Document 3eqVok7ynq18MzE8G1wqao71x
cc: N. T. Johnson J. H. Davidson
INDUSTRIAL HYDRAULIC FLUIDS TRANSITION PLAN
T. L. Gossage
The Situation In the past, our major strength in the industrial hydraulic fluids business was our low cost chlorinated raw materials giving superior fire resistance to our fluids. These same materials had good solubility with oil and allowed us to formulate the Pydraul 312 series. The result was a very real and sizeable competitive advantage in terms of both quality and price over other synthetic fire resistant fluids.
That is all changed now. Polychlorinated biphenyls are out
and polychlorinated terphenyls, in addition to being contamin
ated with PCBs, are also out. This leaves us with a line of
resale water glycol fluids (available now) a straight phosphate
ester (available shortly), and an oil-phosphate ester blend
available late in the first quarter of 1972. In terms of
cost and quality, none of these products will give us any
significant advantage over our competitors. In addition, the
changeover (the third in two years) will create an adverse
,
^Of s '7;'
affect, particularly on our major customers, the top 20 of pp i
'
which account for (pQ______ ^ of our business.
This means that when the transition has been completed, we will be left with considerably less market share than we now have, with ill will at certain customers and potential accounts,
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and with no technical or cost advantage to regain our position. With these difficulties our sales growth In the future can not be as steep as our sales growth In the past, and our base will be less.
Objective Our objective In this transition program simply stated Is to
be out of PCB's/PCT's by July 1 1972, and to salvage as large a share of the market as possible at a profit. We expect to keep at least 50$ of our business^, biH (We must take several steps as quickly as possible In order to achieve this.
General Motors G. M. alone accounts for fB______ $ of our business. We must
move Immediately to convert G. M. to our phosphate ester fluid. Vte-havp hean told- by'The Chevrolet Division, which is over
half of the G. M. bus! what all of G. M. does
itch will probably determine will drain and flush all PCB
containing fluids from their machines and refill with a new product. We will try to sell them our phosphate ester fluid at list price and charge fully for incineration of the old
fluid. If necessary to salvage the business, we will capitulate on Incineration and give some price concession on Initial fill. In return, we will ask for a three year supply period to recover our costs.
We will not sell a low price phosphate ester as a replacement
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for A200B, If General Motors goes to the phosphate ester and If we sell a low priced phosphate ester to one location, we will have to sell It to all of them. Due to the large share of our total business that G.M. represents, selling to them at a low price would undermine the profitability of our total Pydraul program. In addition, due to their size. It Is possible that such a move would deteriorate the pricing of the phosphate esters at all accounts.
Johnson Motors
Johnson Motors is in trouble with the State of Illinois because
of too high phenollcs dlscharg_ln their effluent. However,
they appear to be so
i^j^synthetlc fluid, which means
phosphate esters, and all synthe-t-lc fluids will create phenollcs
In their effluent. We have gone to them and suggested they
-V ' ` tralght phosphate ester to avoid PCB problems
phenollcs problem with treatment of their
effluent. In terms of pricing and Incite ration, we will
handle them in the same way as General Motors and, if necessary,
make the same concessions.
Check Point This should be a check point in our plan. If either General Motors or Johnson Motors are lost, we should re-evaluate our situation and decide again how best to proceed.
Selector I Accounts After testing the water with General Motors and Johnson Motors and as soon as sufficient phosphate ester becomes available, we
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wlll move laaadiatcl-y to convert all Selector I accounts to straight phosphate esters.
Selector II Accounts cuf 0*> Cc
We will proceed i-mmedirately to develop, test and get Factory
Mutual approval on a line of truly fire resistant oil/phosphate
ester fluids. As soon as the development Job is done and as
soon as phosphate ester for these fluids becomes available, we
will begin converting all Selector II accounts to these new
products.
Reclamation
We should move -i-mmerilafcsiy to work with Findett Service Co.
on reclamation of the Pydraul fluids. This means quoting,
in conjunction with Findett, for x'eclamation business wherever
we can find it. Assuming this relationship is profitable,
we will continue it and expand it to all places where we can be
competitive. If it turns out that due to geography we'cannot
be competitive in conjunction with Findett in all locations,
we will establish relationships with other reclaimers in those
locales. C..& ru 0.^ Note that reclamation ultimately should have a substantial
negative affect on our new fluid sales. This along with our
loss of business during the transition must be taken into
consideration when planning the capacity of our new phosphate
ester plant.
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-5Vltal 29 Type Fluids Withdrawal of current Pydraul 312A type fluids from the market will force customers to go to either higher priced phosphate ester fluids, inferior quality water glycol fluids, or the Vital 29 type fluids which are not fire resistant after shear down of their polymer. To combat this we should go immediately to Factory Mutual, explain the situation on the fire resistance of these fluids and ask for Factory Mutual's position. If they-remove their approval, that should essentially solve the problem. If not, we will develop a line of fluids in direct competition with Vital 29 and Dasco 300. Customer Notification On April 15, 1971 I sent out a letter to the Pydraul mailing list saying: "There are now no PCBs in any of our Pydraul fluids." This letter is not true and has irritated the Chevrolet Division of General Motors and probably anyone else who knows that it is not true. We should write another letter Immediately to the same list clearly stating that the letter was not true and giving them the facts on the PCB contamination. If possible, we can temper the letter with our plans for future fluids. However, getting the letter into our customers' hands before they get this information from our competitors should be our primary consideration. Field Sales/Product Group Relationship Major accounts where the Product Group may directly assist in
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converslon are listed in Appendix ^ . Current opinion is that all other accounts can be handled directly by the Field Salesmen(assuming we do have lower cost Selector II replacements).
To help prepare the salesmen for this transition, a meeting will be held in St. Louis 4? which will focus on strategic salesmXL-and_their managers who will be in attendance. At-.a. -^-aisnuiiirfJe will lay out for them why we must transition, the reasons we will give the customer, replacement products with prices and benefits relative to our old products and competition, pollution aspects of PCBs, PCTs, and phosphate esters with a discussion of phenolics, B.O.D. and C.O.D., and oil contamination, and the legal aspects of our situation. We will leave them with a "Transition Handbook".
Also at this meeting we specifically define who will handle what accounts, the order in which they will be handled, and the timing on handling them.
Advertising To counter the negative affects of reformulation, we should plan and execute an advertising program that will explain why we are making this move and point out the advantages of our new fluids versus competition. Execution of this should begin wow.
I <
Appendices Attached are appendices which give some background on what our new Selector I and Selector II fluids will be along with their
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costs, prices and gross profit; what a typical conversion might cost us depending upon whether we get full price for the fluid and who pays for Incineration; a list of our major customers; and what our profitability for 1972 may look like based on certain assumptions of conversion rates and costs of our new products.
/pep
C. L. Bradford J,f}'
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APPENDIX A
Fluid
Proposed Pydraul Line and Pricing
_________ ;___________________ ,,Pri.ci.ng1
T/T
T/L Drums 10-T/L Drums 5-9 Drums
Selector 1
Pydraul 10 E Pydraul 29 E-LT Pydraul 30 E Pydraul 50 E Pydraul 65 E Pydraul 95 E 1 Pydraul 115 E
4. 55 3. 60 Quote Quote Quote Quote Quote
4.75 3. 80 3.65 3. 65
3.85 3.95
4.95 4.00 3.75 3. 75 3r75 3.S' 3.95 4.05
5. 00 4.05 3.80 3. 80 3.-80 3^1) 4.00 4.10
1-4 Drums
5.10 4.15 3. 85 3. 85 3t88 3.<tS' 4. 05 4.15
Selector 2
Pydraul 135 C Pydraul 230 C Pydraul 312 C Pydraul 540 C
2. 25 2.25 2.15 2.15
2.45 2.45 2.35 2. 35
2. 65 2. 65 2. 55 2.55
2.70 2.70 2.60 2. 60
2. 80 2. 80 2. 70 2. 70
^5 gallon can pricing - add .25/gallon to 1-4 drum price
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APPENDIX B
Pydraul Profitability
Fluid
jj
Cost-Short Term Cost-Long Term Gross S. P, ___________ __(Dixie CP) _____________(Monsanto CP) (10-T/L Drums)
Long Term
Gross Profit ^
Selector 1
lbs, /gal. 9.1 Pydraul 10 E 9.4 Pydraul 29 E-LT 9.9 Pydraul 30 E 9.8 Pydraul 50 E 9.7 Pydraul 65 E 9.7 Pydraul 95 E ? 9.6 Pydraul 115 E
-.222/lb .204/lb .227/lb .268/lb' .285/lb .295/lb
. .191/lb .215/lb . 198/lb . 213/lb .238/lb .250/lb .256/lb
. 545/lb .425/lb .378/lb . 383/lb W(
.407/lb .422/lb
63% 45% 43% 40% 33%r 35"% 34% 35%
Selector 2 8.44 Pydraul 135 C ' 8.44 Pydraul 230 C 8.44 Pydraul 312 C 8.49 Pydraul 540 C
.170/lb ' .168/lb .170/lb .175/lb
.165/lb .160/lb .160/lb .165/lb
. 314/lb . 314/lb . 302/lb . 302/lb
42% 44% 40% 38%
* Finished Product Cost Including Conversion and Drum Costs 2
Average Freight and Warehousing at $. 03/pound
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APPENDIX C Pydraul Blends All prices, costs and profit figures based on the following blends.
Pydraul 10 E Pydraul 60
Pydraul 65 E NCP 76% ' TPP 24%
Pydraul 29 E-LT
N CP - 35% S^141 - 63% Polymer - 2%
Pydraul 95 E ?
NCP 88% TPP 12%
Pydraul 30 E
N2CP 40% TPP 30% CDP 30%
Pydraul 115 E
NCP 100%
Pydraul 50 E
n2cp 70% TPP 30%
Pydraul 135 C
N'CP 20% S141 46%
*Oil
33+%
Polymer <1%
Pydraul 540 C
N,CP 56%
*Oil
43+%
Polymer <1%
Pydraul 230 C
N. CP 41% si41 16%
*Oil
42+%
Polymer Cl%
Pydraul 312 C
N CP 46%
S 141 9%
*Oil
44+%
Polymer <1%
'
Oil could be Sunoco 800 N, Mobil 750 or H 230 but cost of all is $. 04/pound
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APPENDIX D
Typical Customer Conversion
Customer Used for Calculations: Chevrolet - Bay City
Date for calculation of cost to customer and cost to Monsanto for conversion from Pydraul 312 A to Pydraul 65 E:
Machine Capacity = 50 machines x 300 gallons/machine = 15, 000 gallons Flushing fluid = 15, 000 gallons petroleum oil Freight Cost = $2. 00/cwt. = $. 22/gallon Cost of Incineration = $. 03/pound
Case 1
Chevy Bay City pays full price for new fluid plus flushing fluid plus freight for returned fluid plus $. 03/pound to incinerate returned fluid.
A. Cost to Chevy
1. 15, 000 gallons Pydraul 65 E @ $3. 45/gallon 2. 15, 000 gallons oil flushing fluid @ $. 50/gallon 3. 15, 000 gallons (138, 000 lbs. ) 312 A plus
15, 000 gallons (112, 000 lbs. ) oil incineration @ $. 03/pound
4. Freight on returned fluid: 250, 000 lbs. x .02/pound
= $51,175 = 7, 500
= 7,500 '
- 5,000
TOTAL Cost
= $71,175
Cost per Gallon of new fluid
= $4. 74/gallon
(Does not include labor or downtime )
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(Ca6e I Con't)
B. Gross Profit to Monsanto
Sales: 15, 000 gallons @ $3. 45/gallon COGS: 138, 000 pounds x . 223/pound
Freight: 146, 000 pounds x . 02/pound
Gross Profit
% Gross Profit =
.
_ 17, 581
51,175 - 2,920
= 36.4%
$51,175 30, 774
$20,401
2, 920
$17, 581
Case II
Chevy - Bay City pays full price for new fluid plus flushing fluid but Monsanto pays for incineration cost and freight.
A. Cost to Chevy
15, 000 gallons Pydraul 65 E @ $3. 45/gallon 15, 000 gallons oil flushing fluid @ $. 50/gallon
$51,175 7, 500
TOTAL Cost
$58,675
. Cost per gallon new fluid
$3, 92/gallon
(Does not include labor or downtime)
B. Gross Profit to Monsanto
Gross Sales
Less: COGS
$30,774
Freight (New
2,920
Fluid)
Incineration Cost 7, 500
Freight (Returned 5, 000
Fluid)
= $5ljl75 = $46,194
% Gross Profit
= 4, 981 51,175 - 2920
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Case III
Chevy-Bay City pays full price for fluid but Monsanto pays for flushing fluid plus incineration costs and freight
A. Cost to Chevy
IS, 000 gallons Pydraul 65 E
= $51,175
Cost per gallon new Fluid (Does not include labor or downtime)
= $3. 45/gallon
B, Gross Profit to Monsanto
Gross Sales
COGS Freight(New Fluid) Flushing Fluid Incineration Cost Freight (Returned Fluid)
30, 774 2, 920 7, 500 7, 500 5, 000
Net Loss
= $51,175
= 53, 694 = $2,519
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APPENDIX F 1972 Financial Results
Case 1 1972 Financial results as currently budgeted:
(ooo's lbs. ) ProductVolume ____
Pydraul 60 Pydraul 150-A
45 1000
Pydraul A-200-B
-2300
Pydraul F-9-A
1150
Pydraul 625-A
275
Pydraul AC-A
600
Pydraul AC-A W. G.
24
Turbinol 153
325
Pydraul 135-A
1400
Pydraul 230-A
240
Pydraul 312-A
6850
Pydraul 540-B
125
Total
14, 334
(Projected 1971 Results) 14, 267
{ooo's $) Sales 22 400 621 380 83 192 7 107 336 59 1507 26 3740 4200
(ooo's $) Gross Profit
9 185 171 148 24 67 -36 98 16 407 7 1168 1300
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APPENDIX F 1972 Financial Results
Case II
1972 Financial results based on:
A. (1) Selector 1 fluids sold at 75% 1972 budget volume through 3/31/72
(2) NCP fluids replace Selector $ fluids on 3/31/71 and sold at 50% 1972 budget volume from 3/31/72 through end of 1972
B. (1) Selector 2 fluids sold at 75% of 1972 budget volume through 6/30/72
(2)NCP/oil fluids replace Selector 2 fluids on 6/30/72 and sold at 50% 1972 budget volume from 6/30/72 through end of 1972.
C. General Motors plants on NCP from 1/1/72 - A-200-B to 50 E - 312-A to 65 E
Product *
V olume (ooo's lbs)
Selector 1
Pydraul f>0 E Pydraul 29 E- LT Pydraul 30 E Pydraul 50 E Pydraul 65 E . Pydraul 95 E Pydraul 115 E
560 193 1910 1225 340 152
.
Sales (ooo's $)
Z-T'
K
222 63 656 437 128 59
Gross Profit (ooo's $)
1 5 101 , 31 261 147 43 18
Selector 2
Pydraul 135 C Pydraul 230-C; Pydraul 312 C Pydraul 540 C
825 144 2800 72
263 39 689 17
72 12 221 5
TOTAL
8246
2585
9
fZO -
# Financial results for new products includes results for old products as specified above.
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APPENDIX G Incineration Costs
Gallons* 100, 000 150, 000 200, 000 250 , 000 300, 000 400, 000 500, 000
Incin. Cost @ $. 03/pound Freight @ . 025/pound
$28, 800
$24,000
43, 200
36, 000
57, 600
48, 000
72, 000
60, 000
86,400
72, 000
115, 200
96, 000
144, 000
120, 000
Total $52, 800
79, 200 105, 600 132, 000 158, 400 211, 200 264, 000
^Average density oi fluid @1.15 = 9. 6 pounds/gallon
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