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To: From: Sent: Subject: Dravis, Samantha[dravis.samantha@epa.gov] Center for a New American Security Thur 11/30/2017 6:48:49 PM CNAS Press Note: Will the President Move the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem? Contact: Neal Urwitz nurwitz@cnas.org (202) 457-9409 CNAS PRESS NOTE CNAS Press Note: Will the President Move the U.S. Embassy to llillllllllllllllllllllllllll Washington, November 30 - With reports surfacing that the Trump administration is considering moving the U.S. embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Middle East Security Program Director lian Goldenberqhas written a new press note providing context and laying out the risks of such a move. The press note "Will the President Move There are a number of reports in the American and Israeli press indicating that the White House is seriously considering moving the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. The reason for the speculation is that under the Jerusalem Embassy Relocation Act of 1995 the president must in the next few days either begin the process of recognizing Jerusalem as Israel's capital and moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem or waive the requirement on the grounds that it is not in the U.S. national security interest to proceed with the move at the moment It seems most likely that at this point the president will waive the requirement and not move ahead with the embassy move, but the final outcome is still uncertain and it is also possible that the administration pursues a middle path The U.S. government position has long been that by moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem it wouldbe prejudging the final disposition of Jerusalem, which is a final status issue that should be negotiated between the two parties. The reality is, though, that in any two-state agreement Jerusalem will be the capital of Israel and almost certainly also the capital of a new Palestinian state. Because of its religious significance, Jerusalem is a hot button issue for Israelis, Palestinians, and more broadly across the Muslim world. A unilateral move by the United States with regards to Jerusalem comes with a number of risks. First, the administration has indicated that in the months ahead it plans to propose a peace plan to the parties. Taking this step now unilaterally risks undercutting that process. There is also the risk of an angry response in the Arab world. This could include the targeting of American diplomatic facilities across the region with protests and potential violence. It could also mean instability in Jordan, a close security partner of both Israel and the United States, whose population is majority Palestinian. And there could also be a widespread outbreak of protests or violence in the West Bank and Gaza. Sierra Club v. EPA, 1:17-cv-01906 ED_001523_00007023-00001 The administration may also be considering other middle ground options. One would be to recognize West Jerusalem as Israel's capital but not move the embassy and say nothing about East Jerusalem, which is the truly contested territory. Another option, which seems less likely, would be to recognize two capitals in Jerusalem and have two American embassies in the city - one for Israelis and one for Palestinians. Given the delicate situation and the fact that the administration is planning to pursue a larger initiative in the months ahead, the wisest move right now would be to simply continue to waive the requirement to move the embassy to Jerusalem. Goldenberg is available for interviews. To arrange an interview, please contact Neal Urwitz at 202- The Center for a New American Security (CNAS) is an independent and nonpartisan research institution that develops strong, pragmatic and principled national security and defense policies. CNAS leads efforts to help inform and prepare the national security leaders of today and Face book | Twitter | Podcasts | Videos | Photos | Website Preferences ! Unsubscribe Sierra Club v. EPA, 1:17-cv-01906 ED_001523_00007023-00002