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VI. DIKUXTRICS Business Parameters
U.S. and Export U.K. EEC /ussn
1973
Sales <f> G.P.
$ 8.W $ 0.7H $ l.lFt
38# P0',i 13/
Current M/I
".
Projected ]0-yr Annual Growth Pete
Spec". i'riTt TiauTT/y
100#
'if
loo#
-
0%
If
30# of
A. Current Situation
.
'
Aroclor dielectrics have been made for 40 years and are
the original reason for the manufacture of biphenyls and
tcrphenyls. Since Aroclor became identified as "PCB and
an environmental hazard" a few years ago, applications
have been narrowed to the original dielectric application
where no suitable replacement is yet available. Kc have
been able to raise prices to cover the cost increases
caused by overcapacity, raw material cost and extensive
environmental work. Conditions are such that a new sup
plier of l'CB's may occur in the USA. Japan has banned rCJt's.
which lias caused some U.S. demand for non-PC3 capacitors
for equipment for export to Japan. While this volume is
small, it coulu result in establishing feasibility of non-
PCB dielectrics, which would erode our pociticn. Our o,.-n new dielectrics are promising in potential cost and perfor
mance, but 1--J> years will be required to prove their utility
HONS 040538
and profitability and volume required. Metallized film capacitors will require leas fluid, and may use a commodity which could decrease the size of the total market.
B. Objectives 1. in Aroclors, retain M/I of 95-100$ U.S., 100$ U.K., 30?$ Hu rope. Gross profit 35?$ worldwide.
P, Support dominance of Aroclor as major dielectric
fluid through 1975
3. In new non-PCIi dielectrics, achieve at least 50$ M/I domestically through 1976.
C. Ke.y_ Asumptions 1. roll's will not be banned by major worldwide governments, but some customers will prefer non-PCB fluids once they are proven.
?. There will be growing acceptance that capacitor dielectrics need not be fire-resistant in most applications,
3. Neither we nor our competition will develop an economical capacitor dielectric which is both fire-resistant and biodegradable (i.e. a trade-off is nccesscry).
MONS 040539
D. Strategy and Plan To maintain a competitive lead and achieve targeted sales of new dielectrics :ln 1975, we will supply pilot-scale quantities of new non-PCB dielectric fluids to major customers by late 1973 and establish interim manufacturing facilities during 19/4. Our product strategy is to blend additives (which contribute a high dielectric constant) with commodity-type hydrocarbons or esters, thus allowing us to tailor cost/performance to the desires of customers. We will, seek to make the additives proprietary in chemistry or source. As a contingency, we will have a low-key effort to find a dielectric which is both fire-resistant and biodegradable.
Meanwhile, vie will continue to protect the Aroclor usage through tight plant pollution control, policing of customer losses, working with governmental agencies and technical societies, etc. As Aroclor volume shrinks, prices will bo increased to cover costs, and Aroclor will thus be driven from all applications except those whore fireresistance is vital.
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The shift toward metallized film capacitors could be an opportunity as well as a problem. The major effort here will be to Get our customers to tell us what they need and to determine whether Monsanto or our Business Group has a profitable approach. E. Resource 1. Current marketing level, 2. Research effort will be at a 3$ level of Aroclor
dielectric sales for dielectric products and pro cesses . 3. Capital: (a) Further plant PCB pollution control
$100M 1973 - 1974 (b) U.S. hlgh-DK additive facility
$1.5H 1974 or 1975 (c) EEC Blending - $.5M 1974 or 1975
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