Document KqYV9k2YeZ2n9jQxOLORqO72
FILE NAME Insurance Industry INS
DATE 1953 DOC INS057
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Journal Article - Possible Etiologic Factors in Lung
Cancer
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ODYSE ENABLEDENABLED XVI XVI Directors America AUT SOUli|
XXXVII
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LUNG CANCER ETIOLOGIC FACTORS IN
E. CUYLER HAMMOND SC D.
aed
;
. a
Director of Statistical Research Section
;
Department Medical and Scientific American Cancer Society
pT! se
New York New York :
on
Biometry Professor of
Yale University
ES
New Haven Connecticut
poo
The annual number of cancer deaths inin the United States is
steadily growth increaising ncreasing but thisis duein largemeasure to the
and aging of our population After adjusting for age it seen . *:
that the cancer death rate among females has been going down .
|
since about 1936. We have reason to believe that this is attrib-
utable to a combination of more effective therapy and earlier
. diagnosis made possible through public health education the other hand among males adjusted cancer death rates arerising
Most of thisincrease howeveris due to the surprisinglyrapid
increase in deaths from cancer of the lung A few decades ago *: "
the occurrence of bronchiogenic carcinoma was seldom . observed
but by 1942 it claimed the lives Americans Only ten
~
*:
years later it is estimated that 21,000 of our people died of this ;:
upward shows cause The most alarming fact that the
every indication of continuing
a
trend
wat
pa
For the present at
least
the
problem
is
is
more serious among
|
~
men than among women About 2,200 women died of lung can
comparison By , cer in 1942 and 3,600 in 1952.
the lung cancer
in death figures for men were 6,600in1942
to 17,400in
increasing s
age 1952. The highest incidence rates males occurs in
authogrritoiueps 60 to 70 andin femalesin age group 70 to 80. Most
the has impression are under the
increase that almost all
of carcinoma 800 1 Ten Rn
beenin
ee
eg .
incidence these epidermoid type higher of City dwellers seem to have a much
a
:
tumors than do inhabitants of districtsAmong males the .
by Hammond thatnhemeeting ae areasat death rate is more than twice as highiinn urban
a
Dr.
Condensation of the
of
the paper
presented
Dr.
Associationthe
iin n rural
138
SECOND ANNUAL MEETING
areas However it should be noted that these figures are based upon death certificate reports The possibility exists that the differences noted above are due to errors in diagnosis and errors
in specifying place of residence which combined may perhaps
result in reporting in rural areas
There is evidence that some cases of lung cancer have resulted
from the exposure of industrial workers to dust or vapors con-
taining such substances as arsenic nickel chromate asbestos radioactive substances and coal tar fumes However there is little
indication that occupational exposure to such substances has
caused many cases of lung cancer in the United States It seems
most unlikely that industrial exposure could account for any large proportion of the lung cancers now occurring
. To account for the tremendous increase in this type of malig-
nant neoplasm it seems that we must look for some factor or
combination of factors which affect the general population rather
than only a few highly specialized occupational groups i Furthermore it would seem logical to be most suspicious of certain factors
in the environment to which the public has been increasingly ex-
_ posed during the last several decades In addition we might look
for substances to which city people are more heavily exposed
than country people and to which males are more exposed than females We must also remember that there may be a delay time
of as much as twenty years between exposure and clinical ap-
pearance of the disease
.
Since we are dealing with a disease of the lungs most atten-
tion has been given to substances which are inhaled Among the
numerous factors which have been suggested at one time or
another the following four stand out most prominently
Coal tar and certain oils contain chemical agents of known
carcinogenic properties capable of producing cancer in experimental animals The concentration of exhaust fumes from auto-
increasing mobiles has been
greatly ever since 1900 practically
the entire populationis exposed to some degree and city dwellers
are more heavily exposed than country dwellers However this
does not necessarily explain the question of sex difference
- The same can be said of the dust from tarred roads which is
~
increasing and contains carcinogenic agents
te
n
ETIOLOGIC FACTORS IN LUNG CANCER ~' 139
Air pollution in the form of dust and fumes from coal and oil.
furnaces as well as from certain industrial processes has become .
a first rate nuisance in many communities and the degree of ex-
-
-
posure is greater in the urban thanin the rural populations..
The three suspects named above are all being intensively studied
in laboratories but the real question is whether or not the con-
centrations actually inhaled by human beings are sufficient to cause
cancer of the lung and this can only be discovered by epidem- -
iologic studies on human population groups Such investigations
are both very difficult and very costly but several are now getting
.
under way It will
be a number of years before the
probably results are knownin the meantime the lung cancer
|
death rate continues to rise
,
ro ,
8
By far the greatest attention has been given to fourth factor 7
namely tobacco smoking On the face of it this seems to meet
most of the requirements for a first rate criminal suspect The
consumption of cigarettes has been increasing dramatically ever
since World War I. The habit as an almost universal custom
started first among men and spread to women at later date The
'
tarry products of tobacco smoke have been used to produce
malignant tumors when rubbed on the skin of experimenta.l.
animals However I must add that such circumstantial evidence
1 alone should not necessarily lead to a conviction and that
-
other
more direct evidence has been accumulatinginrecent years
Massachusetts In 1928 Lombard and Doering of the
State Health Department conducted a study in which patients were
of questioned about their smoking habits A larger percentage
heavy smokers was found among patients with cancer of
groups the2 buccal cavitythan was found among other
No mention
was
made
of
lung
cancer
probably
because
itwas arelativel;y Bats Ay ir relatively
rare disease at that time =
va
coca
Raymond The next significant study was made by
Pearl of the .
Johns Hopkins Universityin 1938. By quitea different_
of investigation obtained evidence which seemed to indicate that
heavy smoking produces an appreciable shortening of life expectP
analysis ancy The volume of material was not sufficient to makean
7
by cause of death
surprising subjectdiminreissuhletding periotdhe from this
After an initial report interest in
of excitement
. ve
'
.
7 .
%. a
c a try
140
SECOND ANNUAL MEETING
In 1945 the results of a second study of smoking in relation
to cancer were published from the Massachusetts State Health
Department This time they found a much larger percentage of
heavy smokers among lung cancer patients than among other
groups
5
By 1950 the lung cancer death rate had increased to such pro-
portions that it stimulated a renewal of interest in the problem
and in that year the results of five major and independent studies
were published All of these investigations were conducted by :
the same method as that used in the original Massachusetts study
This is known as the historic method of investigation All of
them showed that upon questioning a larger percentage of lung
cancer patients report a history of heavy smoking than do con-
trol series of persons who do not have lung cancer However
differed the order of magnitude of the correlation
between the studies
considerably
For certain technical reasons some investigators
among them not convinced that the methods of procedure
used in these studies can be counted upon to yield valid unbiased
results Most particularly I am uncertain whether the order of
only magnitude of the correlationis so small as to be of
academic
interest or so large as to be of great practical importance
Principally for this reason we are undertaking a very large
investigation of the problem using an entirely different method
of approach It may be described as
the :
from the historic
follow method as
distinguished researchers Between January and June 1952 volunteer
of the
American Cancer Society obtained smoking histories on 204,000
white men between the ages of 50 and 69. Each of these men
is being followed at annual 1+ intervals For each death reported
the cause is ascertained from the death certificate The first follow was done about a year ago and the volunteers success-
. fully traced 99.4 per cent of the men originally questioned If
should this efficiency can be maintained we
mation to yield a conclusive answer in
about nb
have enough infor-
and half
one
half - to two and
years from now n |
analysis a Although our major concern is lung cancer an
will
be made for all major causes of death cr Perhaps the most im-
CANCER ETIOLOGIC FACTORS IN LUNG
141 '
o
portant finding will be the effect if any of smoking on the
general death rate If cigarette smoking proves to be seriously
harmful it is fair to assume that the tobacco companies will under-
take research to discover the injurious ingredients and remove
people them from the product otherwise at least some
cide to give up the habit
t
may de-
a
unlikely that It is entirely possible and indeed seems not
a
combination of factors rather than a single factoris responsible
for the increasingly high death rate from lung cancer Until the
final answer is found all reasonable possibilities should be in-
vestigated The problem is much too serious to risk concentrating
investigation though the all our efforts on a single line of
even
moment it may appear to be the most promising
at
.
PRESIDENT BONNETT - Thank you Dr. Hammond
The number of persons applying for insurance and giving a history of a nervous disorder or current nervous manifestations
is increasing daily Perhaps as a result of the unprecedented
recognition of psychiatry by the armed services during the war a general acceptance somewhat later by the medical profession and
now by the population in increasing numbers people are willing to admit that they are nervous and to seek help When psychiatric treatment is admitted on an application we are frequently at a
loss as to its significance or to the real nature of the disturbance .
psychiatry Until all of our examiners are basically trainedin
shall continuteo have this growing problem
we |
GE
Fortunately the death rate is not excessive but we have the
problem of separating from among numerous applicants with
nervous manifestations those who are potential suicides and thosea
who are not Those who are not are almost certainly standard -:
risks Dr. Peter G. Denkeris well known to this audience He
| has an excellentinsurance background andis keenly aware of this to problem We are particularly fortunate in having him here =
Neuropsychiatric discussThe Evaluation and Classification of
Disorders
ae
se
ee
Dr. Denker is Assistant Professor of Clinical Neurology at ;
most Cornell University Medical College and an old friend of
us here Itis good to welcome you back Dr.
Denker _ Sa
of
of
tes
^'
oe