Document KeVDLz8rJ1QEL6agL2Y8BBn6
Chemical Manufacturers Association
Courtney m. Price
Vice President CHEMSTAR
March 18,1998
Via Certified Mail
Document Processing Center Mail Code 7407 Room E-G99 East Tower Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics Environmental Protection Agency 401 M Street, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20460
Attention: TSCA 8(e) Coordinator
Dear Sir:
The Vinyl Chloride Health Committee of the Chemical Manufacturers Association submits the enclosed preliminary results from an ongoing update of an epidemiology study of vinyl chloride workers last followed up by Wong et al, Am. J. Ind. Med. (1991) 20(3): 317-34. These results are submitted pursuant to Section 8(e) of the Toxic Substances Control Act.
The enclosed tables represent the study contractor's baseline results compared to the results reported by Wong et al. According to the contractor, the current cohort differs from that analyzed by Wong et al. in that numerous errors are identified and corrected, several hundred cohort members not included in Wong et al.'s analyses have been restored, and some additional deaths have been discovered.
Three columns of results are presented in each table; the first column
contains results based on the cleaned and expanded cohort using U.S. mortality
rates as the reference (methodologically most comparable to Wong et al.'s
results); the second contains results using rates for the states in which each plant
was/is located; and the third reflects Wong et al's results. Almost universally,
the update results mirror those of Wong et al. Most exceptions are due to some
rearrangement of specific causes of death within broader disease categories,
often reflecting the way deaths are coded over different time periods and in
different states {e.g., liver cancers and cardiovascular disease deaths).
CMA 171045
Innovation, Technology and Responsible Care At Work
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The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for "connective and soft tissue" cancers is significantly elevated (SMR=381 using the U.S. reference rates (95% confidence interval (Cl) 153 to 785) and SMR-367 using state reference rates (95% Cl 147 to 755)), based on seven observed deaths due to these cancers. Although the number of deaths due to "connective and soft tissue" cancers identified through 1982 by both Wong et al. and by AEI was similar (six and seven deaths, respectively), Wong et al. did not have available the analytical tools to calculate an SMR for this category. This information has not been reported elsewhere to date.
Biologically, the observed excess might be related to the well-known association between vinyl chloride exposure and angiosarcoma of the liver, as angiosarcomas (tumors of the blood vessels) occurring outside of the liver are classified as soft tissue sarcomas. On the other hand, deaths due to angiosarcoma of the liver but erroneously recorded on a death certificate simply as "angiosarcoma" without specifying "of the liver" will be classified as a soft tissue sarcoma as well. Unfortunately, it is not possible to determine from the death certificate whether this has occurred.
The SMR for cancers of the "peritoneum and other digestive organs" is also significantly elevated (SMR=302 using U.S. reference rates (95% Cl 98 to 706) and SMR=274 (95% Cl 89 to 640)), based on five observed deaths due to these cancers. The study contractor has indicated that these five observed cancers were broadly distributed by specific cancer site and likely have different etiologies. In light of the absence of consistency of these cancers, the contractor advises that this observation is unlikely to have any biological significance.
This submission is made on behalf of the members of the CMA Vinyl Chloride Health Committee. The members of the Committee are:
Borden Chemicals and Plastics 180 E. Broad Street, 15th FI. Columbus, OH 43215 Panel Contact: Mr. Mark
Gruenwald Telephone: (614)225-3459
CONDEA Vista Company 900 Threadneedle P.O. Box 19029 Houston, TX 77079 Panel Contact: Dr. David A.
Penney Telephone: (281) 588-3059
CMA 171046
The Dow Chemical Company 1803 Dow Center Midland, MI 48674 Panel Contact: Dr. Colin Park, Telephone: (517)636-1159
Formosa Plastics 9 Peachtree Hill Rd. Livingston, NJ 07039 Panel Contact: Mr. David Pun Telephone: (973) 716- 7279
The GEON Company One Geon Center Avon Lake, OH 44012 Panel Contact: Mr. Ed Beeler Telephone: (440)930-3030
Georgia Gulf Corporation 26100 Highway 405 P.O. Box 629 Plaquemine, LA 10165 Panel Contact Mr. Jay Strange Telephone: (504) 685-2642
Occidental Chemical Corp. 5005 Lyndon B. Johnson Freeway, Room 904 Dallas, TX 75244 Panel Contact: Dr. Steve Phillips Telephone: (972)404-2413
Westlake Chemical Corp. 2801 Post Oak Blvd. Suite 600 Houston, TX 77056 Panel Contact: Mr. John Gamble Telephone: (713) 960-9111
PPG Industries, Inc. One PPG Place Pittsburgh, PA 15272 Panel Contact: Dr. James A. Barter Telephone: (412)434-2801
If you have any questions regarding this letter, please contact Wendy Sherman of my staff at (703) 741-5639.
Sincerely,
r Courtney M. Price Vice President, CHEMSTAR
Enclosure
cc: Vinyl Chloride Health Committee
CMA 171047
CM A 171048
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline study results and Wong et at., 1992 results: Observed (Obs) and expected (Exp) deaths, standardized mortality ratios (SMR's) and ninety-five percent confidence intervals (95% Cl's) using U.S. white male mortality rates, plant state-specific white male mortality rates, for follow-up through December 31,1982
Cause of death All causes
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
Obs Exp SMR 95% Cl Exp SMR 95% Cl
1569 1734.92 90
86-95 1876.87 84
80-88
Obs 1536
Wong et a!., 1992
U.S. reference rates
Exp SMR 95% Cl
1705.27 90
86-95
All malignant neoplasms Cancer of;
Buccal cavity & pharynx Tongue Other parts buccal cavity Pharynx
Digestive organs & peritoneum Esophagus Stomach Intestine, except rectum Rectum Liver & biliary tract Pancreas
389 363.09 107 97-118 380.46 102 92-113 359 341.73 105
94-17
13
11.81
NO 59-188
11.61
112 60-192
12
11.55
104 54-181
4 2.74 146 40-374 2.56 156 43-400 4 nr -
3
3.15
95 20-278
2.98
101 21-294
3
nr
-
5
5.66
88 29-206
5.79
86 28-202
4
nr
-
106 94.82 112 92-135 91.43 116 95-140 99 89.21 Ill 90-135
7 8.59 81 33-168 8.37 84 34-172 7 8.07 87 35-179
11 16.10 68 34-122 14.78 74 37-133 10 16.01 63 30-115
21 31.44 67 41-102 29.57 71 44-109 20 28.79 70 42-107
5
9.71
51 17-120 8.89
56 18-131
5
9.91
50 16-118
39
8.11
481 342-657
9.11
428 304-585 37
5.77 641 450-884
18 19.21 94 55-148 18.89 95 56-151 16 18.40 87 50-141
Page 1 of6
C M A 171049
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
Wong et al, IW2
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
U S reference rates
Cause of death
Obs Exp SMR 95% C! Exp SMR 95% Cl Obs Exp SMR 95% Cl
Peritoneum & other digestive organs
Respiratory system
5 1.65 302 98-706 1.82 274 89-640 4 nr 128 132.71 96 80-115 151.35 85 71-101 115 122.25 94 78-113
Larynx
3 5.44 55 11-161 5.94 50 10-148 3 5.24 57 12-168
Trachea, bronchus & lung
122 125.56 97 81-116 143.58 85 71-101 111 115.87 96 79-116
Other respiratory system
3 1.71 176 36-513 1.83 164 34-480 1
nr -
Prostate
15
16.55
91
51-149 15.59 96 54-159 15
15.20 99 55-163
Kidney
li
9.53
115 58-207
9.73
113 56-202
11
9.06 121 61-217
Bladder
6
8.58
70 26-152
8.34
72 26-157
5
8.46 59 19-138
Skin 7 8.28 85 34-174 8.34 83 33-171 6 7.36 82 30-178
Eye
2
0.32
628 76-2269 0.42
475 58-1717
0
0.31
0
Brain & other nervous system
22
13.61
162 101-245 13.05
169 106-255 23
12.76
180 114-271
Thyroid
2 0.74 269 33-972 0.73 274 33-989 2 0.68 293 36-1059
Bone
2
1.66
120 15-434
2.19
91
11-330
2
1.81 111 13-399
Connective & soft tissue
7
1.84
381 153-785
1.91
367 147-755
6
nr
-
Lymphatic & hematopoietic
37 36.91 100 71-138 37.29 99 70-137 37 36.28 102 72-141
Lymphosarcoma/reticulosarcoma
10
7.77
129 62-237
7.72
130 62-238
11
7.98
138 69-247
Hodgkin's disease
3
5.16 58 12-170 5.31
57 12-165 3
5.45 55 11-161
Leukemia & aleukemia
12 14.73 81 42-142 15.03 80 41-139 13 13.94 93 50-159
Page 2 of6
*.
C M A 171050
Cause of death
Other lymphatic & hematopoietic
Unspecified
Benign & unspecified nature neoplasms
Unspecified nature of eye, brain & other nervous system
Other
Obs 12 29 7
4
3
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
Wong et at., 1992
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
U.S. reference rates
Exp SMR 95% Cl
Exp SMR 95% Cl Obs
Exp SMR 95% Cl
9.25
130 67-227
9.23
130 67-227
10
8.37 119 57-220
22.37
130 87-186 25.13
115 77-166
23
nr
-
5.70 123 49-253 5.54 126 51-260 4
5.08 79 21-201
2.68
149 41-382
2.80
143 39-365
1
nr ""
2.07
145 30-424
2.01
149 31-436
3
nr
--
Diabetes mellitus
23 23.89 96 61-144 25.38 91 57-136 22 23.52 94 59-142
Diseases of the blood & blood forming
2
4.17 48 6-173 4.37 46 6-165
2
3.76 53 6-192
organs
Mental, psychoneurotic & personality disorders
Alcoholism
Other mental disorders
7
12.74
55 22-113
13.15
53 21-110
4
11.80
34
9-87
4 8.86 45 12-116 9.20 43 12-111 3 nr -
3 3.87 77 16-226 3.94 76 16-222 1
nr
Page 3 of6
C M A 171051
Cause of death
Diseases of (he nervous system & sense organs
Multiple sclerosis
Other diseases of nervous system & sense organs
Obs 14
3 11
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
Wong et a!., 1992
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
U.S. reference rates
Exp SMR 95% Cl
Exp SMR 95% Cl Obs
Exp SMR 95% Cl
17.29 81 44-136 17.40 80 44-135 15 nr -
2.31
130 27-380
1.87
161 33-470
3
nr -
14.98 73 37-131 15.53 71 35-127 12 nr ""
Diseases of the heart Rheumatic heart disease Ischemic heart disease Chronic disease of endocardium Other myocardial degeneration Hypertension with heart disease Other heart diseases
642 680.17 94 87-102 735.95 87
81-94
601
nr
--
12 18.71 64 33-112 16.46 73 38-127 14 19.33 72 40-122
535 583.71 92 84-100 630.80 85
78-92
488 597.73
82
75-89
5
3.55
141 46-329
3.17
158 51-368
3
nr -
3
7.89
38 8-111
5.84
51
11-150
31
nr
-
23 15.20 151 96-227 14.50 159 101-238 23 nr -
64 51.12 125 96-160 65.17 98 76-125 42 nr --
Other diseases or the circulatory system
109 129.73 84 69-101 143.51 76
62-92
103
nr
-
Hypertension without heart disease
3
4.53 66 14-193 5.06 59 12-173 8
nr
-
Cerebrovascular disease
Diseases of arteries, veins & pulmonary circulation
78 86.64 90 71-112 96.46 81 64-101 70 91.93 76 28 38.55 73 48-105 41.99 67 44-96 25 nr -
60-96
Page 4 of6
C M A 171052
Cause of death Diseases of the respiratory system
Pneumonia Chronic & unspecified bronchitis Emphysema* Asthma Pneumoconioses & other respiratory diseases (includes COPD) Emphysema & COPD* Diseases or the digestive system Diseases of stomach & duodenum Hernia & intestinal obstruction Cirrhosis of the liver Other digestive system diseases
Obs 70 16 2 17 1 33
63 9 2 38 14
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
Wong et al., 1992
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
U.S. reference rates
Exp SMR 95% Cl
Exp SMR 95% Cl Obs
Exp SMR 95% C!
91.93
76
59-96
111.60
63
49-79
70
87.61
80 62-101
31.54
51
29-82 34.41 47 27-76
15 31.94 47
26-78
4.38 46 6-165 5.44 37 4-133 2 nr --
20.12
84 49-135 23.45
72 42-116
17
nr
--
3.00 33 1-185 3.76 27 1-148 1 2.89 35 [-192
30.30
109 75-153
41.21
80 55-112 35
nr
~
41
22.83
180 129-244
97.55
65
50-83
93.36
67
52-86
60 95.58 63
48-81
12.11
74 34-141 12.02
75 34-142
8
11.15
72 31-414
3.81 53 6-190 3.83 52 6-189 2
nr -
56.70
67
47-92
50.91
75 53-102 35
56.06
62
43-87
24.93 56 31-94 26.60 53
29-88
14
nr
--
Diseases of the genitourinary system Chronic/unspecified nephritis Other genitourinary diseases
8 4 3
19.80
40
17-80
21.55
37
16-73
9
20.41
44
20-84
9.41 43 12-109 10.11 40 11-101 4
8.29 48 13-123
3.77 79 16-232 4.33 69 14-203
nr --
Page 5 of6
C M A 171053
Applied Epidemiology, Inc. baseline analysis
Wong et al., 1992
U.S. reference rates
State reference rates
U.S. reference rates
Cause of death
Obs Exp SMR 95% Cl Exp SMR 95% Cl Obs Exp SMR 95% Cl
Diseases of musculoskeletal system & 1 3.15 32 1-177 3.28 30 1-170 connective tissue
--
Symptoms & ill-defined conditions
7
21.51
33
13-67
26.68
26
l!-54
10 21.79 46 22-84
All external causes Accidents Violence Suicide Homicide
Other causes
183 226.58
81
69-93 256.67 71
61-82
168 225.97 74
64-87
117 153.26 76
63-91
175.92 67
55-80
108 150.16 72
59-87
66
73.32
90 70-114 81.75
81
62-103
60
nr
-
49
53.89
91
67-120 55.51
88 65-117 46
52.78
87 64-116
17 19.43 87 51-140 26.24 65 38-104 14 nr -
15 25.00 60 34-99 25.49 59 33-97
?
nr
--
Unknown
28
97
nr=no rates available for category of death * In the NIOSH categories of death (used in AEI baseline analysis), deaths from emphysema (ICD-7 527.1; 1CD8 492; ICD9 492) are included in Emphysema and deaths from COPD (ICD-7 527.2; ICD-8 519.2; ICD-9 496) are included in Pneumoconioses & other respiratory diseases. In the Monson categories of death (used in Wong et al. analysis), Emphysema & COPD includes deaths from any of the following: Pulmonary collapse (ICD-7 527.0); Emphysema without
mention of bronchitis (ICD-7 527.1); Other diseases of the lung (includes COPD) (ICD-7 527.2).
Page 6 of6