Document 3QYdYRB3v2mxXkGxvJ78wzLRy
AR226-2331
CADocumcnKi and Settings\BARTONC\Dc5i<top\c8\modeling
How should we address the request for short-term air expo
assessment?
1. Refine Input Parameters
Optimize emission rates
Explore possible transformation of C8 to other compounds
Explore impact of plume
depletion
Review operating schedule
3. Establish Baseline
Rerun ISCST3 using any refined parameters and appropriate averaging time
04/10/03
4B.Minimize uncertainty in the analysis
(next page)
Minimize Uncertainty
Option 1
Option 2
Minimize Model Uncertainty
EPA recognizes model uncertainty, especially in short timeframes but doesn't specify over-prediction.
Scholarly paper purports air dispersion
models conservative by over 2X - only
one reference and still doesn't offer alternative
'Best approach - Conduct modeling
using EPA model (AERMOD
scheduled to be approved) compare results with ISC
Assume 1 to 2 months; cost of new meteorological data and modeling time (< $5000)
Substitute Monitoring Data for Modelin
Most likely less conservative than modelin
Where and when to sample are critical issu
Edge Moor sampling program was $50-60, based on 5 sampling events (locations) meas 24-hr average concentrations at 5 locations.
04/10/03