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Nadeau, Robert [Robert.Nadeau@fema.dhs.gov] 9/3/2017 3:07:11 PM Carlos Mercader [cmercader@prfaa.pr.gov]; Rochelle Corneiro [rochelle.corneiro@go.vi.gov]; Christine Diaz [Christine.Diaz@eog.myflorida.com] Killian, Adam [adam.killian@fema.dhs.gov]; Hudak, Mary [Mary.Hudak@fema.dhs.gov]; Caetano, Donald [Donald.Caetano@fema.dhs.gov]; Mize, Nancy [Nancy.Mize@fema.dhs.gov]; Strouse, Philip [Philip.Strouse@fema.dhs.gov] FW: Hurricane Irma #17
Morn ing,
Latest update on Hurricane Irma, Thank you.
Bob
Robert Nadeau, CEM Deputy Director, Intergovernmental Affairs Division FEMA Office of External Affairs 500 C St. SW Washington D.C. 2.0472 Desk 202-212-5193
j Ex! 6 1
i________________________________________ i
Robert.Nadeau@fema.dhs.gov
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Sent: Sunday, September 03, 2017 11:03 AM Subject: Hurricane Irma #17
...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IRMA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD... ...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA... At 11am AST, Hurricane Irma was located 885 miles east of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and a minimum central pressure of 969 mb.
Irma is moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph and this course at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through tonight. A turn toward the west is forecast on Monday. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Direct impacts from Irma are possible in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later this week, and Tropical
Sierra Club v. E P A 18cv3472 NDCA
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Storm or Hurricane Watches could be issued for these islands by tomorrow.
Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
Ponce, PR
38%
Aguadilla, PR
42%
San Juan, PR
50%
Vieques, PR
51%
Saint Thomas, VI 63%
Saint Croix, VI
48%
Hurricane Irma Graphics
Note: T h e c o n e c o n ta in s the p ro b a b le path o f the storm ce n te r but d o e s not sh o w the size of th e storm. Hazardous conditions can o c c u r o u tsid e o f the cone.
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Hurricane Irma
Sunday September 03, 2017 11 AM AST Advisory 17 j NWS National Hurricane Genier
Current information: x
Center location 17.7 N 48.4 W Maximum sustained wind 115 mph
Movement WSW at 14 rapii
55W
SOW
45W
40W
Forecast positions:
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Sustained winds:
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8 39-73 mph H 74-110 raptt Mi >110 mph j
IPotential track area: W atches:
W arnings:
Current wind extent: I
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Huracane
Trop Sim
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Hurricane Trop Sim
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_________
Hurricane Irma
Sun. Sep. 3, 2017 11 am ST
Advisory 17
Storm Location & Wind Speed (knots} 034 6 34-63
Five-dsy chance of receiving sustained 34* knot (38+mph) winds
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000 WTNT31 KNHC 031450 TOPATI
BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 03 2017
...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IRMA MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD... ...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC... INFORMATION
LOCATION...17.7N 48.4W ABOUT 885 MI...1420 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 M P H ...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 M P H ... 22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB ... 28.62 INCHES
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WATCHES AND WARNINGS
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Irma. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be required for portions of these islands later today or tonight.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 48.4 West. Irma is moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this course at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through tonight. A turn toward the west is forecast on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
None
NEXT ADVISORY
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$ Forecaster Brown
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