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Ref. Ares(2024)6205129 - 02/09/2024 ofenergysecusity,beingitondeliveredenergyorsecudty indicators and the SWOT analysis, othercrucialpartsoftherespectivevaluechains tespectively,aswellastheoutputs fromtheanalysis. ThemethodologywillunderpinpossibleimpactsofScenarios have been developed qualitatively and respectiveRdmeasuresviamodellingofrelevantthen enhancedand underpinnedby analysis using encigy scenatios given by expected.technologythe GEM-E3model.Thescenasiosasesetoutin deveandlestaoblisphedEmUeenergnymot dellsing Section6. scenariosby 2030and2050andin thecontestofthe cuErUpoclicyefranmewtork The methodolowgilyl establish 2 clearly defined Validationisdescribedforeachtaskinthe relevant workflow,desciibingandscrutinisingforscientific.section andinAnnes Eon thevalidationworkshop. qualitythestrategicanalysistoolsthatwillbeused, Validationincludesexpertvalidationwithinterviews aswellastherationalebehindthechoiceofthesedutingthestudyandthevalidation workshoinp tools Task4,usoftehe study team'sexpertise, review fom DGRTDandRANDEuope quality assucance. Alloutputsofthestudy have been reviewed by RAND Euope quality assuance reviewers to ensurehigh quality and objective research. The methodology will fake into accountThemethodologyfakesintoaccounttechnological, technologicalandmicroeconomicfactors,butalso microeconomic and other factors through. the. energy and industial diversification in global PESTLEanalysis(seeAnnexB,andfeedingintothe. context, energy and energy technology tradescenariosinSection 6) andtheenergysecurity balances,otherrelevantmacroecofnactoormsaincd indaisdecscraibedtinoSecrtions7.Theindicators sustainable development(including an assessmentcovergeopolitical,technical,economicand socio- ofUN SustainableDevelopmentGoals) economicfactors as welasbroadersustainability issues (asreflinethcetSDeGsd). The methodology will incorporate in-depthThemethodologyincludesinputfromthestudy scientific,industrialand marketexpertise teamwithsubjectmatesexpertise expertinterviews for the PESTLEanalysis,withscientific industry `andmarketexpertise,the GEM-E3model, expertise: and literatuce for clean energy technology value chainsfor Task 2and thiough thevalidation workshop. Expertise leveraged throughout the studyisdescribed in therelevantsections. The methodology will develop indicators for Theindicatorsforenergysecuritydevelopedforthis promisingtechnologicalvaluechainsin respectofstudyatedescribedindetail in AnnexA,Section6. increasing the respective share in energy consumption withinthe EU andEEA by 2030 and beyond,boostingenergysecusityor relevantvalue: chains,mitigrealetvanit rnisgks "Themethwillobiddupoonrellevaontstgudieysas Therelevantstudiesandothersweredrawnupon listedinthetenderspecifications. for the development of the methodology and evidence for the delivery of the study as references, throughout this report and in particular in Sections 1-3. 12. Task 2 requirements Tenderspecifications Study approach "Theanalysis willcoverpossiblecrtcalitesin respect From each energy technology #5 defined in the ofenergysecurityforenergyasproductforallthe tender specification,oneor morespecific value energytechnologiesasdefinedinthescopeofthechainsisbeingassessed.forenergysecurity. This study. assessment is then combined with the scenarios developedin Task 1forbothprojectionyears (2030 and 2050) in order to identify the potential crtcalites throughouttheassessedvaluechains. Theanalysis wil coveraswelltechnological,Each value chainis characterized in detail, economicorsocioerelcevoantnfacotormswiithcin distdiiffencentgleumenitsosfthhechiainn(sguch individual stepsofthe respectivevaluechains 2scapital,infiaasndtrarwmuatecsiatlsuneerdeed) and stepsin tslifecycle and assessedbydifferent encigy security indicators, covering the technological, economic and socioeconomic domains. Theanalysiswillcoverallrelevantelementsofthe The10energyindicatorsusedforthe assessment tespective vale chain regardingenergysecusity byincludeallrelevantaspectsforenergysecu. assessingtheparameterschosenunder Task 1 Theanalysiswillcoverthecurrentsituationaswell The cureent situation is reflected by the energy a5thetimeframeof2030and 2050 securityassessmentinStep 3;thetimefiamesof 2030 and 2050, zespectively, are covered by including the scenarios developed for these projection years into the assessment by assigning weightfactorstothescenarios. TheanalysiswillconsideranincreaseofsharesofThe projected shares of the technologies ate the zespective energy technology in Entopean includedintheassessmentofthevaluechainsove energydemandscenarios timeandinformed bytheGEM-E3modeling(see Section 6). Theanalysiswilleadtoidentifoifcciattcaiokeny InStep 4oftheanalysisthedeveloopfmalelvnalute: elementsin respectofenexgysecuityofpromisingchainsintemsofbothscaleandenergysecuity techvalnuecohainls,ionclugdinigsupcplyachalins_overtimeindifferentscenario sreflected,enabling theidentoftihefkeyicricicalaitite initheomonst promvialsueichanings. 13. Tas3k requirements Tender specifications `Study approach Thecontactor wil lena fo wach ochmtogyees ToeseensBave Doontakenoeaccount od definedi thescopeofthestudy(seepoint32.1.2)incorporated nto themethodfoerTlasokg3tyo promisingRA opportunitiestomaintain o boost ensuze RAI opportunities are designed. within coer sect of the sespective vakue chaia ox scope. mitigaterelevant sks - fsoxbeuingpefbfpyecmtoiodveeblrlyi2nt0go3f0eaenndedbgyy205026 + alSsocdultycbuyo2a0n30iasndooiv3e0rdsa5l0el;enrergiymanckget dsoqeirvameentlssosnpdSmwtesinnabtlisty + RmeaelEntirtethnetsitceopcoetdoencglaeeedgaiernatdeliss document: "Thecontuacorwil establish astategicanalysisofTheRd challengesidentifiedin Task 3 avebeen thepromising Re opportanudsnniktteisse3s0examinedwith SWOT alysis to enue the most promisingRd actionsdeliveringtothose RA uigentofimpactfulRdchallengesarepriosised opportunities (fom at least 10 diffrentand ranked for the developmentofRad techsenasmoentlionoedabgoveiadce taskl2. interventions. The methodology s descibed in Asate analysisusingsttegi managemetonolts deal in Annex A Section 7 and sunmasized in (8. SWOTAnalysis, BalancedScorecad)mstbe Section 9. This has poduced a lt of actions vend for theranokfiposnsibgle RI actionsgrossed nto 4potty groups 4describedin anacdcoredxipnegctteod Ri&mpIaccthsaflloerntgehse,dreifsiksn,itoipopnoortfutnihteisees Sect9.2ianod1n0.s1. promRdiosppoirtunnitiges Theconteactorwill et upanacionplanbasedonTheactionplan, comprising 30Rdaction, set therankingcomprising 4least30promisiogRadoutin Section10.The actionplancovers 15 actions delivering onRd.opprtuites (fom atdiffecenttechnaenosflomotgaski2.Secnsiativlity feast 10, diffsent tecnologia seas. eeioned estingHesbesgeforased theongh theseesacios above under task 2).The action plan willbewhichprovidedaueffective testof whether these developedisdeta tothelevel of specificactionsatRAL actions remain. relevant under iffesent RA topic level, including. expest feedback(aoutcomes,andako throughthe GEMCESmodel particuletoughthecomsatationeornshfospwhiehallowedveto esplor heeeeofinvestment 5) seseemientofondaryeffectsand eastiety needed ceoss hesesaris.Thescion places analysis subject10expertinputandfeedbackthroughthe workshop (Task4). "Thedetsileddevelof toheRp&Imacetionnswtill Theactionpla etout iSection 10details 30R&T + cEouetorptehaen sacnodpegievveannitnntahtiiosndaloRcaudmenotf *<0o1l0anbSoraitnocnldbiansgedinofnoromautiaonnalyosni_sopofttehntealwifdoerr - Dperfoignreadmemtaeisledactions, whese Rdcan Red Indscapeandour SWOTanalysisassetoutin stoonglyboostopportetoteitees bottlenecks, both for expanding energy Section 8. The proposed actions fit within the scope capacities, but also for maintaining technological competencies related to specified. energy technologies, also covering their key components and materials - Outline for each of R&I opportunities the potential of developing strategic research collaborations with Horizon Europe Associated Countries, Mission Innovation and other third countries, including all G7, at least 5 additional G 20 countries and the African Union 1.4. Task 4requirements Tenderspecifications Study spprosch Theconteactorwill xganieaonedayworkshopto One-dayworkshopheldanX.50participantosf, validatetheoutcomesof asks 1 --3.Theworkshop wh4i1ocnlihn. willbe ahybidone.There willbe a totalof50 participants, outofwhich 30 will be present in Bross. thecontesctorwillnsuce agoodbalanceofdiffrent Good mix of pacicpunts from ceseach (eg. academic, resasch, indus, public, NGO) organisations (1244), cadeania (18%), tsdebodies organisations and stakeholders incahkoian(26g%) or think tanks (4%), industy (16%, balancedpacticipationofsenorlevel pactiipants. nominated by ETIPY, and the European Commission werealso present (24%,from DG RID, DG ENER and JR). Details on workshop participationprovidedinSectionx. prTohgerseismsosfeptohretwaonldstohdoipsicsutsoipnrdeesteanitltthheienltet aPadrticipantsexprtis boronuCghRte,xpseursttaiisneaibinlit1y6, itnetcehsnnoaltoiogniaels oSfateahkosl1d-e3swoifthtthheermealteivca=netxcpleerantsaenndecginydiustasial WfoerrksNshoNepooscaonsiJsoteed of practiCncal eExLces: to a ert Billicecp sec oniiccHion via etait Tahcteiiondseuandsetroahcavke.aninteractive workshopbased oanndtthheewRorAksahcotpioanpsptro oraecshpionpdrotovitdheedmi.nMSoercetidoentaXi.l on dislogue between the contractors and. the pacticipants. `Theoutcomeoftheworkshopwillbe takeninto daucacfouinntgoffothtehefcinaolmstpudlyeeoptofsittaosnks1-3andthe Participants identified cialis that weren't shortisted across technologies, and alterative ox missing RJ. actions. The workshop. input. fed dict ntothefinalisedset ofkeycaticlies,R&T challenges and informed the selection of R&T actionsincinthheacteionpdlan. "STuhmemfairnaylsotfutdayskre4paorntdwtihlleinntcecefciancgonwsiotlihdtaatcekds. 1 AsecstumimoXan.ryofworkshop inputsi provided in 5