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Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA
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The Challenges of
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________ Fire on the Landscape
Wildlandfires are a national challenge
and
through complex multi-media pathways
raising questions related to potential Impacts on:
- Ambient air quality
- Land management
- Public health
- Effects of ecosystem services
- Water quality
- Local economic growth
2014 National Emissions inventory: ~38% of particulate matter (PM)2mS emissions resultedfrom wildlandfires
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An Issue of Concern for the States
mpacts of Local and National Importance
Adopted from https://www.nife, gov/fireinfo/fireinfo stats totalFires. html
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Between 2001 - 2010 over 40% of the country's large wildfires occurred In the Southeast
Wildlandfires burn all year in the southeast stressing firefighting capacity and resources
U.S. spends more than $1 billion each year to fight wildfires
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Health Effects Linked to Smoke from Wildland Fires
sets
be caused by i
(Source: Studies reviewed in Liu et al 2015)
scied t
All-cause mortality
Asthma & chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations
Bronchitis & pneumonia
Cardiovascular outcomes
Childhood respiratory disease
Adverse birth outcomes
Symptoms such as eye irritation, sore throat, wheeze and cough
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Present Day Challenges are Only
Expected to Get Worse
I
icin interface
Growing by 4,000 acres/day
Region 4 Life Expectancy at Birth
Cliciiicilnci US, Demographic
U.S. population will continue to: Grow Median age will shift upward
Higher valence of Chronic Diseases Conferring Risk to
Aging U.S. population with increasing prevalence of:
Heart-lung disease, obesity, diabetes
Source: Xu J, Murphy SL, Kochanek DK, Arias E. NCHS Data Brief No 267 2016
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Dwyer-Lindgren L et cil. AMA Intern Med. 2017 5
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DefiningtheHealthEffectsof Wildfire Smoke
Problem: Cardiovascular health effects of wildfire smoke are uncertain
Approach: Epidemiology study of health effects during the 2015 California wildfire season
Associate wildfire-PM25exposure with emergency department visits for cardiovascular and respiratory diagnoses
Collaborative study partners: - California Dept, of Public Health - Univ. of California at San Francisco - ORD/NHEERL/EPHD
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California air basins included in the study are labeled and outlined in black
Hoshiko S, Wettstein Z, Cascio WE, Rappold AG
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California 2015 Wildfire Study
Wiidfire-PM^g Increases Heart Attacks & Strokes
Results: Wildfire-PM25 associated with heart attacks and strokes for all adults, particularly for those over 65 years old
All Cardiovascular Causes
Increase in risk the day after exposure:
- All cardiovascular, 12% - Heart attack, 42% - Abnormal heart rhythm, 24% (same day) - Heart failure 16% - Stroke 22% - All respiratory causes 18%
Impact: Highlights the importance of decreasing exposure in at-risk populations
Data to be presented as a Late-Breaking Study at
the American Public Health Association
Conference in Atlanta - November 2017
Hoshiko S, Wettstein Z, Cascio WE, Rappold AG 7
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Identifying US Counties at Risk fo r Health Effects from Wildfire Smoke
Problem:
Are some communities more vulnerable to health effects of wildfire smoke?
Approach:
Develop a CornrnunIty Heaith~VuInerabiIity Index (CHVS) based on factors known to increase the risks of health effects from wildfire smoke exposures.
Simulated Air quality between 2008 - 2012 over the U.S.
Characterized the population size at risk based on the level and duration of exposure to fine particulate matter (fire-PM25) and CHVI.
[0,0,15]
(0.15,0J S ]
(0,75,0 ]
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Health protective standards Annual: 12 pg/m3daily avg. Daily: 35 pg/m3
Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA
Rappold AG, et al Environ Sei Technol 2017
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Identifying Communities at Risk
from Wildfire Smoke
Approach (continued):
Factors included county prevalence rates for health conditions, age and socioeconomic conditions
Factors of Vulnerability
Child & Adult Asthma CORD Obesity Diabetes High blood pressure % population age 65+ Income, education, poverty,
unemployment
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[0,11
(1,51
(5,101
# of days with f ire-PM25 above 35 pg/m3by
( { 10,58) counties of continental US
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Community Health- Vulnerability
Community-Health Vulnerability Index
Results:
30.5 million lived in the areas where the contribution of fire-PM25 to annual average ambient PM25 was high (>1.5 |ig/m3)
10.3 million people experienced unhealthy air quality levels for >10 days due to smoke
Impact: The Community Health-Vulnerability Index
Identifies the most vulnerable counties
Shows that these communities experience more smoke exposures in comparison to less vulnerable communities
May help prepare responses, increase the resilience to smoke and improve public health outcomes during smoke days
Rappold AG, et al Environ Sci Technol 2017
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Community-Health Vulnerability Index Used in NC *%,DC-funded North Carolina Health Program
Community-Health Vulnerability Index was adaptedfor use in North Carolina
Utilized CHVI to identify a NC community most at risk to smoke health impacts
Used CHVI to identify & add NC-specific layers (e.g., NC Forestry data)
Engaged Hoke County
stakeholders (e.g., local
fire departments) with
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CHVI to discuss
vulnerability to smoke
health impacts
CHVI discussion has given way to implementing prevention efforts, e.g. Smoke Sense
Courtesy of Lauren Thie NC Department of Public Health
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..`I Subelinical Effects Outnumber
u m ic a i t**Tj Ti ^ccts
Problem:
A "P\
Insufficient information on subclinical symptoms (less severe symptoms) from exposure to wildfire smoke
Magnitude Of Impacts
Thousands
More people experience these subclinical effects than those who go to the hospital
Tens of Thousands
*cts"f
90% of the monetized benefits
Severity of Effects
Effects include decreased lung & heart function, worsened asthma, & lost days of school and work
Proportion of the Population Affected
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mproving Public Health Outcomes
Measure the effect of wildfire smoke exposure on health and productivity
Develop health risk communication strategies to improve public health outcomes
- Collect user input on how smoke events impact their health and daily activities
- Provide information about the smoke exposure and recommended health risk messages
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Air Quality & Smoke Plume Info
Smoke Sense provides information about current and future air quality
Forecasted smoke plumes can be visualized
Less time outside during smoke episodes to decrease exposure, and protect health
Smoke Sense helps collect information about who, when, and how frequently people are impacted by smoke
Information about smoke in the air and symptoms experienced in the past week will be logged
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. Network of Smoke Sense Partners
Beta Testers & Pilot Community Representatives
Partner agencies provided diverse perspectives for the development of Smoke Sense as beta-testers and pilot community representatives
Distributed nationally; over 1,300 users.
Well-developed pilot community engagement
North Carolina & Washington most active
Stakeholders are committed to advancing knowledge of wildland fire smoke & through public engagement in science
Partner agencies have the opportunity to promote health protective behaviors within their communities to reduce the impact on health from unavoidable smoke exposure
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LEGEND Local Gov. State Gov. Federal Gov.
Tribal Org.
Academia
Non-Profit Org. Private Org.
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Mitigating the Health Effects
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of Wildfire Smoke
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Impact of ORD Wildfire Research
Take Home Messages
Exposure to wildfire smoke increases healthcare utilization for cardiopulmonary conditions particularly among older persons, and those with heart and lung disease.
ORD is actively translating science into actionable information and tools to limit the adverse public health impact of emissions from wildland fire and prescribe fire.
The Community Health Vulnerability Index might help States identify at-risk communities, prepare responses, increase the resilience to smoke and improve public health outcomes during smoke days.
The Smoke Sense app provides a means to engage partners and the public to increase knowledge and share experiences related to smoke for the purpose of reducing exposures to smoke.
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Contact Information
Wayne E. Cascio, MD, FACC
US EPA Office of Research and Development National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory Environmental Public Health Division Chapel Hill, NC and Research Triangle Park, NC
919-966-0617 cascio.wavne@epa.gov
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Wildfire Research
tn Vivo Test
WILDFIRE PM ;100 ug;
OROPHARYNGEL ASPIRATION
MOUSE
BALF Analysis
/
l.ung injury Lung inflammation Cardiac function
Smoke Exposure
(Monitors/Sensors)
Matt Landis, NERL Amara Holder, NRMRL V Gayle Hagler, NERL
Smoke Toxicology
Ian Gilmour, NHEERL David DeMarini, NHEERL
Andy Ghio, NHEERL
Emergency Room Visits Pocosin Fire
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11 June
21 Jus
1 July
Smoke
Epidemiology
Ana Rappold, NHEERL Wayne Cascio, NHEERL
Susan Stone, OAQPS
Public Health
FASIVIEE initiative w/ OAR-OAQPS
v
Biomass Emissions
Factors & Spciation
Brian Gullett, NRMRL Mike Hays, NRMRL Amara Hlder, NRMRL
Venkatesh Rao, OAR-OAQPS J
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Smoke Emissions and AQ Impacts Modeling
George Pouliot, NERL Tom Pierce, NERL
Kirk Baker, OAR-OAQPS
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Region 7 - RARE Project
Flint Hills Prescribed Fires
Annual grass/rangeland prescribed burning in Flint Hills region of central Kansas
o Intended to minimize invasive woody species on the prairie and stimulate new grass growth for cattle grazing
This practice can lead to elevated 0 3 and PM regionally
o Kansas developed an exceptional event demonstration for 0 3 impacts in Kansas City & Wichita from Flint Hills burning in 2011
Field work at Konza Prairie Biological Station conducted to evaluate and improve emission estimates (March 2017)
o Also working to better understand plume rise and dispersion to improve air quality model representation of these fires
Related Coop efforts in MD with DOD advanced monitoring technologies (sensors) associated with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)
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Ord Lead - Bryan Gullett, NRMRL
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ORD - Measuring Smoke Toxicity
JFSP Research Plan FY 2015-2017
Research Goals:
Compare the relative cardiopulmonary toxicity and mutagenicity of PM emissions from different fuel types (e.g., pine, oak, peat, chaparral) & burning conditions (e.g., flaming, smoldering)
Provide a potency ranking matrix
Combustion
Collection/ Analysis
Toxicity Test
Fire Emissions
Cryotrap System
Particle and Gas Phase Chemistry &
Mass Balance
WT & K/O Mice
Toxicity Ranking Matrix
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Joint Fire Science Program http://www.firescience.gov
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Courtesy of Mott Landis NERL & Ion Gilmour NHEERL/ORD/EPA 22
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