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Nadeau, Robert [Robert.N adeau@ fem a.dhs.gov]
9/1/2017 9:10:43 PM
cmercader@ prfaa.pr.gov;
rochelle. corn eiro (rochelle.corneiro@ go.vi.gov) [rochelle.corneiro@ go.vi.gov];Christine
Diaz (C hristine.D iaz@ eog.m yflorida.com ) [Christine.D iaz@ eog.m yflorida.com ]
Caetano, Donald [D onald.Caetano@ fem a.dhs.gov]; M ize, Nancy [N ancy.M ize@ fem a.dhs.gov]; DeLaCampa,
Alejandro [A lejandro.D eLaCam pa@ fem a.dhs.gov]; Killian, Adam [adam .killian@ fem a.dhs.gov]; Hudak, M ary
[M ary.H udak@ fem a.dhs.gov]; Strouse, Philip [Philip.Strouse@ fem a.dhs.gov]
FW: H urricane Irma #10
Please see latest advisory' on Hurricane Irma from the NOAA HLT.
Robert Nadeau, CEM Deputy Director, Intergovernmental Affairs Division FEMA Office of External Affairs 500 C St, SW Washington D.C. 20472 Desk 202-212-5193
Robert.Nadeau@fema.dhs.gov
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Weather aierts. Safety tips. Recovery center locations, it's ail in the FEMA App. Download it here: http://www.fema.gov/mobiIe-app
Sent: Friday, September 01, 2017 5:04 PM Subject: Hurricane Irma #10
...IRMA TURNS WESTWARD WITH 120-MPH WINDS... At 5pm AST, Hurricane Irma was located 1495 miles east of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph and a minimum central pressure of 964 mb.
Irma is moving toward the west near 13 mph. A turn toward the west-southw est is expected tomorrow. Irma is a category 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Sim pson Hurricane Wind Scale. Irma is expected to be a major hurricane when it approaches the Lesser Antilles early next week.
Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
Ponce, PR
6%
San Juan, PR
9%
Vieques, PR
11%
Saint Thomas, VI 14%
Saint Croix, VI
12%
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Hurricane Irma Graphics Note; The cone contains the probable path of the storm center but does not show the size ol the storm. Hazardous conditions can occur outside of the cone,
35N
SON
25N
20N
=88:$^ 15N
o
o
2 PM Mon
PM Sat,
- ' ,, o Q.A><
5 PM Fri
10N
BOW 85W SOW 75W
Hurricane Irma
Friday September G1,2017 5 PM AST Advisory 10 NWS National Hurricane Center
70W 65W 60W ' 55W 50W 45W 40W 35W SOW
Current i n f o r m a t i o n : x
Center location 18,8 N 39.1 W Maximum sustained wind 120 mph
Movement W at 13 mph
Forecast positions:
#Tropicat Cyclone Q Post/Potential TO Sustained winds: D < 39 mph S 39-73 mph H 74-110 mph M> 110 mph
Potential track area:
Q S f c b a y t-3
Day 4-E
Watches:
Hurrscane
Trop Stm
W arnings:
Hurricane |||| Trop Stm
C urren t w ind extent:
1111Hurricane iii||TrD p Stm
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Hurricane Irma f rL Sep, 1,2017 5 pm AST Advisory 10
Ali Times AST |
Storm Location & VtfMlSpeS{teiM>tS: 0*34 634-63
Five-dy banco of receiving sustained 34+ knot {39+mph) winds $ 10 20 30 40 30 m 70 00 90 100 %
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Hurricane Irma f rL Sep, 1,2017 5 pm AST
A d visory 10
Storm Location &
Wind Speed (knots)
034 3 3
All Times AST ;
Five-day chance of receiving sustained 34+ knot {39+mph) winds S 1 20 30 40 50 m 70 SO 90 100 %
l@fema.dhs
000 WTNT31 KNHC 012049 TCPAT1
BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 500 PM AST Fri Sep 01 2017
...IRMA TURNS WESTWARD WITH 120-MPH WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC... INFORMATION
LOCATION...18.8N 39.1W ABOUT 1495 MI...2405 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ... 964 M B ...28.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 39.1 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-southwest is expected tomorrow.
Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength, up or down, are possible during the next few days, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through the weekend.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
None
NEXT ADVISORY
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$ Forecaster Blake
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