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ETHYL CO:m.Y)RATION
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To Br. E. 3. Rifkin 1`kcim Gary Ter JIaar SunjrxT Visit to Kettering to Discuss Kehoe Data
Audhkss Detroit Ammsss Detroit Dati- ' May 12, 1975
On May 9, B. Sobe.1, J. Sprawl, M. Zavon and I visited Kettering Laboratory to discuss with Dr. S. Gross his progress on evaluation of the data from Kehoe1s numerous inhalation and ingestion exposures to lead. The 3.7 individuals involved in these experiments resulted in 80 exposures. These exposures include: baseline, inhalation exposure, ingestion exposure, and recovery period. Dr. Gross, with, much assistance ' from B. Sobel, lias attempted to fit the blood response from exposure, and recovery period after exposure, to an exponential fit. Of the total exposures investigated, about 2k certainly will fit the exponential exposure, 6 seemprobable and the remaining $0 show a lack of fit. This does not mean that they, will*not yet show an exponential fit, but that variables such as changes in the diet and erratic fecal excretion thus far obscure the results.
The extreme importance of diet on the blood lead values, even when
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exposure was considerable from other sources, emphasizes the^importance of either knowing the lead content or carefully controlling the lead
content of the diet during these experiments. Our.discussion of the data
available prompted M. Zavon to suggest that a paper should be prepared
which would include our preliminary approaches and analysis of the data
and place strong emphasis on the dietary contribution to any study of this
sort. It also appears that an attractive approach will be one suggested
by Gordon Hughmark which involves total balance data. . This approach
take's"the total lead in the diet*and compares it to the total lead in
fecal and urine excretion. Aplot is then made of a cumulative difference
between these two values. For instance, if the difference between intake
and excretion was 10 ug per week, a plot would be made which would show
that at the end of the. first week the balance was off by 10.and at the
end of the second week off by 20 and so on. Such a plot, when made against
time, would be linear with a slope of 10 ug per week. Most of the Kehoe
data show excretion is higher than intake, so that a plot such as that
discussed above would give one an estimate of the intake due to lead in air.
The plans at this time are to put together a paper which wi3iL emphasise the diet contribution, the type of statistical. approach which is being used with the data, values for average blood lead responses to lead in air and 3.ead in diet, values for average \irine response to lead in air and lead in diet and our problems and plans with these preliminary evaluations.
Vie believe the preparation of such a paper will be xiseful for several, reasons.
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1. First of all, it will allow all of us to see more clearly what has been done on this program so far.
2. It will allovr Gross and his group to organise their data and see where they are at and where they are going.
J. It should be a valuable contribution to the literature and
may result in suggestions from readers as to the best ajjproachcs
to take with the data.
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W' e are hopeful that' certain area's of the data are sufficiently ' J
well defined that they will refute EPA's position, especially-
as regards low level, ingestion of lead.
Agoal was set that a good draft will be ready in ^5 to 60 days.
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ec: L. E. Blanchard, Jr J. E. Faggan W. E. Foster M. F. Gautreaux S. A. Gendernalik C. A. Hall R. Herzog H. E. Hesselberg G. A. Hughmark B. A. Sobol J. II. Spraul M. R. Zavon
Ga Te r Haar.
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