Document 2R1L7KqwOYaoQ86kGqDxedzm7
the society of the plastics INDUSTRY, INC.
250 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK. NEW YORK 10017 2 1 2/687-2C7S
6/18/74
Background Paper? on A- D* Little Study-
Impact of Proposed Occupational Safety and Health Administration Vinyl Chloride Standards * on United States Economy
In May of this year, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
of the United States Department of Labor proposed that exposure of employees to vinyl
chloride monomer (VCM) in workplace air should be reduced to "no detectable level." VCM has been linked in recent months with a higher than normal incidence of angiosarcoma,
a rare cancer of the liver, among previously heavily exposed workers.
VCM is used primarily to produce polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin, which is in
turn fabricated into a wide variety of valuable products, including flooring, pipe, curtains,
upholstery', phonograph records, telephone equipment, insulated wire, bottles, hoses,
packaging, luggage, sporting goods and many others.
While the VCM and PVC industries fully recognize their obligation to reduce
worker exposure to as low a level as is possible, the proposed OSHA standard is
technologically infeasible to achieve, even with the highly sophisticated methods of
in-plant control that have been developed by the industry over the years.
If the proposed "no detectable level" standard in adopted, thorefovc, the vinyl
chloride and polyvinyl chloride rosin producin'': Industrie:: will be forced to close down
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For this reason, the Society of the Plastics Industry, Incorporated, retained
the nationally renowned economic consuLin;; firm of Arthur D. Little* Incorporated, of Cambridge, Massachusetts, to undertake a study of the potential impact of such a shutdown
on the national economy. The preliminary results of that study can be summarized as
follows:
*. -
--- the loss in employment would, be a minimum of 1.6 million jobs.
-- the loss in production and sales would be a minimum of $G5 billion.
A detailed breakdown of these results is attached.
Employing an Input/Output economic model for its analysis, A. D. Little was able
to estimate not only the impact on the PVC resin industry itself, but also the effect on
other major segments of the U.S. economy by defining the interaction of the PVC industry
with primary, secondary and final demand markets.
For example, the unavailability' of PVC resin would have a major effect on the
automotive industry, which utilizes PVC in the form of insulated wire and cable, component
parts, upholstery and many other products.
The possible use of substitute materials over a short term basis to replace
PVC in some applications is currently under analysis by A. D. Little-and will be presented
at the OS1IA public hearings on the proposed standard, scheduled to begin in Washington
on June 25.
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