Document NEB0YkZ3LBvxoRKYaVq0XpwKD
FILE NAME Kent KNT
DATE 1956 Feb
DOC KNT146
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Journal Article - Epidemiological Tests of Theories on Lung Cancer Etiology
Ot eg oe trey. Celgene te bole oe gn
Volume 71 Number 2
FEBRUARY 1956
Published since 1878
Epidemiology of leukemia --PHR review 0.000000 Gilcin E. Mendors
Page 103
CONTENCONTENTS TS
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Edwin Shneidman and Norman L. Parberow Edwin Edwin S. Shneidman Shneidman
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Ca, rdiovascular diseases and public health oo 0000000.
John W. Ferree
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climate epidemic epidemic
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epidemic climate PPHRHR Winston H. Price
review
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109
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115
125
112255
Unfinished business in maternal and child nutrition . Marjorie M. Heseltine
The use of insecticide treated cords for housefly control _ . John W Kilpatrick and H. E. Schoof
Man's emergence toward health The C.-E. A. Winslow lecture 1955
Henry van Zile Hyde
Public health in Pennsylvania , Berwyn F. Mantison
139 1.11
Epidemiological tests of theories on lung cancer etiology
163
William Haenszel Haenszel
Health services in civil defense- A symposium symposium .. a Biological considerations in atomic defense Edicin G. illiams and Samuel C. Ingraham 11 Radiological defense 0 |. be
Simon Kinsman
173 173
181
Chemical weapons 00
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story of the American Heart Association on page 115.
Epidemiological Tests of Theories
on Lung Cancer EtiologEytiology
By WILLIAM HAENSZEL
Q UESTIONS on the etiologies of lung cancer cannot be resolved by a single de-
cisive experiment or set of observations and a
deals more with the ideas underlying a set of studies than with the tactical details ofany single study
single study is not the natural unit for disenuss-
ing the epidemiology of this disease The major major
Increase in Lung Cancer
.
concern must be with the interrelationships of
If no real increase in king cancer existed all
findings and their collation to see whether a
associations between lung turer and expoziti expoziti
chain of evidence stronger than any single com-
to atmospherie pollution eiga He smoking or
ponent part can be forged Information on a
other exogenous agents recently introduced into
proposed etiology cannot be assessed without
the environment would be suspect as not point-
relating it to both positive and negative findings ing to possible etiological relationships A few
on alternate possibilities drawn from
still maintain that the recorded increase
animal experimentation and other laboratory work work
persons
in lung cancer incidence and mortality is fieti-
%
Also well as from epidemiological studies
tions and has resulted from improved diagnosis
with a subject under such active scrutiny as
1 but this is no longer a popular position
lung cancer it is difficult to attempt to divorce
2 Among the reasons for accepting a real
facts already established from interpretations
in
increase
lung cancer mortality are the sex
which may either be stated explicitly or merely
differences in rate of increase and the magni-
be implied by investigators through their choice
tude of the current continuing increase
<
of specitic studies to be pursued Under these
One purpose for inquiries on the increase
conditions a better perspective on epidemiolog-
in risk would be to provide more precise quan-
icalissues in lung cancer studies may begained
titative estimates than are now available from
possible by viewing themin the perspective of
data which
later
useful
future work Since interrelationships of indi-
mortality
may
prove
for reconciliation with numerical measures of
vidual findings are the main concern this paper
exposure to suspected agents For this reason
anyone proposing to study the effect of possible
Mr. Haenszel is head of the Biometry Section
misdiagnosis of I^,,ngcancer as tubercul^sis4
Biometry and Epidemiology Branch National
or some other cause should relate these effects
Cancer Institute Public Health Service He pre-
to data produced by the death registration sys-
sented this paper at joint session of the Biometrics
tem Samples of deaths from hung cancer and
Society and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics
other causes taken from vital statisties sources
Chapel Hill C. April 23 1955
could be compared with autopsy protocols and
other diagnostic evidence Evaluation of the
Vol 71 No. 2 February 1956
163
e two sources of error in official
deaths from other
statistics a
causes erroneously recorded
are not helpful to the contrary they may sug-
as lung cancer and b lung cancer deaths at-
tributed to other
gest situations in which data can be collected and tested
causes would be rendered
difficult by the selective character of autopsy
Occupational Carcinogens
statistics However the effort should be made
Carcinogens
useful useful minimum objective would be to deter-
There is
mine how many lung cancer
general agreement on the etiological
diagnosed at
cases remain un- significance of several occupational
present Farber reported that in
series of 1,070 morphologically proved cases
and such findings have been importaenxtposinureesstablishing the
of bronchogenic carcinoma 61
principle of multiple etiologies
positively diagnosed
percent were not
for lung cancer Long observations of
ame,
prior to autopsy 5 Un- closed populations have
mee
doubtedly many of these dentlis were not re-
that the
convinced most people
corded as lung cancer on the death certificate
Schneeberg and Joachimsthal miners
7 and certain groups of chromate
workers
ee
9 10 were subjected by virtue of their
Rw
Environmental Agents
occu-
pations to excessive lung cancer risks The
noe
The working hypothesis for most investiga-
evidence on chromate workers is
purely epi-
tors has been that the probable causes of
demiological not confirmed by animal experi-
on
cancer are to be found
Jung
mentation and was first suspected on the basis
among environmental
of clinical observations
Although
inves
agents 2 The association of the high prevalence of cancers for several other sites par-
tigators have deduced from the
many
Joachimsthal
Schneeberg and
ficularly the mouth with specific customs found
observations that radiations emit-
only in certain parts of the world
ted from radon were
responsible Lorenz felt
strengthens the belief that direct contact with known or
that the case had not been firmly established and
that other possibilities possibilities such as dust
suspected carcinogens may be involved 6
On the
niosis had not been
pneumoco-
assumption that agents with
conclusively ruled out 11
opportu-
nity for direct contact with lung tissue are the
Excess lung cancer risks detected by exami-
nation of
most likely candidates efforts to establish
occupational mortality data such as
etiological relationships between lung cancer
data on workers employed in the preparation
of coal tar products and producer
and environmental agents have been directed into three
have also been
gas 12
main areas a airborne agents en-
generally accepted as reflecting
countered in special occupations b atmos-
an etiological relationship between lung cancer
pheric pollutants particularly those
and some suspected carcinogenic agent in these
from combustion of
resulting
hydrocarbons and c
products Nor is there any great disposition to
question the status of agents detected
smoking of tobacco
by clinical
To assert that an agent is
observations and retrospective retrospective studies of
lated to
etiologically re-
lung cancer simply implies that its re-
anoval from
such as arsenic dust nickel carbonyl asabgeesntotss
dust and coke oven fumes
a defined population will result
13
When the
ultimately in marked reduction of lung ean-
study results are reviewed to pick up
tional exposures which
occupa-
cer The population must be defined in a man-
appear repeatedly the
ner which safeguards against an effect
danger of being misled by highly unusual re-
produced merely by the process of selectionbeainndg sult in single study is minimized Additional
classification The concept does not
occupational risks will no doubt be demon-
tailed specification of a mechanism require de-
strated in the future However because of the
the effect
producing
Goldberger's finding that pellagra
be prevented by diet was
less
small numbers of workers exposed the further denumeration of
very restricted types of risks
may
no
equase subsequent work led to the
valid be-
will not be crucial in working the
of the vitamin B3
identification logical details of lung
epidemio-
tinic
complex and finally to nico-
would not
cancer This statement
acid as the effective agent This state-
apply to the common and widespread
ment does not imply that ideas on mechanisms
agents contributing to atmospheric pollution
including hydrocarbon combustion products
164
Public Health Reports
such as industrial and heating plant wastes and
motor vehicle exhausts
Atmospheric Pollutants
To date atmospheric pollution theories have not been well documented by demonstrations of excess risk among workers with heavy exposures to common atmospheric pollutants such as may exist in railroad yards oil refineries and congested urban areas With the advent of group
insurance and pension plans the methodological
problems of such inquiries have become much simpler Several cohorts can be located for
study The National Cancer Institute is fol-
lowing a group of 1,100,000 railroad employees who have been in the industry 10 years or longer including station office yard and shop employees as well as train crews Rather detailed
occupational histories are available and with the accumulation of mortality data over several years such specific points as the effects of dieselization prolonged exposure to smoke in railroad tunnels and metal dust exposures in shops may be looked into The important feature is that work histories and exposures be specified in some detail Significant effects may be diluted and overlooked by considering only gross company or industry experience
The widespread use of petroleum products makes it very desirable to gather data on workers in that industry Some medical departments of the major oil companies have staffs well equipped to undertake such studies The major problem here as elsewhere is to secure access to
company records and to rearrange data organized to meet other administrative needs In
areas where petroleum operations are concentrated data might be collected on geographie rather than an industrywide basis At least one study is under way in Oklahoma which may yiell some information on lung cancer risks among oil industry employees
Those advancing atmospheric carcinogen
theories have pointed to the sizable urbanrural differentials in lung cancer risk 14 although some further assumptions are required to reconcile this hypothesis with the great excess
risk observed among males The presence of
carcinogenic substances urban atmospheres has been repeatedly demonstrated by experi
ments with mice 15 16 Further epidemiological work has been hampered by the inability classify individuals in the general population quantitatively with respect to atmospheric exposures Meaningful histories are hard to collect and in mobile populations problems of classification by residence histories become complex When leads on specific types of atmospheric pollutants are obtained from studies of
special situations the way may then be opened for return to the problem of reclassifying the general population with respect to special exposures with greater chance for success
Smoking of Tobacco
Although at least 14 retrospective clinical studies 17 have reported on the association of
smoking and lung cancer these studies have been criticized on variety of technical grounds The objections advanced cover such points as
interviewer bias interviewers in some studies
knew the identity of lung cancer patients aud controls at the time of interview and bias arising from selection factors associated with hospital admission in most studies only hospitalized lung cancer patients were interviewed However the objection based on knowledge of the identity of patients and controls ignores the evidence of Doll and Hill 18 that males erroneously interviewed as hug cancer cases as established by later events showed smoking histories characteristic of the control rather than of the lung cancer series Because of possible selection factors involved in taking up the smoking babit some feel that the tolerolung cancer associations reflect associations with
other common but still unidentified factors
The present data on associations between
smoking and lung cancer are the most extensive and afford the most opportunities for discussing additional studies For orientation the type of evidence now on hand may be compared with the epidemiological findings for cholera pellagra and dental caries all diseases in which animal experimentation played a minor role at least in the early phases of the investigation 19 25
On review the basic core of associations ou
smoking and lung cancer must appear as im-
pressive as any produced in these other investi-
Vol 71. No. 2 February 1956
370566-58--5
165
oe
gations However lung cancer does not present the features of geographic localization charac-
teristic for cholera pellagra and the absence of dental caries which made it possible to elaborato in a rather straightforward manner the basic associations with water supplies suspected
of contamination cholera diet pellagra
and iluoridated water dental caries with cor-
roborative detail and combinations of isolated
special situations Such detail is helpful in
ruling out some association as not significant
etiologically in this manner for example the
associations between cholera and altitude
within kulon kuulon and l^tweenpellagra and mill
village occupations could be discarded as not
significant For lung cancer there are as yet no counterparts for example to the cholera patient in an isolated rural area who regularly
sent for water from the famous Broad Street
pump 19 to the absence of pellagra among doctors nurses and attendants in mental insti-
tutions although the disease was common
among patients to the peculiar age distribution for pellagra in children's institution where the
disease was limited to children between the ages of 6 and 12 to differential attack rates for
dental caries by gradations of exposure to Huoridated supplies among natives and mi-
grants and to the sequence of dental events fol- .
lowing shifts in the source of a community water supply Collection of such details generally results from the study of populations This is one of the reasons why forward studies on lung
cancer among defined population cohorts are so
important
Furthermore the epidemiological models for cholera pellagra and dental caries have been put to the test in the successful application of control measures For pellagra only the addi-
tion of meat and milk to the diet was involved
26 Fluoridation effects could be observed under controlled conditions because of the
happy accident of public water supplies if private wells were the only source of water the problem would have been complicated by selfselection of families fluoridating their own
supplies The test of Snow's conclusions on
cholera 19 which required implementation
through administrative decisions on methods for control of public water supplies occurred
much later more than 10 years after he had formulated them
The right combinations of circumstances to permit such straightforward tests of most of the
proposed lung cancer etiologies are not present now Thus the immediate lines for further work on the nature and meaning of the smokinglung cancer associations are to develop reasonable facsimiles to tests by control measures and to assemble supporting corroborative details from population studies not overlooking any negative evidence which may appear
Substitutes for Direct Tests
As a substitute for a direct test by control
measures of the smoking cancer model one may look for groups in which smoking is either proscribed for religious reasons or does not
otherwise form part of the cultural pattern
Two of the four basic study elements required are at hand data on the distribution of smoking habits in the United States population collected as part of the Current Population Survey . for February 1955 and data on lung cancer
mortality from publications of vital statistics offices The major problems would be to
secure the cooperation of the groups selected and to develop procedures to obtain the coun-
terparts of these data for their memberships
To avoid artifacts which might be introduced by classification procedures the primary test must be whether the overall lung cancer mortality in the group studied was markedly less than for an appropriate segment of the popula-
tion of the United States and commensurate
with differences in the smoking patterns To this other refinements may be added such as
observing whether mortality differences between the study and control populations disappear when specific comparisons are made by
amount of tobacco smoked
The limited number of countries which can
provide reliable diagnostic data on causes of illness and death has discouraged similar studies of groups abroad which have unusual smoking patterns However special study situations may be encountered One illustration is cited without judgment as to its intrinsic merit The director of the Hadassah medical organization recently reported the absence of a single case
166
Public Health Reports
of lung cancer among Yemenite Jews in Israe during the past 15 years and he further ob served that they did not smoke cigarettes but used a form of Oriental water pipe 27 Israel
is a country with western standards of medical
care and this lead may be worth pursuing In
these matters the importance of reviewing tho primary sources of population morbidity and mortality data should be stressed
Other clues may lead indirectly to population groups with unusual smoking histories For example Steiner 6 on the basis of necropsy
evidence in Los Angeles has found a possible .
exception among Mexicans to the usual sex ratio for lung cancer the proportion of Mexican women with lung cancer at autopsy approaches
the proportion for Mexican men This suggests
the need for further studies among Mexicans
to confirm the facts and to uncover possible reasons for the aberrant sex ratio for lung cancer This might conceivably lead to the finding of a group of unusually heavy smokers among women a useful contrast to the experience of
abstainers
Corroborative Details
Additional details on the nature of the smok-
lung cancer relationship should be assembled from scale forward studies These
possibilities were obviously in the minds of
those who planned the AmericaCancer Society
and the National Cancer Veterans
Administration studies Both study groups consist mainly of men between the ages of 50 and 69 the ages of highest lung cancer inci-
dence
One approach is to expand the evidence on the nature of the association by detailed cross-
classification Epidemiologists have long accepted the principle that the etiological signifi-
cance of an association is enhanced if it can be
shown to persist within a variety of uni-
|
verses The National Cancer Institute ans Administration cohort can be subdivided
with respect to occupation and industry By lengthening the observation period to several years further tests can be applied in both studies including checks on the consistency of
regression relationships between lung cancer
mortality and amounts of tobacco smoked for
several occupational groups and for urban and
rural residents
Additional tests can be pursued by relating age at death to age started smoking to see if
any consistent pattern emerges
Studies Among Women
Unfortunately for study purposes the spread
of age started smoking is not too great among
men and it may be hard to assemble sizable cohorts for the more unusual combinations of
year of birth and age started smoking Women would be more promising subjects since women of all ages began smoking in large mumbers during the 1930 decade and duration of smoking by women is not so closely tied to chronological age For this reason more prospective and retrospective studies on smoking and lung cancer among women would be rewarding In addition to the one series of studies on smoking among women reported by
Doll and Hill 28 two nut spective studies are known to be under way The relative rarity of lung cancer among women imposes severe
study handicaps and has undoubtedly deterred
other efforts
Potential cohorts for followup would include
employed women covered by group life insurance policies To minimize turnover and loss
to observation it would be desirable to restrict
the cohort to employees with several years
service
Studies of lung cancer among women should establish what part if any of the sex differen-
tial in lung cancer mortality or incidence dis-
appears when comparisons are made specific for
smoking class The fragmentary fragmentary Doll data suggest that a good part but not all of the sex
differential may be accounted for in this
manner
Indirect Checks
Retrospective and prospective studies may be viewed as efforts to secure etiologically meaningful data which official vital statistics sources cannot provide since they are limited to classification by standard demographic variables There is another transitional bridge by which vital statistics data on lung wancer deaths can
Vol 71 No. 2 February 1956
167
utilized By taking information on smoking
patterns in the general population collected in Current Population Survey for February
tional factors which may be engendered by the
processes influencing persons to take up
smoking
1955 and applying to them the data on absolute and relative lung cancer risks by smoking class as reported in the preliminary results of the American Cancer Society study 29 and in several retrospective studies 30 the ex-
In dealing with lung cancer where prospects for tests of etiological relationships by trial of control measures are remote other hypotheses however unlikely and the collection of evidence
to support or discredit them should be en-
pected distribution of lung cancer deaths cau
couraged The pursuit of other lines of in-
be computed by sex urban or rural residence
vestigation will be useful If results are posi-
geographic region and broad occupational
tive another effect of lung cancer will have
; groups on the assumption that risks by smoking
been discovered if negative they will buttress
HE
class in the groups studied hold also in the
the interpretations applied to effects already
total population Comparison of the observed
known
AE
NE
and expected numbers of deaths would then
Gilliam in a general discussion of chronic
A
show how much of the prevailing variation in
disease epidemiology alluded briefly to a va-
roa:
lung cancer mortality can be accounted for by
riety of items investigated by him in a study
eine
considering smoking histories In this manner
of lung cancer patients and controls using the
A
some useful consistency checks on the smoking-
retrospective history method 31 These
Sten
lung cancer model would be provided
items ranged from color of eyes and use of den-
Such consistency checks need not be confined to smoking smoking histories The Current Population
tures to histories of illnesses and use of general anesthetics As he hastens to say such indi-
Survey material illustrates an economically feasible means for remedying some deficiencies
vidual findings cannot be used for any generalizations However it may be worth while to
in standard population classifications Al-
inquire systematically into other findings col-
though many investigators have expressed the red for procuring information on the popula-
lected
but
never
deemed
worthy
of
3
report
Several of the other early retrospective studies
tion distribution of characteristics under study
were shotgun inquiries and collected informa
they have often been deterred by the cost
tion on a variety of suspected agents and ex-
Probability sampling methods for gathering such data can provide a powerful tool to the
posures Collectively these results might prove useful for testing and discriminating between between
epidemiologist
hypotheses and the planning of further studies
Several studies exploring characteristics dif-
Other Possible Factors
ferentiating smokers and nonsmokers may bo
Turning from suspected environmental
agents with properties which permit direct contact with lung tissue several possible causes of lung cancer remain There is the class of
environmental agents which do not come in di-
rect contact with lung tissue Closely related would be possible tissue changes induced by virus and other infectious agents Constitutional susceptibility might also be considered If some persons have a predisposition to attacks on lung tissue by some morbid process the rise in lung cancer might be due to the suppression of competitive respiratory causes such as tuberculosis and pneumonia Finally there is the possibility of the association of smoking with other physical psychological and emo-
expected The question of differences between the two groups arises because smokers select
themselves smoking is not a treatment which can be studied experimentally by randomized
application to a population There is a wide
range of possibilities for retrospective studies
on the physical psychological and emotional
attributes of smokers and nonsmokers The
demonstration of an item as being associated with smoking history is essentially a screening
device The further test is whether the item
when applied to a population produces differ-
ences in lung cancer risks equal in magnitude to those yielded by smoking history classifications
if smoking history is uncontrolled or whether
an effect is observed when smoking history is controlled by classification
168
Public Health Reports
fo epee
mene mms Ya Re
etme
eT
RNEW ee
oe
ee
ene ps a einre ey
ig ae eee
ee
Association With Other illnesses
"
Some theories on the subsequent increased risk of lung cancer among persons with histories of respiratory illnesses such as influenza pnen-
monia bronchitainsd tuberculosis based usu-
ally on clinical and pathological impressions have been reviewed by Doll 32 who continues on to point out some observations inconsistent with these theories No associations of lung
cancer with the presence or absence of an ante-
cedent illness have yet been established by observations on populations through the use of
retrospective or prospective studies Retrospective studies are handicapped in this field because patients with lung cancer and other respiratory disorders apparently recall previ-
ous respiratory ailments more readily than do other persons There are some possibilities for
forward studies on cohorts known to have re-
covered from specific illnesses free from the recall bias in the retrospective approach which may be exploited For example records
can be assembled of World War I veterans
who had influenza and pneumonia in 1918
These veterans can be traced forward in time to
determine their hung cancer mortality experience A study of British veterans 40 lias been published recently From civilian life one could draw on recovered pneumonia cases reported to health departments in the 1930 decade when these agencies had active programs based on pneumococcus typing and distribution
of serum
If excess lung cancer mortality among such groups were demonstrated this would not necessarily be a result of effects of antecedent illnesses If constitutional predisposition of lung tissue were a factor the rise in lung cancer mortality might be due to the suppression of
tuberculosis and pneumonia as causes of death If genetic basis for constitutional predisposi tion to lung cancer were postulated other tests could be devised One approach would be to assemble lists of relatives of diagnosed eases of
lung cancer for followup to determine lung cancer mortality Lists of familial contacts
could be assembled from records maintained in
inberculosis control programs Investigations of this character might be undertaken more readily in some European countries where pop-
ulation mobility is low and more comprehensive population record systems exist
Retrospective and Forward Studies
The preceding sections have emphasized the wide range of possibilities for the use of retro- retrospective and forward study techniques Retrospective history studies use as their point of departure diagnosed cases of a disease and
matched controls and compare antecedent
events in their previous histories Prospective or forward studies start with the assembly at a fixed point in time of defined cohorts classified
with respect to certain attributes trace them forward in time and note events occurring
subsequently Perhaps the major criticism of retrospective
*
studies for lung cancer has been that diagnosed cases have generally been drawn from hospital
populations Positive association between two diseases not present in the general population may be produced when hospital admissions alone are studied because persons with a combination of complaints are more likely to require hospital treatment 34 Smoking is
not an illness and for lung cancer it is difficult to see how the smoking history could have any
influence on hospital admission Lung cancer is serious disease normally requiring hospitalization and roughly fifths of all diagnosed cases are hospitalized 35 The proportion is even higher when microscopically confirmed
cases alone are considered There would have
to be extraordinary differences in smoking histories between hospitalized and nonhospitalized patients and controls to upset inferences drawn from hospitalized cases 36 So far the results of forward population studies on excess lung cancer risks among smokers as compared to nonsmokers have agreed in general with those of the retrospective studies This suggests that biases entering into the selection of hospitalized cases and controls studied retrospectively retrospectively are probably not the source of the associations
noted
The fundamental assumption underlying ret rospective studies and the estimation therefrom therefrom of differences in risks between population groups is that the diagnosed cases and controls each be representative of the quiverse chosen
Vol 71 No. 2 February 1956
369
for investigation Although there are precan-
effects on
tions which can be taken in devising a sampling
mortality experience exist as in the case of ordinary policyholders it is well known
plan this representative property cannot be guaranteed merely from internal examination
that the selection effects of physical examina-
tions
e of a single set of data One must be guided on
on mortality experience wear off quickly very conservatively in 10 years or less 39
this point by the comparison of results from
usually in about 5 years If there is
Nen several studies and judgment as to the possible
any ques-
tion about the prospective study results
the
hone
biases operating in any setting
association of
on
-
Ne Forward population studies have been
smoking and lung cancer being
ques-
affected by selection the conservative course
Ae
tioned on the grounds that the cohorts have not
would be to discount the first few
poate been selected by probability sampling methods
ence and to
years experi-
voi that individual individual
require that the early results be con-
rete
study results cannot be gen-
firmed by later experience after selection effects
Ae
eralized to Lae total population The expense have worn off
anew re
involved in tracing cohorts drawn from the gen-
The collation of experience from several
eral population by probability sampling meth-
studies is also
ods would be great and most investigators have
a safeguard against error in generalizing from forward studies on lung cancer
been forced to look for populations followed
Data from prospective studies
be sub-
routinely for other purposes such as persons
may
classified by other population characteristics
covered by employment or insurance benefits benefits The criticisms of unrepresentative sampling
and further checked for internal consistency
With these
would appear to disregard the experience avail-
precautions the dangers of drawing
inferences from forward and retrospective
able from actuarial sources There are two
stulies inapplicable to the general population
commion types of insurance ordinary poli-
seem rather remote
cies which require applicants to pass a physical
examination and industrial policies which
undergo some underwriting selection but re-
Summary
quire no physical examination Policyholders would scarcely meet the usual criteria for representative samples The Metropolitan Life
Insurance Co. has published extensive data
on the mortality experience of their industrial policyholders and finds rather close agreement with the mortality experience of the general population after appropriate adjustments for age sex and race composition 37 Data drawn from actuarial experience and reported in sugh sources as Length Length of Life 38 and The
Statistical Bulletin a monthly publication of the Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. indicate that the relative patterns of mortality with respect to cause age sex race and geographical region in insured populations have their coun-
terparts in general mortality experience despite
some differences in magnitude of rates The co-
horts assembled for smoking and lung cancer investigations do not appear to have been sub-
jected to more rigorous selection than that en-
countered by industrial policyholders nor is
there reason to believe that the selection effects
which did exist discriminated between smokers
and nonsmokers Even when stronger selection
The size of the lung cancer problem as indicated by the number of lives at stake and the
economic implications of any potential control
measures which might later be advanced should not blind investigators to the many possibilities
for studies similar to those on other chronic
diseases which have yielded some of their secrets
to the epidemiological approach Diseases
showing pronounced variations in risk among population subgroups are the more amenable
; to epidemiological study and lung cancer falls
into this category Studies on human populations should continue to play an important role in delineating possible etiological relationships for lung cancer the mechanisms for which couki
then be elaborated by animal experimentation
Progress must come by the checking of the several results of epidemiological studies
animal experimentation and other laboratory findings The issues will probably be settled by
an evolutionary process as was the fluoride-
dental caries relationship Gradually the meaning of certain associations will become
accepted Dissent will die off and the debate will shift to the many other points in any
La
anny
maw pyle
=
te,
170
_ Public Health Reports
nae ne pe e nne
voneteenes
*
epidemiological models still requiring
elaboration
.
REFERENCES
17
18
Dorn 11. .; The relationship of cancer of the
lung and the use of tubar^o The American
8 Statistician 7--13 1954
Doll and Hill A. .: Smoking and estreinoma of the lung Brit M. J. 2 745 1950
1 Rigdon R. H. and Kirchoff .: Smokiug and cancer of the Let's review the facts
Texas Rep Biol & Med 11 715 7271953 Clemmesen J. Nielsen A. and Jensen E Mor
tality and incidence of cancer of the lung in Denmark and some other countries In Cancer
3
of the Lung A symposium edited by Dr. J. Clemmesen reprinted from Acta Unio Contra Cancrum Paris Council for International Organizations of Medical Sciences 1953 210 pp Duon H. L Lung cancer in the twentieth cen-
hiry J. Internat Coll Surg 23 226-342
1955
Gilliam A. G Some aspects of the lung cancer problem Mil Med 116 163 1741955
Farber S. M Lung cancer C. C. Thomas 1954 p 4
Springfield Ill
19 Snow .: Snow on cholern New York The
Cominonwealth Fund 1936 191 pp
20
Goldberger J. Wheeler G. A. and Sydenstricker E. A study of the relation of diet to pellagra incidence in seven textile comunuities of South Carolina in 1916. Pub Health
21
Rep 35 648 7131920 Goldberger J. Wheeler G. A. and Sydenstrieker
.: Pellagra incidence in relation to sex age season occupation and disabling sickness in seven cotton villages of South Carolina
during 1916. 1920
Pub Health Rep 35 1650
1663
22
Goldberger J. Wheeler A. and Sydenstricker E. A study of the relation of fuctors of a sanitary elmaracter to ^ ellagra incidence in seven cotton villages of South Carolina
in 1916. Pub Health Rep 35 1703-1714
Steiner P. .: Cancer Race and geography
1920
Baltimore Williams & Wilkins Co. 1954 343 pp
23 Goldberger J. Wheeler G. A. and Sydenstricker
Rosotoski O. Saupe E. and Schmorl .: Die
.: A study of the relation of family income
bergkrankheit der erzbergleute in Schneeberg
and other economie factors to pellagra in
in Sachsen Zeitschr F. Krebsforschung 23
cidence in seven cotton villages of South
360-384 1926
Carolina in 1916. Pub Health Rep 35 26738
Peller .: Lung cancer among mine workers in
2714 1920
Joachimsthal Human Biology 11 130 143
24 Bibby B. G. and Brudevold .; .. external
1939 Brinton H. P. Frasier E. S. and Koven A. .:
Morbidity and mortality experience among chromate workers Pub Health Rep 67 835 847 1952
18 Machle W. and Gregorius F. Cancer of the respiratory system in the United States chromateproducing industry Pub Health Rep 63 1334 11271948
11 Lorenz .; Radioactivity and lung cancer A critical review of lung cancer in the miners of Schneeberg and Joachimsthal J. Nat Cancer Inst 5 1-15 1944
Kennaway E. L. and Kennaway N. M A further study of the incidence of cancer of the lung and larynx Brit J. Cancer 1 260 2981947
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Hueper W. .: Recent developments in environ mental Reprinted with additions from the A. M. A. Archives of Pathology 58 360 399 475 526 8 45 1951
14 15
Hueper W. .: Environmental lung cancer Indust Med and Surg 20 49-62 1951
Leitor J. Shimkin M. B. and Shear M. .; Production of sabeutaneous sarcomas in mice with
tars extracted from atmospheric dust
Cancer Inst 3 155
165
J. Nat
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Kotin P. Falk -- . L. Muder P. and Thomas
M Aromatic hydrocarbons and Occup Med 9 153-163
Arch Ind Hyg 1954
action of fluorides and other agents on the
teeth in the prevention of
Fluoridation as al public
tooth decay In
health measure
edited by 3. H. Shaw Washington D. (
American Association for the Advancement of
25
Science 1954 pp 148 178 U. S. Public Health Service Epidemiological
studies of fluoride waters and dental caries
26
27 28
Collection of reprints from Public Health Re-
ports 1938-44 1938-44 Goldberger J. Waring C. H. and Tenner W.
.: Pellagra prevention by diet among insti-
tutional inmates 2368 1923
Pub Health Rep 28 2361--
New York Times Feb. 1 1955
Doil R. and Hill A. B A study of the aetiology
of carcinoma of the lung Brit M. J. 2 1271-
1286 1952 ;
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Hammond E. CL and Horn .; The relationship between human smoking habits and death rates J. M. A. 155 1316-1328 1316-1328 1954
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J. Pub Health 43 1217--1257 1953 Doll .: Bronchial carcinoma Incidence and
actiology Belt M. J. 2 521-527 1953
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Vol 71 No. 2 February 1956
171
rah
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Berkson .: Limitations of the application of
fourfold table analysis to hospital data Bio-
metries Bull 2 47 331946
White .; Sampling in medical research M. No. 4849 1281-1288 1281-1288 Dec. 12 1953
Brit
8. Public Health Service National Cancer Institute Cancer illness in ten urban areas of
United States Cancer Morbidity Series Nos
1-10 1950-52
36
Kruus A. .; The use of hospital data in study-
ing the association between a characteristic and disease Pub Health Rep 69 1211
1214 1954
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among industrial policyholders 1948 to Soc Actuaries Tr 3 204 3281951
1950
Dublin L. I. Lotka A. J. and Spiegelman .;
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soning by mustard gas in the 1914-18 war might be a factor in the production of neoplasia Brit 1. Prev & Social Med 9 62-72 1955
Ninth Annual Seminar on Seafood Sanitation ;
bacteriologists The ninth annual Seminar on Seafood Sani-
tation sponsored by the Virginia and Mary
problems in the new Chesapeake Bay clam industry preservation of food by radioactive
land State Health Departments was held in
sterilization and
Solomons Md September 27- 1955 More
a discussion of the relative
than 50
merits of State certification of
persons attended the 5 sessions which
~
breaded seafood
processors of
included an inspection of an
house
and
a
visit
by
boat
to
packing
clam
Included in the agencies represented in the
ing area on the Patuxent River
harvest-
discussions were State health departments
The first Seminar
of Maryland Virginia South Carolina
on Seafood Sanitation was held in 1916 because seafood sanitation
Georgia and the District of Columbia New
spe-
cialists found that their work required broad
York State Department of Conservation Maryland county health departments which
date technical knowledge In addition
have seafood
to the common food plant sanitation problems
and
Drug
sanitation programs the Food
Administration and the Public
they were concerned with the construction and
Health Service and the Fish and
operation of municipal and private
sewage
Service The
Wildlife
disposal works they had to make
seafood industry was repre-
cal hydrographic and
bacteriologi- sented by officials of the National Fisheries
sanitary surveys of
growing areas and they were obliged
Institute the Oyster Institute of North Amer ica and the Oyster Growers and Dealers Asso-
to apply the results of these studies to decisions
ciation of North America Inc.
ve
* on the suitability of an area for shellfish cul-
a
ture The seminar has
William Ballard president of the Oyster
Pee where
provided a forum
Growers and Dealers Association of North
ae
sanitarians and sani-
America Inc. and
tary engineers working with seafood sanitation
operator of one of the
in the Chesapeake Bay area
world's largest shucking and packing
te
formation ou such
can exchange in-
plants told of his industry's dependence on
problems of mutual
sanitation and
expressed the
gre
interest
opinion that the
Many seafood sanitation problems en-
future of the seafood industry rested with the accomplishments of the fisheries research
countered by county State and Federal
per-
scientists and with the
sonnel were discussed at the day meeting These included sanitary surveys of shellfish
specialists
seafood sanitation
i.
growing areas general food plant sanitation
The participants recommended that the health departments of Maryland and
sanitation of
shucking plants sanitation
Virginia
problems in the crabmeat industry sanitary
sponsor another seafood sanitation seminar in 1956
172
,
Public Health Reports