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Nadeau, Robert [Robert.Nadeau@fema.dhs.gov] 9/3/2017 9:18:05 PM cmercader@prfaa.pr.gov; rochelle. corneiro (rochelle.corneiro@go.vi.gov) [rochelle.corneiro@go.vi.gov]; Christine Diaz (Christine.Diaz@eog.myflorida.com) [Christine.Diaz@eog.myflorida.com] Killian, Adam [adam.killian@fema.dhs.gov]; Caetano, Donald [Donald.Caetano@fema.dhs.gov]; Hudak, Mary [Mary.Hudak@fema.dhs.gov]; Mize, Nancy [Nancy.Mize@fema.dhs.gov]; Strouse, Philip [Philip.Strouse@fema.dhs.gov] FW: Hurricane Irma #18
Importance: High
Please see latest weather NOAA advisory for Hurricane Irma.
Bob
Robert Nadeau, CEM Deputy Director, Intergovernmental Affairs Division FEMA Office of External Affairs 500 C St. SW Washington D.C. 2.0472 Desk 202-212-5193
........ Ex! 6........ !
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Robert.Nadeau@fema.dhs.gov
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Sent: Sunday, September 03, 2017 5:11 PM Subject: Hurricane Irma #18
...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO IRMA... At 5pm AST, Hurricane Irma was located 790 miles east of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and a minimum central pressure of 969 mb.
Irma is moving toward the west near 14 mph. A westward to west-southwestward motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected through Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Irma is forecast to approach the northern Leeward Islands late Tuesday. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Direct impacts from Irma are possible in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later this week, and
Sierra Club v. E P A 18cv3472 NDCA
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Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches could be issued for these islands on Monday.
Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
W Palm Beach, FL 7%
Miami, FL
7%
Ponce, PR
35%
Aguadilla, PR
40%
San Juan, PR
49%
Vieques, PR
50%
Saint Thomas, VI 60%
Saint Croix, VI
46%
Hurricane Irma Graphics
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Hurricane Irma Sun. Sep. 3, 2017 5 pm AST
Advisory 18
Storm Location &
Wind Speed (knots)
f 0*34 6 34-63 S4
Five-dsy chance of receiving sustained 34* knot {38+- mph) winds
i, ! <
: : 50 60 70 ao 90 100 %
[W@fema.dhs.
000
WTNT31 KNHC 032050 TCPAT1
BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 500 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017
...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO IRMA...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC... INFORMATION
LOCATION...17.6N 49.8W ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 M P H ... 22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB ... 28.62 INCHES
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WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the islands of Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis .
The government of the Netherlands has issued a Hurricane Watch for the islands of Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten.
The government of France has issued a Hurricane Watch for St. Martin and Saint Barthelemy.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis * Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten * Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy
Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be required for portions of this area on Monday.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 49.8 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westward to west- southwestward motion with some reduction in forward speed is expe cted through Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Irma is forecast to approach the northern Leeward Islands 1ate Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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