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URL 05159
Agencies may increase use of risk analysis
Hearing on risk analysis biR,
aimed at bringing higher
level of scientific input
to decisions by regulators,
showed widespread support
A bill is moving through Congress that has the potential of greatly in creasing the use of risk analysis by federal regulatory agencies. The bill's main purpose is to bring a higher level of scientific input to the decisions made by government regulators.
The House bill, H.R. 3441, was in troduced by Rep. Don Ritter (R.-Pa.) to the Subcommittee on Science, Research & Technology and has the support of Rep. Don Fuqua (D.-Fla.), chairman of the full Science & Tech nology Committee. Actually a new version of an unsuccessful bill from the previous Congress, this risk analysis research and development act has a good chance of at least get ting to the floor of the House.
The legislation calls for a two-year R&D program on the use and meth ods of risk analysis. This quantitative comparison of risks involves putting societal hazards into perspective, examining alternatives for regula tions, and comparing the hazards and alternatives to see where society's risks are greatest. This kind of com parison would be useful, for instance,
m nearly every controversial regula- [
tory decision made, from whether the ! Food & Drug Administration should 1 ban saccharin to the Occupational j Safety & Health Administration's troubles with regulation of benzene. ' And, Ritter says, "By focusing regu latory efforts on the greatest hazards, it will... improve the efficiency of our regulatory process."
Ritter's bill requires that regula tory agencies report on their current risk analysis procedures and that each do a long study on the impact of in creased use of risk analysis on their decisions. The National Science Foundation would be given funds to support research in the methodology of risk assessment and the overall
from the President's Office of Science & Technology Policy. The program would emphasize not only developing risk information helpful to regulators
but making relevant risk information available to the public.
A recent hearing on the bill showed widespread support for the goals of the legislation. Rep. James G. Martin (R.-N.C.), one of the very few mem bers of Congress who is also a scien tist, gave his complete support for the
bill. "I hope we can rise out of the morass of accusations and contro versy with this kind of legislation," Martin told the subcommittee, re ferring to regulators' problems in deciding which hazards to regulate
first. Martin added that some peer review of the science that is done by these agencies to support their rules
would be an important step.
A second supporter of the bill is Michael S. Baram, an attorney expe rienced in regulatory reform and risk
management. Baram is certain that the Ritter bill will lead to more cost effective regulation of health, safety, and environmental risks, and also be a way of resolving the analytical dif ferences that exist in what little risk assessment is being done by federal
agencies now. Conversely, there were some at the
hearing who supported risk assess
ment ideals but did not see much need for this legislation. One of these
was Lester B. Lave, a fellow at the Brookings Institute and economics professor at Carnegie Mellon Uni versity. Lave told the panel that the
bill's main goals already were being met. He maintains that many agen
cies, such as OSHA, the Environ mental Protection Agency, and the Federal Aviation Administration, already are using some form of risk
assessment routinely, so there is no need for a Btudy to show the useful
ness of the technique in regulatory matters. He also takes exception to the notion that the current methods of risk analysis require extensive^
R&D to become useful He cites work done by himself and a group of re
searchers on these methods of Quan titative risk analysis and concludes that these can, at least to a modest
James C. Pviiller HI, former head of
the President's Task Force on Regu- latory Relief (now chairman of the
Federal Trade Commission) con firmed that the Administration is
concerned about the quality of risk assessment being done by the regu
latory agencies. He also agrees with
Lave that much of Ritter's bill may be redundant. Miller claims that most of what is called for is being done now under the authority of Executive
Order 12291, in which President Reagan orders that regulatory agen
cies do a cost/benefit analysis for all new regulations--and some old ones. Miller sees the focus of this bill simply as examining risks assessments done
by the agencies and coordinating thirf' effort among them. "The Office of Management & Budget hopes to be
able to do [what this bill seeks] under existing structures," Miller says. "I
think we can do this with the Presi dent's regulatory task force."
But committee staffers quickly
point out the differences between risk analysis and cost/benefit analysis as done by OMB. Risk assessment is an important part of the cost/benefit analysis. It provides a means of com paring the risks, ranking them with
their regulatory alternatives. With
this information, the more political,
value-laden decisions can be made. Ritter told the subcommittee that "one of the reasons for the legislation
is precisely to get away from the cost/benefit bind. Cost/benefit is just not sufficient."
Funding requests in this bill total $1.7 million, including $1.5 million for
regulatory agency studies and
$150,000 for NSF research grants. Miller says OMB would prefer to see
any program done within existing
budgets, and staffers hope the money
doesn't become an issue. The priority issue they say, is whether the funds can be found to get better scientific
input into the regulatory process right now.
Subcommittee work on the bill is
expected to be completed later this
week with markup of the bill and re ferring it to the full committee. With
Fuqua's support, quick passage in the
Science & Technology Committee seems certain.
guidance for the program would be extent, provide information useful for
David Hanson, Washington
regulatory decisions. He supports
20 CAEN Oct. 12, 1981
HTt. 3441 only if it will increase the use of such analysis.