death certificates in which asbestosis was mentioned, it was
apparent that they could not fulfil! the re
quirements of an epidemiological and sta
tistical approach to the problem. The
present study was. therefore, designed to
meet the requirements of this method.
After a preliminary survey to explore the
availability'' of reiiabie information, data
were gathered on workers in-the asbestos
, mines in Quebec, based on their medical
records. A cohort was defined as a group
of asbestos miners having at least five years
of exposure and who weto in the industry
in 1950. Data relative to their characteristics
were collected and their status at the end
of a six-year period of observation was de
termined. In the case of those who had
.died, an exhaustive search,oi death certif
icates and insurance records was carried out
in order to determine as nearly as possible
the exact cause of death. Mortality rates
from lung cancer for the general population
of the Province ot Quebec and its various
counties and for the Dominion of Canada,
as well as the United States were calculated
from statistics collected in the appropriate
places. Comparisons of the rates obtained
for asbestos workers and for the other popu
lation groups were made according to ac
cepted statistical methods.
'
Records were obtained on 6091 persons
who fulfilled the criteria of the cohort. It
was not possible to trace 133 of these for the whole period, but 5771 of the remaining 5958 were found to be still living in 1955 or later. Of the 187 known dead, cancer of the lung was considered to have been reasonably proved in 9 and to be strongly
suggested in 3.
The members o: the cohort were studied with respect to age, length of employment, a weighted average of their exposure, and their smoking habits. It was found that 4673 were smokers within the definition of that term as used in this study. Thirry-lour per cent of the cohort were more than 45 years of age. and thirty per cent had beer, employed for longer than 20 years. Thirty per cent had a wetghted exposure which placed them in the category of highest ex posure.
The mortality rate for lung cancer, as computed on the basis of nine "proved'' deaths among the cohort was 25.3 per 100. 000. When the three "suspected" cases were added, the ''total'' rate tor the cohort rose to 33.S. The imponance of the suspected but unproved cases in determining theserates has been reiterated because it is likely that such cases would not be included in the statistics for the general population and because they jnnuence the results so mark edly.
According to the findings in this study, the mortality rate from lung cancer does not appear to increase with length of ex posure or with degree of exposure, a fact which presents strong evidence against the carcinogenicity of asbestos.
Comparison of (he experience among the
asbestos miners with that of various seg
ments of the unexposed, comparable popu
lation shows that the observed number of
deaths among the miners is not significantly
greater than the expected number. The rate
for proved cases among the asbestos miners
(25.3 per 100.000) compares well with the
rate of 22.S per 100.000 for the rest of the
Province.
20.2
100.000 for adult
males throughout the Dominion of Canada.
It also compares satisfactorily with rates
650
Vo!, IT,
J9ff
'
LL'SC CAXCSR /X ASBESTOS M/XRS
of 172, 2S.3. 2nd 28.0 obtained from various sources for adult ntales in the United States. Finally, in this matter oi comparison, it would appear that the world-wide experience of persons exposed to asbestos dust is not worse with respect to lung cancer than that of the unexposed population.
The counties surrounding the asbestosproducing areas, in which it is presumed most of the asbestos miners live, have al most identical mortality rates with those of eight counties widely scattered through the Province, and are lower than those tor the remainder of the Province, and much iower than the rate for Montreal.
Since 1940 there have been 19 cases in which the diagnosis Qt primary eancer of the lung may be considered to have been proved. Approximately half of these cases were associated with asbestosis. All but one died in the recognized "cancer-age" and at least one-third had only the lightest ex posure (Category li to asbestos dust.
On the basis of what are believed to be complete and reliable data, it seems fair to conclude - that the asbestos miners in the Province of Quebec do not have a signif icantly higher death rate from lung cancer than do comparable segments ot the general population.
Furthermore, the death rate from lung cancer in the areas contiguous to the asbes tos operations is comparable to that in areas widely scattered throughout the Province of Quebec and is lower than in some urban ized areas within the Province.
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