Document 6RkNEDEb6gOmqd5epe8Kqe2o

, jiLa-jimii" uiaLau.^i.^j,4jyyt^^.jpiLwxiL# ^1^16345 V LEAD INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION **0 ISUMOTON AVKHUS NTW roe* it. M. T. Tr.vxsrxn tan* 4. A. Ceatalloj tie* President, Ethgrl Corp., Xav lark, H.Y. Ter **rtrml yean pa*t represent*tire* of tha tstraetfcgrl lead InJurtry, too hara tpoken bfor* th# Lead Xnduatriea Association's insil asetlng*, has* oonslstonily palntad bright pictor* of th* future outlook for t*tr**tlgrl lead nd th* conswptlon of pig l**d *ileh go** along with it. Z a happy to b* ahl* to report that th* outlook at th* preeeot tin* ontieoo# to b* good. During th* peat year th* tatrast!?! load Induetry ha* bad it* own dif ficult!**, but ao*t of the** bar* no* cleared up, and w* are locking forward to a ftitur* expansion of our baelaess at ecaparetiroly high rat*, la Boat of ye* know, during the earl/ part of 1951 th* Oorermont sau fit to lfoee a restriction on th* a* of tetraethyl load aa an antiknock coepound la actor gaeolln* to aaka poaalbla th* building of a atockpll* of the caterlal for security purposes, *hU* thl* Halted th* CBaaerelal aal** of th* product considerably, It had n* ffct on th* Induetry'* cocs'eaptlon of pig lead, tinea tha naoufaeturer* were persdttad to produce at capacity rata* In order to aaaur* th* building of th* stockpile. Thl* atockpll* haa now been eonpleted, and on April 1 of this year th* section of TAD Order Mo. 1 which restricted eansuaptloa of tetraethyl lead sea raarlni*ai1x It 1* still too soon to avalnat* tha affect of ra*clndlng of this Order on th* rat* of soosiaptien of our prataet In th* reflnlj* Industry# but frea aatlaat** that w# bars been abl* to aaka, baa*d on th* view* of th* reOnlJV & * % \ N 3313 Uf Lip. wijjWMJO mm mmm mtrzmm m* yAaaw LIA163A6 mm J. A* Ccstells o 2m e oompanlat, * har* reeeon to believe that there *111 bo on lmaediat* increase In the consuaptlan nt, due In pert to the substitution of tetraethyl laad for expensive refinery proceeses for obtaining octene quality, end In part to general lncreaaoa In the motor gasoline octane nusber throughout the country. Acids free tbs ehortage of pig load in 1951, the principal reason *gr it was necessary to limit the mao of tetraetlyl lead while tho otookpilo *a* being built *a do* to tho Inadequacy of the productive capacity of tho tetraethyl lead industry. Ibis situation *111 no longer apply during 1952# since there Is presently being Installed in the United Itsto* a vary substantial increase in prodoetlvs capacity. By the end of tho year. It Is estimated that the industry will be able to produce approximately 550 million pounds of tetraethyl lead per year, coopered *lth LOO million pounds in 1951, This represents an increase is capacity of J7^ percent, end probably is sufficient capacity to take care of any foreseen demands for the not several years* Allowing that there *111 be sufficient tetraethyl lead capacity for the future, and there Is good meson to aerate that the doomed for tetraethyl le^ mill Increase, whet does this mean in toms of pig lead constsptlon for the nest several years In order to make an estimate of the pig lead required by the tetraethyl lead industry, it is necessary for us to forsesst the amenrit of gasoline which is to be consumed, the average octane quality of that gasollm, and tho amount of tetraethyl load *ttch is to be need per gallon. Booh e forecast Is never rosy erect, but with the help of tho refining companies in the petroleum Industry, e are able to arrive at reasonably eloeo estimates, feorems the mount of pig lead reported as being wnamed in 1951 ves 126,1>07 tons, me mpoet Hist in 1951 the consumption *111 preach 150,000 tons. Ibis is an appreciable increase, but m do net feel that it is the optima by mry moans. 11th the advent of m* valve* ln-hoed high compression onglnes of tho type recently introduced by General Motors, mm ,,fames tmm mm i iililJH-Jpl iiriA wIBmJuV ; mm. mm UA16347 I tffe ^nrii^w^nMlA'^P am* im A. Coatello ^ -3 Chrysler, ford and others, tK# need for higher octane gasoline beccaoe mot* pro- nouncod. it would expoct that t least through the year* of 1953, 195U, and lySS, ttoro will be i con*taut increaao In tho octane quality of gasoline, --d tbonfon * constant Increase In the need for tctraettyl lead, We would prtwnmo that by 1?55 the pig load oonswlng rsto of tho tetraethyl lead Industry will roach 166,000 tons per year* This, of courts, aotlelpate* that there will be pdg lead areliable throurfi these year* to pemt this coatlnal lnproraMont In our mrfcst. At nalr* as It way sound, w* are bopoful that the product^ branch of the lead Industry will be able to work out it* affairs, and to properly lnflamae tho actlrltloa of tho Oorta latent ae that re will not be forced Into coniltloz* of shortage auch aa wo had In 19h6 and again In 1951, are so harwful to tho neraal growth of our buslaeaa and to the bualnoea of the pco&ielng tom. aiiiipwwsafwa|iii-' !'>'i <, o w w r 'y |^ 1 .