Document 2jvz18aXRkKQ9EXzO7zJ581rb
R&S 001507
Environmental Health. Perspectives Vol. 41. pp 95-99, 1981
German Investigations on Morbidity and Mortality of Workers Exposed to Vinyl Chloride
by H. Weber,* W. Reinl,* and E. Greiserf
Two studies on mortality and morbidity of workers exposed to vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) which have been carried out on behalf of the Ministry of Labour, Health and Social Affairs on Northrhine-Westphalia are reported.
Vinyl Chloride Mortality Study
The aims of this study were to determine stan dardized mortality ratios (SMR) for male workers exposed to VCM, using the mortality rates of the West German male population as reference, to study the SMRs of a cohort of workers of the chemical industry comparable concerning age dis tribution and observation period but not exposed to VCM and to determine the SMR of a cohort of workers in PVC-processing plants.
The study was designed as a historic cohort study, covering the period from the beginning of the VCM- and PVC-production in all of the German plants till the end of 1974.
Table 1 shows the main characteristics of the three cohorts investigated. Only Germans and Austrians were included in data analysis because of insufficient mortality data on various foreign na tionals employed in German factories. To deter mine the mortality rates of Austrians, West Ger man rates were used. To calculate expectations of total mortality, the mortality rates of the adequate years have been used. To calculate expectations of specific causes of death for all years before 19G8, the rates of 1968 have been used; for the following years the rates of the corresponding years. Follow ing the procedure applied by Tabershaw (1),
'Staatlicher Gewerbearzt. Dusseklorf, W. Germany. * Diabetes Research Institute at the University of Dusseklorf. Division of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Dusseklorf, W. Germany.
October 1981
weighting of observed cases of specific causes of death according to unknown causes of death has been done with weighting factors calculated sepa rately for three observation periods (up to 1959, 1960-1969, 1970-1974) as well as for six age groups.
In all of the cohorts, follow-up rates have been near or above 90%. The percentage of causes of death that could not be investigated due to loss or deletion of death certificates varied from 7.3% to 13.1%. To calculate age-standardized mortality ratios of specific causes of death, weighting has been done according to the procedure used by Tabershaw and Gaffey (1) to compensate for unknown or unidentified causes of death.
Table 2 displays total mortality as well as some of the relevant specific causes of death. It can be observed that the otherwise observed "healthy worker effect" cannot be demonstrated in the German cohorts exposed to VCM or employed in PVC-processing plants.
In the VCM cohort there are significant eleva tions of SMR of malignancies of the lymphatic and hematopoietic tissues (ICM 200-209), and of malig nancies of the GI tract (ICD 150-159). The latter is due to the paramount elevation of SM R of tumors of the liver (ICD 155).
It must be noted that there is a modest elevation of SMR of tumors of the liver also in the cohort not exposed to VCM nor employed in PVC-processing plants. No obvious explanation for this observation can be offered. In addition elevated SMRs for ischemic heart disease (ICD 410-414) can be found in all of the three cohorts. Due to methodological
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shortcomings of the study no assessment of cardio vascular risk factors has been made. Therefore these results are of minor interest.
When subdividing the VCM-exposed cohort ac cording to time of exposure there is a clear-cut increase of the SMR of liver tumors with time (Table 3). This seems to be highly suggestive of a
time-response pattern. As it has been impossible to determine concentrations of VCM retrospectively due to technological and methodological problems, no dose-response pattern can be established. How ever time of exposure seems to be the best avail able guess for dose.
Subclassification according to observation period
Table 1. Characteristics of study cohorts.
Group I, VCM'PVC production
Group II, reference group
Population (Germans + Austrians) Man years Follow-up completed till 12/31/74, 9c deceased
Observed Expected Unknown causes of death No. 9c Total mortality (SMR)
Foreigners (excluding Austrians) Deceased
7.021 73.734 93.2 414 435
30 7.3
95
882 0
4.910 76.029 S9.S 417 533
47 11.3 78
711 G
Group III, PVC processing
4.007 52.S96 92.1 360 380
47 13.1 95
1.454 10
I
i
/
/
Table 2. Standardized mortality ratios.
ICD 8
Cause of death
VCM'PVC production
Obs.
SMR
Total mortality
414 95
140-209
All malignant tumors
94 112
140-199
Malignant tumors of organs
79 103
200-209
Malignancies of lymphatic and hematopoetic tissues 15 214b
150-159
Malignant tumors of GI tract and peritoneum
45 149"
155 Malignant tumors of the liver 191 Malignant tumors of the brain
12 1523b 2 162
410-414
Ischemic heart disease
91 127"
410 Acute myocardial
66 114
800-949
Accidents
61
CO
"Bevond 959c confidence interval (2). bBeyond 99% confidence interval (2).
Reference group
Obs.
SMR
417 78 83 83 77 83 6 77 27 71 4 401" 2 184 115 131" 83 120 44 99
PVC processing
Obs.
SMR
3G0 95 62 So 60 S9 0 34 15 56 3 434 5 535" 96 158b 69 143b 32 110
Table 3. Standardized mortality ratios by duration of exposure.
ICD 8
Cause of death
< 12 Obs. SMR
Duration of exposure, months
13-16
61--120
Obs. SMR Obs. SMR
> 121 Obs. SMR
Total mortality 140-199 200-209 150-159 155 191
Malignant tumors of organs Malignancies of lymphatic and hematopoetic tissues Malignant tumors of GI tract and peritoneum Malignant tumors of the liver Malignant tumors of the brain
53 6 1 3 0 0
93 13S 102
93
87 130
96
74
20 88 22
116 31
115
92 4 186 5 287 5 249
101
12 135
13
173 17 158
-
2 874"
3 1525b
7 252Sb
0-
1 350
1 278
96 Environmental Health Perspectives
lV. ' i
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ICD { 140-1 200-2 150-1 155 191
'Be
bB<
ICD: Total mort; 140-1 200--;
50-1 155 191
'B.
bB
Tab! Grou
aT
A-1I B-I B-1I
Cc--nI
D-l D-II
*1 Oc
0 V
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Table 4. Standardized mortality ratios by period of observation.
ICD 8
Cause of death
140-199 200-209
150-159 155 191
Malignant tumors Malignancies of lymphatic and hematopoetic tissues Malignant tumors of GI tract and peritoneum Malignant tumors of the liver Malignant tumors of the brain
"Beyond 95% confidence interval. bBeyond 99% confidence interval.
To 1959
Obs SMR
12 160
1 147 8 270" 1 1282 1 oo i
Observation period
1960-69
1970-74
Obs. SMR Obs. SMR
Total Obs. SMR
29
84 194
103 414
95
9 275b 13 94 3 - 834" 0"
5 168 15 214b
24 177b 45 149"
8 2264b 12 1523b
1 223
2 162
Table 5. Standardized mortality ratios bj age.
ICD 8 Cause of death
Age group
24
25-34
35--44
45-54
55-64
3= 65
Total ' 1
Obs. SMR Obs. SMR Obs. SMR Obs. SMR Obs. SMR Obs. SMR Obs. SMR
Total
mortality
10 68 45 111 65
104 90 101 105 SO 90 103 414
95
140-199 Malignant tumors of organs 0
4 141 13 1S8" 19 141 22 76 21 100 79 103
200-209 Malignancies of lymphatic and hematopoetic tissues
0
2 194
4 303 4 264
3 162 2 197 15 214b
150-159 Malignant tumors of GI
tract and peritoneum
0
3 397 10 3G5b 10 145 10 89 12 140 45 149b
155 Malignant tumors of
the liver
00
6 6S65b 0
3 934b 3 1664* 12 1523b
191 Malignant tumors of
the brain
0
0-
0
1 254
1 362 0
2 162
"Beyond 95% confidence interval. bBeyond 99% confidence interval.
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30 C/5 o o CJ1 o to
Table fi. Groups for subdivision of laboratory examinations.
-
Group
Specification
Table 8. Bromsulfalcin retention,"
AM AMI B-I
B-1I
CM
Ife, CMI DM DM1
VCM/PVC production PVC processing VCM/PVC production and PVC processing, work capacity loss < 20% VCM'PVC production and PVC processing, work capacity loss 20% Germans and Austrians Foreigners (Exd. Austrians) Plants with high morbidity Plants with low morbidity
Germans and
Austrians Foreigners
Retention normal Retention abnormal Total
17 30 33 21 50 51
"Chi square, = 6.25 (p < 2.5%).
Total
47 55 101
Table 7. Bromsulfalcin retention."
i VCM/PVC PVC
Production Processing Total
Retention normal Retention abnormal Total
26 21 47 44 10 54 70 31 101
"Chi square, = 8.09 (p < 1%).
October 19S1
Table 9. Bromsulfalcin retention."
Work capa Work capa
city loss city loss
< 20%
> 20%
Total
Retention normal Retention abnormal Total
41 G 47 32 22 54 73 28 101
"Chi square, = 9.81 (p < 1%).
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(Table 4) reveals a rather inconsistent pattern: malignancies of the lymphatic tissues (ICD 200-209) are significantly elevated in the sixties only, whereas SMRs for tumors of the liver increase till the end of the study period. This might be referred to differ ent latency periods for both kinds of malignancies, but other causes might likewise have contributed to these results. However, it has to be reported that the number of angiosarcomas confirmed histologi cally in the Federal Republic of Germany in pa tients previously exposed to VCM has actually come to 17 in contrast to mere 4 at the endpoint of the mortality study (12/31/1974).
The distribution of SMRs by age (Table 5) demonstrates an obvious susceptibility of males aged 35-44 for malignancies in general as well as for malignancies of the liver.
The data base for the German morbidity study consists of all of the reports of suspected cases of occupational disease due to VCM or PVC produc tion or PVC processing. The reference population for these reports has to be defined as the total
NORMAL < 120 MG/DL PATHOL. > 120 MG/DL
MG/0L
NORMAL < 1.0 PATHOL. > 1.0
WORK CAPACITY LOSS <M
WORK CAPACITY LOSS ^ 20 %
Figche 2. Vinyl chloride morbidity study: oral glucose toler ance test, 120 min after loading (normal 120 mg/dl).
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WORK CAPACITY LOSS < 20 i
WORK CAPACITY LOSS > 20 *
Ficcke 1. Vinyl chloride morbidity study: total bilirubin (nor mal 1.0).
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WORK CAPACITY LOSS < 20 "A
WORK CAPACITY LOSS 20 V
Figure 3. Vinyl chloride morbidity study: reticulocytes (nor mal 15%).
Environmental Health Perspectives
MG/DL MG/DI
*
ON G S
working population in 1974 in the above mentioned nationality (Table 8) and most pronounced when
{ branches, i.e., 6,500 workers in VCM or PVC subdividing by extent of work capacity loss (Table
production and 42,800 workers in PVC processing 9). This latter result, however, must be expected
(as given by the German Association of Plastic when an effect of exposure on liver function is
Producing Industries). Till the end of 1974, 269 anticipated. An impairment of the excretory liver
reports of suspected cases of occupational disease function is suggested by elevated total bilirubin
had been received. As there has been no consistent values in the subgroup with work capacity loss
, set of examinations performed on each of the cases, greater than 20% (Fig. 1). There seems to be an
numbers of observations for various variables ana impaired glucose tolerance in this group, although
lyzed vary according to examination method per- observed in a-small subsample only (Fig. 2), as well
, formed. Insofar as the results of this study are of as a lower number of reticulocytes (Fig. 3). The
much lower validity than those of the mortality thromocyte count in both groups was the same.
study, one should regard them as hints for further These results, however, lead to no sensible inter
[ investigations.
pretation, as all results attempts failed to standard
*/ Four attempts to subclassify observation on the ize the methods applied for thrombocyte counts by
269 cases have been undertaken (Table 6). Only various laboratories. I those results showing significant differences when
applying (-tests or chi-square tests are so classified.
Amazingly none of the more sensitive lab examina tions of liver functions showed a marked difference
REFERENCES
;' in all of the subclassifications besides bromsulfalein 1. Tabershaw, I. R., and Gaffey, W, R. Mortality study of
' retention. In this instance there is a significant
workers in the manufacture of vinyl chloride and its poly mers. J. Occup. Med. 1G: 509-51S (1*97-1).
difference when subdividing by VCM/PVC produc- 2. Bailar, J. C. Significance factors for the ratio of a Poisson
tion versus processing (Table 7), as well as by
variable to its expectation. Biometrics 20: 639-643 (1964),
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