Document 5L90y3moZn7p6VVZ0GbbMGVk0
FILE NAME State of the Art Literature SAL
DATE 1979
DOC SAL078
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION Journal Article - Mortality Experience of Insulation Workers in the US and Canada 1943-1976
MORTALITY EXPERIENCE OF INSULATION
WORKERS IN THE UNITED STATES
AND CANADA 1943-1976
Irving J. Selikoff
Environmental Sciences Laboratory Mount Sinai School of Medicine The City University of New York New York New York 10029
E. Cuyler Hammond and Herbert Seidman
Department of Epidemiology and Statistics American Cancer Society
New York New York 10017
In 1964 we reported data concerning the mortality experience of a cohort of asbestos insulation workers in the New York Jersey metropolitan area 1943 1962. Significant increases in deaths of lung cancer mesothelioma gastrointestinal cancer and asbestosis were found Findings were limited to observation of only 632 men however On January , 1967 a larger cohort was enrolled for prospettive
observation and included all 17,800 men on the rolls of the insulation workers union International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Asbestos Workers AFL CLC in the United States and Canada on that day This second cohort included the survivors of the original 632 New York Jersey men Observation has been maintained and an interval report of deaths in this group since January 1
1967 has been made The present analysis details findings among these men through
December 31 1976
ASBESTOS INsulation in the United States
Asbestos as a mixture of fiber and sodium silicate was first used as an insulation
material in 1866 and as asbestos cement about 1870. Magnesia with asbestos as a binder soon followed and cell covering using corregated asbestos paper was
introduced in 1898 The first union of insulation workers in the United States was formed in New York
City in 1883 under a charter issued by the Knights of Labor predecessor of the American Federation of Labor as The Salamander Association of Boiler and Pipe Felters The present union of insulation workers in this country as chartered by the
AFL in 1910 as the International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and
Asbestos Workers by the amalgamation of the Salamanders Association of New York with other independent locals throughout the country Members of this union are insulation workers primarily employed in the building trades doing construction insulation work but also employed as insulation workers in refineries industrial plants
This study was supported by grants from the American Cancer Society 53 the National
Institute for Occupational Safety and Health OH00320 and the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences ES00928 of the U.S. Department of Health Education and Welfare and the Health Research Council of the City of New York U1272
91
0077-8923 1.75 '1979 NYAS
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
shipyards and powerhouse construction and repair Much of their work is in the open but sometimes as in shipyards in rather tight quarters The men generally work in all parts of the trade with few specialists at one or another part of it Conditions at work
vary from job to job and from company to company with fewer than 10 of the men
remaining with one company during their working lifetimes Data published concern-
ing work practices in other countries suggest that asbestos exposure in insulation work has been approximately the same the world over
insulation Asbestos exposure to which
workers are subject has been limited varied
early and intermittent Some of the materials used have contained no asbestos In the
part of the century magnesia pipe coverings used shredded rope as a binder with no
asbestos Somewhat later wool cork and rock wool were used Starting during World War II fibrous glass products came into increasing use and during the 1970s
bias.Gander their utilization was greatly expanded as asbestos content of insulation materials
sharply decreased Magnesia block insulation including molded pipe coverings usually contained approximately 15 asbestos while asbestos cement generally had uae 15-20 or less of asbestos Asbestos paper products contained a higher asbestos
clat content but were used in much smaller quantities
Until approximately the early 1940s chrysotile alone was utilized in the manufac-
ture of the asbestos insulation products used by these men Amosite began to be used
MAAN: in the 1930s in small quantities but became more widely utilized during World
War and subsequently
2s Few dust counts were made in insulation work until the 1960s However
BBL analysis of available data including reconstruction of work situations and extrapola-
tion to the past of observations made more recently suggest that insulation workers
would have been exposed to dust levels of 4-12 fibers as time weighted
TABLE 1A
MEMBERSHIP OF NEW YORK AND NEW JERSEY INSULATION Workers Union JanuARY , 1943 CLASSIFIED BY AGE AND YEARS FROM FIRST EXPOSURE TO ASBESTOS
DUST
Total
Age
Years
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39 40.44
45-49 50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 Total
Number
Members
2 14 38 122 76 74 77 82 65 41 23 13
3 2 632
0-9 NJON-
NJONNJON-
NJONNJONI !
40
Number of Years Since First Exposure to Asbestos
10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
50+
19
94
26
7
47
6
-27
*
28
30
-27
!
-
19
29
-27
4
~
)
24
*
24
*
-A-
4
"
-1
20
19
-A-
x
-1
13
*
-A-
2
:
i
*
-
2
*
1
4
4
2
2
2
3
}
|
1
145
140
108
70
67
a)
15
1
Locals 12 and 32 of the International Association of Heat and I rost Insulators and Asbestos
. Workers AFL
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
TE
7
A
.
TABLE IB
_ years of Observation January 1 DECEMBER 31 1962 of January .
. 1943. MEMBERSHIP OF NEW York and NEW JERSEY INSULATION WORKERS UNION
: CLASSIFIED BY ATTAINED Age and Years from First ExPOSURE TO ASBESTOS DUST
.
Attained o.
Age Years
.
7. 15-19
ee 20-24
;
Total .
years
4
44
20 4
44
Years from Onsei
20-34 _
-
35+
_ _
co
oss 30-34
oo
_
40
-
ae
, ;
;
-:
35-39
44
45-49
50-54
,
55-59
60-64
a
- 65-69
70-74
75-79
80-84
85+
Total
542 1.068 1.339 1.588 1.562 1.344 1,142
849 513 242
84 29 10,515
542 773 253
74 39 28 22 17
9
_
-
1970
~
295 1086 1510 1368
782 361 175
72 33
1
5683
_
--
4 155 534 759 657 432 209
83 29 4862
International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Asbestos Workers AFL
averages While there might have been periods of little or no exposure there could also have been times of peak exposures much higher than the calculated averages
-
fre
"are
=
oo
Mortality Experience oF NEW YORk JerseY
INSULATION WORKERS 1943-1976
On January 1 1943 there were 632 men registered as members of the two locals
of the International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Asbestos Workers in
the New York Jersey metropolitan area Locals 12 and 32 Their age distribution according to years from onset is contained in TABLE IA and years of
observation 1943-1962 are shown in TABLE IB
Each of these men was traced to December 31 1962 expected and observed deaths are found in Table 2. Nine men died before reaching 20 years from first employment and they are excluded from TABLE 2 which is limited to the 623 men
who achieved that point While deaths related to asbestos exposure of the kind experienced by insulation workers may sometimes occur in less than 20 years from onset of employment lung cancer asbestosis and occasionally mesothelioma these are not common and we consider that analyses of experiences beyond the year point more clearly define the influence of such exposure It was of interest parenthetically that there was no excess in total deaths of all causes during the first 10 years of observation 1943-1952 in the post 20 years from onset experience- an excess was seen for lung cancer specifically as example of the healthy worker effect
Observation of the survivors of the original cohort has continued prospectively and by December 31 1976 478 of the original 632 men had died The same overall pattern of causes of death has continued although distribution of deaths by cause has changed
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
TABLE 2 EXPECTED ANd Observed Deaths Among 623 ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS
NEW YORK JERSEY 20 OR MORE YEARS AFTER ONSET OF WORK January 1 DecEMBER 31 1962
8545 years of Observation
fi
Underlying Cause of Death
Total deaths causes
Total cancer sites
Cancer of lung
Pleural mesothelioma
av
Peritoneal mesothelioma
Cancer of esophagus stomach rectum Cancer of larynx pharynx buccal cavity Cancer of kidney
All other cancer
Noninfectious pulmonary diseases total
Asbestosis
All other causes
Expected
195.4 32.1 6.0
+
t
97
1.7
os
0.7
14.0
4.0
t
159.3
Observed
253 95 42 3 4 19 2 0 $ 14 12 144
Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death rates of the U.S.
National Center for Health Statistics 1949-1962 Rates for specific causes of death for
1943
194w8ere extrapolated from rates for 1949
1955
.
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
somewhat reflecting a number of epidemiological influences Thus pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma which tend to occur somewhat later than bronchogenic carcinoma became proportionately more common Table 3 This change in preponderance also reflects the smaller proportions of older men who ever smoked cigarettes and also a survivor effect Since the cigarette smokers in the original group had
TABLE 3
EXPECTED AND OBSERVED Deaths AMONG 632 NEW YORK JERSEY
ASBESTOS INSULATION Workers January 1 December 31 1976
13,925 years of Observation
ly
Underlying Cause of Death
Expected
Observed
Total deaths all causes Total cancer all sites
Cancer of lung Pleural mesothelioma
Peritoneal mesothelioma
Cancer of esophagus Cancer of stomach
Cancer of rectum
Cancer of larynx pharynx buccal cavity Cancer of kidney All other cancer Noninfectious pulmonary diseases total
Asbestosis All other causes
328.9 57.0 13.3 t + 4 5.4 83 2.8 1 3 245 93
+
2020
478 210
93 11 27
1 19 23
6
2 28 5 41 223
Expected deaths are based upon white male specite
US death rates of the U.S.
National Center for Health Statistics 1949-1976 Rates for specific cause of death for
1943 194w8ere extrapolated from rates for 1949 1955
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
- Sclikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
increased mortality risk especially from lung cancer and cardiovascular disease
there would likely have been comparatively fewer men with a history of cigarette
smoking and :
still fewer who continued smoking at least the same amount among the
"
.
cohort survivors as the years went by Except as influenced by other factors associated
with advancing lapsed time since onset of asbestos work this would make for fewer
|
deaths of lung cancer with more men at risk of dying of other associated
.
iv.
disease Lung cancer remained the most important cause of excess deaths with 93 such
deaths observed vs. 13.3 expected Thirty eight deaths occurred of mesothelioma 1 11
0 * pleural and 27 peritoneal The increase in gastrointestinalcancer originally reported
in 1964 was again seen with 43 deaths observed 15.1 expected There were 41 deaths
of asbestosis In addition 4 deaths were observed of other noninfectious pulmonary
- diseases Apart from cancer asbestosis and other noninfectious pulmonary diseases
.
observed deaths were fewer than expected of all other causes only 223 seen
27 7
teos
2
approximately 40 fewer than anticipated L This experience with 19 of deaths due to lung cancer % the result of
_ mesothelioma % of gastrointestinal cancer and % of asbestosis and other noninfec-
tious pulmonary diseases begins to provide a broad outline of the total mortality
experience of insulation workers employed under conditions of the past much less
asbestos insulation was used in new construction after 1972 although variable and
'_.
intermittent asbestos exposure would be expected to have continued to occur during
wos ,
repair work 76 of the original cohort enrolled in 1943 had died by cad of 1976 Among . Variationsin distribution of deaths by cause over time may be seen in TABLE 4
Among the 9 deaths listed before 20 years from onset of exposure there was none of
lung cancer mesothelioma gastrointestinal cancer or asbestosis and other noninfec-
tious pulmonary diseases Variations are also evident in the two periods 20 3y4ears ;
ete
. es
~
. and 35 or more years from onset Although the proportion of deaths due to cancer of
_ all sites was virtually identical in the two periods 44.5 and 44.3 the specific
f neoplasms were quite different in proportional
Lung cancer accounted for
.
distribution 49 of the cancer deathsin the shorter period but only 43later There were 7 deaths
}
mesothelioma during of
inin the 6263 years of observation
the 20 3y4ear span but
\
31 such deaths in the 5692 years later on It of interest 100 that the proportion
'
| of mesotheliomas that were pleural in location also changed over time 4 of the 7 were
pleural in the earlier period against only 7 of 31 in the second period It is clear that
unless opportunity for prolonged observation is available it will be difficult to fully
evaluate the distribution of deaths by cause among asbestos exposed groups Concomi-
\
tantly such analysis will be enhanced by considering deaths in each period of duration
from onset separately Not unexpectedly deaths of asbestosis were again largely concentrated in the 35
or more years from onset period 38 of the 41 such deaths were found at this time It has been of interest to inquire concerning the experience of those insulation
workers whose exposure began after 1943 since this would reflect postwar conditions
Eight hundred and ninety men joined the New York Jersey metropolitan area locals of the union during the period January 1 December 31 1962. Most 833 had had no prior asbestos employment before entering the union These men have been observed prospectively from the time of admission to the union to December 31 1976
Tab~...es5A and 5B Our experience with their 1943 predecessors had demonstrated that we were to expect relatively few deaths before 20 years from onset of their work Still because of the importance of evaluating postwar experience among men
not exposed in earlier years we undertook this study Table 6 details their mortality experience from first employment to December 31 1976. In the 15,520 years of
observation during the less than year period there was no unusual mortality experience Altogether there were fewer deaths than expected again the healthy
TABLE 4 EXPECTED AND OBSERVED DEATHS AMONG 632 New YORK JERSEY ASBESTOS Insulation WORKERS
January DECEMBER 31 1976
Number of Men Attaining Category years of Observation
Underlying Cause of Death
Total deaths all causes
Total cancer all sites
Cancer lung
Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma
Cancer esophagus
Cancer stomach Cancer colon rectum
Cancer larynx pharynx
buccal cavity
Cancer kidney
All other cancer
Noninfectious Noninfectious pulmonary discases
total
Asbestosis
other causes
Less than 20 Years
325 1970
Expected
9.0 1.1 0.2
f
+ 0.02 0.1 0.2
Observed
a20 a20 a200 a200 0 0 0 0
0.05
2
0.03
0
0.5
0
0.1
JOO
t
JOO
7.8
JOO
20 Years
561 6263
*
Expected
80.4 13.5
3.0
t
0.4 1.5 1.9
Observed
119 53 26 4
3
0
6 7
0.8
NOS
0.4
NOS
.
5.5
5 -
1.6
432
+
432
65.3
432
35 or More Years
498
Anals 5692
Expected
Observed
New 239.5
350
42.4
155
10.1
67
York 3 7
24
1.0
I
Academy 3.8
13
6.2
16
1.9 223 of
09
223
18.5
223
Sciens 7.6
41
t
38
189 5
154
Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics 1949 1976. Rates for specibe causes of death for 1943 1948 were extrapolated from rates for 1949 1955
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
Cadi blede ainracle Sith
TABLE SA
NEW
YORK AND NEW Jersey InsulATION WORKERS OBSERVED January , DECEMBER 31 1962 AND SUBSEQUENTLY TO DECEMBER 31 1976
Number of Men Attaining Category
1943
~
.
ay
To
ae .
Union Members Jan. , 1943
:
Years from Onset
Period
Total
1943-1952
1953-1962
542
1963-1969
370
. 1970-1976
234
20 325
40
=
20-34
523
393 154
32
35-
190 321 328 224
Men Joining Union 1943 Years from Onset
Total
20
20-34
412 833 828 811
412 833 828 561
258 51
1962
35
_ _
_
TABLE SB YEARS OF OBSERVATION OF NEW YORK AND NEW JERSEY
INSULATION WORKERS 1943-1976 Number of years
Period
1943-1952 1953-1962 1963-1969
1970-1976
Union Members Jan. 1 1943 Years from Onset
Total
5928 4587 2088 1322
20 1682
288
-
20 34
3253 2430
418 162
35- 35-
993 1869 1670 1160
Men Joining Union 1943-1962 1943-1962
Years from Onset
Total
1658 906 5752 5485
20
1658 5906 5156 2800
20-34 vee
_
596 2685
35-
_
TABLE 6
EXPECTED ANd Observed Deaths Among 833 New York JERSEY ASBESTOS
INSULATION Workers First Employed January 1 December 31
.
AND OBSERVed from First Employment 31 1976
1962
Duration from Onset of Employment
Number of Men Attaining Category years of Observation
Underlying Cause of Death
Total deaths all causes Total cancer all sites
Cancer of lung
Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma Cancer of esophagus stomach
rectum
Cancer of larynx pharynx buccal cavity Cancer of kidney
All other cancer
Noninfectious pulmonary diseases total
Asbestosis
All other causes
Less than 20 Years
833 15.520
Expected
39.8 5.1 1 t t
Observed
23 5 NOO NOO NOO
20-34 Years
523 3281
Expected
24.8 5.0 1.8 t t
Observed
39 15
8 2 1
0.7
1
0.8
2
0.2
1
0.3
I
0.1
i)
0.1
1
3.0
!
2.0
0
0.5
0
0.6
7
+
0
+
6
34.2
18
19.2
17
Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics 1949-1976 Rates for specific causes of death for 1943 194w8ere extrapolated from rates for 1949 1955
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
worker effect and there was no increase in cancer deaths No mesotheliomas were
seen nor deaths of asbestosis There was no significant increase of either lung cancer
or gastrointestinal cancer Since the year point we have begun to see the changes predicted by our earlier studies In the 3281 years of observation 20 3y4ears from onset there were approximately three times as many cancer deaths as expected primarily due to lung cancer Mesotheliomas were now first seen and some deaths of asbestosis occurred These had occurred primarily during the period 1970 1976
TABLE 7 When the 1943 workers were compared with those first exposed before that
time and evaluation was limited to obs ationsless than 20 years from first exposure
it was found that neither group had unusual lung cancer mesothelioma or asbestosis
experience TABLE 8 demonstrates that among 325 World War II men who had not reached 20 years from onset of exposure during their period of observation
covering 1970 years no excess of these diseases was seen Similarly among the
833 war men with 15,520 years of observation during the shorter than
year from onset point and with exposures starting 1943
196n2either mesothe-
lioma nor asbestosis deaths occurred and there were not significant excess deaths of
lung cancer This is of interest in that by and large only chrysotile exposure had occurred before 1943 for the first group while amosite was added to chrysotile in
terms of potential exposure from 1943 on The after group was potentially exposed to both types of asbestos throughout their work experience These data indicate that amosite did not shorten the period of clinical latency for asbestosassociated disease in these insulation workers Further taken together with the data in Tables 6 and 7 these observations suggest that the mortality experience of insulators
exposed to both chrysotile and amosite will be in the same direction as those originally exposed only to chrysotile and later to insulation dusts also containing amosite Table 9 reviewing deaths of selected causes 20-34 years from onset in the 1943 group and comparing the findings with observations in the 1943 group for the same time
span suggests that this will be the case
Mortality Experience of InsulatoRS IN THE UNITED STAtes and Canada 1967-1976
There were 17.800 men on the rolls of the asbestos workers union in the United
States and Canada on January , 1967 A good deal of information concerning these men was available including date of birth date of first insulation work employment status on January 1 1967. Additional information was obtained by questionnaire from a majority of the men concerning current symptoms respirator use smoking habits
work practices We have maintained observation of this cohort since 1967 with the valuable
assistance of the local and international officers of the union The men are registered in approximately 120 local unions in the various parts of the United States and Canada including Alaska and Hawaii Whenever an insulation worker associated
with the union dies we are notified In most instances a death certificate certificate is forwarded if not it is obtained As with the New York Jersey group information is then
sought concerning the details of the circumstances of death including clinical data roentgenograins histological obtained at surgery or autopsy The chnical and
International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and CLC
Asbestos Workers
AFL CO CO
n
Ce
Te
pa oae
oy
abnitn
de
dK
Pancha
DAM
bay
el
a
Se
Selikof TABLE 7
et
EXPECTED AND OBSERVED DEATHS AMONG 833 NEW YORK AND NEW JERSEY ASBESTOS ^ NSULATION WORKERs First EmptOYED
JANUARY , 1943- DECEMBER 31 1962 AND OBSERVED FROM FIRST EMPLOYMENT DECEMBER 31 1976
al
Noninfectious
1943 1952
Mortaliy Lung Lung CaCnacnceerr
Expected
Observed
Pleural Mesothelioma
Peritoneal
Peritoneal
Mesothelioma
Pulmonary
DDiiseeaasseses ToTtoatlal
*
Expected
Observed
Asbestosi
Asbestosis
Observed
of
(
0
0.0
1953-1962
02
0
0
1963-1969
0
1970-1976
2
Insulation 0.2 Insulation
0.3
Insulation
0.6
S
Insulation
Expected deaths are based upon white male male specific U.S. death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Health Statisties 1949 1976. Rates for Insulation
1943-1948 were extrapolated from rates for 1949-1955
Workers
Workes
wir ie estiers ise i
peiatomtonam:
says
er
Es,
het WS
TABLE 8
C$
Anals fa
SELECTED CAUSES AMONG 632 NEW YORK NEW JERSEY ASBESTOS ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS FIRST
EXPECTED AND OBSERVED DEATHS OF
DECEMBER DECEMBER 31 1962 OBSERVED OBSERVED FROM
EMPLOYED BEFORE BEFORE JANUARY , 1943 AND 833 WORKERS FIRST EMPLOYED JANUARY 1
JANUARY 1 1943 OR DATE OF FIRST EMPLOYMENT 31 1976
New Deaths from Selected Causes Less than 20 Years from First Exposure to Possible Amosite and or Chrysotile Asbestos Exposure
Mesotheliomat
Noninfectious
Asbestosist
Oe
Lung Cancer Diseases York Less than 20 Years
from First 1 sposure to
Number of Men in
Category
years
of
Observation
rr Rate
per 1000
Exp Obs Obs years
PulmonaryPulmonary
Tot Exp > Obs Obs
Rate per 1000
years
Chrysotile only before
Academy 1943. pans afnosite
after 1943
325
0 1,970 0.2 0 0 0 0.1 0 ) of of
spesied Scien s RK Mysound and
Anve
833
15,520
7
spesied deaths are based upon white male specific U.S.
1.1
2 0)
0
0
death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics 1949-1976 1949-1976
0 Rates for
1943-1945 1943-1945 were extrapolated from rates for 1949 1955
Sciences
Rates available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
#Amiosite insulation materials materials were first introduced shortly before and during World War El
we No ante
Linares
is: nbonetoth
TABLE 9
EXPECTED AND OBSERVED DEATHS OF SELECTED CAUSES AMONG 632 NEW YORK JERSEY ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS
FIRST EMPLOYED BEFORE JANUARY , 1943 AND 833 WORKERS FIRST EMPLOYED JANUARY 1 DECEMBER 31 1962
OBSERVED FROM JANUARY 1 1943 OR DATE OF FIRST EMPLOYMENT DECEMBER 31 1976
Deaths of Selected Causes 20 34 Years from Onset of Exposure
Selikof
Mesothelioma
Noninfectious
Asbestosist
et
First Exposure
Number of Men in
years
of
Lung Cancer
_ Lung Cancer
Rate Pulmonary Total
per 1000 Diseases Total
Rate
al
per 1000
Category Observation
Exp Obs Obs years Exp > Obs Obs years
Mortaliy Before 1943
1943-1952
523
3253
0.31
1953-1962
393
2430
1.65
1963-1969
154
418
2.39
of
1970-1976
32
162
6.17
Total
561
6263
Insulation 1943-1962
1943-1952
1953-1962
1963 1969
258
1970-1976 515 Workers
Workes Total
523
Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death
1943 1948 were extrapolated from rates for 1949 1955
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
TABLE 10
.
MEMBERSHIP OF ASBESTOS Insulation WORKERS UNION JANuary 1. CLASSIFIED BY AGE AND By Years from First ExPOSURE TO ASBESTOS
1967 DUST
Total
Age Years
Number
Members
0-9
Number of Years Since First Exposure to Asbestos 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-49
50+
15-19
244
244
20-24
1.695
1695
25-29
2.412
2066
345
l
30-34 35-39
2,762 2.988
1065 313
1356 1141
341 1342
192
2,260
79
424
1026
591
139
1
40-44 45-49
1.589
131
433
3
487
+7
77 1.297
27
88
214
332
377
182
50-54 55-59
984
13
49
129
206
176
146
193
72
amhlit 703
\
21
59
131
126
87
99
179
60-64 65-69
419
6
18
+1
58
45
29
201
21
7
6
14
22
21
16
105
71
255
_
70-74 tf 75--79
111
--
\
4
8
F
7
37
50
-
-
2
\
2
16
31
52
80-84 2
7
20
shbaie's Total 85+
29 17,800
5552 3562
3569
1953
534
425
193
tomes
Membership in the United States and Canada of the International Association of Heat and iden
CLC bide) Frost Insulators and Asbestos Workers CIO
ie,
roentgenological roentgenological data are reviewed and the pathological material examined Most of go
the presentation for for this cohort is in terms of underlying cause of death categorized
ey
according to best evidence available BE Further details are also given in the tables
for underlying cause assigned on the basis of death certificate information only DC
be
At the outset of the study a majority of the men were below the age of 40 10.101
of 17,800 The majority too had yet to achieve 20 years from first exposure 12,683
of 17,800 TABLE 10 During the period January , December 31 1976 the cohort changed its age
and duration from onset distribution with the passage of time Many of the men who started in the less than 20 year from onset group achieved 20+ years from onset during the decade of observation TABLE 11 Altogether 12,683 men with 89,462 years of experience suffered 325 deaths in the period before 20 years There
TABLE 11
OBSERVATION
OF 17,800 ASBESTOS Insulation WoRKERS and Canada January , DECEMBER
IN THE United United 31 1976
States
Number of men
years of
observation Deaths
Average age during observation
Total 17,800
166.857 166.857 2,271
44
20 Years from Onset
12,683
89,462 89,462 128
i
20+ Years from Onset
12,051
77.391 77.391 910
wT
:
2.
:
-
an
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
103
occurred 1946 deaths among 12,051 men who had achieved 20+
with 77,391 years of observation The
years from onset
average age during observation was 36.3
. years for the shorter group and 53.8 years for those with longer duration from onset
During the decade of observation 2271 deaths occurred TABLE 12 whereas
1658.9 deaths were expected based upon white male
only
U.S. National Center for Health
age specific mortality data of the
result of an increased
Statistics The excess deaths were primarily the
number of instances of cancer of several sites Investigation of
the deaths found 486 due to bronchogenic carcinoma between 4 and 5
number anticipated There were 175 deaths of
times the
mesothelioma 63 pleural in location
Spas
: .
ae
_
;
KYa ;
Deaths
TABLE 12
among 17,800 ASBESTOS Insulation Workers AND CANADA JANUARY 1 1967 December
in the United 31 1976
NUMBER OF MEN 17,800
YEARS OF OBSERVATION 166.853
StATES
Underlying Cause of Death
Total deaths all causes Total cancer all sites
Cancer of lung Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma Mesothelioma n.o.s. Cancer of esophagus Cancer of stomach Cancer of rectum Cancer of larynx Cancer of pharynx buccal
Canceorf kidney
All other cancer
Noninfectious pulmonary diseases total
Asbestosis
All other causes
Expected *
1658.9 1658.9 319.7 105.6 t
7 +
7.1 14.2 38.1
4.7 10.1
8.1
131.8
59.0 1 1280.2
Observed
BE
DC
2271 995 486 43 12 0 13 22 59 | 21 19 184
2271 921 429 15 24 55 18 18 58 9 16 18 252
212 168 1064
188 78
1161
Ratio
ak)
1.37 3.11 4.60
DC
137 2.38 4.06
_
2.53
1.54 1.55 2.34 2.08 2.36 1.40
oe
2.53 1.26 1.52 1.91 1.59 2.23 1.91
3.59
-
0.83
3.19
.
0.91
Expected deaths are based upon white male specific National Center for Health Statistics 1967-1976
U.S.
death
rates of the
U..S
Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population BE Best evidence Number of deaths categorized after review of best available information information autopsy surgical clinical
DC Number ofdeaths as recorded from death certificate information only
and 112 peritoneal There was a modest increase in deaths of gastrointestinal cancer esophagus stomach rectum
Cancers of several other sites were also significantly increased over the number
expected There were 11 deaths of cancer of the larynx 21 of the buccal cavity and
pharynx as well as 19 deaths of cancer of the kidney In each instance this was
twice the number anticipated Comment had previously been made
interest in these sites but at the time there
concerning
were inadequate data for evaluation
Additional experience has indicated that the early hints were predictive
Review of information concerning the deaths allowed a distinction to be made
between deaths caused by asbestosis and those of other noninfectious pulmonary
104
~
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
diseases including emphysema and cor pulmonale Thereby 168 deaths were assigned to asbestosis and 44 were attributed to other noninfectious pulmonary diseases
compared with a total expectation of 59.0 in the general population The question of
whether noninfectious pulmonary diseases other than asbestosis are or are not
increased in asbestos workers is a complex problem Continuing questions of nomen-
clature of chronic obstructive lung disease in general and uncertainties of designation and pathological categorization were recently well reviewed by C. M. Fletcher
Chronic nonspecific lung disease particularly that due to cigarette smoking may have an influence on the course of the asbestosis providing an added burden to
damaged lungs We have evidence that there is such influence On the other hand diffuse interstitial parenchymal fibrosis diffuse pleural fibrosis would be disadvan-
tageous for individuals with extensive chronic obstructive lung disease particularly with superimposed pulmonary infections or other physiological stress Such disadvan-
tageous additional contributions in individual cases may play important roles in
determining the adequacy of a patient's respiratory rese eCategorizing deaths in terms of a single underlying cause however does not allow for inclusion of nuances of interaction among the several factors nor to depict the full spectrum of such
interacting disease from cases in which little other than asbestotic pulmonary fibrosis
may be involved to those in which all evidence indicates that cigarette smoking and bl
chronic obstructive lung disease were the principal factors
0b
For causes other than cancer and asbestosis and other noninfectious diseases there
were fewer deaths than expected 1064 against 1280.2 In particular there were fewer
bande
deaths of arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease and its consequences This is further
te
nar
considered elsewhere and it may well be that the active physical work associated with
employment as insulation workers is advantageous in preventing or delaying death of Cees
aches cardiovascular disease although the influence of initial selection upon admission to
the trade cannot be disregarded
It is evident that most excess deaths in this cohort were due to cancer 675 rather
OE
than to asbestosis and other noninfectious pulmonary diseases 153 This is notewor-
Teac thy since the present United States Standard for occupational exposure to asbestos is
in large part derived from reported recommendations designed to prevent asbestosis
a
PIRES
Deaths of LESS COMMON MALIGNANT NEOPLASMS
Apart from lung cancer mesothelioma gastrointestinal cancer cancer of the larynx pharynx and oral cavity and cancer of the kidney there was still as excess of cancer of other sites with 184 observed compared with 131.8 expected TABLE 13
provides information concerning expected and observed deaths for a number of other
sites For some there was no evidence of increased incidence as with leukemia
lymphoma primary cancer of the liver testes bladder Relatively small increases were suggested for brain skin pancreas prostate The overall increase is of some interest especially in view of the known possibility of asbestos fibrils being disseminated to virtually all organs following inhalation or ingestion We have long been properly accustomed to seeking verification of increases beyond chance expectation statistically significant in incidence of cancers of defined sites This perspective
does not contradict the potential importance of more general increases in cancer
incidence of a large variety of sites perhaps not teaching levels of statistical
significance in any one location but still yielding definite increases of the overail
cancer burden of the groups investigated
Selikott et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
MULTIPLE CANCERS
From a purely statistical point of view in view of the increased incidence of cancer
of several sites among asbestos insulation workers we would would expect that a proportion
of these men would suffer multiple cancers simultaneously even beyond the tendency of such findings to be made among individuals with cancer in general Again this would not be reflected in tabulations of causes of death by single underlying cause as is the usual practice Analysis of our experience demonstrated one hundred malignant neoplasms present but not causing death TABLE 14 Sometimes these additional neoplasms were mentioned on the death certificate but as an other significant . condition not in the section on the underlying cause of death Forty were present
among the 1064 cases where death was due to causes other than cancer or asbestosis
Table 13
DEATHS
AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS Insulation WoRKERS AND CANADA January 1 1967 DECEMBER NUMBER OF MEN 17.800
IN THE United StATES
31 1976
+s
YEARS of ObservatION 166,853
Underlying Cause of Death
Total deaths all causes Cancer all sites Deaths of less common
malignant neoplasms
Pancreas
Liver biliary passages
Bladder Testes Prostate Leukemia
Lymphoma
Skin Brain
Expected
1658.9 319.7
17.5
7.2 9.1 1.9 20.4 13.1 20.1 6.6 10.4
Observed
BE
DC
2271 995
2271 922
Ratio e
BEE
DC
1.37 3.11
1.37 2.58
23
707-3
1.32
2.81
S
707-3
0.70
2.65
9
707-3
0.99
0.77
2
70-3
_
_
30
28
1.47
1.37
15
15
1.15
1.15
19
16
0.95
0.80
12
'
1.82
1.22
14
17
1.35
1.63
Expected deaths are based upon white mate specific U.S. death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics 1967-1976
BE Best evidence Number of deaths categorized after review of best available information autopsy surgical clinical
DC Number of deaths as recorded from death certificate information only
TABLE 15 Among the 168 deaths of asbestosis cancer was also present in 7 6 of these being bronchogenic carcinoma Analysis of the circumstances leading to death however indicated that the underlying cause was asbestotie pulmonary insuficiency and that the lung cancers were present but with no decisive influence at the time of death Nineteen other cancers were present among the 486 deaths of lung cancer and 10 other cancers accompanied the 175 deaths of mesothelioma There were 9 incidental neoplasms among the 99 deaths of gastrointestinal cancer Although experiences are so far limited it may not be wholly unexpected that there were
proportionately more incidental neoplasms accompanying deaths of rectum
cancer compared to those of lung cancer 8.5 vs. 3.9 One may speculate that this
106
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
TABLE 14
MORTALITY STATES
EXPERIENCE AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS IN AND Canada 1967-1976 OBSERVATIONS IN 2271 CONSEcutive CONSEcutive
the United DeaTHS
Malignant Neoplasms Present but not Causing Death
Site
Number
Lung Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma
Esophagus
Stomach Colon
Oropharynx Larynx Kidney
Other
v^'
24 2 i 0 '
19 3
;
3 att
ao Twenty of these neoplasms were mentioned on the death certificate but were not
categorized as underlying cause of death Including leukemia 3. lymphoma 3 bladder 5 prostate 13 thyroid etc. Ys ma In 92 individuals total includes multiple cancers in eight cases
mstibes:
men
could be due to the longer clinical course of many patients with rectum cancer
thek
compared to lung cancer with greater opportunity simply in terms of time to develop
additional disease
heplrbt Multiple cancers were present present overall in 2.1 of deaths among these asbestos
vers
insulation workers 48 of 2271 It is perhaps to be expected that this was more likely
to be the case among those for whom cancer was was the primary cause of death 4.57
while only 3 of the 1276 other deaths had this finding
From a clinical point of view in the management of patients with asbestos-
associated disease the potential for incidental or multiple cancers is of some
and awareness of the possibility may assist in both the diagnostic
importance
individuals with history of significant
investigation and term surveillance of
asbestos exposure
Lapsed Per
It is now well appreciatedapreciated that most asbestos associated discase is first seen after considerable periods from onset of exposure in both occupational and environmental circumstances This is true both for the presence and extent of parenchymal fibrosis
a
presnce and pleural fibrosis and calcification and for associated neoplasms
pet, Data obtained in this investigation now provide a more complete overview of this
question Broadly we saw some limited excess disease in less than 20 years from onset of exposure Table 16 Among 12,683 men with such experience covering 39,462
years of observation the number of cancer deaths was about doubled with 42.6
deaths expected and 83 observed There were no excess deaths of gastrointestinal cancer and only 5 deaths of mesothelioma with these in the 15. 19 years from onset category Age year year and sex specilie mortality data of the U.S. National Cancer for
Health Statistics indicated that
11.9 deaths of lung cancer were be expected
Thirty occurred There were 8 deaths of asbestosis
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
107
On the other hand extensive disease was seen among the 12,051 men who had
reached 20 or more years from onset during the decade of study Here 1376.0 deaths
were anticipated 1946 occurred There were 160 deaths of asbestosis and 912 of
cancer It was at this time that bronchogenic carcinoma made its heaviest contribu-
tion with 93.7 such deaths expected and 450 observed One hundred and seventy
deaths of mesothelioma were then seen and the increase in gastrointestinal cancer
found TABLE 17 depicts these data in some detail in year periods from onset of
employment Lung cancer data are given as both expected and observed numbers of
death This practice cannot be followed for mesothelioma where expected deaths
cannot be computed for the general population Instead we have provided data in both number of deaths of pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma as well as in terms of
number of deaths of these causes per thousand persons years at risk The latter does
not take into account variations in achieved age but this may have less influence than
achieved duration from onset of employment It will be seen that very major increases
in numbers of deaths of lung cancer are first seen at 15-24 years from onset of work
with continued further increases The extraordinary increase in deaths of mesothe-
lioma both of the pleura and the peritoneum is not observed until somewhat later reaching 2.78 deaths per thousand person at risk for pleural mesothelioma at
35-39 years from onset of work and 5.47 deaths of peritoneal mesothelioma per
thousand person at 45+ years from onset
In another reflection of the clinical concerns among these workers TABLE 18
indicates that approximately third of all deaths were due to lung cancer at 30
34
years from onset while mesothelioma accounted for 13 of all deaths at 35
3y9ears
TABLE 15
Mortality Experience AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS Insulation Workers in the United States and Canada 1967-1976 OBSERVations in 2271 CONSECUTIve Deaths
NUMBER OF INcidental Malignant NeoPLASMS NOT Causing Death in RelatioN to Underlying Cause of Death as EstTABLISHED BY BEST EVIDENCE BE
Underlying Cause of Death
~
Cancer sites
Cancer of lung
Pleural mesothelioma
Peritoneal mesothelioma Cancer of esophagus Cancer of stomach Cancer of rectum
Cancer of larynx Cancer of pharynx buccal cavity Cancer of kidney
All other cancers
Noninfectious pulmonary discases total
Asbestosis
All other causes Total
Number
Number of Deaths of
Underlying Cause
995 486
63 112
18 22 59 11 21 19 184
212 168 1064
2271
Incidental Malignant
_-
NeopNeopiaisms asms
No. of
Total
Deaths
Cancers
45
50
17
19
4
4
5
6
1
;
3
3
S
S
0
0
2
3
0
0
8
9
0722
10
0722
7
0722
40
91
100
Six of these were lung cancer
TABLE 16
DEATHS AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS IN THE UNITED STATES AND Canada JANUARY , 1967 DECEMBER 31 1976 ANALYSIS BY DURATION FROM ONSET OF EMPLOYMENT
Total Men
years of Observation
Underlying Cause of Death
deaths all causes Cancer all sites
Cancer of lung
Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma Mesothelioma 0.0.5
Cancer of esophagus
Cancer of stomach Cancer of rectum
Cancer of larynx Cancer of pharynx buccal Cancer kidney
other cancer
Nemnfections pulmonary diseases total
Asbestusix Asbestusix Aibotlier caFUNCN
Before 20 Years from Onset
20 or More Years from Onset
12,683
12,051
89.462
77,391
Anals Expected
Observed
BE DC
Ratio ofe BE) DC
*
Expected
Observed
BE DC
Ratio ofe
BE DC
7
282.9 42.6 11.9
t t t
325 325
83 77
36
32
2
3 0
1.15 1.15 1.15 1.95 1.95 1.81 3.03 3.03 2.69
New 1376.0
277.1
1946 1946 1.41
1.4
912 845 3.29 3.05
93.7
450
397 4.81 4.24
t
7
t
61
23
Ld York 109
24
0
54 |
0.6
| 1.5
0 4.1
17
17 2.64
21
18 54
1.65 1.65
Academy
0.4
4 1.3
3 1.
3 1 21.7
28
30
234 1234
237
101
2.05 2.057
of
14
15
Sciens 222
177
Sciences
76
924 1.79
* Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death death rates of the U.S. National Rates are not available but these have been rare causes of death in the general population
Center for Health Statistics 1967 1976
BF Best evidence Number of deaths categorized after review of best available information autopsy surgical chnical
DC Number of deaths as recorded from death certificate information only
ich
Lind
Ath al uy AN ihicigitcibdcdolt Attnats 3
TABLE 17
Selikof DEATHS AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS InsulatioN WORKERS IN UNITED STATES and Canada January 1 1967- DECEMBER 31 1976 ANALYSIS BY DURATION FROM ONSet of EmplOYMENT Pleural Mesothelioma Peritoneal Mesothelioma et
Duration from
Number
Person
of
Observed
Ratio
Ratio ofe
No./1000 No./10 No./1000
Person
al No 1000 Person
Number
years _ Number
years
Onset Years of Men Observation Exp BE DC BE DC BE DC
BE
HE DC
BE
10
Mortaliy 10-14
15 19
0 20 24
8,190
26.393
0.7
0
0
-
0
9.063
29.003
2.7
7
S 2.55
0
9.948
34,066
8.5
29
27 3.40
2
8.887
31.268 31.268
17.0
59
57 3.48
6
)
0
0
0
0
)
3
0.09
3 2
0 10
6.596
20.657
21.0
105
96 5.00
58
13
3.547
112 65..0688 3 2,020
11,598 5,403
18.4
11.5
65
57
5.59
9
4.98
15
1.108 1,448
3,160 5.305
8.1
40 131 4.93
17.8
69
53 3.89
4
4 3
6 Insulation 6 19
092
23
1.98
19
S
3.52
16
5.06
19
5.47
Workers
1976 Worke s Expected deaths are based upon white male specific U.S. death rates of the U.S. National Center for Health Statisties 1967 1976 taken into account
BI Best evidence Number of deaths categorized after review of best available information autopsy surgical clinical
Smoking
DC Number of deaths as recorded from death certificate information only
Py
*
+
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
.
TABLE 18
DEATHS
AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS IN THE United CANADA JANUARY 1 December 31 1976
ANALYSIS By Duration FROM ONSET of EmploYMENT
States AND
Percent of All Deaths Mesothelioma
Years
Years from
Employment
10 10-14 15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39 40-44
45+
Total
Total Deaths
51 85 189 320 388 340 253 203 442 2271
Lung Cancer
BE
0 8.2 15.3 18.4
27.1
32.9 25.7 19.7 15.6 21.4
DC 0 5.9
17.8 24.7 30.3 22.5 15.3 12.0 18.9
Pleural
Peritoneal
BE
0
"
1.9 3.4 1.7 5.9 2.0 3.2 2.8
DC BE DC
0
0
C
Q
0
ul
1.6
1.3
0.9
0.6
13
4.9
0.8
0.9
68
S
1.6
7.5
2.0
1.5
7.9
3
0.9
6.6
Ld
1.1
4.9
at
Total
By
DC
ui +
> Ls <3
4 (24
a ur
77
a
i]
1.6 28 S22 6.5 7.9 6.4 4.1 4.6
Total includes mesothelioma not specified as either pleural or peritoneal
BE Best evidence Number of death categorized after review of best available information
ren
autopsy surgical clinical
Teter DC Number of deaths as recorded from death certificate information only
eras
Altogether lung cancer was responsible for 21 of all deaths observed by us in this
eee
cohort and mesothelioma for %
rere
fae
INVESTIGATION and CATEGORIZATION OF CAUSEs of Death
oy
considerable It is widely known that causes of death as recorded on death certificates may be in
error and that even when accurate these may be coded with considerable variation
among different agencies despite the existence of agreed upon international rules and recommentations Yet death rates based upon large series of causes of death as recorded on death certificates are nevertheless useful and are widely utilized This
distinction however leads to the understanding that comparisons between observed
stared causes of death and those expected from national or local death rates should not be
considered in rigid exact terms especially when considering the mortality experience
of very specific groups For these there are no perfect controls that would take into
account their age distribution ethnic derivation smoking habits economic circum-
ashi
stances prior personal and social history and so on
det
The matter is further complicated by the fact that deaths in the general
population which provide the basis for established comparison death rates are not verified by investigation or examination of available data concerning the circum-
stances associated with the deaths Of course one may elect to treat the deaths in the
study population in exactly the same way with no attempt to review data other than that recorded on the death certificate explicitly accepting whatever whatever errors might exist
in causes of death recorded and implicitly hoping that whatever errors exist are very
much the same in the two sets of data deaths in the general population and those in
the group under investigation Certainly this latter method is simpler cheaper much
less time consuming
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
But this approach has a number of drawbacks First where the distribution of causes of death in the group being studied is different than that found in the general population one may expect that the distribution of inherent error might also be different Second data may be available which can shed much light on the causes of death under investigation and not including such information permits the risk of reporting results which are simply inaccurate It is perhaps inadequate comfort to skirt this difficulty by clearly stating that only death certificate diagnoses are reported this only gives the reason for potential inaccuracy There are also technical issues and these are of particular concern among exposed groups in the sixth seventh and eighth revisions of the International Classification of causes ofdeath There have been no clear categories for the diffuse malignant mesotheliomas of the pleura and peritoneum which occur and while some improvements have been made in the ninth revision now being introduced we fear that these will still not resolve the problem
Just as there are no perfect controls there is also no single perfect solution and it is unlikely that there will be such in the foreseeable future especially Since data available for ascertainment of cause of death even when investigations during life and at autopsy have been undertaken are not always complete and are surely not uniform
TABLE 19
MORTALITY EXPERIENCE AMONG 17,800 ASBESTOS INSULATION WORKERS IN THE United StaTES AND CANADA 1967-1977 OBSERVATIONS IN 2271 CONSECUTIVE
Deaths with Underlying CAUSE OF DEATH CODED According to DEATH CERTIFICATE InformatION ONLY AND ACCORDING 10 Best EVIDENCE
Underlying Cause of Death
Cancer all sites
Cancer of lung
Pleural mesothelioma
Peritoneal mesothelioma Mesothelioma n.o.s.
Cancer of esophagus
Cancer of stomach Cancer of rectum Cancer of larynx pharynx
buccal cavity Cancer of kidney
Cancer of prostate Cancer of bladder Cancer of pancreas
Cancer ofliver
Cancer of brain
Noninfectious pulmonary diseases total
Asbestosis other causes
Expected 319.7
105.6
+ t
t 7.1
14.8 . /
20.4 9.1
17.5 72
10.4
59.0
+
1280.2
Death Certificate
Best Evidence
No.DC
No.
e
No.
ose
922 429
25 24 55 ****** ****** ******
2.88 4.06
_
_ -
2.53 1.26 1.52
995 486
63 112
0 -
flfl 59
3.11 4.60
_
2.53 1.54 1.55
******
1.69
******
2.23
28
1.37
7
0.77
49
2.81
19
2.65
17
1.63
32
2.16
19
2.36
30
1.47
9
0.99
23
1.32
S
0.70
14
1.35
188 78 61
3.19
_
0.91
212 168 1064
3.59
.
083
of
Evidence 2882 2882 2882 2882
100 82 98
78 95 93 78 213 380 +21
89 46 109
Expected deaths based on white male Center for Health Statistics 1967-1976
specific
L.S.
death
rates of the
U.S.
National
Rates not available but these have been rare causes of death in the generat population population BE Best evidence Number of deaths categorized after review of best availabie information DC Number of deaths as recorded from death certificate information only
ee
112
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
#9
el
We have elected to approach this problem by providing data in more than one way
including causes of death as recorded on the death certificate in our cases for
THe comparison with expected deaths based upon the data of the U.S. National Center
ee
for Health Statistics as well as causes of death established after detailed review of all
Se
oe: available information Such data were retrieved in 1961 of the 2271 deaths However
we detailed information was not equally available for all categories of causes of death
This was to be expected in the nature of things As a rule the best available
a
information for establishing the cause of death was considered to be autopsy findings
eee
Set with pathological information derived from surgical intervention next and in their
ee
absence clinical and roentgenological observations made during life particularly in
the period before death Where no such details were available the cause of death as
recorded from death certificate information was then utilized Among the 995 cases of
cancer we were required to depend upon the death certificate alone in only 28 with
other information available in 967 cases 977 In all 175 cases of mesothelioma
surgical and autopsy findings were utilized We depended upon death certi^-cate information alone in 10 of the 486 cases of lung cancer
Similarly in 166 of 168 deaths of asbestosis information was available in addition to the death certificate leaving dependence of the latter in only % In contrast f^r causes other than cancer and asbestosis additional information was available in only
quarters of the cases Analysis of the distribution of deaths within this category showed that this was by no means unexpected Sudden death attributed to myocardial infarction or cerebrovascular accident is often not further investigated nor need
clinical abnormalities have preexisted It was therefore no surprise that in 156 cases
the medical attendant or the medical examiner warranted such death certificate
diagnosis without other information being available It would seem difficult to avoid
differences in quality of ascertainment under such varied circumstances
ot!
Analysis of our data suggests that by and large death certificate diagnoses were
not far off the mark This speaks highly for the diagnostic acumen and quality of care
tnd
dac
provided to these men by their medical attendants Cancer as the underlying cause of
Yeon
Siseald death was indicated by the death certificate in 922 instances compared with 955 so
categorized after considering all available information TABLE 19 The specific
a
diagnosis of cancer of the lung and cancer of the several sites of gastrointestinal
bit
cancer as well as cancer of the larynx pharynx and kidney was also generally well
predicted by the death certificate diagnosis In number of instances however there was important disparity between causes
of death as recorded on the death certificate and those judged to be the case after
review of available clinical and pathological material This was true for pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma asbestosis cancer of the pancreas primary cancer of the liver cancer of the brain and chronic obstructive lung disease
In 49 cases cancer of the pancreas was listed on the death certificate as cause of
death Only 17.5 such deaths were expected TABLE 14 If we were to accept cause of
death as listed on the death certificate to establish the observed number of deaths
for this disease we would have to conclude that cancer of the pancreas is significantly
increased as a cause of death among asbestos insulation workers But this is not the case when all available material was reviewed it was found that only 23 deaths
compared with the 49 so categorized on the death certificate were due to cancer of the pancreas Four were the result of metastatic lung cancer 15 were found on review of histological material to be cases of peritoneal mesothelioma and 5 were best categor-
ized as abdominal carcinoma primary site established Two were due to cancer of
the colon This is not to say that we have established that there is no increased
incidence of cancer of the pancreas amone asbestos workers it os possible there is
some limited increase and we are cognizant of 15g uncertabies uncertarabunicertearas bies
merent the
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
computation of expected rates for cancer of the pancreas since it may well be that some of the cases so categorized in the general population from which the expected rates were derived might really be instances of lung cancer colon cancer and even perhaps peritoneal mesothelioma Since these deaths in the general population have not been investigated to verify death certificate cause of death it is not possible to know whether such inaccuracy exists nor its degree
Asbestosis was another example where categorization by death certificate would be misleading since only 78 deaths of this disease were so categorized compared with 168 after review A variety of other diagnoses were offered in the discrepant cases primarily those of chronic obstructive lung disease or other noninfectious respiratory disease acute infections and in two cases cancer of the lung It was of interest
that in 16 of the 97 cases called asbestosis after review but in which asbestosis was not
listed as the underlying cause of death it was mentioned on the death certificate under the rubric of other significant conditions In 129 other cases asbestosis was again mentioned on the death certificate but not as underlying cause of death Altogether
asbestosis was mentioned in 230 of the 2271 death certificates
In 7 cases asbestosis so categorized by death certificate designation was reassigned to other categories after review with death found due to lung cancer in 5 peritoneal mesothelioma in one and myocardial infarction in another
Accuracy of diagnosis of mesothelioma and its being recorded on death certiticates is a special problem First there are the difficulties and subtleties of pathological diagnosis of particular importance when cases of this neoplasm are seen throughout the United States and Canada by pathologists with varied experience Sometimes there is the added difliculty of extending the pathological diagnosis to the death certificate not infrequently completed by a physician who may or may not have been the regular medical attendant and fully cognizant of pathological findings to this could be added the problem occasioned by the fact that the death certificate must often be completed before there has been full consideration of postmortem findings When these differ with the death certificate diagnosis an amended certificate is expected to be filed In our experience this is rarely done When to these are added the
administrative uncertainties and insecurities of classification it is not surprising that
only about quarter of the deaths of mesothelioma in this series were correctly recorded on death certificates as pleural or peritoneal although 104 of the 175 cases
were recorded as mesothelioma even if not with full details
We are presently analyzing the 175 deaths of pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma and the results will be reported In 108 of the 112 cases of peritoneal mesothelioma surgical and pathological material was submitted to us for review and this was the case as well as 61 of the 63 pleural mesotheliomas 96.5 and 96.8
The association of pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma with prior asbestos
exposure is so striking that it is not surprising that overdiagnosis might now
sometimes occur We found such to be the case in this study In 8 cases in which mesothelioma was recorded as underlying cause of death on the death certificate review of the histological material showed the diagnosis to be other than mesothelioma cancer of the lung in 5 cases metastatic carcinoma in 1 and Wegener's granulomatosis involving the pleura in another In the eighth case pleural mesothelioma was
present but was not the cause of death which was better attributed to concurrent cancer of the stomach
Where mesothelioma appeared as the diagnosis on the death certificate depending upon the exact phrasing used this might be coded in the eighth revision of the International List in categories 158.9 malignant neoplasm of peritoneum 163 0 malignant neoplasm of pleura 197.0 secondary malignant neoplasm of lung 195.0 malignant neoplasm of abdomen 198.9 secondary inalignant neoplasm specified as
F:
ts
i
t
|
,
i
,
bE 114
Annals New York Academy of Sciences
Cota
secondary 199.0 multiple malignant neoplasm carcinomatosis disseminated
cancer 199.1 malignant neoplasm without specification of site and not infre-
e quently 228 benign neoplasm of other and unspecified organs and tissues There is
at the moment no reliable way to extract the numbers of pleural and peritoneal
a
$0
let mesotheliomas from death certificate data categorized and recorded by health
statistics agencies in the past using the several revisions of the International
Classification of causes of death
be
degree sewn We might add that overall pathologists diagnoses were much more accurate than Piees
death certificate characterization of causes of death would lead one to believe This
again bespeaks a high of competence on the part of pathologists in the United ts
States and Canada we are aware of course that diagnostic suspicion
be
th
increased in those instances in which it is known that asbestos
may
exposure had occurred
oe
as with individuals among whom occupational history indicated such exposure this
could perhaps have accounted for some of the diagnosis However this might be
it is clear that a problem exists in translating the information obtained in pathological
study to the death certificate diagnosis sell as a problem of subsequent coding of
the stated cause of death
Sn
ero CONCLUSIONS
re
.
a
Asbestos insulation workers in the United States and Canada suffer an extraordi-
CAT nary increased risk of death of cancer and asbestosis associated with their employ- OS
ment This includes increases in death of lung cancer pleural mesothelioma peritoneal mesothelioma cancer of the esophagus colon and rectum cancer of the
larynx pharynx kidney and perhaps stomach Some increases were seen in cancer of
several other sites as well but data are inadequate at this time to permit characterization of their significance although attention is called to such wider increase
Little increase in cancer deaths nor of asbestosis was observed in less than 15 19
years from onset of exposure In general the period of latency between onset of
exposure and death was 2 3 4 or more decades Large increases in lung cancer occurred at 15- years from onset while pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma showed
their greatest incidence somewhat later Under the conditions of exposure which
obtained the period of clinical latency for asbestosis was also prolonged and in many cases was 30-40 years or more from onset of employment It would appear that in studies of the effects of such asbestos exposure it would be advantageous to analyze the experience of exposed individuals in duration exposure categories with particular reference to durations of more than 30 years If this is not done the risk is
run of obscuring the neoplastic effects of asbestos exposure by the mingling of later
deaths with those which may have occurred much earlier and which would be much
less likely to have been influenced by asbestos exposure In the same way studies
should include whenever possible the opportunity for observation of the mortality
experience of the individuals at risk at least 30-35 and preferably 40 or more
from onset of their exposure Again unless this is possible only the
years
limited
effects will be identified and the full import of the exposures may notvebreyappreciaetaerdly
Our experiences demonstrate the advantages of review of all available information
concerning the circumstances associated with the deaths that occur Depending entirely upon death certificate diagnosis can lead to erroneous reports of causes of
death a problem that can be mitigated by characterizing causes of death according to
the best available information Using this approach we found that the
increased incidence of cancer of the pancreas among astrest^s insulation indicated by death certificate diagnosis did not really exist and that
apparent
workers many ;
neer
sed tich any
yze
with kis
ater
such .dies
lity
cars
arly
d
yon
Ling of
200
rent ers
Selikoff et al Mortality of Insulation Workers
115
designated were due to other causes The same was found for primary cancer of the
liver and cancer of the brain both of which would have been considered of increased
incidence using solely death certificate diagnosis but were not so established established following review of histological material This of course could well be anticipated with exposures to agents which increase the risk of neoplasms known to metastasize to these sites bronchogenic carcinoma gastrointestinal cancer
Our experiences do not indicate that the addition of amosite asbestos exposure during and after World War I to the chrysotile asbestos exposure which existed before then and which continued demonstrably altered the nature of the asbestos-
induced diseases which resulted nor their extent Further limited experiences suggest that asbestos insulation employment begun 1943-1962 carried the same type of term risk as that begun before that time We have no information concerning the nature or extent of risk among insulation workers whose employment began after
1963
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
os
We are grateful for the extraordinarily valuable assistance of Ms. Janet S. Kaffenburgh and Ms. Frances Perez in the tracing and acquisition of material concerning the insulation workers in these cohorts Clearly the completeness of the ea prolonged serial observations could not have been accomplished without their dedicated and skillful help At the same time the leaders of the asbestos workers union equally share our gratitude Mr. Andrew T. Haas and Mr. William G. Bernard International President and International Secretary of the union Mr. Roy J. Stein-
furth coordinator of the Insulators Health Hazard Program and the many union
officers throughout the United States and Canada whose dedication and concern have permeated their work with us Special mention should be made of officials of the New York Jersey metropolitan locals of the union Mr. Jack Novak Mr. Harry
Ahrens Mr. Terence McConnell Mr. Jerome Market Mr. Thomas Viscovich Mr.
William D. Fitzgerald Mr. James Grogan Mr. James F. Dwyer Jr. and Mr. Howard
Barnett
Our warm thanks are due too to the staff of the Department of Epidemiology and
Statistics of the American Cancer Society including Mr. David A. Newman Mr.
Ashley Bodden Mr. Edwin Silverberg Ms. Marie Corbo who have with competence and dedication assisted in the extensive processing and computation of the statistical
data that were obtained As so often nowadays this epidemiological study could not
have been completed without the integrated cooperation of many Equally warm and strongly heid gratitude is due to our colleagues Dr. Jacob
Churg Dr. Yasunosuke Suzuki and Dr. Milton Kannerstein for their help in reviewing the many anatomical and histological specimens that were made available to us Their
skills knowledge and competence form a qualitative bedrock for the study Equally we are appreciative of the generous help given to us by clinicians pathologists medical
examiners and others in medical facilities in all parts of the United States and
Canada providing much pleasure and ity of medical and
detailed information records roentgenograms We obtained as
satisfaction from our experiences with the kindliness and generosscientific colleagues as with the observations these enabled us to
make
These acknowledgements would be sadly incomplete if they did not include our
appreciation for the many at the day help assisted the rest
amount of information inherent
Environmental Sciences Laboratory whose whose patient of us and assured the collection of the very large in our data warm thanks are extended to Selma
Annals New York Academy ofSciences
Annenberg Richard Ashley Doris Fleisher Rupert Fuller Judith Marmor Maria Martinez Diane Monahan Vera Reitman Julia Roberts Albert
Sidney Sibel Their work was the warp warp and woooff the fabric of the invReosdtriiggatuieozn and
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es
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