Document VR9jmqDxJ72MNg4L4D3xvdyq

USCA Case #24-1190 Document #2062093 Filed: 06/27/2024 Page 68 of 92 other factors and events that would occur in the wake of the loss of the state's largest producer of electricity. These include: The implications of the loss of property tax revenues to local governments The electricity rate implications of the stranded capital costs borne by the Montana investor- owned utility that is partial owner of the Colstrip SES The implications for pricing and reliability of electricity supply as Colstrip generation is lost The cost of building replacement generation None of these factors are considered in the closure analysis presented here. Detailed Findings Further insights on how the overall decline in the state economy caused by the MATS rulcmakinginduced closures of the Colstrip SES and the Rosebud Mine can be gleaned from an examination of the impacts in greater detail. Tables 2-7 on the following pages report on impacts for employment by industry, personal income, compensation and earnings, economic output, selected state tax and non-tax revenues, and population. respectively. The employment impacts in Table 2 clearly show how the losses in utility and mining employment associated directly with the closures in Colstrip propagate to the broader economy. Table 2 The Economic Implications of MATS Rulemaking in Montana Employment Impacts (lobs) Industry Construction Manufacturing.. Mining_......_.. .............. ._...,,.._ ..... ._..._.. .................. .................... Utilities Retail Trade ......... .............. . ............ Transportation and Warehousing Professional and Technical Services Administrative and Waste Services Health Care and Social Assistance.....,, . .............. ......... Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation.................._. ..... Accommodation and Food Services Other Services. except Public Administration Other Total Impacts by Year 2028 2035 2040 -592 -362 -254 -44 -27 -23 -328 -323 -319 -270 -266 -265 -260 -242 -230 -66 -52 -49 -171 -164 -160 -163 -147 -141 -196 -174 -184 -49 -36 -37 -169 -199 -212 -130 -115 -116 -823 -913 -898 -3,262 -3,020 -2,890 5 Sierra Club FOIA 2025-EPA-04883 ED_018388_00000309-00068 SC_EVERSPLIT0006231