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Br. ./. I'anrpr i 1973) 28 173-
MESOTHELIOMATA IN RATS AFTER INOCULATION WITH ASBESTOS AND OTHER MATERIALS
WAGNER. G. BERRY a.vd V. TIMBRELL
From the Medical Restarch Council's Pneumoconiosis L'tut,
Llandnugh Hospital. Penarth. Glamorgan
Received ill March 19T3. Accepted 10 April 1973
Summary.--Four experiments in which SPF Wristar rats were inoculated intrapleurally with asbestos or other materials are described. Mesotheliomata were observed in a considerable proportion of animals with all the samples of asbestos used and with a sample of brucite. A few were produced with synthetic aluminium silicate fibres and single ones with barium sulphate, glass powder and aluminium oxide. The risk of developing a mesothelioma at a given time after injection was approximately proportional to the dose. Of the UICC standard reference samples, crocidolite was the most carcinogenic and removal of the oils by benzene extraction did not alter the carcinogenicity of these samples. Chemical properties also seem unlikely to be the main factor producing mesotheliomata but the results support the hypothesis that the finer fibres are the more carcinogenic, and this is additional to the known aerodynamic advantage which the finer fibres have in penetrating to the
periphery of the lung.
We report here the results of 4 experi ments in which asbestos and other test materials were administered to rats by intrapleural inoculation. These experi ments were planned to obtain more infor mation on the carcinogenic effect of asbestos and other materials than could be obtained from our original 2 experi ments (Wagner and Berry, 1969). Pre liminary results of some of the present experiments were given by Wagner, Berry and Timbrell (1970), Wagner (1970, 1972). In this paper the complete results are given, with emphasis on the light they throw on the aetiology of mesotheliomata. taking into account the oils and waxes present in asbestos, other chemical charac teristics and the physical characteristics.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
In all 4 experiments specific pathogen-free (SPF) rats, of the W'istar strain were used. These rats had been bred at the Unit from stocks given to us bv Imperial Chemical
Industries, Pharmaceutical Division at Alderley Edge, Cheshire in 1964 and 1968.
The following materials were used:
1. SFA chrysotile.--A super fine sample obtained from a Canadian mine, and pro duced by water sedimentation separation from grade 7, the most fully milled commer cial product.
2. Crocidolite.--Prepared from virgin fibre from a mine in the North West Cape. Both (1) and (2) were from the same samples as used in the earlier experiments (Wagner and Bern.-, 1969).
3. UICC Standard reference samples.-- Samples of amosite, anthophvllite. Canadian chrysotile, Rhodesian chrysotile and croci dolite (Timbrell. Gilson and Webster. 1968) prepared following recommendations of V Union Internationale Contre le Cancer
(UICC). 4. Benzene-extracted UICC Standard
reference samples.--Samples of (3) which had been repeatedly extracted for 64 hours by hot benzene using a Soxhlet apparatus to remove oils and other benzene-soluble sub stances. After extraction the benzene was
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174 J. C. WAGNER, G. BERRY AND V. TIMBRELL
first allowed to evaporate naturally and There were about 12 rats per dose per dust
finally the samples were warmed to 80 :C for and inoculation was during March 1965.
24 hours to remove any remaining benzene. After this treatment the samples were tested Experiment 2.--Canadian chrysolites
for the presence of any residual benzene by
The experimental materials were 7 of the
extracting test portions with cyclohexane 8 Canadian chrysotile samples. SFA chrysotile
and examining the solutions by means of ultraviolet spectrophotometry: no benzene was detected in these solutions.
5. Canadian chrysolites.--Samples from
and saline control. The dose was 20 me per rat. There were 16 rats for each Canadian sample. 32 for SFA chrysotile and 48 controls and inoculation was during December 1966.
8 mines (A. B. . . . H) in Canada. These were the same samples used to prepare the UICC standard reference sample of Canadian chrysotile (Timbrell and Rendall. 1971) but were milled for our purpose more finely than the reference sample.
6. Brucite.--A specimen of brucite, which
however also contained chrysotile. This specimen was from Canadian mine H and consisted of long coarse brownish fibres above 50 cm in length. The sample was milled to respirable particle size.
Experiment 3--UICC samples and Canadian chrysotiles
The materials used were the 5 UICC reference samples both in the normal and oil-free forms, the 8 Canadian chrysotile samples, brucite and barium sulphate and saline controls. The dose was 20 mg per rat. There were 24 rats for each of the Canadian samples and 32 for each of the other treat ments. Inoculation took place between November 1967 and February 1968.
7. Barium sulphate.--Used as a control. Experiment 4.-- Various dusts
This was prepared in the laboratory by the addition of sulphuric acid to barium chloride
solution. 8. Saline.--Sterile physiological saline
was also used as a control. 9. Ceramic fibre.--A synthetic aluminium
silicate fibre. This fibre was prepared for experimental use by grinding in a ceramic ball mill and extracting the respirable fraction by settlement in air. The fibre diameters were between 0-5 and 1 pm.
10. Fibreglass.--A borosilicate. The nom inal diameters of the fibres were between 1-5 and 2-5 ^m but in fact only 30% were within this range, the range extending to 7 pm. The sample was prepared by em bedding the fibres in water soluble wax. chopping in a microtome and washing away
the wax. Over 60% of the fibres were longer than 20 pm.
11. Glass powder.--A borosilicate all in
the respirable range (less than 8 pm pro
The materials injected were ceramic fibre, fibreglass, glass powder, aluminium oxide. SFA chrysotile and also the second sample of SFA chrysotile. The dose was 20 mg per rat and there were up to 36 rats per treatment (because of a shortage of animals it was not possible to allocate 36 to all treatments and in addition inoculation fatalities could not be replaced). Inoculation took place in June and July 1969.
For each experiment animals were allo cated at random to treatments. The age of the rats at inoculation was about 6 weeks for Experiments 1. and 3 and 13 weeks for Experiments 2 and 4. In Experiments 1 and 3 there were equal numbers of male and female rats, whilst in Experiment 2 there u ere 3 times as many females as males, and in Experiment 4 there were twice as many males as females.
Methods
jected area diameter).
The experimental materials were made up
12. Aluminium oxide.--A non-fibrous mat in a suspension of physiological saline with a
erial all in the respirable range (less than concentration of 50 mg/ml for Experiments
10 pm projected area diameter).
2, 3 and 4 and for Experiment 1 the con
13. SFA chrysotile (Second sample).--A centration was such that the required dose
sample from the same mine and prepared would be present in 0-4 ml of suspension.
similarly to (1), but taken several years later. The rats were anaesthetized with ether and a
Experiment 1 -- Varying dose
needle attached to a two-way tap was then introduced into the right axilla at the level of
There were 5 doses. 0-5. 1. 2, 4 and 8 mg the second nipple. One arm of the two-way per rat, of SFA chrysotile and crocidolite. tap was attached to a capillary' manometer.
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MESOTHELIOMATA IN RATS AFTER INOCULATION WITH ASBESTOS
which gave a negative readme when the needle reached the pleural cavity Details of the method of inoculation were given by
Wagner and Berrv (1969). Following injec tion the rats w. *.* caeed in fours isolated in a special unit. They were fed on a proprietary brand of autoclaved cubes, and water ad libitum. Each rat was allowed to live until it died or appeared to be distressed and a full necropsy examination was carried out. except
logical examination was not possible, leaving 1112 rats included in the results.
The predominant finding was that a high proportion of most asbestos treated groups developed mesotheliomata and the results will be given mainly in terms of the number of mesotheliomata and the time when they occurred. Some details of the results are given in Tables I-IV. A
for a few which had been cannibalized.
total of 386 mesotheliomata occurred but
The results have been analysed using the the histological features of these tumours
model given by Pike (1966) and shown to be valid for experiments of this type (Berry and Wagner. 1969). Fuller details are given in m the appendix, and it need only be noted that this method of analysis allows a constant c to be estimated for each of the treatment groups and that this constant, which we will refer to as the " carcinogenicity factor ", serves as a single index summarizing the mesothelioma experience of each group. It combines the
will not be described here as there is nothing to add to the features described for the original experiments (Wagner and Berry, 1969). Also, in the presentation and analysis of the results, no account has been taken of the sex of the rats. The original experiments show males and females equally likely to develop a meso thelioma, and the present experiments
information on the proportion of animals confirm this.
which developed a mesothelioma with the times after inoculation at which the raeso- Experiment 1
theliomata occurred. Also, since the method of estimation eliminates mortality due to
other causes, chance variations in natural mortalitv between different treatment groups do not affect the treatment comparisons, nor do systematic differences in natural mortality between different experiments, such as that resulting from the animals in Experiments 2 and 4 being older than those in Experiments 1 and 3. affect comparisons between experi
There is a relationship between the number of mesotheliomata and the dose for both SFA chrysotile and crocidolite. This implies that the carcinogenicity is related to dose (d) and we considered this relationship in the form of the carcino genicity factor being proportional to a power of dose, i.e. c = bdp where 6 and p are constants. The power p was estimated
ments.
separately for each dust, giving 0-73 for
Where significance levels are quoted they chrysotile and 0-96 for crocidolite. Be
are usually based on the cAi-squared approxi cause of the small number of mesothe
mation to a likelihood-ratio test.
liomata, however, these estimates are not
very precise and the approximate 95n
RESULTS
limits are 0-3-13 and 0-2-1-9 for chry-
There were 13 rats for which histo sotile and crocidolite respectively There
SFA chrysolite SFA chryaoute SFA chrysotile SFA chrysotile SFA chrysotile Crocidolite Crocidolite Crocidolite Crocidolite Crocidolite
0 5 mg 1 mg 2 mg 4 mg 8 mg
0 - 5 mg 1 mg
mg 4 mg 8 mg
Table I.--Experiment 1 Results
Number of rats with histology
Number with a mesothelioma
Survival time (days) of first mesothelioma
12 1 512
11 3 615
1 5 425
12 4 470
12 8 496
11 1 992
12 0
--
12 3 562 13 9 917
11 5 799
Mean survival (days)
784 729 664 762 692 809 760 777 819 689
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Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile Canadian chrvsotile SFA chrysotiie Control
A B C D E F H
Table II--Experiment 2 Results
Number of rata with histology
16 16 16 16 16 16 16 32 48
Number with a mesothelioma
8 in 5 10 7
IU 4 >o
0
Survival time I days) of first mesothelioma
416 416 488 461 41 IS 421 384 376
--
Mean survival tdav>
642 594 Tl>2 624 573 619 602 553 728
Table III.--Experiment 3 Results
Material
C ICC sample* Araosite Amosite benzene-extracted Anthophylhte Anthophylhte benzene-extracted Chrysotiie (Canadian) Chrysotiie (Canadian) benzene-extracted Chrvsotile (Rhodesian i Chrysotiie (Rhodesian) benzene-extracted Crocidolite Crocidolite benzene-extracted Canadian chrysotiie A Canadian chrysotiie B Canadian chrvsonle C Canadian chrysotiie D Canadian chrysotiie E Canadian chrvsotile F Canadian chrysotiie G Canadian chrysotiie H Brucite Barium sulphate Saline control
Number of rats ivith histology
32 32 32 32 32 32 31 32 32 30 24 to
24 23 24 24 23 23 32 30 32
Number with a
mesothelioma
Survival time idaysj of first
mesothelioma
12 377 l l 590
8 498 14 533 10 541 9 632 7 502 5 659 19 586 19 468
14 488 9 437
9 460 12 534
9 489
13 484 Id 576
U 429
18 502 1 436
0--
Mean survival
(days)
716 7 1S 761 728 747 753 693 686 682 657 712 636 717 669 660 67 5 659 663 680 783 818
Ceramic fibre Fibreglass Glass powder Aluminium oxide SFA chrysotiie SFA chrysotiie t2nd sample)
Table IV.--Experiment 4 Results
Number of rats with histology
31 35 35 35 36 32
Number with a mesothelioma
3 0 1 1 23 21
Survival time da vs) of first mesothelioma
7_43
516 646 325 382
Mean survival idavs)
736 774 751 710 568 639
axe some theoretical grounds for choosing p to be an integer and therefore p was taken as unity. The values of the carcinogenicity factor adjusted to a dose of 20 mg were then 410 x 10-8 for chrvsotile and 1-70 x 10-8 for crocidolite.
Experiments 2, 3 and 4 Comparing first the effects of the
separate Canadian samples (Table V). there is considerable variation between Experiments 2 and 3 and this is mainly because of the small number of animals in
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ITT
Table V.--Estimates oj Carcinogenicity others in order amosite, anthophyllite.
Factor (x 10) for Experiments 2, 3 and 4 Canadian chrysotile and Rhodesian chrv-
Canadian chrvsotile A Canadian chrvsotile B Canadian chrvsotile C Canadian chrvsotile D Canadian chrvsotile E Canadian chrvsotile F Canadian chrvsotile G
Canadian chrvsotile H SFA chrvsotile SFA chrvsotile (2nd samplei Brucite
Experiment
>
l -5 2 23 o 68
39 I 89 1 90
--
1 10 4 72
--
--
3
1 20 I 16 0 67 1 23 0 97 1 40 2 09 1 94
--
--
1 21
4
_
-- -- --
-- -- --
--
2 85 2 28
--
sotile. The difference between the two samples of chrysotile is not significant. Holmes et al. (1971) also carried out chemical analyses on the UICC reference samples. There were very large differ ences between the samples in the amount of the different metals present and it is clear that these bear no relation to the carcinogenicity.
The sample of brucite proved as carcinogenic as the Canadian samples of
Barium sulphate Ceramic fibre Glass powder Aluminium oxide
-- 0 04 -- -- -- 0 16 -- -- 004 -- -- 0 05
chrysotile (Table V). Non-asbestos materials which produced the occasional mesothelioma were ceramic fibre, barium
sulphate, glass powder and aluminium
each group. There was overall about oxide.
30% more carcinogenicity in Experiment
The second sample of SFA chrysotile
2 than in Experiment 3 but the difference proved similar in carcinogenic effect to
is not significant (P > 0-1). Sample C the original sample.
has the lowest carcinogenicity in each
experiment and overall is significantly the
DISCUSSION
least carcinogenic (P < 0-05) but apart
The application of the test materials
from this no differences between the by intrapleural inoculation may be criti
samples were detected. These samples cized as unrealistic in comparison with
have been analysed for certain metals human exposure, about which the animal
(Holmes, Morgan and Sandalls, 1971; experiments are intended to provide
Morgan and Crallev, 1973) and in Table relevant information. Nevertheless, this
VI the results of these analyses are shown, type of experiment has an important
together with the carcinogenicity factor part to play. With an inhalation experi
obtained by combining the 2 experiments. ment, which provides a realistic route of
The correlation coefficients between the entry of the test material, there are 2
carcinogenicity factor and the different factors involved. First, the penetration
metals are --0-13 for iron, --0-58 for of dust through the airways and alveoli
chromium, 0-04 for cobalt, --0-02 for will differ with different samples of dust
nickel, --0-39 for scandium and --0-04 (Timbrel!, 1965). The second factor is the
for manganese. None of these is signi effect of the dust, given that it has reached
ficant and it is reasonably clear from the pleura. In inoculation experiments
examination of the chemical properties of only the second factor is relevant and
sample C that the low carcinogenicity of hence these experiments are simpler to
this sample is not because of a low content interpret. This makes intrapleural inocu
of any of these metals.
lation a more suitable method for the
Turning now to the UICC reference investigation of questions such as whether
samples (Table VTI), there are no signi extraction of the oils alters the carcino
ficant differences between the normal and genicity of an asbestos sample. The two
benzene-extracted samples, and overall types of experiment supplement one
58 mesotheliomata occurred with the another and we will be reporting separ
benzene-extracted samples and 56 with ately on 2 experiments in which rats
the untreated samples. Crocidolite was were exposed to dust clouds of the UICC
the most carcinogenic sample with the reference samples.
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178 J. C. WAGNER. G. BERRY AND V. TIMBRELL
The varying dose experiment gave that all the types of asbestos, having very
results which indicated that the risk of different chemical compositions, produce
developing a mesothelioma at a given mesotheliomata makes it unlikely that the
time after injection was proportional to carcinogenicity of asbestos could be due
the dose. This form of dose relationship to chemical properties.
was also found by Pike and Doll (1965) for
Our experiments offer some evidence
lung cancer and smoking in man whereas that the development of mesotheliomata
Lee and O'Neill (1971) showed that after is associated with the presence of fine
repeated applications of benzopyrene to fibrous material within the pleural cavity.
the backs of mice the incidence rate of First, UICC Canadian chrysotile is a
tumours was proportional to the square mixture of batches of material from 8
of the dose.
Canadian mines, and the separate samples
The carcinogenicity of the SFA chry- used were taken from the same batches
sotile sample was similar in Experiments 1 (Timbrell and Rendall, 1971). The main
and 2, after adjusting the former to a dose difference in the subsequent preparation
of 20 mg, and in Experiment 4 was lower of the material was that the separate
but not significantly so. In all these 3 Canadian samples were ground more
experiments the carcinogenicity of the finely than the composite UICC sample.
SFA chrysotile was significantly greater Comparing Tables V and VII. the carcino
than in the earlier experiment (Wagner genicities of ail the separate Canadian
and Berry, 1969) when the estimate of the samples were greater than that of the
carcinogenicity factor was 1-68 x 10_>. UICC Canadian chrysotile. Also, the
The crocidolite was also more carcinogenic samples of SFA chrysotile were from mine
in Experiment 1 than in the earlier experi D. These were superfine samples and
ment (c = 1-16 x 10~') but not signi resulted in a very high carcinogenicity. It
ficantly so. These differences could be should be noted that of the Canadian
the result of a change in susceptibility of samples the one with the lowest carcino
the rats or of a change in the dust during genicity (C) in both experiments was from
storage.
a mine in British Columbia whilst the
The suggestion that natural oils and others were from 7 mines in the Quebec
waxes (Harington, 1962), or contaminating area. However, sample C could not be
oils from the preparation of the fibre distinguished from the other samples by
(Harington and Roe, 1965; Roe, Walters its size distribution.
and Harington. 1966) or from plastic
A full quantitative analysis of our
storage bags (Commins and Gibbs, 1969) experimental results will only be possible
might contribute to the carcinogenicity of when techniques are available for com
asbestos receives no support from our plete size characterization of the experi
present experiments, which is in agree mental materials, both before injection
ment with our original experiments and present in the lungs at postmortem.
(Wagner and Berry, 1969) when removal Such techniques to determine the mass
of the oils from the crocidolite sample and the diameter and length distributions
resulted in no detectable change in of the particles are being developed.
carcinogenicity.
However, even with the characterization
Harington and Roe (1965) also ad methods at present available, a relation
vanced the possibility that the presence of ship emerges between the observed in
trace metals might be relevant to the cidence of mesotheliomata and the physical
carcinogenicity of asbestos. In our experi factors.
ments with the Canadian samples the
A further factor that must be taken
carcinogenicity was not related to the into account is the tendency of chrysotile
content of iron, chromium, cobalt, nickel, fibres to fragment longitudinally into fine
scandium or manganese. Also, the fact fibrils in lung fluids, the degree of frag-
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MESOTH ELIO MATA I.V RATS AFTER INOCULATION WITH ASBESTOS
179
Table VI.--Carcinogenicity and Chemical Analysis of Canadian Samples-- Experiments 2 and 3 Combined
Sample
G D F B H E A 0
Carcinogenicity factor t l"*)
2 37 1 70 1 60 l 59 1 54 1 33 1 22 ii 67
Iron
(o)
iy 4 il 29 34 32 32 48 M)
Chrom um parti/ 04
380 830 730 780 480 433 315 1200
Cobalt parta'104
53 78 7S ! 10 42 57 63 60
Nickel parts; 104
1400 1550 1900 3400 550 895 1130 1800
Scandium parts; lo4
75 66 "
4-1 .) 6 54 50 12 0
Manganese parts/lu4
420 600 450 580 530 610 540 4 20
Table VII.--Estimates of Carcinogenicity Factor (xlO9) for UICC Reference Samples in Experiment 3
Amosite Anthophyllite Chrysotile (Canadian) Chrysotile (Rhodesiani Crocidolite
Normal form
n 66 33 0 50 0 44 1 45
Benzeneextracted
form
0-66
i) 77 042 0 31 1 87
mentation and hence the number of fibres and fibrils produced depending on the precise physical and physiological conditions. Amphibole types of asbestos, on the other hand, have characteristic fibre-diameter distributions which they appear to retain in lung tissue (Timbrell, Pooley and Wagner, 1970).
To illustrate this relationship, the electron micrographs of some of the materials are presented in decreasing order of their carcinogenicity (Fig. 1-8). For reasons given by Timbrell (1973), we shall consider as " significant " fibres those that are less than 0-5 pm in diameter and also greater than 10 pm in length. The non-chrvBOtile materials will be con sidered first. In the electron micrographs for UICC crocidolite (Fig. 2), UICC amosite (Fig. 4), UICC anthophyllite (Fig. 5), ceramic fibre (Fig. 7) and glass fibre (Fig. 8) it is evident that the number of " significant " fibres decreases with decreasing carcinogenicity of the materials. The glass fibre, for instance, contains long fibres but the majority of these are thicker than 0-5 pm. On the other hand, whereas
a high proportion by weight of the brucite consists of large fibres, there are also present a number of very fine long fibrils. It is difficult to compare chrysotile samples (Fig. 1 and 6) with other types of material on this basis. But even so. the relative positions of the chrysotiles in the classifi cation by carcinogenicity appears to correspond with the number of " signifi cant " fibres present. For example, al though the SFA chrysotile (Fig. 1) contains a high proportion by weight of non-fibrous particles, even before injection the fibres were in a highly dispersed state. The enormous number of fibres that complete fragmentation of chrysotile can produce will be clear from the illustration that a single fibre may fragment into 1000 fibrils. The fact that this SFA sample was the most carcinogenic of all the materials used corresponds to its highly dispersed state and its high content of " significant '' fibres.
The above theory has been examined further using the results of Stanton and Wrench (1972). Their experiments were similar to ours and they used 17 samples, including several materials (UICC samples and glass fibres) after partial pulveriza tion. They analysed their results by discounting submicroscopic fibrils and converting all longer fibres into microfibres of standard size (1-25 v 3-75 pm) on the assumption that fragmentation of both glass and asbestos occurred in vivo. The numbers of microfibres were then compared with the carcinogenicity of the materials. At first sight their results seem to conflict with our findings. But.
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when their materials were assessed in the
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Clearly, the experiments described in this paper have involved a large amount of daily effort over a number of years and we are grateful to all our colleagues who have contributed to this. We are also grateful to Dr B. T. Commins of the MRC Air Pollution Unit who prepared the benzene-extracted samples and the barium sulphate sample.
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1S5
in Rata following Inoculation with Asbestos. Br. J. Cancer, 23. 567.
Wacnxr. J. C., Berry. G. 4 Timbrzix. V. (1970) Meaotheiiomaa in Rau Following the Intra-plea* al Inoculation of Asbestos. In Pneumoconioru. Proe. Internal. Con/. Johannesburg. 1969. Ed. H. A. Shapiro. Cape Town: Oxford University Press, p. 216.
2-9) and (220. 3-8) would be acceptable, as also would the estimates (250, 3-0) which we used in our preliminary reports. However, these alternatives all lead to similar conclusions.
The constant c was estimated for each
of the treatment groups and this constant,
APPENDIX
which we will refer to as the " carcino genicity factor ", serves as a single index
The results have been analysed using summarizing the mesothelioma experience
the model given by Pike (1966) and shown of each treatment group. It combines the
to be valid for experiments of this type information on the proportion of animals
(Berrv and Wagner 1969). The age- which developed a mesothelioma with the
specific death rate of animals dying with times after inoculation at which the meso
a mesothelioma t days after injection is theliomata occurred. Also, the method of
taken as ck(t-w)k~l where c. k and w are estimation eliminates mortality due to
constants. These 3 constants could be other causes, so that neither chance nor
estimated separately for each treatment of systematic variations in natural mortality
each experiment but correlations between between different groups will affect com
the estimates make them imprecise. In parisons between these groups.
the original experiments, with a total of
As an example of the elimination of
417 mesotheliomata, it was shown that k natural mortality, the proportion of rats
could be taken as 3 for all treatments but developing mesotheliomata after injection
that w. the lapse period before any meso with SFA chrysotile in Experiments 2 and
theliomata occurred, varied with treat 4 (69% and 64%) were similar to the pro
ment : in particular the lapse period for portion (65%) in SPF rats in our original
amosite was found to be about 200 days experiment (Wagner and Bern-, 1969).
longer than that for chrysotile and However, the rats in Experiments 2 and 4
crocidolite but there was an isolated were injected at 13 weeks of age opposed
mesothelioma occurring with amosite after to 6 weeks in our original experiment, and
only 398 days. For the experiments being also the natural mortality was less in our
reported here, although the estimates of original experiment, even after allowing
the lapse period vary widely over the for this age difference. Hence the carci
different treatments, this wide range could nogenicity of the chrysotile was least in
be due to the imprecision of the estimates, our original experiment and this is re
and there is no strong evidence that it is flected in the values of the carcinogenicity
invalid to use a common value. Also, factor which were 1-7 x 10-* in the
there is no evidence of the lapse period original experiment, 4-7 x 10_e in Experi
being dependent on dose. Therefore, in ment 2 and 2-9 x 10~# in Experiment 4
the analysis the best estimates of k and (Table V). The non-significant difference
w based on all our evidence were used; between the values for Experiments 2 and
these are w = 270 and k = 3-25. Even 4 was revealed after eliminating the
with all the data these estimates are not chance lower natural mortality in the
very precise; for example the pairs (300, group used in the latter experiment.
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9 ECS'l0 0 1 S
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