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Geosyntec consultants 520 Pike Street, Suite 1375 Seattle, Washington 98101 PH 206.496.1450 FAX 206.496.1460 www.geosyntec.com Scoping Memorandum Date: To: From: Subject: 6 June 2017 Sean Sheldrake, Lori Cora, Stephanie Ebright - USEPA Region 10 and the Portland Harbor Pre-Remedial Design Group Anne Fitzpatrick, Geosyntec Consultants Jason Conder, Geosyntec Consultants Betsy Ruffle, AECOM Overview of Proposed AOC Scope Pre-Remedial Design Investigation Studies - For Discussion Purposes Geosyntec Project Number: PNG-0767 This scoping memorandum, prepared by Geosyntec Consultants, Inc. (Geosyntec) and AECOM Technical Services (AECOM), provides a conceptual overview of studies proposed for pre remedial design at the Portland Harbor Superfund Site (PHSS or Site) located in Portland, Oregon. The strategy and scope of work is sponsored by a group of nine industrial parties called the Pre Remedial Design (Pre-RD) Group. In the ROD, the selected remedy, Alternative F Modified (Alt F Mod) identified 396 acres of active remediation within the Site that extends from river mile (RM) 1.9 to 11.8 of the Lower W illamette River. The ROD also described a post-ROD sampling effort to delineate and better refine the sediment management area (SMA) footprints, refine the Conceptual Site Model (CSM), and support remedial design. The proposed pre-remedial design investigation studies described in this memo are intended to meet these objectives and to support the allocation of the ROD. This Pre-RD scope of work focuses on site-wide studies that will re-baseline the river and assess current conditions, support the refinement of SMA footprints for allocation, support an initial discussion of Institutional Controls (ICs), and reduce the uncertainty and risk associated with implementation of the active remedy components. The scope does not include SMA-specific design-level sampling, nor source control evaluations, which could be conducted during later remedial design. Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00001 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 2 PROJECT GOALS The synoptic data collected during this study (sediment, fish tissue, surface water) will be used to re-establish baseline conditions as of 2018, revisit the active remedial footprint (for remedy and allocation), and refine the conceptual site model (CSM). The upstream background concentrations will be used to evaluate remedy effectiveness targets. This proposed sampling program provides the best balance of (i) near-term initiation of field work; (ii) prioritizing field data collection of studies that provide informative updates to the Site baseline; and (iii) supporting the PCI allocation team 's need to reduce remedy uncertainty. The Pre-RD group proposes to conduct a comprehensive 2018 synoptic sampling program of surface sediment, fish tissue, surface water, select sediment cores, upstream porewater, and bathymetry/fish tracking studies. These proposed investigation activities are focused on achieving the following five goals: 1. Refine the active remedial footprints with new data to support allocation by reducing the uncertainty in remedy scope (specify depths, extent, and remedial technologies within SMA footprints); 2. Define the current baseline conditions by collecting synoptic 2017/2018 surface sediment, fish tissue, and surface water data; 3. Evaluate recovery trends (surface weighted average sediment concentrations [SWACs], points, trends, human health risk) to refine the remedial footprint for allocation, estimate recovery rates, and establish a point of reference for future long-term monitoring; 4. Refine the background/up stream dataset with new synoptic data to evaluate current conditions, and establish a benchmark for evaluating future recovery potential and progress towards remedial action objectives (RAOs); and 5. Evaluate calibration of the food web model (FWM) using new 2018 data to validate model predictions. Table 1 lists the data that will be collected to achieve these goals. The 2018/2018 data will be used to determine current SWACs, human health risks, and background concentrations associated with both upstream and Site conditions. The schedule includes time for development of focused work plans in 2017 for completing field investigation activities (planning and execution), data analysis, and reporting in two years (Figure 1). It is anticipated that the Pre-RD sampling and analysis activities will commence following a scoping meeting with United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in June 2017 and Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00002 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 3 completion of Administrative Order on Consent (AOC) negotiations (expected in mid-2017). The goal is to complete the AOC Pre-RD scope of work in two years, by June 2019. PRE-DESIGN INVESTIGATION FIELD STUDIES To achieve the goals listed above, the scope of work includes the following eight investigation field studies: Bathymetry survey; Surface sediment grab sampling (site-wide and upriver); Fish tissue sampling (site-wide and upriver); Surface water sampling (site-wide and upriver); Subsurface sediment coring; Fish acoustic tracking pilot study, with potential expansion to full study; Camera survey of anglers; and Porewater sampling in upstream areas. In addition, although not currently part of our proposed AOC scope of work, we would like to engage EPA in discussions regarding a follow-up approach for composited/gridded surface sediment sampling of the Site to establish baseline for long-term monitoring and remedy performance evaluations. All investigation field work will be completed by end of 2018. An interpretive data report(s) will be completed by second quarter 2019 (June 2019). Each study is briefly summarized below. Many of the field data will serve multiple data use objectives (DUOs), as shown in Table 2. Table 3 presents a summary of the Pre-RD investigation studies including media, sample counts, and analyses. Figure 1 presents the proposed project schedule. Bathymetry Survey A bank-to-bank, site-wide bathymetry survey is proposed to assess changes in elevation/sedimentation over the past 15 years and to evaluate mudline elevations relative to the remedial technology assignment requirements (per the ROD decision tree). The site-wide multibeam bathymetry survey will be supplemented with lead-line measurements along the shoreline banks and difficult-to-access areas for better coverage than provided by multi-beam alone. Results Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00003 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 4 may also serve as a line of evidence relative to the evaluation of riverbank slope conditions, natural recovery, and bed stability (e.g., erosional vs. depositional areas). The last bank-to-bank survey was performed in 2002. The new bathymetry data will also be used to help identify target areas for surface sediment sampling, refine the elevation clearances for capping and dredging, and adjust the dredge volumes (to reduce uncertainty for allocation associated with the extent of the active remedial footprint and remedial technologies assigned to them). The anticipated schedule for the bathymetry survey is the third quarter of 2017. Surface Sediment Sampling Many of the surface sediment data are over 10 years old. The goals of new surface sediment data collection include: re-baseline the river to establish current conditions and SWACs, refine the active remedial SMA footprints, and evaluate natural recovery trends. Because Portland Harbor is part of a dynamic river system, current concentrations for focused constituents of concern (COCs) are expected to be different than the data set used in EPA 's RI. The focused COCs include polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), dioxins/furans, DDx, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). The scope includes synoptic surface sediment sampling (0 to 30 centimeters [cm]), as well as fish tissue and surface water samples (discussed below), to provide an empirical and statistically valid1dataset for re-baselining the river and evaluating the CSM. Several stratified/random/equal allocation methods of statistical analysis were used to estimate the appropriate sample size within the Site needed to satisfy the DUOs described above. A summary of the geostatistical analysis, approach, and findings is summarized in Attachment A. Previous analyses (Wolf, 2015a; Wolf, 2015b; Toll et al., 2015) found that the river is spatially and chemically stratified into four river segments, each about 2 to 3 miles long. These four segments include: RM 1.9 to 5 (Segment 4); 5 to 7.5 (Segment 3); 7.5 to 9 (Segment 2); and 9 to 11.8 (Segment 1). Based on physical and chemical signatures, Swan Island Lagoon may be separated as a fifth segment. A key use of the new data (along with the fish tracking results and determination of smallmouth bass [SMB] home ranges) will be to confirm the representativeness of these segment delineations, then estimate SWACs site-wide, within each segment, and potentially at smaller spatial scales. Site Area. As detailed in Attachment A, the sample count was determined by considering the number of discrete surface sediment samples needed in each segment to statistically detect 1 This pertains to the number and location of proposed sediment samples. Details regarding sampling collection methodology, analysis, and associated quality control are expected to be developed in accordance with EPA guidance and standard operating procedures (SOPs) aligned as practicable with past EPA-approved sampling investigations. Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00004 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 5 differences (p<.05) between 2004 SWACs and current SWAC estimates with 95% confidence. An estimated 300 to 500 discrete surface sediment samples are needed to yield a statistically-robust new data set for calculating SWACs. We expect this new dataset to replace older RI/FS data for the purposes of refining the SMA footprints and technology selections. Upstream/Background. An additional 30 to 40 discrete samples will be collected from upstream background areas with grain size and organic carbon content similar to the Site. A minimum o f 30 samples are needed for statistical purposes. Adjustments to the sample count and analytical program may be necessary after further discussions with EPA. Surface sediment grab samples will be collected as discrete samples from 0- to 30-cm depth using the RI data collection protocols. Samples will be analyzed for focused COCs (PCBs, dioxins/furans, DDx, PAHs) as well as total organic carbon (TOC), and grain size. The anticipated schedule for the surface sediment sampling is the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2017 through the first quarter of 2018. Fish Tissue Sampling The primary objectives of the fish tissue chemistry study include collecting the data needed to: Characterize current levels of selected COCs in resident fish tissue (SMB) on a site-wide basis and smaller spatial scale (pending results of the fish tracking study); Characterize upriver background concentrations in resident fish tissue (SMB); Update statistically-based evaluations of PCB trends in fish tissue; and Evaluate the bioaccumulation model used to relate sediment and tissue concentrations (input new SWACs, fish tissue, and surface water concentrations into the model). The proposed study includes collection of synoptic SMB data to re-baseline resident fish tissue concentrations in the river, evaluate monitored natural recovery (MNR) trends, refine or recalibrate the FWM, and update human health fish consumption risks. The scope includes 95 whole body discrete samples, plus 10 upstream background discrete fish tissue samples, which is consistent with the 2012 SMB sample design (Figure 2). The sample design targets 20 to 30 samples in each of the four segments (described previously), including 5 samples in Swan Island Lagoon. A statistical analysis of the 2012 SMB data indicates that replicating the 2012 program sample size would allow detections of statistically significant (p<.05) trends for PCBs in SMB. A summary of the statistical power analysis performed for fish tissue sample size is provided in Attachment B. Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00005 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 6 Analytes will include PCBs and a subset for dioxins/furans and DDx (assume 33% of total sample size based on the more localized contribution of these contaminants to Site risk). Collection methods will include hook and line with electroshock back-up if needed. The anticipated schedule for the fish tissue sampling is summer of 2018. Surface W ater Sampling The objective of surface water sampling is to re-baseline river conditions with synoptic data (sediment, fish tissue, surface water), evaluate surface water current conditions and trends, and provide current 2018 input data for the FWM to calculate current risks. Surface water data will be collected using a peristaltic pump, consistent with RI/FS approaches and methods. Surface water will be collected from 9 transect locations over three sampling rounds (high flow, low flow, and storm) with five transects located within the Site - one from each of the four main channel river segments, one in Swan Island lagoon - plus two transects at the boundary conditions, and two upstream transects. The proposed transects are located at approximately RM 1.8, Multnomah channel entrance near RM 3, RM 4, RM 7, Swan Island Lagoon, RM 8.8, RM 11.6, RM 16.2, and RM 26, to characterize the flow and quality of surface water passing through the river's cross section at each location. These locations were targeted to provide spatial coverage and physical changes in the river dynamics. Three vertically-averaged composite samples will be collected per transect (similar to the RI/FS approach), except Swan Island Lagoon will have one composite sample.2 Each sample will be analyzed for suspended solids in the water column (total suspended solids [TSS]), particle size distribution, and chemical testing for PCBs, DDx, PAHs, and dioxins/furans (total and dissolved). The anticipated schedule for the surface water sampling will start in the winter 2017 through summer 2018. The RI sampling events previously targeted November, March, and July for sampling. A total of 50 water samples (25 total and 25 dissolved) will be analyzed per event, for a total of 150 samples. The synoptic TSS and particle size distribution data could be used in the future for hydrodynamic and sediment transport (STM) model refinement and calibration (these data are needed based on our review). The chemistry data would be needed, and could be used, for future fate and transport model refinement. 2Vertically-integrated sample collected from 0.3 meters below the water surface to within 1 meter of the river bottom by lowering and raising the sample tube intake while pumping water at a pre-determined rate. The Round 2A RI study composited the three samples into one transect-composite sample. We propose three samples per transect for testing. engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00006 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 7 Subsurface Sediment Coring Subsurface sediment sampling will be conducted in targeted areas within or along the boundaries of SMAs that have limited data coverage to refine the active footprint boundaries of the Alt F Mod SMA footprints. The goal of this study is to refine the horizontal and vertical extent of contamination at concentrations greater than the RALs at depth, to confirm the CSM, and to refine the dredge volumes. A total of 50 to 90 core locations are proposed based on visual distribution of subsurface contamination, using 250- to 300-foot distance as a general guide to the next nearest coring location. In some cases, stations will be reoccupied to determine the vertical extent of contamination where previous cores did not "tag bottom" and in other cases, a new core will be collected in an active footprint area where none previously existed. Cores will be collected using a vibracore and visually logged using American Society of Testing Materials (ASTM) and RI procedures, then subsampled into 2-foot increments unless stratigraphy indicates otherwise. Proposed coring locations may be adjusted after the SMA footprints have been revised based on 2018 surface sediment sampling results. Subsurface sediment samples will be analyzed for focused COCs, or a subset of selected COCs and depths depending on the SMA. Fish Acoustic Tracking Study An acoustic fish tracking study may be conducted to capture fine-scale temporal and spatial movement o f SMB at the Site, pending pilot study results. A pilot study is planned for June 2017 and the study will provide data on the range and reception of fish tracking equipment in two different acoustic environments (more quiescent and more active). The results of the fish tracking pilot study will be used to assess the value of conducting a full-scale study. If the pilot study provides valuable data, a full-scale study will be conducted over a one-year period to capture seasonal home range patterns. Using a more refined acoustic telemetry approach than the historical (2000-2003) radiotracking study, the results will re-evaluate where and to what extent SMB stay within the 1-mile exposure areas assumed in the FWM. This study is being designed to use more refined technology and provide more robust data than the previous radiotelemetry study (Friesen 2005); we expect these results to replace previous findings if different. These results will be used to refine or recalibrate the FWM and reduce uncertainty about remedy effectiveness for fish tissue recovery. The anticipated schedule for the full-scale fish tracking study, if conducted, is fourth quarter 2017 through 2018. The work will be performed in collaboration with Karl Gustavson, EPA Office of Superfund Remediation and Technology Innovation (formerly United States Army Corps of Engineers [US ACE]) and experienced staff from USACE Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC). Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00007 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 8 Camera Survey of Anglers A camera study is proposed to collect data on the location and frequency of people fishing along the river. The results will provide an empirical line o f evidence on frequency and duration of angler trips over a year-long period that can be used to support the development of institutional controls (e.g., targeted locations and seasons for messaging). The camera survey program will consist of photographic documentation of human activity using a network of cameras in the Site. The scope assumes installation of 12 stationary cameras at select locations that are known or suspected to be used by anglers or are popular points of access to the river based on prior studies and angler knowledge. Cameras will be pre-set to take photos at 30minute intervals during daylight hours. The survey will be conducted over a one-year period to account for seasonal variation in use. Photographs will be uploaded monthly to digital photographic software for visual review and tagging with descriptors (e.g., date, location, time, number of individuals), and stored in a project database. A similar camera study recently performed at the Berry's Creek Superfund Site in New Jersey provided data on human use of the Site for fishing, crabbing, boating, etc., and can help support the development of institutional controls. The anticipated schedule for the camera survey is fourth quarter 2017 through 2018. Porewater Sampling in Upstream Areas The EPA conceptual sampling framework for pre-design sampling (17 March 2017) identified the collection of background (upstream) porewater samples as a baseline monitoring element. Background metals concentrations in porewater were not defined during the RI and the focus of a background porewater characterization would be naturally occurring metals. Background metals porewater concentrations should be developed and cleanup levels adjusted accordingly. The scope of the Pre-RD study is to place passive porewater samplers, or a similar device to collect porewater, at eight upstream locations co-located with bulk sediment grab stations. The samplers will be equilibrated for a 2- to 4-week period then retrieved. Porewater samples will be analyzed for freelydissolved COC metals. Porewater results from passive samplers could be compared to laboratoryderived porewater samples from the upstream bulk sediment surface grab locations. Gridded Composite Surface Sediment Sampling - for Long-term Monitoring A composite sediment sampling approach is appropriate for evaluating future post-remedy long term monitoring conditions. We would like to collaboratively explore a draft protocol with EPA Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00008 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 9 for evaluating post-remedy SWACs and remedy effectiveness. A stratified random, gridded, composite sampling approach could be implemented later during remedial design under a separate AOC. A composite sampling program is not currently proposed as part o f this AOC scope o f work. The gridded composite samples would establish baseline conditions for comparing with future post-remedy data and SWACs. As discrete samples, a monitoring dataset is subject to outliers, and a lot of variance. To minimize these effects, composite sampling would be incorporated into a future long-term sampling program. Project examples are presented in Attachment C. We propose that a similar approach be discussed for the Portland Harbor Superfund Site in collaboration with EPA. DATA ANALYSES Data collected from the AOC scope pre-design investigation field studies will be summarized and analyzed to meet several DUOs (see Table 2). Field work will be completed by the end of 2018; data analyses will be completed by the first quarter of 2019 and include the following elements: Evaluation of current sediment conditions and refinement of the active remedy footprint; Use of bathymetry data to refine the elevation requirements of the active remedy footprint, especially in the riverbank areas; Refinement of the CSM and understanding of current conditions; Refinement of sediment recovery curves based on empirical data trends (and confirm RALs); Re-calculation of site-wide and segment-wide surface sediment SWACs using new data, may also consider other spatial scales; Evaluation of fish tracking results to refine the extent and segmenting of the river (for calculation of SWACs) and assess fish home ranges used in the FWM; Update the trend analyses of validated 2017/2018 surface sediment, fish tissue, and surface water data; Assessment of new bathymetry for bed stability and fish/sediment data for monitored natural recovery potential; Evaluation of current (2017/2018) upstream background concentrations; and Use of new data to refine or recalibrate the FWM and update calculations of baseline fish consumption risks. Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00009 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 10 Deliverables will include data summary tables, data graphics such as box-and-whisker plots, maps depicting the spatial distribution of sediment chemistry for selected analytical parameters, a comparison of site conditions to the active Alt F Mod remedial footprint, trend analyses, and new SMA boundary maps. Draft deliverables will be provided to EPA at milestone endpoints of particular tasks. The 2017/2018 sampling program will be statistically robust to support calculation of site-wide SWACs and assess spatial patterns without reliance on older data. The older RJ/FS data will only be used for trend analysis. REFERENCES Friesen, T.A., 2005. Biology, Behavior, and Resources of Resident and Anadromous Fish in the Willamette River, Final Report of Research, 2000-2004. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife. Contracted by the City of Portland. March. United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2017. Record ofDecision Portland Harbor Superfund Site, Portland Oregon. United States Environmental Protection Agency Region 10, Seattle, Washington. January. EPA and CDM Smith, Inc., 2017. EPA's conceptual sampling framework for pre-design sampling for the Portland Harbor Superfund Site, United States Environmental Protection Agency Region 10, Seattle, Washington. 17 March. Wolf, F., 2015a. "An Assessment of the Coupled Sediment Recovery and Dynamic Food Web Model: Predicting the Concentrations of Total PCBs in Lower Willamette Fish Tissue Based on 2002 to 2012 Sampling Data". Technical Report, available on ResearchGate.net. Presentation at Battelle Seventh International Sediments Conference in New Orleans, January 2015. Prepared by Legacy Site Services LLC. August. Wolf, F., 2015b. Natural Recovery in the Lower Willamette: What Do We Know About the Lines of Evidence? Presentation to LWG and State of Oregon. Prepared by Frederick Wolf, RETIA, USA. Portland, Oregon. 19 August. Toll, J, J. Devary and F. Wolf, 2015. "Temporal Data Provide Confirmation of Portland Harbor Bioaccumulation Model Projections and Evidence of Natural Recovery" . Presentation at 36th Annual Meeting, SETAC North America, Salt Lake City, Utah. 5 November. Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00010 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 11 LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES Table 1. Project Goals for Pre-RD Scope of Work Table 2. Data Use Objectives for Pre-RD Investigation Studies Table 3. Summary of Pre-RD Study Media, Sample Counts, Analyses Figure 1. Proposed Project Schedule (Gannt chart) Figure 2. Proposed Fish Tissue Locations in the Site (2A) and Upstream (2B) ATTACHMENTS Attachment A. Sample Plan Objectives and Geostatistical Approach for Sampling of Surface Sediment Attachment B. Power Analysis for Fish Tissue Sample Size Attachment C. Project Examples of Composite Sampling for Long-term Monitoring engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00011 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 12 Table 1. Project Goals for Pre-Remedial Investigation Design Scope of Work # Project Goals Spariid Scale Media Question*, in Answer 1 Obtain SMA baseline characterization data adeauate to refine the remedial footprint for allocation purposes SMA specific Discrete sediment grabs (0 to 30 cm), bathymetry, sediment cores Have the active remedial footprints changed since the FS? Can we refine the footprints and reduce uncertainty? Have the elevations changed since the FS, hence the footprint changes through the ROD technology decision tree? What are the extent of footprints above RALs? 2 Establish current baseline Site-wide, conditions (SWACs. human segments health risk) to evaluate future remedy performance and progress towards RAOs Surface sediment, fish tissue (SMB), surface water What are concentrations of COCs prior to remedial activities? Do results support refinement of the remedial footprint? What are current baseline risks? Note: ideally, sedim ent composites would be used as baseline fo r long-term monitoring 3 Evaluate recovery trends within the Site to estimate recovery rates and refine the remedial footprint Site-wide, segments Surface sediment, fish tissue (SMB), surface water Are Site conditions improving? Are there improvements that lead to a different remedial footprint? Can a recovery rate be calculated? 4 Update background dataset Upstream RM 11.8 to 28 Surface sediment, fish tissue (SMB), surface water; porewater What are background concentrations of select COCs in sediment and fish tissue, and have they changed since the FS? What are background concentrations of metals COCs in porewater? How could new data inform future evaluation of remedy performance? 5 Update FWM calibration for evaluating progress towards RAOs Site-wide, segments Surface sediment, fish tissue (SMB), surface water, SMB home range Can we confirm relationships and assumptions used in the model? How should fish tissue (SMB) data be evaluated for monitoring remedy effectiveness? Notes: (1) Data collected for each project goal may serve multiple data use objectives (DUOs). (2) This scope of work proposes to collect discrete surface sediment samples because of multiple DUOs. Ideally, the baseline sediment dataset to be used as a starting point for comparing future long-term, monitoring data, would be based on a stratified random, composite sampling approach. (3) COCs = chemicals of concern; FWM = food web model; FS = feasibility study; RAL = remedial action level; ROD = Record of Decision; SWAC = surface weighted average concentrations; SMB = small mouth bass Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00012 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 13 Table 2. Data Use Objectives for Pre-RD Investigation Studies Proposed Scope Item Data Use Objective (DUO) CSM Update SWAC Recovery Trend Model Calibration Risk Update Institutional Controls Active Footprint/ RAL Remedial Technology Allocation Future Compliance # Task H eltS I m w i s 'rit'nni S tin lics 1 Site-wide bathymetry survey Purpose footprint X XX XXX 2 Surface sediment sampling (discrete) recovery/bkgrd X X X X X XXXX 2 Fish tissue sampling recovery/bkgrd X XX X X X 4 Surface water sampling recovery/bkgrd X XX X 5 Sediment cores footprint X X XXXX 6 Fish acoustic tracking study (USACE) fish home range X X XX X 7 Camera survey o f anglers risk/TC X XX 8 Porewater sampling bkgrd X X XXXX iW I tn ii t i l . U u ifysis Mi.'1'ortinx A Focused work plan for AOC scope X B Evaluate current conditions and recovery trends C Evaluate background levels footprint/ recovery recovery X XX X X X X X XXXX D Refine active footprint footprint XX XXXX E Refine food web model and human health consumption risks G Data Interpretation Report recovery/risk X X X X X X X XX footprint/ X XX X X X X X X X recovery/bkgrd/ risk Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00013 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 14 Table 3. Summary of Pre-RD Study Media, Sample Counts, Analyses M edia Surface Sedim ent Fish Tissue (SM B) Surface w ater Sedim ent Cores P o rew ater L o c a tio n Site U pstream Site U pstream Site / U pstream Site U pstream A pproxim ate Sam ple ('m ini Analyse'; 300 to 500 (discrete grabs) 30 to 40 95 (whole body) 10 (w hole body) Focused-COCs (PCBs, dioxins, DDx, PAHs), plus TOC, grain size PCBs and a subset for dioxins/furans, DDx 9 transects, 3 verticallycom posited sam ples/ per transect 75 sam ples (total) 75 sam ples (dissolved) Total and dissolved for focusedCOCs plus grain size, TSS 50 to 90 cores 2 to 8 sam ples/ per core Focused-COCs (PCBs, dioxins, DDx, PAHs) plus TOC, grain size 8 samples D issolved m etals Notes: (1) Total sample counts will be increased for QA/QC samples (5 to 10%). (2) The proposed surface water transects are located at approximately RM 1.8, Multnomah channel entrance near RM 3, RM 4, RM 7, Swan Island Lagoon, RM 8.8, RM 11.6, RM 16.2, and RM 26. Swan Island Lagoon transect may be composited into one sample for chemical testing per event. (3) The four Site segments include: RM 1.9 to 5 (Segment 4); 5 to 7.5 (Segment 3); 7.5 to 9 (Segment 2); and 9 to 11.8 (Segment 1). Based on physical and chemical signatures, Swan Island Lagoon may be separated into a fifth segment. (4) Sampling and analy sis methods capable of low-level concentration detection may be included for selected surface water transects. (5) PCBs = PCB congeners; SMB = smallmouth bass; TOC = total organic carbon; TSS = total suspended solids Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00014 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 15 Figure 1 - Proposed Project Schedule - Draft Project Task EPA R O D / Post-ROD O ve rview Ic h c d tilc ROD Date 2 N ext Phase N egotiations 4 Consen t Decree(CD) f o r Pre-Design Studies 5 Pre-Design AOC - S tatem ent o f W ork 6 C onduct Pre-Design Studies (see below ) 7 Present D a ta f o r ROD considerations, a n d in te rim a gre e m e nts P rc-D cugn Study 5 S c o p in g / M eetings W ork pian/C SM scope evaluation & planning 6A F ie ld C o lle ctio n /L a b A n a lysis -- Site-wide bathym etry survey Fish A co u stic Tracking S tu d y Camera Survey o f Anglers Surface sedim ent sam pling Surface w a te r sam pling -- Tissue s a m p lin g (2018 s u m m e r/e a riy fa ll, 6 w k s ) Sedim ent Coring Porew ater sam pling upstream 6B D a ta E v a lu a tio n Technology decision tree - steep slopes, NAPL, PTW D ata analysis (new SWACs, re-baseline cu rren t fo o tp rin t) D ata analysis (MNR trends - bedded sedim ent) D ata analysis (M NR trends-tissue) Food web m odeling U pstream Background evaluation (sedim ent, tissue, SW) 7 Deliverables Data Report - surface sedim ent D ata Report - tissue a nd surface w a te r -- Data Interpretation Report - active fo o tp rin t, sedim ent tren ds/backg round D ata In te rp re ta tio n R eport - h um a n hea lth risks, tissue tren d s/b a ckg ro u n d 2017 20 IS 2019 2.02.0 Q1 Q2 Q3: Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q l Q2 Q3 04 Q l ! Q2 Q3 Q4 ( ROD k ^ Jan 17, 2017 , : : : J GOAL: Comp ite __-- -- AOC Scope ~~ byQ 22019 -- V ---- -- -- -------j-------L------ -- ------ GOAL: Complete -- ---- -- ; fleldwor <byend of : : 2018 and analysis ' \ b v Q 1 2019 mmmi ------- h------l l l f l l l l l \ \! -- -- I-- -- ------ -- - ! : ---- -- -- -- -- -- :-- i-- -- ------ -----p i i . --- -- -- -- N o te s: A O C - a d m in istra tiv e order on co nsen t; CD - co n se n t decree; RD = rem edial design = p la n & m odel p rep / repor tin g = fie ld w o rk, a n a ly s is , data valid e tio n = u n ce rtain ty sch e d u le lag Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00015 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 16 Figure 2 - Proposed Fish Tissue Locations in the Site (2A) and Upstream (2B) Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00016 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 17 engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00017 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 18 ATTACHMENT A Sample Plan Objectives and Geostatistical Approach for Sampling of Surface Sediment Portland Harbor Superfund Site, Pre-Remedial Investigation Design Re-Baseline Study Prepared by Geosyntec This attachment details a proposed approach for identifying a re-baselining sampling approach for 2018 surface sediment and a geostatistical analysis of discrete surface sediment samples. DATA OBJECTIVES The 2018 baseline sediment sampling program has five primary objectives for collection of surface sediment samples at discrete locations within the Site (river miles 1.9 to 11.8): Objective 1: Natural Recovery. A key objective is to assess natural recovery between the period o f 2004 to 2018, and to quantify the rate of natural recovery. There are several robust and statistically-valid approaches for evaluating the data needed to evaluate natural recovery, and these are likely to be fully utilized following data collection in 2018. The simplest approach would be to compare site-wide and segment-by-segment surface weighted average sediment concentrations (SWAC) estimates and 95% Confidence Intervals (SWACs) for 2004 and 2018, looking for statistically significant differences at a level of at least p<.05. Additionally, stations sampled in both 2004 and 2018 could also serve as the basis by which to conduct paired evaluations or univariate and multivariate regression procedures with temporal and/or spatial data (GSI Environmental, Inc., 2014; Kleinfelder, 2015; Geosyntec Consultants, Inc., 2016; Newfields, 2016).3 Objective 2: SMA Delineation. Delineating the sediment management areas (SMAs) is also a key objective of the 2018 data. The 2018 sampling plan will provide an optimized dataset for significantly refining the current SMAs. This will enable initial remedial design calculations and allow for the planning of additional high-resolution delineation of SMAs that will be needed for engineering purposes during remedial design. Objective 3: Risk Evaluation. Similar to Objective 1, a key use of the 2018 data will be to compare risk levels in 2018 to 2004. For example, it is anticipated that 2004 SWAC and 2018 SWAC estimates (or upper 95% confidence limits on the SWACs) on a site-wide and segment-by-segment basis would be input into risk assessment algorithms to evaluate the 3 To achieve this objective, the sampling program may include some stratified sampling based on chemical distributions and spatial considerations such as erosional, stable, and depositional areas identified as part of the RI/FS. Attachment A engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00018 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 19 expected decrease in risk that has likely occurred since 2004. The 2018 risk estimates may also be compared to background risk levels. Objective 4: Remedy Success. Data collected in 2018 will serve as a robust and precise baseline measurement for comparison of future post-remedy data to the remedy goals (or asymptote of a curve). In addition to comparing post-remedy sediment data to risk-based and remedial criteria, the post-remedy results must be able to be demonstrated to be significantly lower than the baseline 2018 results. Again, there are several approaches to the use of this data, but the simplest approach would be to compare site-wide and segmentby-segment SWAC estimates, or smaller stratified scales from actively remediated areas, or composite samples, and 95% Confidence Intervals (SWACs) developed in 2018 to those developed in post-remedy events at levels of significance o fp <.05 or better. Objective 5: Background Comparisons. In addition to the sampling plan for the Site, discrete samples of surface sediment will be collected from background areas upstream of river mile 11.8 to provide a robust measure of concentrations of focused COCs in upstream areas. Future comparisons of SWACs on a site-wide and segment-by-segment basis would be made to statistics developed from the background dataset developed in 2018. SAMPLE PLAN DEVELOPMENT The basis for sampling within the Site boundaries (river miles 1.9 to 11.8) was devised according to the following steps: Step 1: Initial Sample Count. A variability reduction analysis was applied to evaluate the variability of the site-wide and segment-wide SWAC using the 2004 data set for total PCBs. This approach found that approximately 100 to 200 samples could be removed from the 2004 data without significantly increasing the variability of the SWAC estimate. Based on this analysis, an initial sample size of 200 was identified. Step 2: Initial Sample Distribution. In Step 2, the 200 samples identified in Step 1 were distributed among the Site and assigned discrete locations. 80 samples were placed at stations previously-sampled in 2004 (reoccupied sample stations). An even distribution among low and high areas of chemical concentrations was obtained by selecting locations among four groups of samples indicating concentrations of total PCBs (in 2004): the lowest quartile (0 to 25th percentile), lower-middle quartile (25th to 50th percentile), upper-middle quartile (50thto 75th percentile), and highest quartile (75thto 100th percentile). Additionally, proposed locations were placed with even distribution among the entire reach, achieving a relatively uniform sampling density. Attachment A Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00019 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 20 Step 3: Additional SMA Sample Delineation. Recognizing that increased sampling density will be required to identify and delineate SMAs for preliminary design purposes, an increased sampling density was applied in bounding areas identified in the Alt F Mod footprint. Sample placement simultaneously considered (i) higher sampling densities in hotspot areas with higher variance/low certainty;4 (ii) reoccupation of select 2004 sample locations not already identified in Step 2; (iii) relatively even sample spacing to ensure compact Thiessen polygons; and (iv) potential chemical concentration gradients (for all the focused COCs), and (v) physical and hydrodynamic features. Based on the various assumptions and considerations, this Step added approximately 100 to 300 samples to the design. These three steps lead to a final sample design in the range of 300 to 500 samples within the Site. The sample count will produce a statistically valid surface sediment baseline dataset for calculating SWACs with the ability to detect significant differences between events with 95% confidence at p< 05. ASSESSMENT APPROACH A procedure for the quantitative evaluation of this sampling plan has been developed and indicates that the variation around the SWAC estimates is likely to be sufficient to enable the basic comparisons described above. For example, the 2004 PCB SWAC and the SWAC that would have been obtained in 2013-2016 (if the proposed sampling plan had been applied with the sample sizes noted) would be statistically distinct. Thus, assuming the natural recovery trend indicated in the 2013-2016 data, the future results that could be developed using the proposed sampling plan are likely to be able to indicate significant changes in SWACs since 2004 (e.g., the two SWACs are significantly different with 95% confidence a tp<.05). However, statistically robust changes may still be concluded using less stringent hypothesis test statistics (e.g., lower confidence or power). In addition, a power analysis (Champely, 2017) of the expected upstream sampling plan (40 additional discreet samples) indicates acceptable levels of precision for future comparisons of the Site to background conditions. It is expected that the sample plan itself, the approach for evaluating the sampling plan, and the sampling plan evaluation results will be presented in detail to EPA and stakeholders in subsequent communications. 4 For reference, recent investigations at River Mile 1IE Site used a sample density of 1 sample per every 100 to 200 feet. Attachment A engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00020 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 21 REFERENCES Champely, S., 2017. pwr: Basic Functions for Power Analysis. R package version 1.2-1. http ://CRAN.R-proj ect. org/package=pwr Geosyntec Consultants, Inc., 2016. Sediment Sampling Data Report, Swan Island Lagoon, Portland, Oregon. Project No. HPH100E. 12 August. GSI Environmental, Inc., 2014. " Supplemental Remedial Investigation/Feasibility Study. Field Sampling and Data Report. River Mile 11 East." July. Kleinfelder, 2015. "Draft Sediment Sampling Data Report, Portland Harbor, Portland, Oregon," (Project No. 20153027.001 A). March. NewFields, 2016. Concentrations and Character of PAH in Sediments in the Proposed Remedial Alternatives Area of the Portland Harbor Superfund Site, River Miles 5-6. 2015 Investigation. Prepared by NewFields for ExxonMobil. 29 March. Attachment A engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00021 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 22 ATTACHMENT B Power Analysis for Fish Tissue Sample Size Portland Harbor Superfund Site, Pre-Remedial Investigation Design Re-Baseline Study Prepared by AECOM A statistical analysis was performed using the 2012 smallmouth bass (SMB) tissue data set for the Portland Harbor Superfund Site (Kennedy/Jenks Consultants, 2013) to estimate sample sizes for re-baselining fish tissue chemistry. Prior analyses of 2002, 2007, and 2012 data for polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) in SMB indicate fish tissue concentrations have declined over time. The primary focus of this analysis was to estimate the number of SMB samples needed to determine with statistical significance whether PCB concentrations have continued to decline since 2012. Comparison of historical and new means and 95% confidence intervals, as well as trend analysis, provide robust and statistically-valid approaches for evaluating the data to evaluate natural recovery, and are likely to be used following data collection in 2018. An important aspect of monitoring design is power analysis, which was performed to estimate the difference that can be detected between the 2012 and re-baselining fish tissue data sets. This was illustrated by calculating the effect size (d) or the standardized difference between two means that could be detected (Cohen, 1988); and the minimum detectable difference (MDD) as a function of sample size and variance. The MDD is the difference between two means that must exist to detect a statistically significant effect/difference. The MDD is a commonly employed technique to indicate the potential significant difference at a given sample size in fish tissue monitoring (e.g., United States Environmental Protection Agency [EPA], 2000). METHODS AND RESULTS Two scenarios were evaluated: (i) assuming sample size equivalent to the 2012 smallmouth bass data set (n=83 Study Area, n= 9 upriver background); and (ii) assuming sample size equivalent to the targets set forth in the 2012 work plan (n=95 Study Area, n=10 upriver background) (Windward Environmental, 2012). The sample size calculations were performed considering two spatial scales: (i) site-wide; and (ii) four 2 to 3-mile segments.5Both spatial scales are relevant to evaluation of SMB in the risk assessment and bioaccumulation modeling.6 Sample size estimation 5 The segmentation is based on prior analysis of the available data (Wolf, 2015). 6A spatial scale of 2 to 3 mile segments may better reflect the home range of SMB which ranges from 0.5 to 5.5 miles (Scott and Crossman, 1998). Based on a radio-tracking study of predator species in the Lower Willamette River, the median total distance traveled (upstream and downstream) by SMB was 4.3 kilometers (km) (2.7 miles), with 25th and 75th percentiles of 0.8 km and 8.0 km (Friesen, 2005). Attachment B engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00022 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 23 to support statistical analysis of trend/natural recovery on an individual river mile (RM) basis is not a data use objective; large sample sizes would be needed to detect trends with adequate power. The power analysis was performed using the following assumptions: Confidence = 95% (alpha [a] = 0.05); Power = 80% (1-13 = 0.80); and PCB data lognormally distributed. The assumption that PCB concentrations in the 2012 whole body SMB data set are lognormally distributed is based on distribution testing performed using @Risk v.6 (Palisades, 2012). Table 1 presents summary statistics for the 2012 SMB data set. PCB fish tissue concentrations were log (base 10) transformed for the power analyses. The assumptions of 95% confidence (a = 0.05) and power of 80% are used by convention to support statistically significant results (e.g., EPA, 2000). However, statistically robust changes may still be concluded using less stringent hypothesis test statistics (e.g., lower confidence or power). The calculation of effect size (Cohen's d) was performed using the pwr package (Champely, 2017) in the R statistical computing (R Core Team, 2015). The calculation of the minimum detectable difference (MDD) as a function of the sample size and variance in the 2012 data was performed using the following formula and expressed as a percentage of the 2012 mean7 (Harcum and Dressing, 2015): MDD = V[(4g2 (Z(l-(a/2)) + Z (l-p)) 2) - N] where: N = total sample size (number of samples in 2012 and new baseline) o = standard deviation (assumed equal to 2012 sample populations) Z (l-(a /2 ))= 1.96 Z(l-B) = 0.84 MDD = minimum detectable difference between 2012 and new baseline means The effect size analysis indicates that replicating the 2012 sample sizes (actual or target sample sizes) will allow for moderate differences between the means to be detected on a site-wide basis 7 While log transforming the data results in the power analysis being on the population geometric mean, results using the techniques described here are considered to be adequate practical approximations for the purpose of this analysis. Attachment B Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00023 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 24 (Cohen's d of ~0.4). For the four segments, the 2012 sample sizes will allow for large differences between the means to be detected (Cohen's d of ~0.8).8 Results of the MDD analysis are summarized in Table 2 for the full Site (RM 2-12), each of the four segments, and the upriver background area. The MDD analysis was also performed excluding Segment 1 (RM 9-12), which has the highest mean and variance; eight of the ten highest 2012 PCB SMB samples were from Segment 1, which includes the R M 11 area. Table 2 includes MDD results for combined Segments 2, 3, and 4 (RM 2-9). As shown in Table 2, sample sizes consistent with the 2012 program (actual or target) result in a MDD of about 30% on a site-wide basis. The MDD improves slightly (about 1%) when the 2012 target sample size is used (increase of 12 samples site-wide). When the area with high variance is removed (Segment 1), the MDD is about 23% for the remainder of the Site. On a river segment basis, sample sizes of 20 to 23 result in MDDs of about 28% to 40% in Segments 2, 3, and 4. In Segment 1 (RM 9-12) where variance is highest, sample sizes of 22 to 28 result in a MDD of about 60%. For upriver background, a sample size of 9 to 10 results in an MDD of about 60%. For upriver background, the means for the 2002 (n=6 composite samples) and 2012 (n=9 discrete samples) SMB data sets are similar (170 micrograms per kilogram [pig/kg] and 230 pg/kg, respectively). Based on prior trend analysis indicating a decline of about 4% per year (Nielsen, 2015), the maximum change that could be expected in the new baseline data would be approximately 24% in 2018 from the 2012 site-wide mean assuming a linear response (declines may become asymptotic over time as conditions reach equilibrium). Based on the MDD values calculated in this analysis, sample sizes consistent with the 2012 program should be sufficient to detect a change of this magnitude on a site-wide basis (excluding Segment 1/RM11 area) with a high degree of statistical significance. REFERENCES Champely, S., 2017. pwr: Basic Functions for Power Analysis. R package version 1.2-1. http ://CRAN.R-proj ect. org/package=pwr 8 The Cohen's d statistic is a standardized measure of the size of the effect that can be observ ed betw een two means, with smaller values indicating smaller differences can be observed. Per Cohen (1977): 0.2 = small effect; 0.5 = moderate effect; and 0.8 = large effect. Attachment B Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA im io v ato rs Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00024 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 25 Cohen, J., 1988. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed.). Hillsdale, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum. Friesen, T.A., 2005. Biology, Behavior, and Resources of Resident and Anadromous Fish in the Willamette River, Final Report of Research, 2000-2004. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife. Contracted by the City of Portland. March. Harcum, J.B., and S. A. Dressing, 2015. Technical Memorandum #3: Minimum Detectable Change and Power Analysis. Developed for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency by Tetra Tech, Inc., Fairfax, Virginia. October. Kennedy/Jenks Consultants, 2013. Portland Harbor RI/FS, 2012 Smallmouth Bass Tissue Study, Data Report. Draft. Prepared for Lower Willamette Group. 13 March. Nielsen, D., 2015. Temporal Regression Analysis of PCBs in Smallmouth Bass. Memorandum to Frederick Wolf, RETIA, USA. Draft. 2 July. Attachment C of W olf (2015). Palisades, 2012. @Risk. Risk Analysis and Simulation, Add-in for Microsoft Excel. Version 6, July 2012. Palisade Corporation, Ithaca, New York. R Core Team, 2015. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. URL. https://www.R-proiect.org/ Scott, W., and E. Crossman, 1998. Freshwater Fishes of Canada. Galt House Publications. United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2000. Guidance for Assessing Chemical Contaminant Data for Use in Fish Advisories Volume 1 Fish Sampling and Analysis Third Edition. Office of Water. EPA 823-B-00-007. November. Windward Environmental, 2012. Portland Harbor RI/FS: 2012 Modifications to the Field Sampling Plan for Bass Tissue. Prepared for Lower Willamette Group. 15 August. Wolf, F., 2015. "An Assessment of the Coupled Sediment Recovery and Dynamic Food Web Model: Predicting the Concentrations of Total PCBs in Lower Willamette Fish Tissue Based on 2002 to 2012 Sampling Data". Technical Report, available on Researchgate.net. Presentation at Battelle Seventh International Sediments Conference in New Orleans, January 2015. Prepared by Legacy Site Services LLC. August, 2015 Attachment B engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00025 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 26 Table 1 Summary Statistics for 2012 Smallmouth Bass Data Set Portland Harbor Superfund Site Pre-Remedial Design Baseline Study___________________ 2012 SMB Data (a) Minimum Maximum Mean SD Domain Site-wide River Miles n (ug/kg) (ug/kg) (ug/kg) (ug/kg) CV 2-12 83 92.4 6470 648.7 1185.9 1.8 Segment 1 9-12 22 134 6470 1531.6 2057.7 1.3 Segment 2 7.5-9 & SIL 23 118 1060 331.3 203.7 0.6 Segment 3 5-7.5 19 92.4 440 225.1 85.4 0.4 Segment 4 2-5 19 148 1280 434.2 299.8 0.7 Upriver Background 15-18 9 50.7 634 234.0 187.5 0.8 Notes (a) PCB wet weight data from 2012 Smallmouth Bass Tissue Study (whole body). Kennedy/Jenks 2013. n = sample size CV = coefficient of variation SD = standard deviation SMB = smallmouth bass Attachment B Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA innovators Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00026 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 27 Table 2 Summary of Power Analysis for Smallmouth Bass Sample Size Portland Harbor Superfund Site Pre-Remedial Design Baseline Study______________________ Domain Site-wide Segments 2, 3 & 4 (b) Segment 1 Segment 2 Segment 3 Segment 4 Upriver Background River Miles n 2-12 83 2-9 ' 61 9-12 22 7.5-9 & SIL 23 5-7.5 19 2-5 19 15-18 9 2012 SMB Data (a) Mean SD Geometric log 10 PCB loglOPCB Mean (ug/kg) (ug/kg) (ug/kg) 2.56 0.38 364 2.45 0.23 282 2.87 0.52 745 2.46 0.22 290 2.32 0.16 211 2.56 0.27 359 2.26 0.33 180 Sample Size Equals 2012 Sample Size Equals 2012 Actual Catch T argets MDD MDD log PCB log PCB (ug/kg) MDD (%) n (ug/kg) MDD (%) 0.17 31.6% 95 0.16 30.7% 0.12 23.9% ' 67 0.12 23.4% 0.44 63.5% 28 0.41 61.2% 0.18 33.8% 23 0.18 33.8% 0.14 28.3% 21 0.14 27.6% 0.24 42.8% 23 0.23 41.2% 0.44 63.8% 10 0.43 62.8% Notes (a) PCB data from 2012 Smallmouth Bass Tissue Study. Kennedy/Jenks 2013. (b) Site-wide domain after exclusion of Segment 1 (highest 2012 SMB PCB levels were observed in RM11 area). Analyses performed using alpha of 0.05 and power of 0.80. n = sample size MDD = Minimum Detectable Difference SD = standard deviation of the log base 10 transformed mean SMB = smallmouth bass Increase in MDD due to attaining targets 0.9% 0.5% 2.4% 0.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% Attachment B engineers \ scientists l innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00027 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 28 ATTACHMENT C Project Examples of Composite Sampling for Long-term Monitoring Several recent sediment cleanup projects have designed a composite sampling approach for sediments to evaluate post-remedy long-term monitoring conditions, post-remedy SWACs, and remedy effectiveness. Project examples include: PSNS Superfund Site, Bremerton, Washington: The long-term monitoring program at the 400-acre shipyard area (Operable Unit B Marine) of the Puget Sound Naval Shipyard was modified after 10 years to a gridded, composite sampling approach. Starting in 2003, the area was monitored using a rectangular grid of 71 500-foot by 500-foot cells (sample size N=71). Three random grab surface sediment samples were collected for each grid cell and composited to yield one sample from each grid cell for analysis. All grid cells were given equal weight when computing sample statistics using an area-weighted geometric mean. Adoption of a vigorous mechanical compositing method for mixing was introduced to reduce large intra-sample variability. For the outer portion of the study area (the monitored natural remediation [MNR] area) a 1,500-foot by 1,500-foot composite sampling grid was developed and approved by EPA (Vita, 2007). Fox River Superfund Site, W isconsin: Long-term monitoring is focusing on site-wide surface water and fish tissue trends, and surface sediment trends in MNR areas. Surface water samples are collected along transects and averaged over the cross-section of flow, in accordance with United States Geological Survey (USGS) "quarter point" sampling procedures. For MNR sediment sampling, a five-point composite sample is collected from each monitoring area (AnchorQEA et al., 2009; Foth, 2007; EPA, 2008). Head of Hylebos Waterway Superfund Site, Washington: The 2005 project cleanup goal was to dredge to a clean surface. The confirmation sampling approach divided the Site into 400 construction dredge management areas (CDMAs) sized to 5,000 square feet grids each. A total of four to six randomized discrete samples were collected within each CDMA and composited for testing. A surface weighting criteria was applied to verify whether the dredging had achieved a clean remediated sediment surface (W olf and Parkinson, 2015). In 2012, the surface sediment sampling program replicated the same compositing approach used in 2004/2006 to establish current sediment chemical concentrations for future comparisons of long-term monitoring data, and to revise the Operations, Maintenance, and Monitoring Program (OMMP) for the Site (DOF, 2012). Attachment C engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00028 Confidential: For Purposes of Settlement Negotiations Only Overview of Proposed Pre-Design Investigation Studies 6 June 2017 Page 29 REFERENCES AnchorQEA, TetraTech, Shaw Environmental, and LimnoTech, 2009. Appendix I, Lower Fox River Remedial Design, 100 Percent Design Report, Long-term Monitoring Plan. Prepared for Appleton Papers, GP, and NCR Corporation for submittal to Wisconsin DNR and EPA. December. DOF, 2012. Sediment Sampling Report, Head of Hylebos Pre-OMMP Sediment Sampling Program, Tacoma, Washington. Prepared for RD/RA Consent Decree, Head of Hylebos Waterway of the CB/NT Superfund Site. Prepared by Dalton, Olmstead, & Fuglevand Inc. for the Head of Hylebos Cleanup Group for submittal to EPA Region 10, Seattle, Washington. 30 July 30. Foth, 2007. 2007 Design Supplement, Appendix C, OU1 SWAC White Paper. Foth Infrastructure and Environment. United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2008. Record of Decision Amendment Operable Unit 1, Lower Fox River and Green Bay Superfund Site," United States Environmental Protection Agency. June. Vita, C., P. Johnanson, and D. Leisle, 2011. Marine Sediment PCB Monitoring and Natural Recovery at Bremerton Navel Complex. Paper. Presented at the Sixth Inti Conference on Remediation of Contaminated Sediments, New Orleans, Louisiana. 7-10 February. Wolf, F. and S. Parkinson, 2015. Sediment Remediation: A Case Study of Residual-Driven Volume Expansion and Project Risk. Paper. Presented at the Seventh International Conference on Remediation of Contaminated Sediments, New Orleans, Louisiana. 5-10 January. Attachment C engineers \ scientists 1innovators Sierra Club v. EPA 18cv3472 NDCA Tiers 8&9 ED 002061 00088056-00029