Document 2qoE37m6XMjKQmB0oe8mLodnr

Page 147 1 history, as I told Mr. Praglin, it's not that helpful. 2 You can do it. 3 Q Sure. 4 A It can provide information. It's a totally 5 different situation Mr. Praglin faced. He's got a 6 whole other series of reasons why Monte Carlo is not 7 helpful for him. 8 Q I'm sure. I don't want to talk to you about 9 that. Now with regard to Monte Carlo analysis, it 10 provides a range of probabilities? Can you explain it 11 to me in layman's terms? 12 A What you do is you take the, each of the 13 factors in calculating dose or in estimating dose, and 14 for each one which you have some level of variability, 15 let's say you believe, for instance, that brake 16 mechanics' time-weighted average exposures for a 17 certain decade might be between .01 and .06 let's say, 18 then you can put a weighting on each of those, either 19 through data or through professional judgment. And you 20 can derive distributions for each of the exposure 21 factors, and then using the Monte Carlo technique 22 combine them and become up with one single distribution 23 for the value that you're trying to estimate. 24 You could do it and it would be informative. 25 As I told Mr. Praglin, when you have, especially in his ESQUIRE DEPOSITION SERVICES (415) 288-4280