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<n> A U S iirll^ Results to Date from the PFOA Worker Study Ammonium Perfluorooctonoate: Gross-Sectional Surveillance of Clinical Measures of General Health Status Related to a Serum Biomarker of Exposure and Retrospective Cohort Analyses in a Polymer Production Plant Robin C. Leonard, Ph.D. Principal Epidemiologist, DuPont Haskell Laboratory for Health and Environmental Sciences EPA, January 10, 2005 1 EXHIBIT 2 --JJ x <HJ> Agenda Purpose of Study General methodology Results to date (clinical pathology parameters) Summary Timeline Further Work EPA, January 10, 2005 36 Purpose of Study Primary objectives : - rDveaelarviateioblonlepsshsstipautgoisgtfeiscseaterludmmboydPeFpOlsreAtvhitoaouthsdeaeanslcitmhribaoeluattchnodeme worker studies, taking into account potential confounders and effect modifiers. - Conduct retrospective cohort mortality analyses using appropriate stratification based on estimated past exposures to PFOA. EPA, January 10, 2005 <a&> General Methodology Voluntary participation across all areas of the plant Cross-sectional design, that is, "snapshot" of both the exposure marker and the health outcome variables - Cross-sectional studies address "person and place", but not "time"-- the descriptive triad of epidemiology - No data collected over time, no baseline - Cannot determine causality, only identify associations Logistic, linear, and quadratic regression analyses for modeling Deciles of exposure used for internal comparisons EPA, January 10, 2005 4 C f Results from Clinical Chemistries 1,024 employees participated in the crosssectional health surveillance - All participants have received their individual serum PFOA levels and medical test results - 62 parameters have been analyzed Not all of the questionnaire data have been analyzed, but these analyses are underway Restrospectiv cohort analyses not completed - NDI data received Dec. 21, 2004 EPA, January 1052005 5 ( J ill) General Findings Most of the parameters measured were within normal reference ranges and not associated with serum PFOA levels. There were statistically significant (p< 0.05) modest increases in some cholesterol fractions (total, LDL) and triglycerides with higher concentrations of serum PFOA. HDL cholesterol was not associated with serum PFOA levels. - As expected, age, body mass index, and alcohol consumption were also contributors to increases in lipids. CRP levels (C-reactive protein) were not associated with levels. 6 * > General Findings There were no consistent relationships between results of liver tests and serum PFOA concentrations. - Different responses in males and females - Alcohol consumption was a factor, but inconsistent as to category and between genders There were statistically significant, but slight, increases in uric acid and iron with higher concentrations of serum PFOA. - Increased uric acid has been associated with increased lipids. EPA, January 10, 2005 7 *5 *y Os*? PB> Serum PFOA Levels By Work Assignment Work Assignment Works in PFOA areas Serum PFOA (ppb) Number in Median Group 259 490 Min 17 Max 9550 Previously worked in PFOA 264 areas Occasionally works in PFOA 160 areas Never assigned to PFOA areas 342 Total Participants 1025 200 180 110 9 8 5 2590 2070 963 EPA, January 10, 2005 8 3$^ Context for Cholesterol Levels Male study participants' total cholesterol and LDL levels were compared to U.S. males using NHANES data. Study participants had a smaller percentage of males with high cholesterol than the U.S. population, except for the top decile of serum PFOA. EPA, January 10, 2005 Percentage Overall Comparison of Male Washington Works Study Participants with the General US Population C ho lesterol'tleve iifmg?dL) 3b Comparison of Washington Works Workers Compared to US Population Distribution of total cholesterol level of non-medicated male workers exposed to different deciles of the-distributionofpfqa Percentage of workers with total cholesterol greater than 240 mg/dL Sixth Decile Percentage of workers with total cholesterol greater than 240 mg/dL oO) O(0 m(0 c*-> ca oo o2a 0V<1-) <-D > anuary 10, 2 0 0 5 ' Cholesterol Level (mg/dL) 37 Excludes those on lipid-lowering meds Simple charts of mean unadjusted lipid values for exposure decile indicate a small increase in last decile. Modeling that accountsfo r known riskfactors provides more information. Lipid Fractions Unadjusted: Males Lipid Fractions Unadjusted: Females --- CHOL LDL HDL y TRIG Mean adjusted lipid values for serum PFOA levels indicate a modest increase in highest decile (>1000 ppb) EPA, January 10, 2005 <3? 13 mm CHOLTOTAL by PFOA Quantile Bex=M, Heartmeds=N, I4U 2004 Mdn 196.823 Std Dev 32.345 107.016 28.787 205.329 39.434 350 - Wear Nobs 201267 625000 199.857 31099 300 - 196.306 37.476 204635 32835 200.071 30472 198873 31022 206.097 36.740 C 0 214587 38646 250 - CHOL TOTAL 60 - 00-1 W1 9 D m _6 W3 96 W4 129 W5 168 W6 2 0 gipbl W7 264 W8 360 W_633 WD 963 5 CH O LJO TAL by PFQA Quantile Sex=F, Heartmeds=N, MU 2004 M*an 190.667 SM D&v 3a 111 171.045 28.550 201727 28944 350 " Mean 199.839 Nobs 218000 300 - 197.318 40554 195.150 27.500 20a478 $91160 205636 31709 2061045 38367 208.000 43.470 218091 41657 250 -Ii 200 ~ O XO 50 ~ 0 " C0240 50-1 W1 0 -- )-------- -------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1 VU2 J S W3 57 W4 71 W5 _K W6 JJD V.7 JB4 g ip b l i W8 193 ~i m _246 i WU4C7 It LOG_Chol_Total: MALES, WW 2004 Results of Regression Modeling Where Sex=M, H e a rtm e d s = N O Source DF Model 4 Error 620 Corrected Total 624 SS 0.78955 17.78688 18.57643 MS 0.19739 0.02869 -- FValue 6.88 ProbF <.0001 ---- Parameter Estimates Variable DF Estimate Intercept 1 4.99553 LOG_PFOA 1 0.02307 BMI 1 0.00357 AGE 1 0.00153 ALC6 1 -0.07070 R-Square 0.042503 StdErr 0.06366 0.00623 0.00158 i0 . 0 0 0 7 7 8 4 1 0.03469 tValue 78.47 3.70 2.27 1.97 -2.04 Probt <.0001 0.0002 0.0238 0.0491 0.0420 Sex=M Meds=NO Where Sex=M, H e a r tm e d s = B Source DF Model 2 Error 778 Corrected Total 780 (B = a ll s u b je c ts ) SS 0.43865 23.98564 24.42429 MS 0.21932 0.03083 -- FValue 7.11 ProbF 0.0009 ---- Parameter Estimates Variable DF Estimate Intercept 1 5.17480 LOG_PFOA 1 0.01921 ALC6 1 -0.05789 R-Square 0.017960 StdErr 0.03196 0.00574 FPA January ' 2005 tValue 161.93 3.34 -1.83 Probt <.0001 0.0009 0.0683 Sex=M Meds=B 16 BD LOG_Chol_Total : FEMALES, WW 2004 Results of Regression Modeling Source Model Error Corrected Total DF 4 213 217 SS 1.00313 6.91462 7.91775 MS 0.25078 0.03246 -- FValue 7.73 ProbF <.0001 ---- Parameter Estimates : Sex=F, Heartmeds=NO Variable DF Estimate StdErr Intercept 1 4.84428 0.08752 LOG_PFOA 1 0.02381 0.01161 BMI 1 0.00413 0.00195 AGE 1 0.00474 0.00141 ALC2 1 0.39119 0.18144 R-Square 0.126694 tValue 55.35 2.05 2.11 3.36 2.16 Probt <.0001 0.0415 0.0358 0.0009 0.0322 Source Model Error Corrected Total DF 4 238 242 SS 1.04587 7.43958 8.48546 MS <L 26147 0.03126 -- FValue 8.36 ProbF <.0001 ---- Parameter Estimates: Sex=F, Heartmeds=B Variable DF Estimate StdErr Intercept 1 4.86657 0.07935 LOG_PFOA 1 0.02283 0.01067 BMI 1 0.00475 0.00178 AGE 1 0.00383 0.00127 ALC2 R-Square 1 0.40589 EPA, Jani^-7(7*27)05 0.123255 tValue 61.33 2.14 2.68 3.01 2.28 Probt <.0001 0.0334 0.0080 0.0029 0.0234 LOQ Chol Total vs LOGPFOA : WW 2004, Terms= LogPFQA BMI AGE Where Sex=M, Heartmeds=NO 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 LOG_ChoI_Tot aI 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 234 5678 W it ) L0G_PF0 ALC6 9 RJl L OG _ Ch o I _ T o t o I LOG Chd Total vs LOG PFOA : WW 2004, Terms=LogPFOA AL06 Where Sex =M, Heartmeds=B 5.8 SLOPE P --VALUE =0 5. 7 R - S Q R = O j02 5.6 Choi of 5. 5 240 mg/dl..... * *m .....:<-- Tfc--- 1 ..%.. 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 2 i* V - \** 4 .. . L A '* V ` ' ' 7 V } . ` * . -1 i f 5? * I t = .! * * % *t * f # 10th decile of serum PFOA, >1000 ppb 3456789 LOG PFOA //<c LOG _C ho I _ T o t o I LOG Chol Total vs LOGPFCA : VWV 2004, Terms= LogPFCA BMI AGE ALC2 Where Sex=F, Heartineds=NO, 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4 .9 4.8 4 .7 4.6 4 .5 4.4 LOG PFDA LOG Chol Total vs LOGPFCA : VWV 2004, Terms= LogPFCA BMI AGE ALC2 Mhere 8ex=F, Heartmeds=B 5.8: : SLOPE P --VALLIE = 0.03 5.7: * RX1 L OG _ Chi o I _ T o t a ^7 (gjJPll]) URIC_ACID by PFQA Quantile Sex=M, Heartmeds=B, UH 2004 Mean Std Dev 2.50 " 2 .2 5 - 1735 0.198 1795 0.209 1.822 0.179 Mean 1805 Nobs 781000 1828 a 183 1820 8177 1.805 0.189 1810 0.205 1816 0.205 1.777 0.180 1.875 0.178 tOO H W1 8 -- !-------- 1------;-- i-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1 I l I W2 67 W3 97 W4 t53 W5 J B 9 W6 210 W7 266 W8J367 W9 537 W10 KMO (MITO Mean Std Dev 1410 0213 UHC_AOD by PFOA Quantile Sex=F, Heartmeds=B, MM 2004 1.314 0.309 1495 0285 1486 0287 1542 0.195 1533 0.192 1568 0275 1552 0242 Mean 1.508 Nobs 243.000 1.594 0.175 1582 0.222 ~ll I I 0499 as -L -- !-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1-------- 1--- W 15 W2 37 W3_56 W4 74 W5 104 W6 131 W7 166 W9_199 W9_252 W10 488 yiptU LU C i U K I A U U VS L U H h A : W W 2004, !e rm s= L o g P h U A BMI Uhfirp Rpy=M, HRnrt.nu>Hs=R ALC4 2 .G: 2.5: 2.4 : SLOPE P - VALUE = 0 R --SQ R= 0.16 2.3 2.2 : 2.1 : * > / RXU36-URIC-ACID 2.0 1 .9 1.81 1.7 1 .G 1.5 1.4 1.3d ^ W w t f m r m_ M a* tr i a _ a* .v K ' r \ \*& * #t . v 4 i y i 1 i* 9 wrf. ** 7 ai i c i ,* v .. 9 * 1.2 1.1 i ri.i'i.ri.ii iiil i"i i i ii il i i--i--i--i--i.ii iiiii i ii i1"|- 2. 0 2. 5 3. 0 3 . 5 4 . 0 4 . 5 5 . 0 5 . 5 G.O LOG PFOrt --i--i--i-- r~T~i.i"T ii Ii i ii Iii ii i ii ii i G. 5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 S LOG URIC ACID vs LO G P FO A : WW 2004, Terms= LogPFOA BMI AG E Where Sex=F, Heartmeds=B 5/ RX1L0G_URIC_*CID L O G U R IC A C ID vs LO G P FO A : CLEANED, Terms= LogPFOA BMI AGE Where Sex=F, Heartmeds=B 5^ LO G JJR ICACID vs LOGPFOA: CLEANED, Terms= LogPFOA BMI ALC4 Where Sex=M, Heartmeds=B 2.6 : 2.5 : 2.4 SLOPE P- VALUE =0 R --SQ R= 0.17 2.3: 2.2 : 2.1 : f o iDv~o iyn-oo 11 xy 2 .0 : 1 .9 1.8 1.7 "j 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 . * V i - . ' T i p i M 't . i T ' # " . I A* # /. * 1.1 l i ii| iiii ]--n ii |--r ti l lI~T1.i <T~i-- ii i|i--(i i|i--n --i--f--i--i--i--i--|i--i--r.rj i r i i |i--i ? i ji i i i | iii--t~ 2. 0 2. 5 3. 0 3. 5 4 . 0 4. 5 5. 0 5. 5 6.0 6 .5 7 .0 7.5 8 .0 8.5 9.0 9 .5 LOG PFOA IRON by PFOA Quantile Sex=M, Heartmeds=B, UU 2004 W1 _8 W2 67 W3 _07 W4 133 WS J09 W6 210 grplftl W7 266 W8 367 W0 537 W10 1040 5/ IRON by PFOA Quantile Sex=F, Heartmeds=B, MM 2004 W1 5 W2 37 W3 50 W4 _74 W5 D4 W6 131 gtpifri W7 0 WS _198 W9 252 WD 488 IRON by PFOA Quantile Sex=B, Heartmeds=B, UM 2004 W1 5 W2 56 W3 85 W4 1 W5 1 WO 180 gtpioi W7 234 W8 311 WO 407 WO 838 V LOGJron vs LOG_PFOA: CLEANED, Terms= LogPFOA BMI Where Sex=M, Heartmeds=B 6.0 5 .9 -j SLOPE P -V A L U E =0 5.8 5.7 R--SQR= 0.02 5.6 5.51 5.4 5.3 5.21 5.1 Ib .0 4.9 4.8 o 4.7 m I4 .6 CD O 4.5 4 .4 X 4.3: s- -.vzyni'X-ttl4.2- A ' V 4.1 4.0 3.9: 3.8: 3.7 3.61 m 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.21 3.1 3 . 0 | i i i i | i i i r ] i i i r [ i i-- i i | r..i i i | i i i i.i | i i i i [ i i i i | i i i i | i i i i'"| i i i i | i i r~t......... j i i i i |~ 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4 . 0 4. 5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 LUli PHJfl LOGJron vs LOG_PFOA: CLEANED, Terms= LogPFOA BMI Where Sex=F, Heartmeds=B p Summary To date, there are no human health effects known to be caused by PFOA; several statistical observations m erit further study. - Statistically significant associations are seen with serum PFOA levels and some serum lipid fractions, uric acid, and iron. - These associations were only seen in those study participants with the highest serum PFOA levels, which were equal to or greater than 1000 ppb. - DuPont, in collaboration with outside experts, is committed to conducting the studies that are necessary to understand the significance of these observations. E P A , January 10, 2005 33 P1J> Timeline___ 2004 Epidemiology Study Timeline Design, identification of contractors, approvals from review boards A M3 3 A S O N D p a u u u e c 0 e IQ 2Q y n I g P t v c 05 05 Operations and logistics planning, employee communications Clinical examinations, blood draw Electronic data capture/transfer/QA Initiate statistical analyses, draft methods, outline results section, meet with ERB Draft Final Report (Cross-sectional analyses) Draft Final Report (Cohort Mortality analyses) F.PA lannary 10. 7.00 S GO <TM i> Plans for Further Work DuPont Medical, Epidemiology, and Toxicology will work with medical and scientific advisors to design studies to answer remaining questions: Are these observations reproducible? Are similar associations seen in other worker populations? Is there a cause and effect? Is there a biological basis of these associations? EPA, January 10, 2005 35 6/