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Brief Report
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Update to Vinyl Chloride Mortality Study
The mortality experience of 593 Dow Michigan. Divi sion employees potentially exposed to vinyl chloride
after first exposure to vinyl chloride. Both individuals had only short-term exposure in jobs categorized as less
was recently updated through 1982. An earlier study than 200 ppm time-weighted average (TWA).
evaluated this group for the time period 1942 through
There were six deaths from emphysema or chronic
1973 and found an excess of totai malignancies among
obstructive pulmonary disease (approximately 5 ex
the subgroup considered to have the highest exposure.1
pected). None of these individuals worked in areas where
However, during the additional period of follow-up
there was a potential for exposure to polyvinyl chloride
(1974 to 1982), a deficit of malignant neoplasms was
dust.
observed for this subgroup.
An increased risk of lung cancer was not found (stand
During the 9 years of additional follow-up, the total
ardized mortality ratio * 89) and the study was capable
deaths in the study group increased by S3 (to 155) and
of itiling out more than a 60% increase with 95%
the person-years by 4,234 (to 17,114). The study's
certainty. The lack of an association with lung cancer
primary focus was directed at cancers of the liver
is consistent with the findings from the majority of other
(including angiosarcoma), biliary tract, lung, and brain,
studies, especially those with the greatest statistical
and to emphysema because of previous reports Uniting
power to detect an excess.*
these conditions to vinyl chloride exposure in some wort
To examine for a dose-response relationship, subjects
forces.*'9 No deaths from angiosarcoma were found and
were allocated to one of four intensity-of-sxposure cat
there were no statistically significant excesses for any
egories (undetermined, less than 25 ppm TWA. 25 to
of the other conditions of interest.
200 ppm TWA. and 200-- ppm TWA) based on their
Only those employees identified for the original study
highest rated job assignment held for at least 1 month.
were include*! in the recent investigation and their work
During the updated follow-up period (1974 to 1982), a
histories and exposures were updated through 1977 to
deficit of total cancer occurred in the highest exposure
ensure a minimum 5-year induction latency period. Con
category (3 observed v 5.4 expected); however, for the
sistent with past practice, separate analyses were con
entire follow-up period this subgroup experienced an
ducted first including and then excluding the subset of excess which was confined principally to the men with
employees with prior, competing exposures to arsenic
at least 5 years of exposure above 200 ppm (7 observed
insecticides.*
v 2.3 expected). As was noted in the original study,*
Cause-specific mortality among the study group was
there was no predominant tumor site nor was there a
contrasted both with expected levels based on age- and
unique histologic type among this subgroup, weakening
era-specific mortality rates for US white men. and also
any interpretation of a causal link with vinyl chloride.
with the mortality experience of 24.410 other male
employees from this company location* who were not
exposed to vinyl chloride or arsenic. The comparison with US men is shown in the Table.
Wendy 3. Dahar, MPH
Total malignant neoplasms were less than expected in
Gregory G. Bond. PhD. MPH
the updated follow-up period (1974 to 1982), 12 v 16.3 and for the total follow-up period (1942 to 1982), 27 v 31.7. There were no statistically significant excesses for
Elsie A. McLaren, RN Fred L. Sabel, MS
any of the diseases of interest. Similar results were seen
Thomas E. Lipps, MI)
for the comparison with other employees from this com pany location.
One death from liver cancer occurred in the study group (0.6 expected). The pathology and autopsy re ports indicated that it was an intrahepatic bile duct carcinoma. There were two deaths from brain cancer
Ralph R. Cook, MD, MPH The Dow Chemical Company Epidemiology Health and Environmental
Sciences 1803 Building
(1.2 expected), one of which occurred less than 5 years
Midland. MI 48674
648 Update to Vinyl Chloride Mortality Study/Dahar et al
TABLE Observed and Exacted Oeatns for SeMcted Causes Excluding Employees with Prior Exposure to Arsenic Insecticides
Cause at Death (ICD-3)
1942- 1973 Obs Exp*
Period of Follow-up 1974-1982
Obs Exp Obs
1942- 1982 Exp SMRt
All causes
80 84.9 50 67.0 130
All cancers (140-209)
15 15.4 12 16.3
27
Digestive system cancer (150-159)
6 4.4 3 4.1
9
Liver cancer (155.156)
0 0.3 1 0.3
1
Resotratory system cancer (160-163)
4 4.9 6 6.4 10
Brain cancer (191.192)
1 0.6 1 0.5
2
All circulatory oiseaaes (390-458)
38 41.1
27 34.3
65
All nonmaiignant resotratory diseases (460-519) 6 4.2 3 4.4
9
All acncents (E300-S949)
7 8.4 1 2.5
8
' Exsectea dumpers are based on calendar nme and age-specfic mortality rates of US wnite men. t Stancardzed mortality ratio; observed divided by expected numoer of Oeatfts x 100. i Cl, ccmidence interval of Cbs/Exo. Not calculated wnen expected numoer of deaths fewer than 5.
151.9 31.7 8.5 0.6 11.3 1.1 75.4
8.6 10.9
86 85 106
--s a9
--5 86
104 74
9s% at
72-102 56-124 48-201
4-899 42-163 23-682 67-110 48-198 32-144
References
1. Ott MG. Learner B3- Holdr 3B: Vinyl chlorids xposor* is a controlled industrial snvironsisnt. Arch Zarina 3**ith 1975:30:333339.
3. Vtcaf 0, Whortoa MD. Begisnd 3. n !: As update at an pidataiologic study of vinyl chlorids worker*. 1943-1983. Prepared for the Chsnucai Manufacturers Association. October 17. 1986.
3. Purcbsse IFH. Stafford J. Paddlo GM: Vinyl cblor.de: An uuuoii: of :be risk of occupational exposure. Teed Chma Toxicol
1987:25:187-303. 4. Ott MG. Hoidsr 3B. Gordon HI- Bespiratory cancer and oc
cupational exposure to arsenical*. Arch Znriren Health I974di9:250-
235.
5. Bond GG. McLaren BA. Cartmill IB. at al: Cause-speoiSc mortality amona mala chemical workers. As I lad Mod 1987:12:353-- 383.
6. Beaumont JJ. Breslow NE: Powar ccnsidaratlons in epidemio logic studiaa of vinyl chloride workers. Am J Epidomlol 1981:114:725734.
Nurses' Little Helpers: Care on the Cheap
The [British] government last sees gave broad approval to the proposed changes to nurses education put forward IS months ago by the United Kingdom Central Council for Nursing and Midwifery (UKCC). Nurses at the Royal College of Nursing's xmiiai conference in Brighton gave John Moore, the Secretary of State for Health, a standing ovation. Oniy the mesh air or the nurses' recently fattened pay packets can explain the euphoria.
An analysis of Mr Moore's response gives grounds for concern for two reasons: first, the changes will mean most of the hands-on-care will be done by non-nurses or "nurse helpers." putting standards of patient care at risk: second, these changes smack of a plan to make "caring" cheaper.
IT * * *
Who will take on nurse helper jobs? Work that has been labeled as menial and is poorly paid is unlikely to lead to a satisfied work force. Yet these are the people who will look after hospital patients in the future.
--Prom "UPFRONT" by Pamela Holmes in New Statesman, 1988;115(2984);5.
R&S 020422
Journal of Occupational Medicine/Volume 30 No. 8/August 1988
649