Document GmpDO9KORaKo8ZXa80bQLR1XN
FILE NAME: Volkswagon (VK)
DATE: 1975
DOC#: VK004
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION: Dr. Selikoff Conference Presentation - Epidemiologic Investigations of Asbestos-Exposed Workers in the US
96. fSbkuakgtifneg, Id.Je.r: DDaisirksucshseionriGsbeesienlelsrckhuanfgt.f2r. DUnufatUcbhd-Olksu'-itiditecch.iVsc.hS*eSkctJioiwneBiieerrufcshi.ciaUunx
heiten: Asbest und A st rose vom 19 bis 23.11.1975 in Berlin
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3-540-07892-4 2. Dcutsch-OEsterreichisch-Schweizerische Unfalltagung in Berlin SelikoiT . Asbest und Asbestose (Diskussionsbemerkung)
2
1975
#* SA.
Signatur 1102/Z 314 a-126
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den, da sie nicht ganz ohne Gewinn fr ihre eigenen Arbeiten diese Tagung wieder verlassen werden.
Wir haben diese Tagung sozusagen in zwei Abschnitte geteilt. Der heutige Tag soll uns sagen, was die verschiedenen Forscher gruppen zu den verschiedenen Themen, welche der Asbest aufwirft, als gesicherte Erkenntnis in ihren Lndern ansehen.
Der morgige Vormittag soll dann in einem Workshop-Gesprch vor wiegend unter den Referenten versuchen, das herauszustellen, was sich z. Zt. in den verschiedenen Arbeitsgruppen in der For schung z. T. auch der Forschungsplanung befindet.
Diese zwei Tage sollen somit vor allem dazu dienen, die Effek tivitt unserer Arbeit anzuheben, die Arbeiten auf internationa ler Ebene aufeinander abzustimmen und damit das Asbestproblem ein wenig von seinem Problematischen zu befreien.
Ich wrde mich sehr freuen, wenn Sie sich an diesen Tagen hier in Berlin wohlfhlen. Heute abend gibt es den Berliner Abend im Hilton Hotel, den Sie nicht versumen .sollten. Vielleicht reicht die Zeit fr den einen oder anderen, manches in dieser vom Schick sal schwer geprften Stadt, anzusehen.
Ich hoffe, da wir gute Arbeit leisten knnen und erffne diese gemeinsame Sitzung der Sektion "Berufskrankheiten".
I.J. Selikoff, New York Epidemiologic Investigations of Asbestos-exposed Workers in the United States
Comparatively few studies, were undertaken in the United States concerning asbestos-associated disease until the 1930s, Then, stimulated by the brillant series of British reports 1927-1929 concerning asbestos, a number of buctory surveys were undertaken 1930-1935 and showed a significant prevalence of asbestosis. At this time LYNCH nad SMITH reportet that lung cancer might also result from asbestos exposure.
Thus, by 1935, the main directions of the problem were known. Chrysotile asbestos, virtually the only fiber then used, could produce widespread disease, this disease could be fatal, and malignancy might be a result of exposure.
With this background, it is difficult to explain the curious quiet of the next 25 years. Little was done, regulations were few, and goverment inspections and supervision were infrequent. It is of interest to note that during these years when no atten tion was paid to this problem, 1935-1960, the use of asbestos
513
grew approximately fivefold in a rapidly expanding industry making thousands of products, and that approximately one million men and women in the United States began work for shroter or longer periods, often .'largely unprotected. Many of the cases of asbestos disease now b'eing seen in the United States had their origin in uncontrolled excessive exposures during this time.
Towards the end of this "silent era" disquiet appeared, regarding the question of asbestos-induced cancer. Asbestos disease in the United States began to attract much more attention. A number of studies identified two major problems-, which we have not solved and with which we are now concerned.
First and perhaps more important, it soon became evident that asbestosis was not the principal hazard of exposure to the fiber, but that the chief difficulty was cancer, both in the factory pro duction of asbestos products and among workers using these ma terials.
In our experience, approcimately 40% of deaths among asbestos insulation workers in recent jears have been due to malignancy. We followed a cohort of 632 asbestos insulation workers in the New York metropolitan area from January 1, 1943 - December 31, 1974; they continue under observation. Altogether 305 deaths were expected. Four hundred and fifty-one occurred. The excess was lergely due to cancer. Fifty-two deaths were expected 200 occurred. Analysis of the cancer deaths by site indicated that 12 lung cancer deaths were likely to have occurred; 89 were found. Some two or three times as many cancers of the esophagus, sto mach, colon and rectum occured than were' expected. And there were 35 deaths from mesothelioma, 10 pleural, and 25 peritoneal. Of course, no deaths of this rare disease were expected (Table 1).
Similar findings have been obtained in. other groups studied. In
one, we have been following all members of the Insulation Wor
kers' Union in the United States and Canada. On January 1, 1967
there were 17,800 such men. By the end of 1973, more than 1500
deaths had occurred. Again there were approximately three times
as many cancers as expected (Table 2). And again, lung cancer,
mesothelioma and gastrointestinal cancer were the principal
categories of such the excessive neoplastic deaths. Sixty-seven
deaths from lung cancer were anticipated; 321 occured. There
were 103 deaths of mesothelioma (again, with a preponderance of
peritoneal sites of origin) and a modest increase of cancer of
the esophagus, stomach, colon, and rectum.
'
We have considered the possibility that the complex environment in which these insulation workers are employed (industrial con struction) might in some way be associated with their increased cancer risk. This has led us to investigate the work force of two factories making insulation materials, exposed to asbestos but not to many of the other materials found at construction worksites. The first was a plant which made amosite asbestos insulation materials. From June, 1941, to the end of 1945, 953 men began work at the plant. Some worked for as little as 1 day, -others for 1 or more months and a number for somewhat over 13 years, until the plant ceased operations in November 1954. We
514
Table 1. Expected and observed deaths among 532 N.Y.-N.J. as bestos insulation workers, January 1, 1943-December 31, 1974
Total deaths, all causes
Total cancer - all sites
Lung cancer Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma Cancer of stomach, esophagus Cancer of colon
Asbestoses
All other causes
Expected3
305.20
52.02
12.20 b b
6.46 7,64
b
253.18
Observed
451
200
89 10 25 20 23
37
214
aSix hundred and thirty two members were on the union's rolls on January 1, 1943. Nine died before reaching 20 years from first employment. All others entered these calculations upon reaching the 20-year from onset of first exposure point. Expected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistics from 1947-72. Rates were extrapolated 1943-48 from rates for 1949-55, and for 1954 from rates for 1969-1973.
U.S. death rates not available, but these are rare causes of death in the general population.
Table 2. Expected and observed deaths among 17,800 asbestos insulation workers in the U.S. and Canada, January 1, 1967 Dezember 31, 1973
Expected Observed
deaths a deaths
Ratio
Total deaths
Total cancer - all sites
Lung cancer
'
Pleural mesothelioma
Peritoneal mesothelioma
Cancer of stomach
Cancer of colon, rectum
Cancer of esophagus
All other cancer
Asbestosis
All other causes
1131.11
209.27
66,99 b b
9.82 24.55
4.60
103.31
b
921.84
1577
658
321 36
` 67 16
39 14
165
119
800
1.39 3.14 4.79
-- -- 1 .63 1.59 3.04 1.60
0.87
aExpected deaths are based upon age-specific white male death rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistics from 1967-1973
a U. S. death rates not available, but these are rare causes of death in the general population.
515
Table 3. Deaths among 933 workers employed in an amosite asbestos factory, starting 5 years from onset of work 1941-1945 to December 31, 1974
Cause of death
All causes
'
Cancer - all sites Lung cancer G.I. cancer Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma "Asbestos" cancer
Other cancer
Asbestosis
All other causes
Deaths 1946-1974 Expecteda Observed
285.62
483
50.10 ' 157
12.45 . 83
12.05
24
b
5
b.
5
24.50
117
25.60
40
b
28
235.52
298
Ratio
1 .69
3.13 6.67 1 .99
-- -- 4.78
1 .56 --
1.27
aExpected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death
rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistica,
1949-1973* Rates were extrapolated for 1946-1948 from rates for
1949-1955 and for 1974 from rates for 1969-1973.
,
One hundred and twenty-eight workers were omitted, from these calculations: thirty-three had prior asbestos exposure; thirtyeight died in the first 5 years after onset of employment. Fortynine were not completely traced; and eight had other asbestos employment after the 5 year from onset point.
b U.S. death rates not available but these are rare causes of
death in the general population.
have traced this group of workers to December 31, 1974. Table 3 includes the mortality experience of these workers, starting 5 years from onset of their work. It should be noted that their experience was very much like that of the construction workers who used the products made in this factory. Again, there was a threefold increase of cancer of all sites (50 anticipated, 157 observed). Lung cancer, gastrointestinal cancer, and meso thelioma were also the major categories where excessive neo plastic deaths occurred.
In an epidemiologic investigation of workers in another asbestos factory (the largest in the United States) , we are following the 611 male production employees in this factory who had begun work before January 1, 1939, and were still there January 1, 1959. By December 31, 1973, 213 were dead. Again cancer proved to be the major asbestos hazard (Table 4).
A second major difficulty now with us is derived from the appre ciation that it may take much less asbestos to cause cancer than to result in asbsstosis - sometimes, very little indeed. We are thus concerned not only with asbestos workers, but with the wide spread dissemination of asbestos from the primary work site, ex posing both other workers nearby as well' as individuals not
~\i
516
Table 4. Expected and observed deaths'among 611 New Jersey male asbestos factory employees January 1> 1959-December 31, 1973a
Number of men Person-years of observation
Total deaths, all causes Total cancer, all sites
Lung cancer Pleural mesothelioma Peritoneal mesothelioma Gastrointestinal Other cancer Asbestosis All other causes
611 7795
Expected
151 .53 30.87
10.16 b b
6.25 14.46
b
120.66
Observed
213
77
30 10
8 11 18
23
113
Ratio 1 .41 2.49 2.95
-- 1.76 1.24
-- 0.94
a All these men began employment before January 1, 1939 and were
still employed January 1 , 1959.
'
b U.S. rates not available, but these are rare causes of death in the general population.
c Expected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistica, 1959-1973.
associated with the work at all. Household contamination occurs from dust brought home by workers and there ist asbestos air pollution from asbestos-using facilities, contaminating surroun ding neighborhoods and, to a lesser extent, the general environ
ment.
Current United States Approaches to Asbestos Disease
Perspectives which provide a background to approaches designed to
control, or eliminate asbestos disease in the United States are
largely derived from epidemiologic experiences such as those
above.
.
1. Asbestos-associated cancer of primary concern. Control mea sures are now based on the realization that it is necessary to prevent asbestos--associated cancer, as well as asbestosis. In general, this implies that permissible asbestos concentrations need be significantly lower than those calculated to minimize the risk of asbestosis alone.
2. Long period of clinical latency. In evaluating efficacy of measures designed to prevent cancer, it is appreciated that the long period of clinical latency of asbestos cancer must be taken into account. Our studies and those of others have demonstrated that cancers associated with asbestos exposure often do not become clinically evident for 20 or more years after onset of exposure. Frequently, the elapsed period is 30, 40 or more years.
517
3. Brief (excessive) exposure may produce later disease. Even
brief exposure - a day, a week, a month - if excessive, can
later result in disease. The inhaled fibers remain in the lung.
Thus, the men employed in the amosite asbestos products factory
mentioned above, 1941-1945, worked for varying periods of time.
i
Approximately one-third worked for 3 months or less, one-third-
for 3 - .1 months and one-third for a year or more. Even less than
3 months of work resulted, during the next 30 or so years, in
significantly increased cancer risk (Table 5). Nevertheless,
those with longer periods of work were at an even greater risk.
4. Dose-response relationship. There is little doubt that a
|
dose-response relationship exists for several asbestos-associated >
diseases. This is -well demonstrated by the experience of the
!
amosite asbestos factory workers referred to above. Here, workers
were exposed to the same fiber, during the same period of time,
j
making the same products, in the same city; they varied, how-
j
ever, with regard to their total exposure.
-i
i The Table 6a and b indicates that the risk of death of lung
cancer, for example, increased steadily with increassed expo-
]
sure, taking into account equivalent lapsed periods from onset of exposure.
An unanswered question, related to the problem of "dose-disease
response" relationship is whether or not a "safe" exposure exists. |
From a practical point of view one might consider that observations !j
of a continous reduction in identifiable cancer risk with decrease
in levels of exposure suggest that it may be feasible to reach
:
levels at which it will not be possible to statistically define
[
increased risk of cancer of those sites known to be associated
with a neoplastic effect of asbestos.
'
*
'I
5. Unresolved questions. Epidemiologic studies are also being
j
undertaken in a number of areas in which data are still in-
adequate for evaluation of health effects. These include:
!
a) Industry efforts to control exposures. In recent years there
;
has been a sharp.increase in the scope and intensity of in
dustry approaches to control exposures. Evidence is being
1
sought concerning the effectiveness of these efforts.
|
b) End product use. Still unresolved is the control of exposures
|
encountered in the use of asbestos products. This is not only
?|
true construction industry,shipyards, and power plants, but
'
in such uses as brake repair and brake maintenance.
,j
c) Demolition, waste disposal, maintenance, and repair. As with
j
end product use, waste disposal, demolition of asbestos-con-
;
taining structures, and the necessity for repair of facilities
j
containing asbestos materials are thorny probleme. So far,
j
little research has been devoted to the question of health
-
effects associated with such work.
i
d) Other factors which mav influence risk. It may be that risk
also varies with other factors, such as intensity of exposure,
peak exposures, type o fiber, individual susceptibility, etc.
;
Table 5. Expected and observed deaths subsequent to first year after onset of employment among
870 amosite asbestos factory workers first employed 1941-45 and observed to December 31, 1973. Distribution of duration of employment
3 months work or less Expected Observ. Ratio
Total deaths, all causes 99.75
11 2
Cancer - all sites
16.92
28
Lung cancer
4.13
16
Pleural mesothelioma
n.a.a
0
Peritoneal mesothelioma n. a .
0
Cancer stomach
1.46
1
Cancer colon, rectum' 2.38
4
Asbestoses
n. a .
1
All other causes
82.83
82
1.12
1 .65
3.87
-- --
0.68 1 .68
--
1 .oo
Number of workers Person-years of observation
249 5747
3-11 months work Expected Observ. Ratio
94.34
170
16.29
46
4.00
1 6
n. a.
2
n .a .
1
1 ,47
3
2.27
7
n.a.
2
78.05
1 22
1 .80
2.82
4.00
-- --
2.04 3.08
--
1 .56
294 6305
1 year + work Expected Observ. Ratio
110.55
18.99
4.64
--
n.a. 1 .73 2.67
n.a.
91.56
216
81
49 n.a.
4 5 5
23
1 1 2
1 .95 4.27 10. 56
_ _
2.89 1.87
--
1 .22
327 7061
This table excluded.63 men. Ten died during first year of employment, 34 could not be traced after the first year, and 19 had prior occupational exposure to asbestos. Of the 870 men, 18 were partially traced and 16 had subsequent asbestos work. These remained in the calculations until lost to observation or until onset of subsequent asbestos work. Expected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistics, 1949-71. Rates were extrapolated for 1941-48 from rates for 1949-55, and for 1972-73 from rates for 1967-71.
a U.S. death rates not available but these are rare causes of death in general population.
r
519
Table 6a. Deaths of lung cancer among 933 workers employed in an amosite asbestos factory, starting 5 years from onset of work 1941-1945 to December 31, 1974. Effect of duration of exposure
Duration of
Death of Lung Cancer 1946-1974
.
employment No. Expected3 Observed Ratio
1 month
62 1.34
3
1 month
92 1.44
5
2 months
79 1.30
8
3-5 months 145 2.24
8
6-11 months 129 1.63 '
9
1 year
105 1.53
12
2 years
77 1 .06
13
3-4 years
51 0.87
9
5 years
65 1.04
16
Total
805 12.45
83
2.24 3.47 6.15 3.57 5.52 7.84 12.26 10.34 15.36
6.67
a Expected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death rate data of the U.S. National Officei of Vital Statistics. 1949-1973. Rates were extrapolated for 1946-1948 from rates for 1949-1955 an for 1974 from rates for 1969-1973.
One hundred and twenty-eight workers were omitted from these calculations: thirty-three had prior asbestos exposure; thirty eight died in the first 5 years after onset of employment.
Forty-nine were not completely traced; and eigth had other asbestos employment, after the 5 year from onset point. '
Table 6b. Deaths of lung cancer among 933 workers employed in an amosite factory, starting 5 years from onset of work 1941-1945 to December 31, 1974. Effect of duration from onset of esposure
Years from
Number alive
Deaths of lung cancer 1946-1974
onset of exposure start of period Expect.a Observ . Ratio
5-9
805
10 - 14
754
15 - 19
680
20 - 24
579
25 - 29
469
30 - 32
361
Total
805
1 .24
2
1.79 12
2.12
20
2.90
18
3.14
23
1 .25
8
12.45
83
1.61 6.70 9.40 6.21 7.32 6.40
6.67
a Expected deaths are based upon white male age-specific death rate data of the U.S. National Office of Vital Statistics, 1949 1973. Rates were extrapolated for 1946-1948 from rates for 1949 1955 and for 1974 from rates for 1969-1973.
One hundred and twenty-eight workers were omitted from these calculations: thirty-three had prior asbestos exposure; thirtyeight died in the first 5 years after onset of employment. Fortynine were not completely traced; and eight had other asbestos employment after the 5 year from onset point.
520
Conclusion
Asbestos disease and asbestos-associated deaths that have recently been seen in the United States are largely related to the inade quately controlled use of asbestos 1930-1940, when some 150,000 300,000 tons per year were used in the United States. At present, approximately 850.000 tons per annum re used (Table 7) . It is sobering to consider that, to the extent that this use was ina dequately controlled, we will see deaths of asbestosis and cancer in the year 2000.
Table 7. U.S. consumption of asbestos
1930 1940 1950 1960
1973
.
Tons
120,000 262,000 727,000 710,000
862,000a
a Chrysotile 839,200 tons,. amosite 4,273 tons, crocidolite
17,966 tons, and anthophyllite 1,162 tons. (Source U.S.
Bureau of Mines)
.
References
.
1. DRESSEN, W. C. et al.: A study of asbestosis in the asbestos
textile industry. Washington, D.C.: Pub. Health Bull. 241
August 1938. 2. MANCUSO, T. F., COULTER, E. J.: Methodology in industrial
health studies. The cohort approach, with special reference
to an asbestos company. Arch. Envir. Health 6_, 210-226 (1963).
3.. SELIKOFF, I. J., CHURG, J., HAMMOND, E. C. : Asbestos exposure
and neoplasia. J. Amer. Med. Assoc. 188, 22-26 (1964).
4. SELIKOFF, I. J., HAMMOND, E.C., CHURG, J.: Asbestos exposure,
smoking and neoplasia. J. Amer. Med. Assoc. 204 (2), 106-112,
(1968).
.
5. HAMMOND, E. C., SELIKOFF, I. J.: Relation of cigarette smoking
to risk of death of asbestos-associated disease among insu
lation workers in the United States. In: Biological Effects
of Asbestos, Ed. P. Bogoyski et a l . pp. 209-216. IARC Sc.
Publ. No. 8. Lyon/France, 1973. 6. WAGNER, J. C., BERRY, G. , SKIDMORE, J. W., TIMBRELL, V.:
The effects of the inhalation of asbestos in rats. Brit. J.
Cancer 29., 252-269 (1974.
,