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EPIDEMIOLOGY OF MULTIPLE Linda M. Pottern Martha S. Linet Susan S. Devesa le myeloma, a plasma cell tumor arising in the w, is a rare cancer with a n elusive etiology. o 1994 estimates by the American Cancer 12,700 cases and 9,800 deaths from multia occumng annually in the United States r approximately 1.0 percent of all newly diaglignancies and 2.0 percent of all cancer DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY LMortality Age-speclfic mortality data have shown that rates inara~eexponentially beginning at age 30 and pealung 0 age 80 and older among whites and blacks of both Mortality rates are consistently higher among *-than women and among blacks than whites in each @Oup,although the male/female ratio is greater at e r ages than at younger ages, and the black/white -0 is 3.0 among persons under age 50 compared with among older individuals.`*3 Since 1950, age-adjusted mortality rates have risen Onthously; in 1985 to 1989 such rates were approxilaatelY2.3 and close to 4.0 times those in 1950 to 1954 center whites and nonwhites, respectively (National for Health Statistics, unpublished data). These bases were among the highest observed for any can- this time interval.'.' Rates for blacks, moniseparately from data for nonwhites (consisting of `%S chapter was prepared by government employees ad is not subject to copyright. the combined group of American blacks, Asians, and Indians) since 1970, have shown the greatest proportional increase among all racial groups, increasing 30 percent for men and 16 percent for women between 1970 to 1974 and 1985 to 1989. During the last two decades, the highest age-adjusted myeloma rates have been observed in black men, followed by black women, and then white men, with the lowest rates occurring in white women.'.3 To further evaluate the increases in mortality during the past four decades, we examined rates according to age group and year of birth to determine whether (1) the increases were confined to certain age groups or were seen among adults of all ages, and ( 2 ) persons born in earlier time periods had a similar or different mortality experience than those born more recently. AS shown in Figure 24-1, the increase in mortality during the past four decades occurred primarily among older whites and blacks of both sexes, with little change among persons under age 50. The increases were progressively more rapid in the older age groups. The nsk for multiple mveloma rose among individuals born in the late 1800s and earlv 19OOs, with more recent birth cohorts experiencing little change in risk. International mortality data have revealed that the highest rates occur in northern Europe, North America, Australia, and New Zealand, with the lowest rates in Japan, Yugoslavia, and Greece.4 Based on 1960 to 1989 mortality data from the World Health Organization files, the rates of increase in myeloma mortality have diminished over the past three decades. The largest proportional increases have occurred in the older age groups for both women and men. Greater increases were also observed in countries with lower baseline death rates, and rates are now stable in most 441 442 Neoplastic Diseases of the Blood MALES FEMALES F 10 ...).e ...... ..... 55-64 D-----O ----n--- 45-54 I -'1 /-- 35-44 YEAR ...... *-0 0-U- ......A..... 85+ -------A- 75-84 65-74 ...... ..... 55-64 -35-44 Fig. 24-1. Trends in U.S.age-specific mortality rates for multiple myeloma by cohort year of birth: 1880-1960 by race and gender. Incidence Epidemiology of Multiple Myeloma 443 demonstrated asmall increase between 1945to 1977and 1978to 1990.' Similarly, between 1950and 1979,the incidence of myeloma rose only slightly in Malmo, Swe- st to the notable increases in national agertality rates, particularly for blacks, the in- om versus clinical characterization and/or death certif- icate only), and quality and availability of medical care, MALES FEMALES MALES FEMALES ,",', , ,- 0.1 1 I 1 I , ,II I 1 I I 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 AGE Fig. 24-2. Age-specific incidence rates for multiple myeloma by race and gender for nine SEER areas, 1975-1991. 444 Neoplastic Diseases of the Blood __ n u1 4 E o/O-O-O'\, -0 / . . ., ,2 - , 1 1 .--0- WHITE MALES -0- WHITE FEMALES - - - BLACK MALES - -0- - BLACK FEMALES Epidemiology of Multiple Myeloma 445 8 NORTH AMERICA US Los Angeles: black (318) US SEER: black 17491 Canada, Ontario (2:290) US Los Angeles: Sp surname white (200) US SEER: white (4,006) CARIBBEAN, CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA Martinique (116) Puerto Rico (538) Costa Rica (145) Cuba (247) RATE PER 100,000 PERSON-YEARS MALES FEMALES Israel, All Jews (517) Hong Kong (444j Japan, Osaka (603) China, Shanghai (289) Philippines, Rital (45) India, Bombay (197) EUROPE Norway (1,298) Sweden (2,711) UK England 8 Wales (11,324) Denmark (1,199) France, Calvados (90) Italy, Torino (114) German Dem Reo f2.139) OCEbtNlA New Zealand, Maori (41) New Zealand, non-Maori (703) Australia, NSW (1,087) Fig. 24-4. International variation in multiple myeloma incidence (age-adjusted. world standard) by gender, 1983- 1987. (Data from Parkin et id.") findings of an increased myeloma risk associated with atomic bomb irradiation have been refuted in a recent report of myeloma incidence data for the years 1950 to 1987; no evidence of an excess risk of myeloma or a significant dose response was observed." Differences between the earlier data sets and the present data were evaluated to determine the reasons for this disparity. In the most recent report,'' it was determined that the change in the risk estimates was due to more complete follow-up (an additional 12 years of incidence data), more stringent diagnostic criteria, and the exclusion of myeloma cases classified as second primaries. The I-elationshipbetween atomic bomb radiation and multiple myeloma is still under investigation. Radiation-Related Occupations The mortality experience of radiologists and other radiation-exposedworkers has provided additional information on multiple myeloma risk due to radiation. An of myeloma deaths among American radiolomsts was first reported over 30 years ago.I7 More recendymyelomarisk was reported to be two times higher among radiologists exposed to lower doses of radiation than among physicians in other specialties." Among over 27,000 Chinese diagnostic x-ray workers, however, no excess incidence of myeloma was observed over a 30year period when compared with medical workers unlikely to have had occupational x-ray exposure.'' Employment in nuclear facilities and risk of myeloma has been investigated in several studies. Although mortality from myeloma was lower than that observed in the general population (probably due to the healthy worker effect), an association between this cancer and radiation exposure was seen in two nuclear facilities2",2'and among a large cohort of British radiation workers from many facilities.22 No myeloma deaths (with a I0-year lag) were observed among workers in the Oak Ridge National Laboratory or in the Rocky Flats Nuclear Weapons Plant.23 Residential and Atmospheric Radiation Exposures Investigations of the relation of residential proximity to nuclear facilities have provided little evidence of an increased risk of multiple m y e l ~ m a . I~n~ad- d~it~ion, a a 446 Neoplastic Diseases of the Blood recent U.S. nationwide mortality survey reported similar myeloma mortality among residents of counties with and without nuclear f a ~ i l i t i e s . ~ ~ Increases in multiple myeloma incidence and mortality have been observed among British military men who participated in atmospheric nuclear weapons tests when compared with unexposed controkZ8 Among New Zealand military participants in the same nuclear weapons tests, no incident myeloma cases were seen over a 30-year period.29Exposures incurred by the New Zealanders may have been lower since they participated in fewer tests than the British subjects. Diagnostic and Therapeutic X-Rays Diagnostic x-ray exposure has not been clearly linked with multiple myeloma. Most epidemiologic studies have reported no association with diagnostic x- Among members of a prepaid health plan, no excess risk of myeloma associated with diagnostic xrays was observed, although a trend with increasing number of x-rays received was seen regardless of the lagging interval.36 Of historic interest is the significantly increased risk of myeloma observed among women who had received injections of Thorotrast (aemitting x-ray contrast medium) for cerebral arteriography3'; fortunately Thorotrast has not been used for many years because of the recognized health risks. Studies of the effects of therapeutic irradiation on myeloma risk have been inconsistent. A few case control interview studies have shown an excess risk of myeloma with radiation therapy, and others have not.34*35,3A8 follow-up study of approximately 14,000 patients with ankylosing spondylitis who received a single course of x-ray treatment revealed a nonsignificant elevated risk of myeloma.39 Among over 180,000 women treated for cervical cancer, no overall excess risk of myeloma was associated with radiation therapy; however, a trend analysis revealed significantly increased risks after the first 10 years of treatment.40 Occupational Exposures The role of occupational exposures on the risk of multiple myeloma is not clear. In case control studies, evaluation of occupational associations is often based on employment in a specific industry or occupation. Because of the small number of individuals employed in any single occupation, statistical power is often insufficient for analysis by job title. Although analysis by industry type has provided some etiologic clues, such information is usually not specific enough to identify particular workplace exposures. Similarly, cohort studies of specific occupational groups have infrequently reported occupational associations with multiple myeloma, because of the rarity of this malignancy. The few studies demonstrating excess risks among occupational cohorts have generally identified small numbers of cases, sometimes as few as three. Most case-control and cohort studies have not included detailed exposure assessments or measurements; thus, specific workplace exposures associated with increased myeloma risk have not been thoroughly evaluated. Agricultural Occupations and Exposures A number of epidemiologic studies have evaluated the risk of myeloma among agricultural workers with positive associations reported by many but not all of the s t u d i e ~ . ~S'u-g~g~ested agriculturally related exposures that may be associated with an increased myeloma risk include grain d ~ s t s ,e~ng~in.e ~ex~hausts and fuels,38 contact with farm ani mal^,^^,^^ and p e ~ t i c i d e s .N~u~merous studies have investigated the association between potential pesticide exposure and multiple myeloma; some have reported elevated risks and others have not.41-43Only a feu. studies have evaluated use of specific pesticide^.^'-^^ In a case-control study of white men in Iowa, nonsignificantlv increased risks of myeloma were associated with handling certain pestic i d e ~ . ~E'xposure to phenoxv herbicides was significantly linked with myeloma risk in a Swedish but this finding was not confirmed in the Iowa Metal Workers Workers in various metal occupations and industries have been reported to have increased mveloma ri although these findings have not been c o n s i ~ t e n t . ~ ~ Significantly elevated risks have been observed am smelter and metallurgy workers,5' machinists nickel refinery workers.49 By contrast, other have reported no appreciable associations with tional metal exposure^.^^-^^ Inadequate exposure have made it difficult to assess the specific metal e sures that could explain the observed elevations in Rubber Manufacturing Some epidemiologic studies have suggested an as tion between multiple myeloma and employment rubber manufacturing i n d ~ s t r y . ~R~ub*b~er~wo- ~ ~ can be exposed to a myriad of substances, incl organic solvents, plastic monomers, and rubber tives. The specific exposure(s) linked with excess o rence of myeloma has not been identified in any of studies. Other Industries At least a dozen studies have investigated the ass tions between myeloma risk and employme wood, lumber, or paper manufacturing in Most of the studies showed little or no elevat eloma risk.30,31~34,38~A6n3-e6x8cess of deaths cancers of the lymphatic tissue has been obse several petroleum refinery population^^^-^^ but not other^.^^!^^ An association between myel ployment in textile processing has been two linkage studies of cancer incidence tional census or pension data.55,75By cont cohort studies of textile workers revealed no Epidemiology of Multiple Myeloma 447 increase in deaths due to multiple m y e l ~ m a . ~E~x,- ~ ~ "served an increased risk of multiple myeloma among cess risks of myeloma among workers employed in the woman who dye for 20 years o r greater,Io3however, the paint manufacturing industry have been noted in sev- Nurse's Health Study did not confirm this finding.lo4 eral s t ~ d i e s . ~ ~ , ~ ~ . ~ ~ , ~ ~ Epidemiologic studies investigating the association between employment as a beautician or cosmetologist [ Specific Occupational Exposures I have been inconsistent, with some reporting excess risk^'^^.'^^ and others describing no association^.^^,'^^ , Benzene has been suggested as a possible etiologic agent for multiple myeloma.80-82Although an elevated Medication Use 1 of myeloma has been observed among some ben- I zene-exposed populations of workers ranging in size Prescription and over-the-counter medications have from 250 to 1,165,80.82a cohort study of over 74,000 been evaluated as myeloma risk factors in several stud- . Chinese benzene-exposed workers demonstrated no ex- ies.33.58.'0S7ignificant associations have been observed cess of for myeloma with the use of laxatives5' and erythromy- 1 Some cohort investigations of chemical workers have cin.'07 Nonsignificantly elevated risks have been re- revealed excess myeloma m ~ r t a l i t y , w~ h~il,e~ o~ther ported for phenobarbital, diazepam, propranolol, ibu- studies have Chemical workers have been ex- profen, diet drugs, and stimulant^.'^^ posed to a variety of established or suspected carcino- gens such as piperazine, urethane, ethylene oxide, and epichlorohydrin," as well as antioxidants and ni- Precursor Medical Conditions t r i l e ~A. ~m~ong aircraft maintenance workers, a signifi- Several precursor medical conditions have been in- cant increase in myeloma mortality was observed for vestigated as possible risk factors for myeloma, includ- men exposed to methylene chloride and for women ex- ing monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined signifi- posed to chlorinated and aromatic hydrocarbons, in- cance (MGUS). A wide variety of other nonmalignant cluding perchloroethylene."A positive association be- medical conditions, postulated to cause repeated or tween mveloma and asbestos exposure has been chronic antigenic stimulation, have also been suspected reported in some,3'~58~bu8t9not all, s t ~ d i e s . ~ ~ * ~ ~to.p~la~y ,an~ e' tiologic role. Life-style Factors Several studies of multiple myeloma have evaluated the role of personal life-style factors, including cigarette and alcohol consumption, hair dye application, and medication use. To date, the possible role of diet has not been fullv evaluated. Cigarette Smoking and Alcohol Consumption Based on the study findings to date, cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption do not appear to be risk factors for multiple myeloma.30~34~58~O92nl-y99one study, a follow-up of Seventh Day Adventists, observed an increased myeloma risk among smokers.98No epidemiologic study has reported a relation between alcohol consumption and myeloma.30~34~58*96 Hair Dyes Personal use of hair dyes was evaluated as a risk factor for myeloma in three recent case control studies and two prospective ~ t u d i e s . " ~ - " ~Elevated myeloma risk was observed among women who dyed their hair, with the highest risk among users of permanent hair dyes and dark hair coloring products.99In another case-control study, no excess risk was found; however, this finding was based on the answer to a single question on regular hair dye use.1o2Men who use hair dye have also been reported to have an elevated risk of myeloma that increases with duration of hair dye use."' The Amencan Cancer Society prospective mortality study ob- Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance MGUS, considered to be a potential precursor condition for multiple myeloma, is a typically asymptomatic, benign disorder involving proliferation of plasma cells and production of M components.'08 In one of the largest series of MGUS patients followed to date, 19percent of the 241 MGUS patients developed multiple myeloma within 2 to 29 years.'" Alterations of interleukin-6 (a growth factor) expression or mutations in oncogenes or tumor suppressor genes (or both) may play a role in the malignant transformation of MGUS (see Ch. 28). However, the factors that may initiate or promote these changes are unknown at the present time. Chronic Antigenic Stimulation Based on results from animal studies of induced plasm a c y t o m a ~a' n~d~on clinical reports,"o-"2 it has been postulated that repeated or chronic antigenic stimulation (CAS) of the immune system may lead to mye10ma.~*A number of case-control studies have explored the CAS hypothesis by evaluating myeloma risk associated with past history of chronic infectious, inflammatory, connective tissue, autoimmune, and al- lergy-related disorder^.^^!^^ Although elevated myeloma risks have been observed in some investigations among persons with specific medical conditions (e.g., allergic conditions,34,l'3 musculoskeletal disorders and disc disease, I4 and rheumatoid arthritis"5*116)o, ther stud- ies of individuals with these conditions have shown no excess of m y e l ~ m a . " ~ ~ ~S~u"c'h inconsistencies sug- 448 Neoplastic Diseases of the Blood gest that evaluation of CAS, with this approach does Chromosomal Abnormalities not provide sufficient information to assess the role of immune stimulation adequately in the development of multiple myeloma."3*1'8Even when the CAS hypothesis is evaluated by grouping medical conditions according to their biologically or immunologically related immune response mechanisms, the findings do not support a causal relationship between CAS and myeIorna.'l3 The role of viruses in the etiology of multiple myeloma is currently unknown.' l9 Several patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) have been reported to have multiple myeloma;'20~12h1o,wever, a population-based study did not observe an AIDSrelated increase in multiple myeloma incidence. 122 Data from two large case series investigating cytoge- netic abnormalities in plasma cell disorders have indi- cated frequent involvement of chromosomes 1 and 14.'36*'3T7he 14q+ abnormality occurred in 20 to 25 percent of the The t( 11;14) and t( 1 1:18) translocations have been observed in myeloma and other B-cell disorders.138Other structural and numeri- cal chromosomal aberrations in myeloma patients have also been reported (see Ch. 27).j3' Cytogenetic studies have been a useful aid in predicting prognosis and mon- itoring remission of myeloma patients.'37 The estab- lishment of etiologic associations with specific chromo- somal abnormalities is difficult and has yet to be pursued in epidemiologic investigations. Cytogenetic investigations have led to the identification of the Familial and Genetic Factors tumor-related genes, thereby providing new informa- tion about the pathobiology of myeloma. Familial aggregation of myeloma among first-degree relatives has been documented in numerous case re- Oncogenes and Tumor Suppressor Genes p o r t ~ , 'a~nd~ epidemiologic studies have reported higher frequencies of mveloma and other hematopoi- Several oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes occur etic cancers among cases compared with cont r o l ~ . ' ~R~ec-e'n~t r~esearch has focused on various genetic markers including human lvmphocyte antigens (HLA),chromosomal abnormalities, and oncogene and tumor suppressor gene mutations. at sites of some of the known breakpoints associated with myeloma and other B-cell disorders. Chromosome 14 with the 14q breakpoint is associated with the heavy chain immunoglobulin locus. Chromosome I includes the N-vas oncogene, which has been implicated in the pathogenesis of multiple mveloma.136High levels of c- Familial Cancer MYC gene expression have been reported in 25 percent of myeloma patients, although only a few cases pre- sented with rearrangement of the c-MYClocus.'3sOverReviews of the published literature on familial aggrega- expression of the BCL-2 oncogene has also been ob- tion of multiple myeloma from 1957 to 1987 have re- served in some myeloma cases, although cytogenetic vealed a total of 104 cases in 49 f a m i l i e ~ . ' ~M~ofre' ~ ~ breakpoints have not been identified.137In addition to recent case-control studies have reported a higher fre- oncogene activation, abnormalities in tumor suppres- quency of multiple myeloma in related family members sor genes are evident among myeloma patients. Altera- among cases compared with controls; however, the tions in the p53 gene on chromosome 17 and the RB- numbers were too small to reach statistical signifi- I gene on chromosome 13 have been reported in my- ~ a n c e . ' ~E~xc-e's~se~s of nonmalignant conditions such eloma studies.I3' Identification of the factors that con- as autoimmune disorders'27 and degenerative central tribute to oncogene expression is an important step in nervous system diseases.12' have also been observed predicting which individuals are at highest risk for deamong relatives of myeloma patients. By contrast, re- veloping myeloma. ports of cases of myeloma among spouses of myeloma patients suggest an environmental role in the etiology of this m a l i g n a n ~ y . ' ~ ~ - ' ~ ~ CONCLUSIONS Genetic Marker Studies Early studies investigating the relationship between HLA and multiple myeloma reported a link with the B 10cus.~'More recently, associations have been found with the C locus: HLA-Cw5 antigen was increased among 22 myeloma cases compared with laboratory and HLA-Cw2 was linked with myeloma in a large population-based case control interview study.135The environmental and other potential risk factors that may increase myeloma risk among this subset of potentially susceptible individuals have yet to be identified. Multiple myeloma is an intriguing malignancy from epidemiologic, biologic, and clinical perspectives. It is one of only two hematopoietic cancers (the other is chronic myeloid leukemia) characterized by higher incidence among blacks than whites, and to date epidemiologic investigations have been unable to determine the reasons for these racial differentials. In general, the causes of multiple myeloma are largely unknown. Several occupations and workplace exposures have been suggested as potential risk factors, but the epidemiologic evidence has been inconclusive^ The strongest associations have been with agricultural occupations and those involving exposures to ionizing radiation and organic solvents. Recently, the use of hair dyehas been linked with myeloma, although additional studies are needed to clarify the risk. Nonoccupational En,OSureSincluding diagnostic and therapeutic radiacigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption do not appear to be related to myeloma. T~ date, epidemiologic research has primarily fo- cused on the possible role of environmental risk factors io h e Occurrence of multiple myeloma. The role of on- cogene and tumor suppressor gene of multiple myeloma is mutations in the a n emerging area of investigation. 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