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Ref. Ares(2024)6205129 - 02/09/2024
ofenergysecusity,beingitondeliveredenergyorsecudty indicators and the SWOT analysis, othercrucialpartsoftherespectivevaluechains tespectively,aswellastheoutputs fromtheanalysis.
ThemethodologywillunderpinpossibleimpactsofScenarios have been developed qualitatively and respectiveRdmeasuresviamodellingofrelevantthen enhancedand underpinnedby analysis using encigy scenatios given by expected.technologythe GEM-E3model.Thescenasiosasesetoutin deveandlestaoblisphedEmUeenergnymot dellsing Section6. scenariosby 2030and2050andin thecontestofthe cuErUpoclicyefranmewtork
The methodolowgilyl establish 2 clearly defined Validationisdescribedforeachtaskinthe relevant
workflow,desciibingandscrutinisingforscientific.section andinAnnes Eon thevalidationworkshop.
qualitythestrategicanalysistoolsthatwillbeused, Validationincludesexpertvalidationwithinterviews
aswellastherationalebehindthechoiceofthesedutingthestudyandthevalidation workshoinp
tools
Task4,usoftehe study team'sexpertise, review
fom DGRTDandRANDEuope quality
assucance. Alloutputsofthestudy have been
reviewed by RAND Euope quality assuance
reviewers to ensurehigh quality and objective
research.
The methodology will fake into accountThemethodologyfakesintoaccounttechnological,
technologicalandmicroeconomicfactors,butalso microeconomic and other factors through. the.
energy and industial diversification in global PESTLEanalysis(seeAnnexB,andfeedingintothe.
context, energy and energy technology tradescenariosinSection 6) andtheenergysecurity
balances,otherrelevantmacroecofnactoormsaincd indaisdecscraibedtinoSecrtions7.Theindicators
sustainable development(including an assessmentcovergeopolitical,technical,economicand socio-
ofUN SustainableDevelopmentGoals)
economicfactors as welasbroadersustainability
issues (asreflinethcetSDeGsd).
The methodology will incorporate in-depthThemethodologyincludesinputfromthestudy
scientific,industrialand marketexpertise
teamwithsubjectmatesexpertise expertinterviews
for the PESTLEanalysis,withscientific industry
`andmarketexpertise,the GEM-E3model, expertise:
and literatuce for clean energy technology value
chainsfor Task 2and thiough thevalidation
workshop. Expertise leveraged throughout the
studyisdescribed in therelevantsections.
The methodology will develop indicators for Theindicatorsforenergysecuritydevelopedforthis promisingtechnologicalvaluechainsin respectofstudyatedescribedindetail in AnnexA,Section6. increasing the respective share in energy consumption withinthe EU andEEA by 2030 and beyond,boostingenergysecusityor relevantvalue: chains,mitigrealetvanit rnisgks
"Themethwillobiddupoonrellevaontstgudieysas Therelevantstudiesandothersweredrawnupon
listedinthetenderspecifications.
for the development of the methodology and
evidence for the delivery of the study as references, throughout this report and in particular in Sections 1-3.
12. Task 2 requirements
Tenderspecifications
Study approach
"Theanalysis willcoverpossiblecrtcalitesin respect From each energy technology #5 defined in the
ofenergysecurityforenergyasproductforallthe tender specification,oneor morespecific value
energytechnologiesasdefinedinthescopeofthechainsisbeingassessed.forenergysecurity. This
study.
assessment is then combined with the scenarios
developedin Task 1forbothprojectionyears (2030
and 2050) in order to identify the potential
crtcalites throughouttheassessedvaluechains.
Theanalysis wil coveraswelltechnological,Each value chainis characterized in detail, economicorsocioerelcevoantnfacotormswiithcin distdiiffencentgleumenitsosfthhechiainn(sguch individual stepsofthe respectivevaluechains 2scapital,infiaasndtrarwmuatecsiatlsuneerdeed)
and stepsin tslifecycle and assessedbydifferent encigy security indicators, covering the technological, economic and socioeconomic domains.
Theanalysiswillcoverallrelevantelementsofthe The10energyindicatorsusedforthe assessment tespective vale chain regardingenergysecusity byincludeallrelevantaspectsforenergysecu. assessingtheparameterschosenunder Task 1
Theanalysiswillcoverthecurrentsituationaswell The cureent situation is reflected by the energy
a5thetimeframeof2030and 2050
securityassessmentinStep 3;thetimefiamesof
2030 and 2050, zespectively, are covered by
including the scenarios developed for these
projection years into the assessment by assigning
weightfactorstothescenarios.
TheanalysiswillconsideranincreaseofsharesofThe projected shares of the technologies ate
the zespective energy technology in Entopean includedintheassessmentofthevaluechainsove
energydemandscenarios
timeandinformed bytheGEM-E3modeling(see
Section 6).
Theanalysiswilleadtoidentifoifcciattcaiokeny InStep 4oftheanalysisthedeveloopfmalelvnalute: elementsin respectofenexgysecuityofpromisingchainsintemsofbothscaleandenergysecuity techvalnuecohainls,ionclugdinigsupcplyachalins_overtimeindifferentscenario sreflected,enabling
theidentoftihefkeyicricicalaitite initheomonst promvialsueichanings.
13. Tas3k requirements
Tender specifications
`Study approach
Thecontactor wil lena fo wach ochmtogyees ToeseensBave Doontakenoeaccount od definedi thescopeofthestudy(seepoint32.1.2)incorporated nto themethodfoerTlasokg3tyo promisingRA opportunitiestomaintain o boost ensuze RAI opportunities are designed. within coer sect of the sespective vakue chaia ox scope. mitigaterelevant sks
- fsoxbeuingpefbfpyecmtoiodveeblrlyi2nt0go3f0eaenndedbgyy205026 + alSsocdultycbuyo2a0n30iasndooiv3e0rdsa5l0el;enrergiymanckget
dsoqeirvameentlssosnpdSmwtesinnabtlisty + RmeaelEntirtethnetsitceopcoetdoencglaeeedgaiernatdeliss
document: "Thecontuacorwil establish astategicanalysisofTheRd challengesidentifiedin Task 3 avebeen thepromising Re opportanudsnniktteisse3s0examinedwith SWOT alysis to enue the most promisingRd actionsdeliveringtothose RA uigentofimpactfulRdchallengesarepriosised opportunities (fom at least 10 diffrentand ranked for the developmentofRad techsenasmoentlionoedabgoveiadce taskl2. interventions. The methodology s descibed in Asate analysisusingsttegi managemetonolts deal in Annex A Section 7 and sunmasized in (8. SWOTAnalysis, BalancedScorecad)mstbe Section 9. This has poduced a lt of actions vend for theranokfiposnsibgle RI actionsgrossed nto 4potty groups 4describedin anacdcoredxipnegctteod Ri&mpIaccthsaflloerntgehse,dreifsiksn,itoipopnoortfutnihteisees Sect9.2ianod1n0.s1. promRdiosppoirtunnitiges
Theconteactorwill et upanacionplanbasedonTheactionplan, comprising 30Rdaction, set
therankingcomprising 4least30promisiogRadoutin Section10.The actionplancovers 15
actions delivering onRd.opprtuites (fom atdiffecenttechnaenosflomotgaski2.Secnsiativlity
feast 10, diffsent tecnologia seas. eeioned estingHesbesgeforased theongh theseesacios
above under task 2).The action plan willbewhichprovidedaueffective testof whether these
developedisdeta tothelevel of specificactionsatRAL actions remain. relevant under iffesent
RA topic level, including. expest feedback(aoutcomes,andako throughthe GEMCESmodel
particuletoughthecomsatationeornshfospwhiehallowedveto esplor heeeeofinvestment
5) seseemientofondaryeffectsand eastiety needed ceoss hesesaris.Thescion places
analysis
subject10expertinputandfeedbackthroughthe
workshop (Task4).
"Thedetsileddevelof toheRp&Imacetionnswtill Theactionpla etout iSection 10details 30R&T + cEouetorptehaen sacnodpegievveannitnntahtiiosndaloRcaudmenotf *<0o1l0anbSoraitnocnldbiansgedinofnoromautiaonnalyosni_sopofttehntealwifdoerr - Dperfoignreadmemtaeisledactions, whese Rdcan Red Indscapeandour SWOTanalysisassetoutin stoonglyboostopportetoteitees
bottlenecks, both for expanding energy Section 8. The proposed actions fit within the scope
capacities, but also for maintaining technological competencies related to
specified.
energy technologies, also covering their key
components and materials
- Outline for each of R&I opportunities the
potential of developing strategic research
collaborations with Horizon Europe
Associated Countries, Mission Innovation
and other third countries, including all G7,
at least 5 additional G 20 countries and the
African Union
1.4. Task 4requirements
Tenderspecifications
Study spprosch
Theconteactorwill xganieaonedayworkshopto One-dayworkshopheldanX.50participantosf, validatetheoutcomesof asks 1 --3.Theworkshop wh4i1ocnlihn. willbe ahybidone.There willbe a totalof50 participants, outofwhich 30 will be present in Bross.
thecontesctorwillnsuce agoodbalanceofdiffrent Good mix of pacicpunts from ceseach (eg. academic, resasch, indus, public, NGO) organisations (1244), cadeania (18%), tsdebodies organisations and stakeholders incahkoian(26g%) or think tanks (4%), industy (16%, balancedpacticipationofsenorlevel pactiipants. nominated by ETIPY, and the European
Commission werealso present (24%,from DG
RID, DG ENER and JR). Details on workshop
participationprovidedinSectionx.
prTohgerseismsosfeptohretwaonldstohdoipsicsutsoipnrdeesteanitltthheienltet aPadrticipantsexprtis boronuCghRte,xpseursttaiisneaibinlit1y6, itnetcehsnnoaltoiogniaels oSfateahkosl1d-e3swoifthtthheermealteivca=netxcpleerantsaenndecginydiustasial WfoerrksNshoNepooscaonsiJsoteed of practiCncal eExLces: to
a ert Billicecp sec oniiccHion via etait Tahcteiiondseuandsetroahcavke.aninteractive workshopbased oanndtthheewRorAksahcotpioanpsptro oraecshpionpdrotovitdheedmi.nMSoercetidoentaXi.l on dislogue between the contractors and. the pacticipants.
`Theoutcomeoftheworkshopwillbe takeninto daucacfouinntgoffothtehefcinaolmstpudlyeeoptofsittaosnks1-3andthe
Participants identified cialis that weren't shortisted across technologies, and alterative ox missing RJ. actions. The workshop. input. fed dict ntothefinalisedset ofkeycaticlies,R&T challenges and informed the selection of R&T actionsincinthheacteionpdlan.
"STuhmemfairnaylsotfutdayskre4paorntdwtihlleinntcecefciancgonwsiotlihdtaatcekds. 1 AsecstumimoXan.ryofworkshop inputsi provided in 5