Document 6wwy3qxm4Y3pOeVwKzN81n30o
R&S 001866
Brief Report
Update to Vinyl Chloride Mortality Study
The mortality experience of 593 Dow Michigan Divi sion employees potentially exposed to vinyl chloride
after first exposure to vinyl chloride. Both individuals had only short-term exposure in jobs categorized as less
was recently updated through 1982. An earlier study than 200 ppm time-weighted average (TWA).
evaluated this group for the time period 1942 through
There were six deaths from emphysema or chronic
1973 and found an excess of total malignancies among
obstructive pulmonary disease (approximately 5 ex
the subgroup considered to have the highest exposure.1
pected). None of these individuals worked in areas where
However, during the additional period of follow-up
there was a potential for exposure to polyvinyl chloride
(1974 to 1982), a deficit of malignant neoplasms was
dust.
observed for this subgroup.
An increased risk of lung cancer was not found (stand
During the 9 years of additional follow-up, the total
ardized mortality ratio = 89) and the study was capable
deaths in the study group increased by 63 (to 155) and
of ruling out more than a 60% increase with 95%
the person-years by 4,234 (to 17,114). The study's
certainty. The lack of an association with lung cancer
primary focus was directed at cancers of the liver
is consistent with the findings from the majority of other
(including angiosarcoma), biliary tract, lung, and brain,
studies, especially those with the greatest statistical
and to emphysema because of previous reports linking
power to detect an excess.8
these conditions to vinyl chloride exposure in some work
To examine for a dose-response relationship, subjects
forces.8'3 No deaths from angiosarcoma were found and
were allocated to one of four intensity-of-exposure cat
there were no statistically significant excesses for any
egories (undetermined, less than 25 ppm TWA, 25 to
of the other conditions of interest.
200 ppm TWA, and 200+ ppm TWA) based on their
Only those employees identified for the original study
highest rated job assignment held for at least 1 month.
were included in the recent investigation and their work
During the updated follow-up period (1974 to 1982), a
histories and exposures were updated through 1977 to
deficit of total cancer occurred in the highest exposure
ensure a minimum 5-year induction latency period. Con
category (3 observed v 5.4 expected); however, for the
sistent with past practice, separate analyses were con
entire follow-up period this subgroup experienced an
ducted first including and then excluding the subset of
excess which was confined principally to the men with
employees with prior, competing exposures to arsenic
at least 5 years of exposure above 200 ppm (7 observed
insecticides.'1
v 2.8 expected). As was noted in the original study,1
Cause-specific mortality among the study group was
there was no predominant tumor site nor was there a
contrasted both with expected levels based on age- and
unique histologic type among this subgroup, weakening
era-specific mortality rates for US white men, and also
any interpretation of a causal link with vinyl chloride.
with the mortality experience of 24,410 other male
employees from this company location5 who were not
exposed to vinyl chloride or arsenic. The comparison with US men is shown in the Table.
Wendy S. Dahar, MPH
Total malignant neoplasms were less than expected in the updated follow-up period (1974 to 1982), 12 v 16.3 and for the total follow-up period (1942 to 1982), 27 v 31.7. There were no statistically significant excesses for
Gregory G. Bond, PhD, MPH Elsie A. McLaren, RN Fred L. Sabel, MS
any of the diseases of interest. Similar results were seen for the comparison with other employees from this com pany location.
One death from liver cancer occurred in the study group (0.6 expected). The pathology and autopsy re ports indicated that it was an intrahepatic bile duct carcinoma. There were two deaths from brain cancer (1.2 expected), one of which occurred less than 5 years
Thomas E. Lipps, MD
Ralph R. Cook, MD, MPH Tho Dow Chemical Company Epidemiology Health and Environmental
Sciences 1803 Building Midland, MI 48674
648 Update to Vinyl Chloride Mortality Study/Dahar et al
R&S 001867
TABLE Observed and Expected Deaths for Selected Causes Excluding Employees with Prior Exposure to Arsenic Insecticides
Cause of Death (ICO-8)
1942- 1973
Obs
Exp'
Period of Follow-up 1974-1982
Obs Exp
Obs
1942--1982 Exp SMRt
All causes
80 84.9 50 67.0 130
All cancers (140-209)
15 15.4 12 16.3
27
Digestive system cancer (150-159)
6 4.4 3 4,1
9
Liver cancer (155, 156)
0 0.3 1 0.3
1
Respiratory system cancer (160-163)
4 4.9 6 6.4 10
Brain cancer (191,192)
1 0.6 1 0.5 2
All circulatory diseases (390-458)
38 41.1 27 34.3
65
All nonmalignant respiratory diseases (460-519) 6 4.2 3 4.4
9
All accidents (E800-E949)
7 8.4 1 2.5
8
* Expected numbers are based on calendar time and age-specific mortality rates of US white men. t Standardized mortality ratio; observed divided by expected number of deaths x 100. $ Cl, confidence interval of Obs/Exp. Not calculated when expected number of deaths fewer than 5,
151.9 31.7 8.5 0.6 11.3
1.1 75.4
8.6 10.9
86 85 106
- 89
- 86
104 74
95% Cl$
72-102 56-124 48-201
4-899 42-163 23-682 67-110 48-198 32-144
References
1. Ott MG, Langner HR, Holder BB: Vinyl chloride exposure in a controlled industrial environment. Arch Environ Health 1975:30:333339.
2. Wong 0 Whorton MD, Ragland D, ot al: An update of an epidemiologic study of vinyl chloride workers. 1942--1982. Prepared for the Chomical Manufacturer's Association. October 17, 1986.
3. Purchase IFH, Stafford J, Paddle GM: Vinyl chloride: An assessment of the risk of occupational exposure. Food Chem Toxicol
1987;25:187-202. 4. Ott MG, Holder BB, Gordon HL: Respiratory cancer and oc
cupational exposure to arsenicals. Arch Environ Health 1974;29;250255.
5. Bond GG, McLaren EA, Carlmill JB, ct al: Cause-specific mortality among male chemical workers. Am J Ind Med 1987:12:353383.
6. Beaumont JJ, Brcstow NE: Power considerations in epidemio logic studios of vinyl chloride workers. Am J Epidemiol 1DS1; 114:725734.
Journal of Occupational Medicine/Volume 30 No. 8/August 1988
649